2030 Vision for the Aerospace Industry

2030 Vision for the Aerospace Industry

Model Changes and New Market Entrants Complicate the Market

RELEASE DATE
28-Jul-2016
REGION
Global
Research Code: K0ED-01-00-00-00
SKU: AE01182-GL-MR_18875
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Description

The recent reductions in oil price appear to be long-term trends, which will reduce the drive for flight efficiency. However, fuel cost is still the single most significant operating cost for airlines and will impact all modernization decisions. Despite an improving economic environment, the heady days of the mid-2000s for business aircraft will not return. Defense budgets are under pressure globally, and the military aircraft market reflects that pressure. Market entry barriers will remain high due to the costs involved, but the market for small satellite launches will be the most competitive. There are purchases by countries all over the world, but the market in 2030 will be dominated by new sensor packages and not by new platforms.

Table of Contents

Top Trends for 2030

Top Predictions for 2030

Market Sales—2015 and 2030

Key Conclusions

Research Scope

Market Segmentation

Research Methodology

Impact of Top Mega Trends on the Aerospace Market

Global Aerospace Revenue by Segment and Region in 2015 and 2030—A Snapshot

Markets by Delivery Revenue in 2015 and 2030

Market Share Winners of 2015

Key 2030 Aerospace Industry Trends

Trend 1—Engine Efficiency Improvements

Trend 2—Manufacturing Changes

Trend 3—Alternative Fuels

Trend 4—Connectivity Changes

Trend 5—OEMs’ Relations with Supply Chain

  • Engine Efficiency Improvements
  • Manufacturing Changes
  • Alternative Fuels
  • Connectivity Changes
  • OEMs’ Relations with Supply Chain
  • Air Traffic Management Changes
  • Electrification of Aircraft Systems
  • Reduced Military Program Starts

Trend 6—Air Traffic Management Changes

  • Geared Turbofans
  • New Materials
  • Airflow Path Design

Trend 7—Electrification of Aircraft Systems

  • New Manufacturing Systems
  • Additive Manufacturing
  • Role of Automation

Trend 8—Reduced Military Program Starts

  • Fuels Issues
  • Available Products

Key Regional Market—Global

New Program Milestones 2015

Upcoming New Product/Service Launches

Air Transport Segment Deliveries—2015 and 2030

Air Transport Segment Outlook 2015–2030

Business Aircraft Segment Deliveries—2015 and 2030

Business Aircraft Segment Outlook 2015–2030

Military Fixed Wing Aircraft Segment Deliveries—2015 and 2030

Military Aircraft Segment Outlook 2015–2030

Helicopter Segment Deliveries—2015 and 2030

Helicopter Segment Outlook 2015–2030

Unmanned Aircraft Segment Deliveries—2015 and 2030

Unmanned Aircraft Segment Outlook 2015–2030

Key Regional Market—North America

Key Regional Market—Europe

Key Regional Market—APAC

Key Regional Market—ROW

Transformation in Aerospace Industry Ecosystem—2016

Growth Opportunity 1—Single Aisle Efficiency

Growth Opportunity 2—Business Aircraft Developments

Growth Opportunity 3—Military Aircraft

Growth Opportunity 4—Unmanned Aircraft

Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth

Key Technology Trends 2015 and 2030

Key Conclusions

Legal Disclaimer

Additional Sources of Information on Aerospace

Market Engineering Methodology

List of Figures
  • 1. Total Aerospace Market: Delivery Revenue and Trend of Top 5 Participants, Global, 2014 and 2015
  • 2. Total Aerospace Market: Key Technology Trends, Global, 2015 and 2030
List of Charts
  • 1. Total Aerospace Market: Revenue Split by Product, Global, 2015
  • 2. Total Aerospace Market: Revenue Breakdown by Region, Global, 2015
  • 3. Total Aerospace Market: Revenue Breakdown by Region, Global, 2030
  • 4. Total Aerospace Market: Revenue by Segment and Region, 2015 and 2030
  • 5. Total Aerospace Market: Delivery Revenue Forecast by Region, Global, 2015 and 2030
  • 6. Total Aerospace Market: Delivery Revenue and Trend of Top 5 Participants, Global, 2014 and 2015
  • 7. Air Transport Aircraft Segment: Unit Delivery Forecast by Region and Type, Global, 2015 and 2030
  • 8. Business Aircraft Segment: Unit Delivery Forecast by Region and Type, Global, 2015 and 2030
  • 9. Military Fixed Wing Aircraft Segment: Unit Delivery Forecast by Region and Type, Global, 2015 and 2030
  • 10. Helicopter Segment: Unit Delivery Forecast by Region and Type, Global, 2015 and 2030
  • 11. Military Unmanned Aircraft Segment: Unit Delivery Forecast by Region, Global, 2015 and 2030
  • 12. Civil/Commercial Unmanned Aircraft Segment: Unit Delivery Forecast by Region, Global, 2015 and 2030
Related Research
The recent reductions in oil price appear to be long-term trends, which will reduce the drive for flight efficiency. However, fuel cost is still the single most significant operating cost for airlines and will impact all modernization decisions. Despite an improving economic environment, the heady days of the mid-2000s for business aircraft will not return. Defense budgets are under pressure globally, and the military aircraft market reflects that pressure. Market entry barriers will remain high due to the costs involved, but the market for small satellite launches will be the most competitive. There are purchases by countries all over the world, but the market in 2030 will be dominated by new sensor packages and not by new platforms.
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Table of Contents | Executive Summary~ || Top Trends for 2030~ || Top Predictions for 2030~ || Market Sales—2015 and 2030~ || Key Conclusions~ | Research Scope and Segmentation~ || Research Scope~ || Market Segmentation~ ||| Commercial Aviation~ ||| Military Aviation~ ||| UAVs~ || Research Methodology~ | Industry Convergence Implications~ || Impact of Top Mega Trends on the Aerospace Market~ ||| Industrial Technology Transfer~ ||| Internet of Things~ | Global Aerospace Forecast for 2030~ || Global Aerospace Revenue by Segment and Region in 2015 and 2030—A Snapshot~ || Markets by Delivery Revenue in 2015 and 2030~ || Market Share Winners of 2015~ || Key 2030 Aerospace Industry Trends~ ||| Engine Efficiency Improvements~ ||| Manufacturing Changes~ ||| Alternative Fuels~ ||| Connectivity Changes~ ||| OEMs’ Relations with Supply Chain~ ||| Air Traffic Management Changes~ ||| Electrification of Aircraft Systems~ ||| Reduced Military Program Starts~ || Trend 1—Engine Efficiency Improvements~ ||| Geared Turbofans~ ||| New Materials~ ||| Airflow Path Design~ || Trend 2—Manufacturing Changes~ ||| New Manufacturing Systems~ ||| Additive Manufacturing~ ||| Role of Automation~ || Trend 3—Alternative Fuels~ ||| Fuels Issues~ ||| Available Products~ || Trend 4—Connectivity Changes~ ||| Cockpit Communication Systems~ ||| National Programs~ ||| Transoceanic Connectivity~ || Trend 5—OEMs’ Relations with Supply Chain~ ||| Reviewing the Role of Suppliers~ ||| Redistribution of Program Revenues~ || Trend 6—Air Traffic Management Changes~ ||| Program Changes~ ||| Infrastructure Technology Changes~ || Trend 7—Electrification of Aircraft Systems~ ||| Electrification of Aircraft Systems~ ||| The Boeing 787 Example~ || Trend 8—Reduced Military Program Starts~ ||| New Procurement Environment~ ||| US Programs~ ||| Russian Programs~ ||| Chinese Programs~ ||| International Programs~ | Growth Opportunities~ || Key Regional Market—Global~ || New Program Milestones 2015~ || Upcoming New Product/Service Launches~ | Market Segments~ || Air Transport Segment Deliveries—2015 and 2030~ || Air Transport Segment Outlook 2015–2030~ || Business Aircraft Segment Deliveries—2015 and 2030~ || Business Aircraft Segment Outlook 2015–2030~ || Military Fixed Wing Aircraft Segment Deliveries—2015 and 2030~ || Military Aircraft Segment Outlook 2015–2030~ || Helicopter Segment Deliveries—2015 and 2030~ || Helicopter Segment Outlook 2015–2030~ || Unmanned Aircraft Segment Deliveries—2015 and 2030~ || Unmanned Aircraft Segment Outlook 2015–2030~ | Aerospace Industry Vision for 2030 by Region~ || Key Regional Market—North America~ || Key Regional Market—Europe~ || Key Regional Market—APAC~ || Key Regional Market—ROW~ | Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action~ || Transformation in Aerospace Industry Ecosystem—2016~ || Growth Opportunity 1—Single Aisle Efficiency~ || Growth Opportunity 2—Business Aircraft Developments~ || Growth Opportunity 3—Military Aircraft~ || Growth Opportunity 4—Unmanned Aircraft~ || Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth~ || Key Technology Trends 2015 and 2030~ | Key Conclusions and Future Outlook~ || Key Conclusions~ || Legal Disclaimer~ | Appendix~ || Additional Sources of Information on Aerospace~ || Market Engineering Methodology~
List of Charts and Figures 1. Total Aerospace Market: Delivery Revenue and Trend of Top 5 Participants, Global, 2014 and 2015~ 2. Total Aerospace Market: Key Technology Trends, Global, 2015 and 2030~| 1. Total Aerospace Market: Revenue Split by Product, Global, 2015~ 2. Total Aerospace Market: Revenue Breakdown by Region, Global, 2015~ 3. Total Aerospace Market: Revenue Breakdown by Region, Global, 2030~ 4. Total Aerospace Market: Revenue by Segment and Region, 2015 and 2030~ 5. Total Aerospace Market: Delivery Revenue Forecast by Region, Global, 2015 and 2030~ 6. Total Aerospace Market: Delivery Revenue and Trend of Top 5 Participants, Global, 2014 and 2015~ 7. Air Transport Aircraft Segment: Unit Delivery Forecast by Region and Type, Global, 2015 and 2030~ 8. Business Aircraft Segment: Unit Delivery Forecast by Region and Type, Global, 2015 and 2030~ 9. Military Fixed Wing Aircraft Segment: Unit Delivery Forecast by Region and Type, Global, 2015 and 2030~ 10. Helicopter Segment: Unit Delivery Forecast by Region and Type, Global, 2015 and 2030~ 11. Military Unmanned Aircraft Segment: Unit Delivery Forecast by Region, Global, 2015 and 2030~ 12. Civil/Commercial Unmanned Aircraft Segment: Unit Delivery Forecast by Region, Global, 2015 and 2030~
Author Wayne Plucker
Industries Aerospace, Defence and Security
WIP Number K0ED-01-00-00-00
Is Prebook No