2016 Global Outlook for the Air Transport Industry

2016 Global Outlook for the Air Transport Industry

Continued Record Production Facing Possible Model Change Delays

RELEASE DATE
19-May-2016
REGION
Global
Research Code: K0BB-01-00-00-00
SKU: AE01161-GL-MO_18563

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Description

Continued record commercial aircraft production will be slowed slightly by model changes. New, clean sheet of paper models will be unlikely, but major upgrades of existing models will be more prevalent than ever before. However, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) will have missteps during this process. Second and third tier suppliers will be most affected by the model changes. They will be hard pressed to meet OEMs’ production schedules as they change. Because aircraft components are a just-in-time business, it may force suppliers into shelf stocking. The real opportunities are in the Asia-Pacific countries. New aircraft programs are under development there and, in the short term, may be good programs for existing suppliers. Eventually, those opportunities may evaporate as OEMs turn to local suppliers.

Table of Contents

Top Predictions for 2016

2015 versus 2016 Predictions

  • Our Top Predictions for 2015
  • What Actually Happened – Highlights of 2015

Top Trends for 2016

Industry Conditions to Watch - Supplier issues will define the year.

OEM Highlights

  • Airbus
  • Boeing
  • Bombardier
  • COMAC
  • ATR
  • Embraer
  • UAC
  • Mitsubishi

Total Air Transport Market: Unit Deliveries, Global, 2015–2016

  • 2015 Regional Shares

Scope

Market Segmentation

Regional Aircraft Segment: Unit Deliveries, Global, 2015–2016

Narrow-body Aircraft Segment: Unit Deliveries, Global, 2015–2016

Wide-body Aircraft Segment: Unit Deliveries, Global, 2015–2016

Total Air Transport Market: Units Production Forecast, Global: 2008–2025

Boeing Delivery Outlook —Boeing, Global, 2013–2025

Boeing Production Outlook

Airbus Delivery Outlook : Unit Delivery Forecast—Airbus, Global, 2013–2025

Air Transport Market: Wide-body Production Share—Boeing and Airbus, Global, 2013–2025

Air Transport Market: New Narrow-body Production Share—Boeing and Airbus, Global, 2013–2025

Four-year Production Cycles by Aircraft Type

Market Share by Production 2016–2025

Key Findings

Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, NA, 2015–2020

Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast Discussion

Key Findings

Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, Europe, 2015–2020

Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast Discussion

Key Findings

Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, APAC, 2015–2020

Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast Discussion

Key Findings

Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, MEA, 2015–2020

Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast Discussion

Key Findings

Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, LA, 2015–2020

Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast Discussion

Key Aerospace Industry Trends 2016

Engine Efficiency Improvements

Manufacturing Changes

Alternative Fuels

Electrification of Aircraft Systems

OEMs’ Relations with Supply Chain

Connectivity Changes

Technology Outlook

Key Conclusions

Legal Disclaimer

Appendix

List of Figures
  • 1. Total Air Transport Market: Unit Deliveries, Global, 2015–2016
  • 2. Regional Aircraft Segment: Unit Deliveries, Global, 2015–2016
  • 3. Narrow-body Aircraft Segment: Unit Deliveries, Global, 2015–2016
  • 4. Wide-body Aircraft Segment: Unit Deliveries, Global, 2015–2016
  • 5. Total Air Transport Market: Units Production Forecast, Global: 2008–2025
  • 6. Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery Forecast—Boeing, Global, 2013–2025
  • 7. Air Transport Market: Unit Production Forecast—Boeing, Global, 2013–2025
  • 8. Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery Forecast—Airbus, Global, 2013–2025
  • 9. Air Transport Market: Unit Production Forecast—Airbus, Global, 2013–2025
  • 10. Air Transport Market: Wide-body Production Share—Boeing and Airbus, Global, 2013–2025
  • 11. Air Transport Market: New Narrow-body Production Share—Boeing and Airbus, Global, 2013–2025
  • 12. Total Air Transport Market: Production by Timeframe, Global, 2014–2025
  • 13. Total Air Transport Market: Market Share by Percent of Production, Global, 2016–2025
  • 14. Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, NA, 2015–2020
  • 15. Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, Europe, 2015–
  • 16. Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, APAC, 2015–2020
  • 17. Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, MEA, 2015–2020
  • 18. Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, LA, 2015–2020
  • 19. Air Transport Market: Aircraft Entry In Service (EIS) Timeline by OEM, Global, 2016–2022
Related Research
Continued record commercial aircraft production will be slowed slightly by model changes. New, clean sheet of paper models will be unlikely, but major upgrades of existing models will be more prevalent than ever before. However, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) will have missteps during this process. Second and third tier suppliers will be most affected by the model changes. They will be hard pressed to meet OEMs’ production schedules as they change. Because aircraft components are a just-in-time business, it may force suppliers into shelf stocking. The real opportunities are in the Asia-Pacific countries. New aircraft programs are under development there and, in the short term, may be good programs for existing suppliers. Eventually, those opportunities may evaporate as OEMs turn to local suppliers.
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Table of Contents | Executive Summary~ || Top Predictions for 2016~ || 2015 versus 2016 Predictions~ ||| Our Top Predictions for 2015~ ||| What Actually Happened – Highlights of 2015 ~ || Top Trends for 2016~ || Industry Conditions to Watch - Supplier issues will define the year.~ || OEM Highlights~ ||| Airbus~ ||| Boeing~ ||| Bombardier~ ||| COMAC~ ||| ATR~ ||| Embraer~ ||| UAC~ ||| Mitsubishi~ || Total Air Transport Market: Unit Deliveries, Global, 2015–2016~ ||| 2015 Regional Shares~ | Research Scope and Segmentation~ || Scope~ ||| Geographic coverage~ ||| Study period~ ||| Base year~ ||| Forecast period~ ||| Monetary unit~ || Market Segmentation ~ ||| Regional Aircraft~ ||| Narrow-body Aircraft~ ||| Wide-body Aircraft~ | Key Global Aircraft Production and Delivery Trends~ || Regional Aircraft Segment: Unit Deliveries, Global, 2015–2016~ || Narrow-body Aircraft Segment: Unit Deliveries, Global, 2015–2016~ || Wide-body Aircraft Segment: Unit Deliveries, Global, 2015–2016~ || Total Air Transport Market: Units Production Forecast, Global: 2008–2025~ || Boeing Delivery Outlook —Boeing, Global, 2013–2025~ || Boeing Production Outlook ~ ||| Air Transport Market: Unit Production Forecast—Boeing, Global, 2013–2025~ || Airbus Delivery Outlook : Unit Delivery Forecast—Airbus, Global, 2013–2025~ || Air Transport Market: Wide-body Production Share—Boeing and Airbus, Global, 2013–2025~ || Air Transport Market: New Narrow-body Production Share—Boeing and Airbus, Global, 2013–2025~ || Four-year Production Cycles by Aircraft Type ~ ||| Total Air Transport Market: Production by Timeframe, Global, 2014–2025~ || Market Share by Production 2016–2025~ ||| Total Air Transport Market: Market Share by Percent of Production, Global, 2016–2025~ | North America Analysis~ || Key Findings~ || Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, NA, 2015–2020~ || Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast Discussion~ | Europe Analysis~ || Key Findings~ || Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, Europe, 2015–2020~ || Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast Discussion~ | Asia-Pacific Analysis~ || Key Findings~ || Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, APAC, 2015–2020~ || Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast Discussion~ | Middle East and Africa Analysis~ || Key Findings~ || Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, MEA, 2015–2020~ || Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast Discussion~ | Latin America Analysis~ || Key Findings~ || Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, LA, 2015–2020~ || Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast Discussion~ | Key Trends to Watch—Air Transport Market~ || Key Aerospace Industry Trends 2016~ || Engine Efficiency Improvements ~ ||| Geared Turbofans~ ||| New Materials~ ||| Airflow Path Design~ || Manufacturing Changes~ ||| New Manufacturing Systems~ ||| Additive Manufacturing~ ||| Role of Automation ~ || Alternative Fuels~ ||| Fuels issues~ ||| Available products~ || Electrification of Aircraft Systems~ ||| Discussion on electric aircraft~ ||| Boeing’s 787 – New directions~ || OEMs’ Relations with Supply Chain~ ||| Reviewing the Role of Suppliers~ ||| Redistribution of Program Revenues~ || Connectivity Changes~ ||| Aircraft Communications Addressing and Reporting System (ACARS)~ ||| Controller-Pilot Data Link Communications (CPDLC)~ ||| Transoceanic connectivity uses for both cockpit and cabin:~ || Technology Outlook~ ||| Air Transport Market: Aircraft Entry In Service (EIS) Timeline by OEM, Global, 2016–2022~ ||| Program Update—Boeing~ ||| Program Update—Airbus~ || Key Conclusions~ || Legal Disclaimer~ || Appendix~ ||| Market Engineering Methodology~
List of Charts and Figures 1. Total Air Transport Market: Unit Deliveries, Global, 2015–2016~ 2. Regional Aircraft Segment: Unit Deliveries, Global, 2015–2016~ 3. Narrow-body Aircraft Segment: Unit Deliveries, Global, 2015–2016~ 4. Wide-body Aircraft Segment: Unit Deliveries, Global, 2015–2016~ 5. Total Air Transport Market: Units Production Forecast, Global: 2008–2025~ 6. Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery Forecast—Boeing, Global, 2013–2025~ 7. Air Transport Market: Unit Production Forecast—Boeing, Global, 2013–2025~ 8. Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery Forecast—Airbus, Global, 2013–2025~ 9. Air Transport Market: Unit Production Forecast—Airbus, Global, 2013–2025~ 10. Air Transport Market: Wide-body Production Share—Boeing and Airbus, Global, 2013–2025~ 11. Air Transport Market: New Narrow-body Production Share—Boeing and Airbus, Global, 2013–2025~ 12. Total Air Transport Market: Production by Timeframe, Global, 2014–2025~ 13. Total Air Transport Market: Market Share by Percent of Production, Global, 2016–2025~ 14. Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, NA, 2015–2020~ 15. Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, Europe, 2015–~ 16. Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, APAC, 2015–2020~ 17. Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, MEA, 2015–2020~ 18. Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, LA, 2015–2020~ 19. Air Transport Market: Aircraft Entry In Service (EIS) Timeline by OEM, Global, 2016–2022~
Author Michel Merluzeau
WIP Number K0BB-01-00-00-00
Keyword 1 Air Transport Industry
Keyword 2 airline industry
Keyword 3 airline industry
Is Prebook No