Global Rail Market Outlook, 2016

Global Rail Market Outlook, 2016

Fueled by Consolidation and Competition for High-value Greenfield Infrastructure Projects, Locomotives, Passenger Coaches and Multiple Units to Experience Strong Orders

RELEASE DATE
14-Mar-2016
REGION
Global
Research Code: K051-01-00-00-00
SKU: AU01269-GL-MO_17774
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Description

This deliverable provides an outlook of growth opportunities in the global rail market. The study discusses key trends, market drivers, opportunities, regional influences, and market dynamics and provides market sizes for infrastructure and rolling stock on a global scale. Market forecasts by region (Africa, Asia-Pacific, Eastern Europe, Western Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and North America) are provided for ridership, freight traffic, network length, rail electrification, and installed bases for locomotives, passenger coaches, multiple units, and wagons. The study period is from 2015 to 2022, and strategic conclusions have been provided.

Table of Contents

2015 Key Highlights

2015–2016 Rail Industry Senior Management Top-of-mind Issues

Top 5 Predictions—2016

Overview of Forecasts

Overview of Global Rail Traffic

Rail Traffic Growth Tied Strongly to Urbanization

Overview of Global Rail Electrification

Merger of CSR and CNR to CRCC Dwarfs the Entire Market

CRRC and Freight Rail Rolling Stock Suppliers to See Highest Growth

Rail OEMs Trying to Operate across the Entire Rail Value Chain

Consolidation among Rolling Stock Manufacturers in 2015

Passenger Vehicles and Heavy Trucks as Largest Sources of Emissions

EPA Emission Standards for Locomotives in the United States

PM and NOx Reduction

Tier 4 Engine Trends in NA

Market Positioning of Low Emission Locomotives

Rail Contribution to Emissions—Europe

Impact of Stage IIIA Rail Norms Clearly Visible in 2011 Figures

Proposed Stage V Targets Particulate Emissions for Diesel Engines

PM versus NOx Level Analysis for Railcars and Locomotives—Stage V

Passenger Operators Take Increasing Technology Presence

New Generation of Locomotives from Several OEMs

Rail Passenger Traffic Projections

Investments in US Rail—Federal and Class 1

Freight Railroad in the United States

Coal—Most Carried Freight in Class I Railroads

Increasingly Diverse Commodities Transported by Rail Freight

Intermodal—Largest Growth in Demand in 2014

Intermodal Rail Freight Traffic Flow—United States

Intermodal Rail Freight Traffic Forecast

About 60% of all Intermodal Rail Traffic Converges at Chicago

Poor Service Levels—Congestion Pricing and Contracts

Wagon Leasing Agencies to Continue Expanding Fleet in 2016

GE Dominates Locomotive Market in the United States

US Locomotive Market

Shale Gas and Future Implications

LNG Engine R&D in NA

Major Enhancement of Rail Infrastructure Key Focus till 2020

HSR Expected to be Major Area of Spending by 2020

Freight Rail Traffic in Europe

Russia and Germany—Highest Rail Freight Traffic in Europe

European Rail Freight Caters to Extremely Diverse Industries

Number of Wagons Estimated to Operate in Europe—565,390

EMU Preferred for Passenger Service

Total of 2,763 Locomotives and 9,082 MUs to be Delivered by 2022

GE Might Further Expand European Presence through Vossloh

Alstom, Bombardier, and Stadler Dominate the MU Market

Network Capacity Expansion the Primary Target of Indian Rail

Indian Railways Proposed Investment Plan (2015 to 2019)

Over 39 Cities in India Looking at Urban Rail Systems

India Looking at Connecting Key Regional Cities with HSR

Investments Planned to Separate Rail Freight Traffic

Overview of the Rail Industry in South Africa

Overview of the Rail Freight Market in South Africa

Investment in the South African Freight Rail Industry

New Generation of Locomotives from Several OEMs

Transnet—Strategy to Position Itself as a Leading Manufacturer in Africa

Fleet Telematics Expected to See Sharp Increase in Adoption in 2016

Scale of Big Data in Petabytes

Advanced Lead Ranking and Conversion for Rail Environment

Performance Improvement Possibilities with Predictive Analytics

Key Conclusions and 2016 Outlook

Rail Research Titles—2012 to 2025

Legal Disclaimer

Table of Acronyms Used

Table of Acronyms Used (continued)

Market Engineering Methodology

Mega Trends Shaping Future of Logistics

Mega Trend—Urbanization and Smart Cities

Mega Trend—Urbanization and Smart Cities (continued)

Mega Trends Driving Logistics Industry

Mega Trend—Urbanization

Smart Cities Creating a Smart World

Mobility Landscape—Many Participants, New Partnerships, New Models

Six Key Pillars to the Smart Train Definition of Every OEM

Passenger Ridership Forecasts—Africa

Passenger Ridership Forecasts—APAC

Passenger Ridership Forecasts—Eastern Europe

Passenger Ridership Forecasts—Western Europe

Passenger Ridership Forecasts—LATAM, Middle East, and NA

Freight Traffic Forecasts—Africa

Freight Traffic Forecasts—APAC

Freight Traffic Forecasts—Eastern Europe

Freight Traffic Forecasts—Western Europe

Freight Traffic Forecasts—LATAM, Middle East, and NA

Length of Rail Network Forecasts—Africa

Length of Rail Network Forecasts—APAC

Length of Rail Network Forecasts—Eastern Europe

Length of Rail Network Forecasts—Western Europe

Length of Rail Network Forecasts—LATAM, Middle East, and NA

Length of Electrification Forecasts—Africa and APAC

Length of Electrification Forecasts—Eastern Europe

Length of Electrification Forecasts—Western Europe

Length of Electrification Forecasts—LATAM, Middle East, and NA

Locomotives in Installed Base Forecasts—Africa

Locomotives in Installed Base Forecasts—APAC

Locomotives in Installed Base Forecasts—Eastern Europe

Locomotives in Installed Base Forecasts—Western Europe

Locomotives in Installed Base Forecasts—LATAM, Middle East, and NA

Passenger Coaches in Installed Base Forecasts—Africa

Passenger Coaches in Installed Base Forecasts—APAC

Passenger Coaches in Installed Base Forecasts—Eastern Europe

Passenger Coaches in Installed Base Forecasts—Western Europe

Passenger Coaches in Installed Base Forecasts—LATAM, Middle East, and NA

MUs in Installed Base Forecasts—Africa and APAC

MUs in Installed Base Forecasts—Eastern Europe

MUs in Installed Base Forecasts—Western Europe

MUs in Installed Base Forecasts—LATAM, Middle East, and NA

Wagons in Installed Base Forecasts—Africa

Wagons in Installed Base Forecasts—APAC

Wagons in Installed Base Forecasts—Eastern Europe

Wagons in Installed Base Forecasts—Western Europe

Wagons in Installed Base Forecasts—LATAM, Middle East, and NA

This deliverable provides an outlook of growth opportunities in the global rail market. The study discusses key trends, market drivers, opportunities, regional influences, and market dynamics and provides market sizes for infrastructure and rolling stock on a global scale. Market forecasts by region (Africa, Asia-Pacific, Eastern Europe, Western Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and North America) are provided for ridership, freight traffic, network length, rail electrification, and installed bases for locomotives, passenger coaches, multiple units, and wagons. The study period is from 2015 to 2022, and strategic conclusions have been provided.
More Information
No Index No
Podcast No
Author Shyam Raman
WIP Number K051-01-00-00-00
Is Prebook No
GPS Codes 9694,9800-A6,9AF6-A6,9B15-A6