Kenya and Tanzania Electricity Markets

Kenya and Tanzania Electricity Markets

Addressing Opportunities in a Region with Growing Power Demand

RELEASE DATE
20-Sep-2016
REGION
Africa
Research Code: MBFE-01-00-00-00
SKU: EG01680-AF-MR_19016
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Description

The electricity markets of Kenya and Tanzania are power scarce, with low electricity access and per capita consumption levels. Electricity demand here is set to increase significantly, driven by the economic upturn and increasing urbanisation. Kenya and Tanzania are focusing on utilising their natural gas and geothermal energy resources to meet the growing power requirement, shifting away from dependence on hydro power and costly diesel power. With significant investments anticipated for upgrading the generation, transmission, and distribution infrastructure, the private sector would play a pivotal role in power generation through Independent Power Projects. This research service provides an insight into the current and future developments of the electricity supply industry in these countries and the potential opportunities for future investments.

Table of Contents

Key Findings

Regional Economic Scenario

Country Overview

Electricity Sector Overview

Power Generation Portfolio

Installed Generation Capacity

  • By Source
  • KenGen and IPPs

Geothermal Generation Capacity

Future Generation Portfolio (LCPDP and Kenya Energy Plan)

Upcoming Power Generation Projects—2015–2020

Future Generation Capacity (Medium Term)

Least Cost Power Development Plan (LCPDP) 2013–2033

Peak Demand and Energy Demand (Current)

Energy Demand by Region

Energy Demand Projections

Existing Transmission Capabilities

  • Electricity Market: Existing and Proposed Transmission Lines, Kenya, 2014/15

Regional Interconnections

  • Kenya–Tanzania Interconnection
  • Ethiopia–Kenya Interconnection

Distribution Network—KPLC and REP Customers

Improving Electricity Access

Electricity Tariff

Key Market Drivers, Kenya, 2015/16–2021/22

  • Inadequate generation capabilities
  • Strong economic growth and urbanisation
  • Focus on private sector
  • Enabling environment

Key Market Restraints, Kenya, 2015/16–2021/22

  • New transmission infrastructure
  • Integrating renewable energy
  • Limited private sector participation

Country Overview

Electricity Sector Overview

Power Generation Portfolio

Installed Generation and Available Capacity

Energy Generation Mix

Upcoming Power Generation Projects

Future Generation Portfolio—ESI Reform Strategy and Roadmap 2014 to 2025

Peak Demand and Energy Demand (Current)

Projected Peak Demand

Energy Demand by Region—2014

Existing Transmission Infrastructure (TANESCO)

Upcoming Transmission Projects

Regional Interconnections

Regional Interconnections in the Pipeline

Tanzania Distribution Network (Current)

Access to Electricity (as of June 2015)

Electricity Tariff

Key Market Drivers, Tanzania, 2015/16–2021/22

Key Market Restraints, Tanzania, 2015/16–2021/22

3 Big Predictions

Legal Disclaimer

Value Proposition: Future of Your Company & Career

Global Perspective

Industry Convergence

360º Research Perspective

Implementation Excellence

Our Blue Ocean Strategy

List of Figures
  • 1. Electricity Market: Installed Generation Capacity by Producer, Kenya, 2014/15
  • 2. Electricity Market: Power Projects and Installed Capacity Under 5,000+ MW Programme, Kenya, 2014/15
  • 3. Electricity Market: Maximum Demand by Region, Kenya, 2014/15
  • 4. Electricity Market: Installed Generation Capacity by Producer, Tanzania, 2014/15
  • 5. Electricity Market: Upcoming Power Generation Projects, Tanzania, 2014/15–2019/20
  • 6. Electricity Market: Electricity Sales by Region, Tanzania, 2013/14
  • 7. Electricity Market: Proposed Transmission Projects, Tanzania, 2014/15
  • 8. Electricity Market: Proposed Regional Interconnection Projects, Tanzania, 2014/15
List of Charts
  • 1. GDP and Annual GDP Growth, Kenya and Tanzania, 2011–2021
  • 2. Electricity Market: Per cent Installed Generation Capacity by Producer, Kenya, 2014/15
  • 3. Electricity Market: Evolution of Installed Capacity, Kenya, 2011/12–2014/15
  • 4. Electricity Market: Installed Generation Capacity by Energy Source and Type, Kenya, 2014/15
  • 5. Electricity Market: KenGen’s Installed Generation Capacity by Source, Kenya, 2014/15
  • 6. Electricity Market: IPPs Installed Generation Capacity by Source, Kenya, 2014/15
  • 7. Electricity Market: Geothermal Contribution in Electricity Generated, Kenya, 2014/15
  • 8. Electricity Market: Installed Capacity Under 5000+ MW Programme, Kenya, 2014/15
  • 9. Electricity Market: Proposed Installed Generation Capacity Mix, Kenya, 2014/15–2019/20
  • 10. Electricity Market: Future Power Generation Mix by Producer, Kenya, 2019/20
  • 11. Electricity Market: Installed Generation Capacity by Fuel Type, Kenya, 2019/20
  • 12. Electricity Market: Installed Generation Capacity by Source, Kenya, 2032/33
  • 13. Electricity Market: Energy Sales, Loss and Peak Demand Statistics, Kenya, 2011/12–2014/15
  • 14. Electricity Market: Energy and Peak Demand Projections, Kenya, 2014/15–2019/20
  • 15. Electricity Market: Electricity Consumer Statistics, Kenya, 2011/12–2014/15
  • 16. Electricity Market: Evolution of Electricity Tariffs, Kenya, June 2011 to December 2015
  • 17. Electricity Market: Installed Generation Capacity by Fuel Type and Producer, Tanzania, 2014/15
  • 18. Electricity Market: Evolution of Installed Capacity, Tanzania, 2011/12 to 2014/15
  • 19. Electricity Market: Electricity Generation Mix, Tanzania, 2013/14 and 2014/15
  • 20. Electricity Market: Installed Generation Capacity, Tanzania, 2019/20
  • 21. Electricity Market: Installed Generation Capacity by Fuel Type, Tanzania, 2024/25
  • 22. Electricity Market: Energy Generation, Total System Losses and Peak Demand Statistics, Tanzania, 2011/12 to 2014/15
  • 23. Electricity Market: Projected Energy and Peak Demand, Tanzania, 2015/16–2019/20
  • 24. Electricity Market: Electricity Consumer Statistics, Tanzania, 2011/12 to 2014/15*
  • 25. Electricity Market: Evolution of Electricity Tariffs, Tanzania, 2011/12 to 2014/15
Related Research
The electricity markets of Kenya and Tanzania are power scarce, with low electricity access and per capita consumption levels. Electricity demand here is set to increase significantly, driven by the economic upturn and increasing urbanisation. Kenya and Tanzania are focusing on utilising their natural gas and geothermal energy resources to meet the growing power requirement, shifting away from dependence on hydro power and costly diesel power. With significant investments anticipated for upgrading the generation, transmission, and distribution infrastructure, the private sector would play a pivotal role in power generation through Independent Power Projects. This research service provides an insight into the current and future developments of the electricity supply industry in these countries and the potential opportunities for future investments.
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Table of Contents | Executive Summary~ || Key Findings~ | Scope of Study~ | Introduction~ || Regional Economic Scenario~ | Kenya~ || Country Overview~ || Electricity Sector Overview~ || Power Generation Portfolio~ || Installed Generation Capacity ~ ||| By Source~ ||| KenGen and IPPs~ || Geothermal Generation Capacity~ || Future Generation Portfolio (LCPDP and Kenya Energy Plan)~ || Upcoming Power Generation Projects—2015–2020~ || Future Generation Capacity (Medium Term)~ || Least Cost Power Development Plan (LCPDP) 2013–2033~ || Peak Demand and Energy Demand (Current)~ || Energy Demand by Region~ || Energy Demand Projections~ || Existing Transmission Capabilities~ ||| Electricity Market: Existing and Proposed Transmission Lines, Kenya, 2014/15~ || Regional Interconnections~ ||| Kenya–Tanzania Interconnection~ ||| Ethiopia–Kenya Interconnection~ || Distribution Network—KPLC and REP Customers~ || Improving Electricity Access~ || Electricity Tariff~ || Key Market Drivers, Kenya, 2015/16–2021/22~ ||| Inadequate generation capabilities~ ||| Strong economic growth and urbanisation~ ||| Focus on private sector~ ||| Enabling environment~ || Key Market Restraints, Kenya, 2015/16–2021/22~ ||| New transmission infrastructure~ ||| Integrating renewable energy~ ||| Limited private sector participation~ | Tanzania~ || Country Overview~ || Electricity Sector Overview~ || Power Generation Portfolio~ || Installed Generation and Available Capacity~ || Energy Generation Mix~ || Upcoming Power Generation Projects~ || Future Generation Portfolio—ESI Reform Strategy and Roadmap 2014 to 2025~ || Peak Demand and Energy Demand (Current)~ || Projected Peak Demand~ || Energy Demand by Region—2014~ || Existing Transmission Infrastructure (TANESCO)~ || Upcoming Transmission Projects~ || Regional Interconnections~ ||| Zambia–Tanzania–Kenya (ZTK) Interconnector Project~ ||| ZTK Interconnector Layout, Tanzania, 2014/15~ || Regional Interconnections in the Pipeline~ || Tanzania Distribution Network (Current)~ || Access to Electricity (as of June 2015)~ || Electricity Tariff~ || Key Market Drivers, Tanzania, 2015/16–2021/22~ ||| Economic development and growing demand~ ||| Conducive FDI environment~ ||| New generation, transmission, and distribution infrastructure~ || Key Market Restraints, Tanzania, 2015/16–2021/22~ ||| Creditworthiness of TANESCO~ ||| Investment and capacity constraints~ ||| Expansive grid extension~ | Conclusions~ | The Last Word~ || 3 Big Predictions~ || Legal Disclaimer~ | The Frost & Sullivan Story~ || Value Proposition: Future of Your Company & Career~ || Global Perspective~ || Industry Convergence~ || 360º Research Perspective~ || Implementation Excellence~ || Our Blue Ocean Strategy~
List of Charts and Figures 1. Electricity Market: Installed Generation Capacity by Producer, Kenya, 2014/15~ 2. Electricity Market: Power Projects and Installed Capacity Under 5,000+ MW Programme, Kenya, 2014/15~ 3. Electricity Market: Maximum Demand by Region, Kenya, 2014/15~ 4. Electricity Market: Installed Generation Capacity by Producer, Tanzania, 2014/15~ 5. Electricity Market: Upcoming Power Generation Projects, Tanzania, 2014/15–2019/20~ 6. Electricity Market: Electricity Sales by Region, Tanzania, 2013/14~ 7. Electricity Market: Proposed Transmission Projects, Tanzania, 2014/15~ 8. Electricity Market: Proposed Regional Interconnection Projects, Tanzania, 2014/15~| 1. GDP and Annual GDP Growth, Kenya and Tanzania, 2011–2021~ 2. Electricity Market: Per cent Installed Generation Capacity by Producer, Kenya, 2014/15~ 3. Electricity Market: Evolution of Installed Capacity, Kenya, 2011/12–2014/15~ 4. Electricity Market: Installed Generation Capacity by Energy Source and Type, Kenya, 2014/15~ 5. Electricity Market: KenGen’s Installed Generation Capacity by Source, Kenya, 2014/15~ 6. Electricity Market: IPPs Installed Generation Capacity by Source, Kenya, 2014/15~ 7. Electricity Market: Geothermal Contribution in Electricity Generated, Kenya, 2014/15~ 8. Electricity Market: Installed Capacity Under 5000+ MW Programme, Kenya, 2014/15~ 9. Electricity Market: Proposed Installed Generation Capacity Mix, Kenya, 2014/15–2019/20~ 10. Electricity Market: Future Power Generation Mix by Producer, Kenya, 2019/20~ 11. Electricity Market: Installed Generation Capacity by Fuel Type, Kenya, 2019/20~ 12. Electricity Market: Installed Generation Capacity by Source, Kenya, 2032/33~ 13. Electricity Market: Energy Sales, Loss and Peak Demand Statistics, Kenya, 2011/12–2014/15~ 14. Electricity Market: Energy and Peak Demand Projections, Kenya, 2014/15–2019/20~ 15. Electricity Market: Electricity Consumer Statistics, Kenya, 2011/12–2014/15~ 16. Electricity Market: Evolution of Electricity Tariffs, Kenya, June 2011 to December 2015~ 17. Electricity Market: Installed Generation Capacity by Fuel Type and Producer, Tanzania, 2014/15~ 18. Electricity Market: Evolution of Installed Capacity, Tanzania, 2011/12 to 2014/15~ 19. Electricity Market: Electricity Generation Mix, Tanzania, 2013/14 and 2014/15~ 20. Electricity Market: Installed Generation Capacity, Tanzania, 2019/20~ 21. Electricity Market: Installed Generation Capacity by Fuel Type, Tanzania, 2024/25~ 22. Electricity Market: Energy Generation, Total System Losses and Peak Demand Statistics, Tanzania, 2011/12 to 2014/15~ 23. Electricity Market: Projected Energy and Peak Demand, Tanzania, 2015/16–2019/20~ 24. Electricity Market: Electricity Consumer Statistics, Tanzania, 2011/12 to 2014/15*~ 25. Electricity Market: Evolution of Electricity Tariffs, Tanzania, 2011/12 to 2014/15~
Author Neeraj Sanjay Mense
Industries Energy
WIP Number MBFE-01-00-00-00
Keyword 1 electricity markets of Kenya
Keyword 2 electricity in Kenya
Keyword 3 electricity in tanzania
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