South African Logistics Market, Forecast to 2020

South African Logistics Market, Forecast to 2020

Country to Emerge as a Regional Hotspot Owing to Its Comparatively High Logistics Performance and the Long-term Economic Growth Potential

RELEASE DATE
27-Nov-2017
REGION
Africa
Research Code: MCD4-01-00-00-00
SKU: AU01598-AF-MR_21180
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Description

Global financial crisis, weak domestic demand, and other related factors have affected South Africa’s GDP growth during past 3 years, continuing onto 2016. The GDP of South Africa accounted for 0.42% of world GDP in 2016. The economy is expected to grow at a rate slower than the population growth rate in 2017 and 2018, implying a lower standard of living in the time period, as measured by the GDP per capita. A better global economy, combined with stimulation efforts by the Government is expected to result in positive economic growth of the country from 2016. However, this growth is expected to below world’s and sub-Saharan region’s forecasts.

Economic growth has been driven mainly by trade, tourism, and communications; South Africa’s trade performance is expected to witness positive growth from 2016. With one-third of South Africa’s export being commodities, changes in global demand for these commodities owing to muted domestic demand will have considerable effects on South Africa’s export value in the future. Owing to potential US tariffs on imports from China and Mexico expected to have an impact on global trade flows, the exporters in these countries will look for opportunities in alternative markets which could, in turn, present export opportunities for African producers in American market.

In order to achieve a spark in economic growth during 2017-2018, the government of South Africa has made significant investments on upgrading its ageing road infrastructure. This, in turn, is likely to boost the logistics market by 2020. South Africa’s efforts in increasing exports of goods and services in the region and positioning the country as a hub for African regional and global engagement through trade agreements will necessitate complementary measures such as improved transportation and regulation for increased trade.

Over 89% of freight in South Africa is over the road network; resources have been allocated for maintenance and rehabilitation of network throughout the country, while rail network accounts for 80% of total African infrastructure. Extensive rail network connecting with other networks in sub-Saharan region and neighboring countries provides major opportunity for businesses to prefer rail network over road if operational efficiency of former is increased. Increasing trade demands and improving infrastructure holds potential for businesses with long-term strategies. Market development for 3PL logistics players will depend on advanced technology-based solutions with better service offerings. With steady growth of international trade, South Africa’s logistic sector is expected to witness 3.7% growth over the next 5 years; focus on promoting industries and exports is likely to drive opportunities for international logistics services in South Africa. South Africa's export trade with the rest of Africa is expected to double, as more agreements are signed and processed.

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Table of Contents

Summary of Key Findings

South Africa—GDP Forecast

South Africa—Export-Import Forecast

South Africa—Technological Indicators

South Africa—Logistics Performance Index and Ease of Doing Business

Growth Opportunity—Current Offerings, Value-add Services and Portfolio Expansion

Research Scope

Research Aims and Objectives

South Africa—GDP Per Capita and GDP Growth

South Africa—GDP by Economic Sectors

South Africa—GDP Forecast

Contribution of Export-Import to GDP

Export-Import Forecast

Top Ten Export/Import Partners by Value

South Africa—Export/Import by Industry

South Africa—Key Trade Commodities

South Africa—Population Growth and Structure

South Africa—Technological Indicators

South Africa—Social Indicators

South Africa—Transportation and Storage Segment Share within GDP

Freight Handled by Modes of Transportation

South Africa—Transportation Infrastructure

South Africa—Planned Road Infrastructure Upgrade by 2018

Business Environment and Investment Attractiveness

South Africa—Key Trade Agreements

South Africa—Relation with Neighbouring Countries

Ease of Doing Business in 2017—Sub-Parameters

Growth Opportunity—Current Offerings, Value-added Services and Portfolio Expansion

Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth

Conclusions

Legal Disclaimer

List of Figures
  • 1. Logistics Market: Key Findings, South Africa, 2016
  • 2. Logistics Market: GDP Breakup, South Africa, 2010–2016
  • 3. Share of Top Ten Partners in Exports by Value, South Africa, 2016
  • 4. Share of Top 10 Partners in Imports by Value, South Africa, 2016
  • 5. Share of Top 10 Industry in Exports, South Africa, 2016
  • 6. Share of Top 10 Industry in Imports, South Africa, 2016
  • 7. Logistics Market: Transportation Infrastructure and Volume, South Africa, 2015–2016
  • 8. Logistics Market: Key Road Infrastructure Upgrades, South Africa, 2016–2018
  • 9. Logistics Market: Key Trade Agreements, South Africa, 1969–2017
  • 10. Logistics Market: Ease of Doing Business, South Africa, 2017
List of Charts
  • 1. GDP Forecast, South Africa, 2010–2020
  • 2. Export/Import Forecast, South Africa, 2010–2020
  • 3. Logistics Market: Technological Indicators, South Africa, 2010–2016
  • 4. Logistics Market: Logistics Performance Index Score, South Africa, 2014 vs. 2016
  • 5. Logistics Market: Ease of Doing Business Performance Study, South Africa, 2017
  • 6. GDP Per Capita and GDP Growth, South Africa, 2016
  • 7. Logistics Market: GDP Breakup, South Africa, 2010–2016
  • 8. GDP Forecast, South Africa, 2010–2020
  • 9. Export/Import as a Percentage of GDP, South Africa, 2010–2016
  • 10. Exports and Imports Forecast, South Africa, 2017–2020
  • 11. Export/Import Forecast, South Africa, 2010–2020
  • 12. Share of Top Ten Partners in Exports by Value, South Africa, 2016
  • 13. Share of Top 10 Partners in Imports by Value, South Africa, 2016
  • 14. Share of Top 10 Industry in Exports, South Africa, 2016
  • 15. Share of Top 10 Industry in Imports, South Africa, 2016
  • 16. Key Trade Commodities, South Africa, 2016
  • 17. Population Growth and Structure, South Africa, 2010–2016
  • 18. Logistics Market: Technological Indicators, South Africa, 2010–2016
  • 19. Social Indicators, South Africa, 2010 and 2016
  • 20. Logistics Market: Transportation and Storage Segment Share within GDP, South Africa, 2010–2016
  • 21. Logistics Market: Logistics Performance Index Score, South Africa, 2014 vs 2016
  • 22. Logistics Market: Freight Handled by Road and Rail, South Africa, 2010–2016
  • 23. Logistics Market: Cargo Handled by Major Ports, South Africa, 2013–2016
  • 24. Logistics Market: Freight Handled, South Africa, 2016
  • 25. Logistics Market: Rail/Road Modal Split by Network, South Africa, 2016
  • 26. Logistics Market: FDI Inflows, and Domestic Credit as % of GDP, South Africa, 2010–2016
  • 27. Logistics Market: Ease of Doing Business Performance Study, South Africa, 2017
  • 28. Logistics Market: Commodities Traded, SACU Countries, 2016
Related Research
Global financial crisis, weak domestic demand, and other related factors have affected South Africa’s GDP growth during past 3 years, continuing onto 2016. The GDP of South Africa accounted for 0.42% of world GDP in 2016. The economy is expected to grow at a rate slower than the population growth rate in 2017 and 2018, implying a lower standard of living in the time period, as measured by the GDP per capita. A better global economy, combined with stimulation efforts by the Government is expected to result in positive economic growth of the country from 2016. However, this growth is expected to below world’s and sub-Saharan region’s forecasts. Economic growth has been driven mainly by trade, tourism, and communications; South Africa’s trade performance is expected to witness positive growth from 2016. With one-third of South Africa’s export being commodities, changes in global demand for these commodities owing to muted domestic demand will have considerable effects on South Africa’s export value in the future. Owing to potential US tariffs on imports from China and Mexico expected to have an impact on global trade flows, the exporters in these countries will look for opportunities in alternative markets which could, in turn, present export opportunities for African producers in American market. In order to achieve a spark in economic growth during 2017-2018, the government of South Africa has made significant investments on upgrading its ageing road infrastructure. This, in turn, is likely to boost the logistics market by 2020. South Africa’s efforts in increasing exports of goods and services in the region and positioning the country as a hub for African regional and global engagement through trade agreements will necessitate complementary measures such as improved transportation and regulation for increased trade. Over 89% of freight in South Africa is over the road network; resources have been allocated for maintenance and rehabilitation of network throughou
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Table of Contents | Executive Summary~ || Summary of Key Findings ~ || South Africa—GDP Forecast~ || South Africa—Export-Import Forecast~ || South Africa—Technological Indicators~ || South Africa—Logistics Performance Index and Ease of Doing Business~ || Growth Opportunity—Current Offerings, Value-add Services and Portfolio Expansion~ | Research Scope, Objectives, Background and Methodology~ || Research Scope~ || Research Aims and Objectives~ | Economic Indicators and Profile~ || South Africa—GDP Per Capita and GDP Growth~ || South Africa—GDP by Economic Sectors~ || South Africa—GDP Forecast~ | International Trade Performance~ || Contribution of Export-Import to GDP~ || Export-Import Forecast~ || Top Ten Export/Import Partners by Value~ || South Africa—Export/Import by Industry~ || South Africa—Key Trade Commodities~ | Social and Technological Profile~ || South Africa—Population Growth and Structure~ || South Africa—Technological Indicators~ || South Africa—Social Indicators~ | Transportation and Logistics Sector Overview~ || South Africa—Transportation and Storage Segment Share within GDP~ || Freight Handled by Modes of Transportation~ || South Africa—Transportation Infrastructure~ || South Africa—Planned Road Infrastructure Upgrade by 2018~ || Business Environment and Investment Attractiveness ~ || South Africa—Key Trade Agreements ~ || South Africa—Relation with Neighbouring Countries~ || Ease of Doing Business in 2017—Sub-Parameters~ | Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action~ || Growth Opportunity—Current Offerings, Value-added Services and Portfolio Expansion~ || Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth ~ | Conclusions and Future Outlook~ || Conclusions~ || Legal Disclaimer~ | The Frost & Sullivan Story~
List of Charts and Figures 1. Logistics Market: Key Findings, South Africa, 2016~ 2. Logistics Market: GDP Breakup, South Africa, 2010–2016~ 3. Share of Top Ten Partners in Exports by Value, South Africa, 2016~ 4. Share of Top 10 Partners in Imports by Value, South Africa, 2016~ 5. Share of Top 10 Industry in Exports, South Africa, 2016~ 6. Share of Top 10 Industry in Imports, South Africa, 2016~ 7. Logistics Market: Transportation Infrastructure and Volume, South Africa, 2015–2016~ 8. Logistics Market: Key Road Infrastructure Upgrades, South Africa, 2016–2018~ 9. Logistics Market: Key Trade Agreements, South Africa, 1969–2017~ 10. Logistics Market: Ease of Doing Business, South Africa, 2017~| 1. GDP Forecast, South Africa, 2010–2020~ 2. Export/Import Forecast, South Africa, 2010–2020~ 3. Logistics Market: Technological Indicators, South Africa, 2010–2016~ 4. Logistics Market: Logistics Performance Index Score, South Africa, 2014 vs. 2016~ 5. Logistics Market: Ease of Doing Business Performance Study, South Africa, 2017~ 6. GDP Per Capita and GDP Growth, South Africa, 2016~ 7. Logistics Market: GDP Breakup, South Africa, 2010–2016~ 8. GDP Forecast, South Africa, 2010–2020~ 9. Export/Import as a Percentage of GDP, South Africa, 2010–2016~ 10. Exports and Imports Forecast, South Africa, 2017–2020~ 11. Export/Import Forecast, South Africa, 2010–2020~ 12. Share of Top Ten Partners in Exports by Value, South Africa, 2016~ 13. Share of Top 10 Partners in Imports by Value, South Africa, 2016~ 14. Share of Top 10 Industry in Exports, South Africa, 2016~ 15. Share of Top 10 Industry in Imports, South Africa, 2016~ 16. Key Trade Commodities, South Africa, 2016~ 17. Population Growth and Structure, South Africa, 2010–2016~ 18. Logistics Market: Technological Indicators, South Africa, 2010–2016~ 19. Social Indicators, South Africa, 2010 and 2016~ 20. Logistics Market: Transportation and Storage Segment Share within GDP, South Africa, 2010–2016~ 21. Logistics Market: Logistics Performance Index Score, South Africa, 2014 vs 2016~ 22. Logistics Market: Freight Handled by Road and Rail, South Africa, 2010–2016~ 23. Logistics Market: Cargo Handled by Major Ports, South Africa, 2013–2016~ 24. Logistics Market: Freight Handled, South Africa, 2016~ 25. Logistics Market: Rail/Road Modal Split by Network, South Africa, 2016~ 26. Logistics Market: FDI Inflows, and Domestic Credit as % of GDP, South Africa, 2010–2016~ 27. Logistics Market: Ease of Doing Business Performance Study, South Africa, 2017~ 28. Logistics Market: Commodities Traded, SACU Countries, 2016~
Author Lakshmi Narayanan Ramanujam
Industries Automotive
WIP Number MCD4-01-00-00-00
Keyword 1 Logistics
Keyword 2 South African Logistics
Is Prebook No