Global Commercial Aircraft Market Results and Outlook, Q4 2016

Global Commercial Aircraft Market Results and Outlook, Q4 2016

Model Changes and Delivery Pressures Drive Some OEMs into Less Than 1.0 Book-to-Bill Ratios

RELEASE DATE
21-Apr-2017
REGION
Global
Research Code: 9AB0-00-41-00-00
SKU: AE01227-GL-MR_19934
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Description

This quarterly update of the global commercial aircraft production effort reflects adjustments to the ambitious production schedules reported in the last outlook, Q3 2016. These changes will have an effect on everyone in the supply chain, but will impact second and third tier suppliers most significantly during the in-progress model changes. This will result in revisions of the suppliers' production schedules and their revenue expectations.

Research Scope:
• Program highlights (entry into service timeline)
• Aircraft production history and forecast (2010–2025)
• Delivery outlook (narrowbody production, widebody production, regional production, Boeing-Airbus unit share, Bombardier-Embraer revenue share, competitors’ book-to-bill ratio, OEM production and revenue share, operators’ regional distribution, and competitive M&A. This edition also includes a forecast for production of business jet aircraft.

As other OEMs forecast entry into the market, Airbus and Boeing continue their fight for dominance. Embraer and ATR are making life difficult for Bombardier in the regional aircraft market. Book-to-bill ratios are under 1.0 for several manufacturers.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

Program Updates

Program Updates (continued)

Program Updates (continued)

Program Updates (continued)

Total Aircraft Production 2010–2025

Narrowbody Delivery Outlook (Units as of End Q4 2016)

Widebody Delivery Outlook (Units as of End Q4 2016)

Boeing-Airbus—Continued Equality

Airbus Book-to-Bill Ratio

Boeing Book-to-Bill Ratio

Regional Delivery Outlook (Units as of End Q4 2016)

Bombardier-Embraer—More Bad News for Bombardier

Bombardier Book-to-Bill Ratio

Embraer Book-to-Bill Ratio

OEM Production and Revenue Share 2016–2025

Production—Operators’ Regional Distribution 2016–2025

Business Delivery Outlook (Units as of End Q4 2016)

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This quarterly update of the global commercial aircraft production effort reflects adjustments to the ambitious production schedules reported in the last outlook, Q3 2016. These changes will have an effect on everyone in the supply chain, but will impact second and third tier suppliers most significantly during the in-progress model changes. This will result in revisions of the suppliers' production schedules and their revenue expectations. Research Scope: • Program highlights (entry into service timeline) • Aircraft production history and forecast (2010–2025) • Delivery outlook (narrowbody production, widebody production, regional production, Boeing-Airbus unit share, Bombardier-Embraer revenue share, competitors’ book-to-bill ratio, OEM production and revenue share, operators’ regional distribution, and competitive M&A. This edition also includes a forecast for production of business jet aircraft. As other OEMs forecast entry into the market, Airbus and Boeing continue their fight for dominance. Embraer and ATR are making life difficult for Bombardier in the regional aircraft market. Book-to-bill ratios are under 1.0 for several manufacturers.
More Information
No Index No
Podcast No
Author Michel Merluzeau
Industries Aerospace, Defence and Security
WIP Number 9AB0-00-41-00-00
Is Prebook No