2016 ASEAN Automotive Outlook Updated Research Available

ASEAN to be the Fifth-Largest Automotive Market in 2016

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This research service discusses in detail the Automotive Outlook in ASEAN during 2015 and presents the expected trends for 2016. It provides an analysis of the automotive outlook in the region with focus on the three key markets in ASEAN—Thailand, Malaysia, and Indonesia. It also touches upon the trends in other ASEAN countries with smaller but growing automotive markets. Besides presenting the unit shipment market trends and forecasts in the key countries, the study also analyzes the current and future factors affecting them. It includes the executive summary, research scope, objectives, background, and methodology, definitions and segmentation, ASEAN market outlook, regional market trends and forecasts for

Table of Contents

Executive Summary2015 Key Highlights2015–2016 ASEAN Automotive Senior Management Top-of-Mind Issues2016 Top 5 PredictionsResearch Scope, Objectives, Background, and MethodologyResearch ScopeResearch Aims and ObjectivesKey Questions This Study Will AnswerResearch BackgroundResearch MethodologyKey OEMs or Participant Groups Compared in This StudyDefinitions and SegmentationProduct SegmentationProduct DefinitionsASEAN Market OutlookMacro Economic IndicatorsImportance of ASEAN as a ClusterEmission Standards in ASEANTop Trends in Product Segments in ASEAN in FutureAdoption of Advanced Features Across SegmentsFuture Adoption of Advanced Product Features in ASEANFuture Adoption of Advanced Product Features in ASEAN (continued)Development of Autonomous Vehicles in ASEANTotal ASEAN Market Unit Shipment SnapshotProduction Forecast in ASEAN—Long-term OutlookUnit Shipment Forecast in ASEAN—Long-Term OutlookRegional Market Trends and Total Industry Volumes (TIV) in ThailandMonthly Sales Trend—Total VehiclesMonthly Sales Trend—PVsTrends in PV SegmentsMarket Shares of Key Participants in the PV SegmentMonthly Sales Trends—CV SegmentTrends in CV SegmentMarket Shares of Key Participants in CV Segment2016 Automotive OutlookThailand 2016—Conservative ViewThailand 2016—Conservative View (continued)Thailand 2016—Conservative View (continued)Thailand 2016—Optimistic ViewThailand 2016—Optimistic View (continued)Thailand 2016—Optimistic View (continued)Thailand 2016—Frost & Sullivan ViewThailand 2016—Frost & Sullivan View (continued)Thailand 2016—Frost & Sullivan View (continued)Total ForecastProduction ForecastUnit Shipment ForecastKey ConclusionsKey Conclusions—ThailandKey Conclusions—Thailand (continued)Regional Market Trends and Forecast—Indonesia 2015 Automotive Market RecapTotal Industry Volumes in Indonesia Total Industry Volumes in Indonesia (continued) Monthly Sales Trend—Total Vehicles Monthly Sales Trend—PVsTrends in PV SegmentMarket Shares of Key Participants in the PV SegmentMonthly Sales Trend—CVsTrends in CV SegmentMarket Shares of Key Participants in the CV Segment2016 Automotive OutlookIndonesia 2016—Conservative ViewIndonesia 2016—Conservative View (continued)Indonesia 2016—Optimistic ViewIndonesia 2016—Optimistic View (continued)Indonesia 2016—Frost & Sullivan ViewIndonesia 2016—Frost & Sullivan View (continued)Total ForecastProduction Forecast in IndonesiaSales Forecast in IndonesiaKey ConclusionsKey Conclusions—IndonesiaKey Conclusions—Indonesia (continued)Regional Market Trends and Forecast—Malaysia 2015 Automotive Market RecapTotal Industry Volumes in MalaysiaMonthly Sales Trend—Total VehiclesMonthly Sales Trends—PVsTrends in PV SegmentMarket Share in the PV SegmentProfile of Key Market Participant—Honda MalaysiaMonthly Sales Trend—CV SegmentTrends in CV SegmentMarket Shares in the CV SegmentMonthly Sales Trend in the Luxury Car SegmentMarket Share in the Luxury Car SegmentProfile of Key Market Participant—Mercedes Benz Malaysia 2016 Automotive OutlookMalaysia 2016—Conservative ViewMalaysia 2016—Conservative View (continued)Malaysia 2016—Conservative View (continued)Malaysia 2016—Optimistic ViewMalaysia 2016—Optimistic View (continued)Malaysia 2016—Optimistic View (continued)Malaysia 2016—Frost & Sullivan ViewMalaysia 2016—Frost & Sullivan View (continued)Malaysia 2016—Frost & Sullivan View (continued)Total ForecastProduction ForecastUnit Shipment ForecastKey ConclusionsKey Conclusions—MalaysiaKey Conclusions—Malaysia (continued)Conclusions and Future OutlookKey ConclusionsLegal DisclaimerAppendixTable of AcronymsTable of Acronyms (continued)Table of Acronyms (continued)2016 Topics Focal Points of ASEAN Program AreaMarket Engineering MethodologyKey Trends Impacting Automotive Market—ThailandRegulatory Developments in Thailand Emission-based Excise Tax Structure Emission-based Excise Tax Structure (continued) Impact of New Emission-based Excise Tax System on TIVLikely Impact of the New Excise Tax SystemImpact of Proposed Change in Excise Tax Mechanism and CalculationComprehensive Electric Vehicle PolicyDevelopment of EVs in ThailandEV Roadmap 2015–2019Government’s Action Plan for EVsF&S Perspective on the Impact of Regulatory DevelopmentsF&S Perspective on he Impact of Regulatory Developments (continued)Key Market Trends Affecting Automotive Market Key Market Trends Affecting Automotive Market (continued)Impact of Key Market Trends on Vehicle SegmentsImpact of Key Market Trends on Vehicle Segments (continued)Impact of Key Market Trends on Eco Cars and Non-Eco Mass CarsImpact of Key Market Trends on Premium CarsImpact of Key Market Trends on Pickups and CVsImpact of Key Market Trends on Pickups and CVs (continued)Impact of Market Trend 1—New Excise Tax Structure Impact of Market Trend 2—Weak Export SectorImpact of Market Trend 3—Government’s Stimulus MeasuresImpact of Market Trend 4—Deflationary Pressures and Monetary EasingImpact of Market Trend 5—Depressed Agricultural Output and Weak Prices Impact of Market Trend 6—Stricter Auto FinancingImpact of Market Trend 7—Growth in Border TradeImpact of Market Trend 8—Launch of New ModelsImpact of Market Trend 9—Changes in Excise Duty MechanismImpact of Market Trend 10—Depreciation of Thai BahtKey Market Trends and their ImpactKey Trends Impacting Automotive Market—IndonesiaKey Market Trends and their Impact Key Market Trends and their Impact (continued)Impact of Market Trends on Vehicle SegmentsImpact of Market Trends on Vehicle Segments (continued)Impact of Market Trends on LCGCs and MPVsImpact of Market Trends on LCGCs and MPVs (continued)Impact of Market Trends on Premium CarsImpact of Market Trends on CVsImpact of Market Trends on CVs (continued) Impact of Market Trend 1—Depreciation of RupiahImpact of Market Trend 2—Depressed Commodity Market and Weak PricesImpact of Market Trend 3—Growing Demand for CUVs and LSUVsImpact of Market Trend 4—Government’s Stimulus MeasuresImpact of Market Trend 5—Launch of New Models and Promotional CampaignsImpact of Market Trend 6—Improvement in Consumer ConfidenceImpact of Market Trend 7—Loose Monetary PolicyKey Market Trends and Impact on Automotive Market Key Trends Impacting Automotive Market—MalaysiaRegulatory Trends—TPP: Overview and Strategic ImperativesTPP Policy ObjectivesTPP Provision for Malaysian Auto IndustryImpact of TPP on 6 Key Areas in MalaysiaPros and Cons of TPP in MalaysiaTPP Legality and Validation ProcessKey Vehicle SegmentsKey Market Trends and their Impact on the Automotive MarketKey Market Trends and their Impact on the Automotive Market (continued)Impact of Market Trends on Vehicle SegmentsImpact of Market Trends on PVs (Excluding Luxury Cars)Impact of Market Trends on Luxury CarsImpact of Market Trends on CVsImpact of Market Trend 1—Key Model LaunchesImpact of Market Trend 2—NAP IncentivesImpact of Market Trend 3—Infrastructure ProjectsImpact of Market Trend 4—Price IncreaseImpact of Market Trend 5—Tightening of Credit ApprovalsImpact of Market Trend 6—Migration from C Segment to Pick-UpsImpact of Market Trend 6—Migration from C Segment to Pick-Ups (continued)Impact of Market Trend 7—Scheduled Discontinuation of CKD Hybrid IncentiveImpact of Market Trend 8—Deferment of Open AP TerminationImpact of Market Trend 9—Deferment/Delay in Fleet Renewal2016 Market Specifics—Impact and Probability




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automotive outlook
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asean automotive

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