Growth Opportunities in Chinese Commercial Truck Market, Forecast to 2025

Growth Opportunities in Chinese Commercial Truck Market, Forecast to 2025

Digitalization and New Energy Powertrain to Transform the Commercial Truck Market in China

RELEASE DATE
28-Sep-2017
REGION
Asia Pacific
Research Code: P999-01-00-00-00
SKU: AU01553-AP-MR_20872
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Description

China owns the largest automotive market globally. The Chinese commercial truck market is expected to experience a positive growth at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.1% during 2016–2025. This is a mature market which is highly concentrated and led by Foton, Dongfeng, JAC, FAW, and CNHTC in China, with a joint market share of 53.7% across light-duty, medium-duty, and heavy-duty truck segments in 2016.

Digital freight brokerage, autonomous driving, connected service, digital transformation, rise of Chinese trucks, and new energy powertrain are the key growth opportunities that will drive demand for trucks during the long term. These new business areas are expected to improve logistics service and fleets’ driving experience in China.

The Chinese commercial truck market is expected to shift to a digitalized platform and modernized logistics performance, achieving seamless connectivity between upstream and downstream of supply chain integration, as well as the communication among commercial truck related enterprises, logistics firms, truck fleets, and truck drivers in China.

Diesel powertrain is expected to continue its dominance in the Chinese commercial truck market during the long term. Nevertheless, emission standard restriction, purchase incentive offered by both central and regional governments, as well as new launch of truck models are motivating the market adoption of new energy powertrain solution during the long term.

Light-duty truck will continue to enhance its largest market share among truck segment, accounting for 62.6% of new truck sales in 2025. Cold chain is targeted to be one of the fastest growing logistics businesses especially in the light-duty segment in China; key involvements are fresh food and take-away catering.

Research Scope
The aim of this study is to research, analyze, and forecast emerging commercial truck platform strategies in the light-duty, medium-duty, and heavy-duty commercial truck market. The study presents a strategic growth opportunity insight into the Chinese commercial truck market and its impact on the growing trends up to 2025.

Research Objectives
• To provide a strategic perspective of the commercial truck market in China, including key macro-economic factors, market drivers and restraints
• To provide market size and sales potential of light-duty, medium-duty, and heavy-duty commercial trucks up to 2025
• To provide competitive analysis on OEMs' market share movement based on several years
• To provide strategic growth opportunity analysis on current scenarios and future outlook
• To present an actionable set of recommendations for stakeholders to grow in the commercial truck market in China

Key Questions this Study will Answer
• What is the business environment of the commercial truck market that is impacted by the government’s plans in China?
• What are the growth opportunities strategies of key Chinese OEMs in developing commercial truck market in China?
• What are the current scenario and future outlook of digital freight brokerage activities in China?
• What are the key freight demands among different commercial truck segments including light-duty, medium-duty, and heavy-duty in China?
• What is the key commercial truck market transformation outlook of adopting global logistics trends attaching with the fulfillment of Chinese government’s plans?

The research discusses market overview, Mega Trends, and industry convergence implications, logistics market in China, digital freight brokerage, autonomous driving technology, connected truck, digital transformation, rise of Chinese trucks, new energy powertrain, market drivers and restraints, forecasts and trends, market share, and competitive analysis and growth opportunities. The study closes with conclusions and future outlook.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary—Key Findings of Commercial Truck Market

Executive Summary—Market Engineering Measurements

Executive Summary—Commercial Truck Market Development Roadmap

Executive Summary—Infrastructure Overview

Executive Summary—Emission Standard of China IV and China V

Executive Summary—Key Growth Opportunities in Chinese Truck Market

Executive Summary—Impact of China Railway Express 2016

Executive Summary—Impact of One Belt One Road

Executive Summary—Chinese Truck Market Structure by OEM-Level

Executive Summary—Key Commercial Truck OEMs Snapshot

Executive Summary—Key Findings and Future Outlook

Research Scope

Research Aims and Objectives

Key Questions this Study will Answer

Research Background

Research Methodology

Commercial Vehicle Segmentation

Commercial Truck Definitions

Market Overview—Distribution of Commercial Truck Market

Market Overview—Commercial Truck Market Development Roadmap

Market Overview 2016—Global Commercial Vehicle Production

Market Overview 2016—Global Commercial Vehicle Sales

Market Overview 2016—Powertrain Adoption

Market Overview 2016—Tonnage Capacity Adoption

Market Overview 2016—Truck Type Classification

Market Overview 2016—Most Popular Trucks in China

Impact of Top Mega Trends on Commercial Truck Market in China

Logistics Market—Key Industries Collaboration Overview

Logistics Market—Key Logistics Development Trends

Logistics Market—Key Logistics Development Trends (continued)

Logistics Market—Road Sector

Logistics Market—Railway Sector

Logistics Market—Waterway Sector

Logistics Market—Airway Sector

Logistics Market—Express Industry in China

Logistics Market—eCommerce Business in China

Logistics Market—Free Trade Zones in China

Digital Freight Brokerage—Digitization Development

Digital Freight Brokerage—Main Business Models in China

Digital Freight Brokerage—Main Business Models Overview in China

Digital Freight Brokerage—Key Market Trends in China

Autonomous Driving—Automation Levels

Autonomous Driving—Features and Technologies of Automation Levels

Autonomous Driving—Development Roadmap in China

Autonomous Driving—Current Development in China

Autonomous Driving—Key Market Trends in China

Connected Truck—Key Regulation and Installation Snapshot in China

Connected Truck—Key Features Mandated by Chinese Government

Connected Truck—Main Business Models in China

Connected Truck—Business-to-Business (B2B) Value Chain Overview

Connected Truck—Key Market Trends in China

Digital Transformation—Digital Ecosystem Framework

Digital Transformation—Key Internet of Things Collaboration

Digital Transformation—Key Internet of Things Collaboration (continued)

Digital Transformation—Key Market Trends in China

Digital Transformation Case Study—New Trucks Sales Go Online

Chinese Trucks—China’s Free Trade Agreement (FTA) Network

Chinese Trucks—Impact of China Railway Express 2016

Chinese Trucks—Impact of One Belt One Road

Chinese Trucks—Key Advantages of Chinese Trucks Export Market

Chinese Trucks—Export Segment Overview

New Energy Powertrain—Trucks Portfolio from Key OEMs

New Energy Powertrain—Purchase Incentive by Central Government

New Energy Powertrain—Purchase Incentive by Regional Government

New Energy Powertrain—Key Influencing Trends

New Energy Powertrain—Powertrain Adoption Forecast

Market Drivers

Drivers Explained

Drivers Explained (continued)

Market Restraints

Restraints Explained

Restraints Explained (continued)

Forecasts and Trends—Market Engineering Measurements

Forecasts and Trends—Unit Shipment Scenario Analysis

Forecasts and Trends—Unit Shipment Forecast by Segments

Forecasts and Trends—Forecast Scenario Assumptions to 2025

Competitive Analysis—Competitive Environment

Competitive Analysis—Market Share Analysis by Top 5 OEMs

Competitive Analysis—Heavy-Duty Truck Market Breakdown by OEMs

Competitive Analysis—Medium-Duty Truck Market Breakdown by OEMs

Competitive Analysis—Light-Duty Truck Market Breakdown by OEMs

Growth Opportunity—Commercial Truck Market in China

Growth Opportunities—Key Highlights of Commercial Truck Market

Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth

Truck Segment Analysis—Key Takeaways

Truck Segment Analysis—Key Takeaways of Heavy-Duty Trucks

Truck Segment Analysis—Key Takeaways of Medium-Duty Trucks

Truck Segment Analysis—Key Takeaways of Light-Duty Trucks

Truck Segment Analysis—Price Positioning of Commercial Trucks

Truck Segment Analysis—Future Outlook

Key Conclusions and Future Outlook

The Last Word—3 Big Predictions

Legal Disclaimer

Abbreviations and Acronyms Used

Abbreviations and Acronyms Used (continued)

Learn More—Next Steps

Market Engineering Methodology

China owns the largest automotive market globally. The Chinese commercial truck market is expected to experience a positive growth at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.1% during 2016–2025. This is a mature market which is highly concentrated and led by Foton, Dongfeng, JAC, FAW, and CNHTC in China, with a joint market share of 53.7% across light-duty, medium-duty, and heavy-duty truck segments in 2016. Digital freight brokerage, autonomous driving, connected service, digital transformation, rise of Chinese trucks, and new energy powertrain are the key growth opportunities that will drive demand for trucks during the long term. These new business areas are expected to improve logistics service and fleets’ driving experience in China. The Chinese commercial truck market is expected to shift to a digitalized platform and modernized logistics performance, achieving seamless connectivity between upstream and downstream of supply chain integration, as well as the communication among commercial truck related enterprises, logistics firms, truck fleets, and truck drivers in China. Diesel powertrain is expected to continue its dominance in the Chinese commercial truck market during the long term. Nevertheless, emission standard restriction, purchase incentive offered by both central and regional governments, as well as new launch of truck models are motivating the market adoption of new energy powertrain solution during the long term. Light-duty truck will continue to enhance its largest market share among truck segment, accounting for 62.6% of new truck sales in 2025. Cold chain is targeted to be one of the fastest growing logistics businesses especially in the light-duty segment in China; key involvements are fresh food and take-away catering. Research Scope The aim of this study is to research, analyze, and forecast emerging commercial truck platform strategies in the light-duty, medium-duty, and heavy-duty commercial truck market. The study presents a s
More Information
No Index No
Podcast No
Author Ming Lih Chan
Industries Automotive
WIP Number P999-01-00-00-00
Is Prebook No
GPS Codes 9673-A6,9674-A6,9694,9800-A6,9882-A6,9963-A6,9964-A6,9AF6-A6,9B01-A6