2016 ASEAN Automotive Outlook

ASEAN to be the Fifth-Largest Automotive Market in 2016

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This research service discusses in detail the Automotive Outlook in ASEAN during 2015 and presents the expected trends for 2016. It provides an analysis of the automotive outlook in the region with focus on the three key markets in ASEAN—Thailand, Malaysia, and Indonesia. It also touches upon the trends in other ASEAN countries with smaller but growing automotive markets. Besides presenting the unit shipment market trends and forecasts in the key countries, the study also analyzes the current and future factors affecting them. It includes the executive summary, research scope, objectives, background, and methodology, definitions and segmentation, ASEAN market outlook, regional market trends and forecasts for Thailand, Indonesia, and Malaysia, conclusions, and the future outlook and appendix.

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary
2015 Key Highlights
Automotive Market: Senior Management Top-of-Mind Issues, ASEAN, 2015–2016
2016 Top 5 Predictions
2. Research Scope, Objectives, Background, and Methodology
Research Scope
Passenger Vehicles (PV’s)
Commercial Vehicles (CV’s)
Research Aims and Objectives
Research Background
Research Methodology
Primary Research
Secondary Research
Key Industry Participants
Toyota Motor Thailand Co., Ltd.
Honda Automobile (Thailand) Co., Limited
Nissan Motor (Thailand) Co. Ltd
PT Toyota Astra Motor, Indonesia
PT Daihatsu Astra Motor, Indonesia
PT Krama Yudha Berlian Motors, Indonesia
Proton Sdn. Bhd, Malaysia
Key OEMs or Participant Groups Compared in this Study
Definitions and Segmentation
Product Definitions
Passenger Vehicles (PVs)
SUV/MPV
Pick-ups
3. ASEAN Market Outlook
Macro-Economic Indicators
Importance of ASEAN as a Cluster
Emission Standards in ASEAN
Top Trends in Product Segments in ASEAN in Future
Adoption of Advanced Features Across Segments
Future Adoption of Advanced Product Features in ASEAN
Development of Autonomous Vehicles in ASEAN
Total ASEAN Market Unit Shipment Snapshot
Production Forecast in ASEAN—Long-term Outlook
Unit Shipment Forecast in ASEAN—Long-Term Outlook
4. Regional Market Trends and Forecast—Thailand 2015 Automotive Market Recap
Total Industry Volumes (TIV) in Thailand
Monthly Sales Trend—Total Vehicles
Monthly Sales Trend—PVs
Trends in PV Segments
Market Shares of Key Participants in the PV Segment
Monthly Sales Trends—CV Segment
Trends in CV Segment
Market Shares of Key Participants in CV Segment
5. 2016 Automotive Outlook
Thailand 2016
Conservative View
Optimistic View
Frost & Sullivan View
Total Forecast
Production Forecast
Unit Shipment Forecast
6. Key Conclusions
Thailand
7. Regional Market Trends and Forecast—Indonesia 2015 Automotive Market Recap
Total Industry Volumes in Indonesia
Monthly Sales Trend
Total Vehicles
PVs
Trends in PV Segment
Market Shares of Key Participants in the PV Segment
Monthly Sales Trend—CVs
Trends in CV Segment
Market Shares of Key Participants in the CV Segment
8. 2016 Automotive Outlook
Indonesia 2016
Conservative View
Optimistic View
Frost & Sullivan View
9. Total Forecast
Production Forecast in Indonesia
Sales Forecast in Indonesia
10. Key Conclusions
Indonesia
11. Regional Market Trends and Forecast—Malaysia 2015 Automotive Market Recap
Total Industry Volumes in Malaysia
Monthly Sales Trend
Total Vehicles
PVs
Trends in PV Segment
Market Share in the PV Segment
Profile of Key Market Participant—Honda Malaysia
Monthly Sales Trend—CV Segment
Trends in CV Segment
Market Shares in the CV Segment
Monthly Sales Trend in the Luxury Car Segment
Market Share in the Luxury Car Segment
Profile of Key Market Participant—Mercedes Benz Malaysia
12. 2016 Automotive Outlook
Malaysia 2016
Conservative View
Optimistic View
Frost & Sullivan View
13. Total Forecast
Production Forecast
Unit Shipment Forecast
14. Key Conclusions
Malaysia
15. Conclusions and Future Outlook
Key Conclusions
Legal Disclaimer
16. Appendix
Table of Acronyms
2016 Topics Focal Points of ASEAN Program Area
Market Engineering Methodology
17. Key Trends Impacting Automotive Market—Thailand
Regulatory Developments in Thailand
Emission-based Excise Tax Structure
Impact of New Emission-based Excise Tax System on TIV
Likely Impact of the New Excise Tax System
Impact of Proposed Change in Excise Tax Mechanism and Calculation
Comprehensive Electric Vehicle Policy
Development of EVs in Thailand
EV Roadmap 2015–2019
Government’s Action Plan for EVs
F&S Perspective on the Impact of Regulatory Developments
Key Market Trends Affecting Automotive Market
Impact of Key Market Trends on Vehicle Segments
Impact of Key Market Trends on Eco Cars and Non-Eco Mass Cars
Impact of Key Market Trends on Premium Cars
Impact of Key Market Trends on Pickups and CVs
Impact of Market Trend
New Excise Tax Structure
Weak Export Sector
Government’s Stimulus Measures
Deflationary Pressures and Monetary Easing
Depressed Agricultural Output and Weak Prices
Stricter Auto Financing
Growth in Border Trade
Launch of New Models
Changes in Excise Duty Mechanism
Depreciation of Thai Baht
Key Market Trends and their Impact
18. Key Trends Impacting Automotive Market—Indonesia
Key Market Trends and their Impact
Impact of Market Trends on Vehicle Segments
Impact of Market Trends on LCGCs and MPVs
Impact of Market Trends on Premium Cars
Impact of Market Trends on CVs
Impact of Market Trend
Depreciation of Rupiah
Depressed Commodity Market and Weak Prices
Growing Demand for CUVs and LSUVs
Government’s Stimulus Measures
Launch of New Models and Promotional Campaigns
Improvement in Consumer Confidence
Loose Monetary Policy
Key Market Trends and Impact on Automotive Market
19. Key Trends Impacting Automotive Market—Malaysia
Regulatory Trends—TPP: Overview and Strategic Imperatives
TPP Policy Objectives
TPP Provision for Malaysian Auto Industry
Impact of TPP on 6 Key Areas in Malaysia
Pros and Cons of TPP in Malaysia
TPP Legality and Validation Process
Key Vehicle Segments
Key Market Trends and their Impact on the Automotive Market
Impact of Market Trends on Vehicle Segments
Impact of Market Trends on PVs (Excluding Luxury Cars)
Impact of Market Trends on Luxury Cars
Impact of Market Trends on CVs
Impact of Market Trend
Key Model Launches
NAP Incentives
Infrastructure Projects
Price Increase
Tightening of Credit Approvals
Migration from C Segment to Pick-Ups
Scheduled Discontinuation of CKD Hybrid Incentive
Deferment of Open AP Termination
Deferment/Delay in Fleet Renewal
2016 Market Specifics—Impact and Probability


List of Figures & Charts

1. Automotive Market: Senior Management Top-of-Mind Issues, ASEAN, 2015–2016
2. Total Automotive Market: Vehicle Production, ASEAN, 2015–2022
3. Automotive Market: Vehicle Sales Ranking by Volume, Global, 2015, 2018, and 2022
4. Automotive Market: Fuel Standards, Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, 2013–2022
5. Automotive Market: Adoption of Advanced Features, ASEAN, 2016
6. Automotive Market: Feature Analysis, ASEAN, 2014–2020
7. Automotive Market: Feature Analysis, ASEAN, 2014–2020
8. Automotive Market: Development of AVs, ASEAN, 2016–2022
9. Automotive Market: Unit Shipment Forecast, ASEAN, 2015 and 2016
10. Automotive Market: Production Forecast, ASEAN, 2015–2022
11. Automotive Market: Sales Forecast, ASEAN, 2015–2022
12. Automotive Market: TIV, Thailand, 2011–2015
13. Automotive Market: TIV Monthly Sales Trend, Thailand, 2014 versus 2015*
14. Automotive Market: PV Monthly Sales Trend, Thailand, 2014 and 2015
15. Automotive Market: Trends in PV Segments, Thailand, 2014 and 2015
16. Automotive Market: PV Segment Shares, Thailand, 2012–2015
17. Automotive Market: CV Monthly Sales Trend, Thailand, 2014 and 2015
18. Automotive Market: Key Trends in Commercial Vehicles, Thailand, 2014 and 2015
19. Automotive Market: CV Segment Shares, Thailand, 2012–2015
20. Automotive Market: Weightage and Impact of Key Factors on the Conservative View, Thailand, 2015
21. Automotive Market: TIV in the Conservative View, Thailand, 2015 and 2016
22. Automotive Market: Weightage and Impact of Key Factors on the Optimistic View, Thailand, 2015
23. Automotive Market: TIV in the Optimistic View, Thailand, 2015 and 2016
24. Automotive Market: Weightage and Impact of Key Factors on the Frost & Sullivan View, Thailand, 2015
25. Automotive Market: Total Industry Volumes (TIV) in the Frost & Sullivan View, Thailand, 2015 and 2016
26. Automotive Market: Production Forecast, Thailand, 2015–2022
27. Automotive Market: Sales Forecast, Thailand, 2015–2022
28. Automotive Market: Total Industry Volume (TIV), Indonesia, 2011–2015
29. Automotive Market: TIV Monthly Sales Trend, Indonesia, 2014 and 2015
30. Automotive Market: PV Monthly Sales Trend, Indonesia, 2014 and 2015
31. Automotive Market: Trends in PV Segment, Indonesia, 2014 and 2015
32. Automotive Market: PV Segment Shares, Indonesia, 2013–2015
33. Automotive Market: CV Monthly Sales Trend, Indonesia, 2014 and 2015
34. Automotive Market: Trends in CV Segments, Indonesia, 2014 and 2015
35. Automotive Market: CV Segment Shares, Indonesia, 2013–2015
36. Automotive Market: Weightage and Impact of Key Factors on the Conservative View, Indonesia, 2016
37. Automotive Market: TIV in the Conservative View, Indonesia, 2016
38. Automotive Market: Weightage and Impact of Key Factors on the Optimistic View, Indonesia, 2016
39. Automotive Market: TIV in the Optimistic View, Indonesia, 2015 and 2016
40. Automotive Market: Weightage and Impact of Key Factors on the Frost & Sullivan View, Indonesia, 2016
41. Automotive Market: TIV in the Frost & Sullivan View, Indonesia, 2015 and 2016
42. Automotive Market: Productions Forecast, Indonesia, 2015–2022
43. Automotive Market: Sales Forecast, Indonesia, 2015–2022
44. Automotive Market: Total Industry Volumes, Malaysia, 2011–2015
45. Automotive Market: Monthly TIV, Malaysia, 2014 and 2015
46. Automotive Market: Monthly PV Sales, Malaysia, 2014 and 2015
47. Automotive Market: PV Sales Trend and Breakdown by Segment, Malaysia, 2014 and 2015
48. Automotive Market: PV Segment Share by OEMs, Malaysia, 2011–2015
49. Automotive Market: Honda Malaysia Company Profile, Malaysia, 2011–2015
50. Automotive Market: Monthly Sales in CV Sales, Malaysia, 2014 and 2015
51. Automotive Market: CV Sales Trend and Breakdown by Segment, Malaysia, 2014 and 2015
52. Automotive Market: CV Segment Share by OEMs, 2011–2015
53. Automotive Market: Luxury Vehicle Sales, Malaysia, 2014 and 2015
54. Automotive Market: Luxury Car Market Share by OEMs, Malaysia, 2011–2015
55. Automotive Market: Mercedes-Benz’s Market Share, Position and Strategies, Malaysia 2013–2015
56. Automotive Market: Weightage and Impact of Key Factors on the Conservative View, Malaysia, 2015
57. Automotive Market: TIV in the Conservative View, Malaysia, 2015 and 2016
58. Automotive Market: Weightage and Impact of Key Factors on the Optimistic View, Malaysia, 2015
59. Automotive Market: TIV in the Optimistic View, Malaysia, 2015 and 2016
60. Automotive Market: Weightage and Impact of Key Factors on the Frost & Sullivan View, Malaysia, 2015
61. Automotive Market: TIV in the Frost & Sullivan View, Malaysia, 2015 and 2016
62. Automotive Market: Productions Forecast, Malaysia, 2015–2022
63. Automotive Market: Sales Forecast, Malaysia, 2015–2022
64. Automotive Market: Key Conclusions and Future Outlook, ASEAN, 2015–2022
65. Automotive Market: Regulatory Developments, Thailand, 2015
66. Automotive Market: Excise Tax Increment vs. Segment Share, Light Vehicle Market1, Thailand, 2015
67. Automotive Market: Likely Impact of New Excise System, Thailand, 2015
68. Automotive Market: Impact of Proposed Change in Excise Tax Mechanism and Calculation, Thailand, 2015
69. Automotive Market: Comprehensive EV Policy, Thailand, 2015
70. Automotive Market: Areas of EV Development, Thailand, 2015
71. Automotive Market: Impact of Market Trends on Vehicle Segments, Thailand, 2015
72. Automotive Market: Impact of Key Market Trends on Eco Cars and Non-Eco Mass Cars, Thailand, 2015
73. Automotive Market: Impact of Key Market Trends on Premium Cars, Thailand, 2015
74. Automotive Market: Impact of Key Market Trends on Pickups and CVs, Thailand, 2015
75. Automotive Market: Impact of Key Market Trends on Pickups and CVs, Thailand, 2015
76. Automotive Market: Impact of New Excise Tax Structure, Thailand, 2015
77. Automotive Market: Impact of Weak Export Sector, Thailand, 2015
78. Automotive Market: Impact of Government’s Stimulus Measures, Thailand, 2015
79. Automotive Market: Impact of Deflationary Pressures and Monetary Easing, Thailand, 2015
80. Automotive Market: Impact of Depressed Agricultural Output and Weak Prices, Thailand, 2015
81. Automotive Market: Impact of Stricter Auto Financing, Thailand, 2015
82. Automotive Market: Impact of Growth in Border Trade, Thailand, 2015
83. Automotive Market: Impact of Launch of New Models, Thailand, 2015
84. Automotive Market: Impact of Changes in the Excise Duty Mechanism, Thailand, 2015
85. Automotive Market: Impact of Depreciation of Thai Baht, Thailand, 2015
86. Automotive Market: Impact and Probability of Market Trends, Thailand, 2015
87. Automotive Market: Impact of Depreciation of the Rupiah, Indonesia, 2015
88. Automotive Market: Impact of Depressed Commodity Market and Weak Prices, Indonesia, 2015
89. Automotive Market: Impact of Growing Demand for CUVs and LSUVs, Indonesia, 2015
90. Automotive Market: Impact of Government’s Stimulus Measures, Indonesia, 2015
91. Automotive Market: Impact of Launch of New Models and Promotional Campaigns, Indonesia, 2015
92. Automotive Market: Impact of Improvement in Consumer Confidence, Indonesia, 2015
93. Automotive Market: Impact of Loose Monetary Policy, Indonesia, 2015
94. Automotive Market: Impact and Probability of Various Trends, Indonesia, 2015
95. Automotive Market: Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) Overview, Malaysia, 2015
96. Automotive Market: TPP Impact, Malaysia, 2015
97. Automotive Market: Pros and Cons for Automotive Sector for TPP, Malaysia, 2015
98. Automotive Market: Provision for Auto Industry in TPP, Malaysia, 2015
99. Automotive Market: Key Vehicle Segments, Malaysia, 2015
100. Automotive Market: Key Market Trends Impacting Automotive Market, Malaysia, 2015
101. Automotive Market: Key Market Trends Impacting Automotive Market, Malaysia, 2015
102. Automotive Market: Impact of Market Trends, Malaysia, 2015
103. Automotive Market: Impact of Market Trends on PVs, Malaysia, 2015
104. Automotive Market: Impact of Market Trends on Luxury Cars, Malaysia, 2015
105. Automotive Market: Impact of Market Trends on CVs, Malaysia, 2015
106. Automotive Market: Impact of Key Model Launches, Malaysia, 2015
107. Automotive Market: Impact of NAP Incentives, Malaysia, 2015
108. Automotive Market: Impact of Infrastructure Projects, Malaysia, 2015
109. Automotive Market: Impact of Price Increase, Malaysia, 2015
110. Automotive Market: Impact of Tightening of Credit Approvals, Malaysia, 2015
111. Automotive Market: Migration of C-Segments to Pick-Ups, Malaysia, 2015
112. Automotive Market: Impact of Migration from C-Segments to Pick-Ups, Malaysia, 2015
113. Automotive Market: Impact of Scheduled Discontinuation of CKD Hybrid Incentives, Malaysia, 2015
114. Automotive Market: Impact of Deferment of Open AP Termination, Malaysia, 2015
115. Automotive Market: Impact of Deferment/Delay in Fleet Renewal, Malaysia, 2015
116. Automotive Market: Impact and Probability of Market Trends, Malaysia, 2015



Keyword1
asean automotive
Keyword2
automotive outlook
Keyword3
asean automotive

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