Opportunity Analysis of the Water Value Chain

Opportunity Analysis of the Water Value Chain

An Overview of Non-Revenue Water Costs and Opportunities in Kenya & Tanzania

RELEASE DATE
30-Sep-2016
REGION
Africa
Research Code: MC04-01-00-00-00
SKU: EN00939-AF-MR_19079
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Description

The African continent faces a growing battle for achieving adequate and safe access to power and potable water. Without addressing the need for power and water, Africa will not achieve its true growth potential as the “world’s last growth frontier”. Macro-economic forces such as climate change, growing populations, increasing urbanisation rates and deteriorating existing water infrastructure, are all encouraging local governments to shift towards Non-revenue water (NRW) reduction strategies. In collaboration, Frost & Sullivan and SIWI, conducted an “Analysis of the Investment Opportunities for Non-Revenue Water in Kenya and Tanzania”, with a more detailed assessment of two select municipalities per country. Using historic (2010) up to present day (2016) figures, a thorough understanding of the nature and size of the NRW problem, the size of the opportunity (both private and public sector), and the relative governance bottlenecks were identified.

Table of Contents

Scope of the Analysis

  • Product Segment Scope
  • Supply Chain Scope
  • Analysed Geographic Scope

Strategic Implications of the Study

Suitability of the Project

Approach/Methodology of the Study

Problem Statement

Conclusions

Water Supply-Demand Analysis

Municipality Overview

Water Supply-Demand Analysis

Water Accessibility/Penetration

Water Consumption per Capita

NRW

Component/Category-wise Split for NRW (in million kl)

The Value of Revenue Losses Due to Accounting and Billing Problems

Water Tariff Analysis and Trends

Economic Losses Associated with NRW

Water Supply-Demand Analysis

Water Accessibility/Penetration

Water Consumption per Capita

Water Supply-Demand Analysis

Municipality Overview

Water Supply-Demand Analysis

Water Accessibility/Penetration

Water Consumption per Capita

NRW

Component/Category-wise Split for NRW (in Million kl)

Water Tariff Analysis and Trends

Economic Losses Associated with NRW

Municipality Overview

Water Supply-Demand Analysis

Water Accessibility/Penetration

Water Consumption per Capita

NRW

Component/Category-wise split for NRW

Water Tariff Analysis and Trends

Economic Losses Associated with NRW

Institutional Landscape Overview

Incentives to Reduce NRW

Institutional Barriers and Opportunities

Tariffs

Experience with Private Sector Engagement (Water Supply Concessions and Lease Contracts)

Legal Systems

Vested Interests

Economies of Scale

Capacity for Infrastructure Planning and Procurement

Transparent Budgeting and Financial Reporting

Summary of NRW Governance Bottlenecks and Opportunities

List of Figures
  • 1. Identified Quick Facts in Select Municipalities, Kenya and Tanzania, 2015
  • 2. Supply versus Demand Analysis for Water, Kenya, 2015
  • 3. Annual GDP and Population, Kenya, 2012-2018
  • 4. Water Accessibility/Penetration-Nairobi City County, Kenya, 2010/11-2013/14
  • 5. Water Consumption per Capita-Nairobi City County, Kenya, 2010/11-2013/14
  • 6. Water Tariff Analysis and Trends-Nairobi City County, Kenya, 2011/12-2013/14
  • 7. Consumption Block-wise Tariff Structure—Nairobi City County, Kenya, 2013/14
  • 8. Consumption Block-wise Tariff Structure-Nairobi City County, Kenya, 2015/16-2017/18
  • 9. Operation Cost for Water Production-Nairobi City County, Kenya, 2011/12-2013/14
  • 10. Water Accessibility/Penetration-Mombasa County, Kenya, 2010/11-2013/14
  • 11. Water Consumption per Capita-Mombasa County, Kenya, 2010/11-2013/14
  • 12. Supply versus Demand Analysis for Water, Tanzania, 2015
  • 13. Annual GDP and Population, Tanzania, 2012-2018
  • 14. Annual Water Production-Dar es Salaam City Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14
  • 15. Water Accessibility/Penetration-Dar es Salaam City Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14
  • 16. Water Consumption per Capita-Dar es Salaam City Council, Tanzania, 2014
  • 17. Evolution of Water Tariffs (Average)-Dar es Salaam City Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14
  • 18. Municipal Authority’s Earnings through the Provision of Water Services-Dar es Salaam City Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14
  • 19. Annual Water Production-Morogoro Municipal Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14
  • 20. Water Accessibility/Penetration-Morogoro Municipal Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14
  • 21. Water Consumption per Capita—Morogoro Municipal Council, Tanzania, 2014
  • 22. Cost Components for Water Production-Morogoro Municipal Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14
  • 23. Rule of Law Index, Kenya and Tanzania, 2015
List of Charts
  • 1. Population Progression-Nairobi City County, Kenya, 2010/11-2013/14
  • 2. System Input Volume versus Water Demand-Nairobi City County, Kenya, 2010/11-2013/14
  • 3. Revenue Water versus NRW-Nairobi City County, Kenya, 2010/11-2013/14
  • 4. IWA Water Balance-Nairobi City County, Kenya, 2013/14
  • 5. Operation and Maintenance Cost Breakdown-Nairobi City County, Kenya, 2013/14
  • 6. Population Progression-Mombasa County, Kenya, 2010/11-2013/14
  • 7. System Input Volume versus Water Demand-Mombasa County, Kenya, 2010/11-2013/14
  • 8. Operation and Maintenance Cost Breakdown-Mombasa County, Kenya, 2013/14
  • 9. Population Progression-Dar es Salaam City Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14
  • 10. System Input Volume versus Water Demand-Dar es Salaam City Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14
  • 11. Revenue Water versus NRW-Dar es Salaam City Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14
  • 12. IWA Water Balance-Dar es Salaam City Council, Tanzania, 2014
  • 13. Cost Components for Water Production-Dar es Salaam City Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14
  • 14. Expenditure Breakdown-Dar es Salaam City Council, Tanzania, 2013/14
  • 15. Population Progression-Morogoro Municipal Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14
  • 16. System Input Volume versus Water Demand-Morogoro Municipal Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14
  • 17. Revenue Water versus NRW-Morogoro Municipal Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14
  • 18. IWA Water Balance-Morogoro Municipal Council, Tanzania, 2013/14
  • 19. Water Tariff Analysis and Trends-Morogoro Municipal Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14
  • 20. Municipal Authority’s Earnings through Provision of Water Services-Morogoro Municipal Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14
  • 21. Expenditure Breakdown-Morogoro Municipal Council, Tanzania, 2013/14
  • 22. Water Service and NRW Scenario in Municipalities, Kenya and Tanzania, 2013/14
Related Research
The African continent faces a growing battle for achieving adequate and safe access to power and potable water. Without addressing the need for power and water, Africa will not achieve its true growth potential as the “world’s last growth frontier”. Macro-economic forces such as climate change, growing populations, increasing urbanisation rates and deteriorating existing water infrastructure, are all encouraging local governments to shift towards Non-revenue water (NRW) reduction strategies. In collaboration, Frost & Sullivan and SIWI, conducted an “Analysis of the Investment Opportunities for Non-Revenue Water in Kenya and Tanzania”, with a more detailed assessment of two select municipalities per country. Using historic (2010) up to present day (2016) figures, a thorough understanding of the nature and size of the NRW problem, the size of the opportunity (both private and public sector), and the relative governance bottlenecks were identified.
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Table of Contents | Executive Summary~ || Scope of the Analysis~ ||| Product Segment Scope~ ||| Supply Chain Scope~ ||| Analysed Geographic Scope~ || Strategic Implications of the Study~ || Suitability of the Project~ || Approach/Methodology of the Study~ || Problem Statement~ || Conclusions~ | Country Analysis: Kenya~ || Water Supply-Demand Analysis~ | Nairobi City County, Kenya~ || Municipality Overview~ || Water Supply-Demand Analysis~ || Water Accessibility/Penetration~ || Water Consumption per Capita~ || NRW~ || Component/Category-wise Split for NRW (in million kl)~ || The Value of Revenue Losses Due to Accounting and Billing Problems~ || Water Tariff Analysis and Trends~ || Economic Losses Associated with NRW~ | Mombasa County, Kenya~ || Water Supply-Demand Analysis~ || Water Accessibility/Penetration~ || Water Consumption per Capita~ | Country Analysis: Tanzania~ || Water Supply-Demand Analysis~ | Dar es Salaam City Council, Tanzania~ || Municipality Overview~ || Water Supply-Demand Analysis~ || Water Accessibility/Penetration~ || Water Consumption per Capita~ || NRW~ || Component/Category-wise Split for NRW (in Million kl)~ || Water Tariff Analysis and Trends~ || Economic Losses Associated with NRW~ | Morogoro Municipal Council, Tanzania~ || Municipality Overview~ || Water Supply-Demand Analysis~ || Water Accessibility/Penetration~ || Water Consumption per Capita~ || NRW~ || Component/Category-wise split for NRW~ || Water Tariff Analysis and Trends~ || Economic Losses Associated with NRW~ | NRW Governance Bottlenecks and Opportunities: Kenya and Tanzania~ | Kenya~ || Institutional Landscape Overview~ || Incentives to Reduce NRW~ ||| Water Security Incentives~ ||| Financial Sustainability Incentives~ | Cross-Country Analysis~ || Institutional Barriers and Opportunities~ || Tariffs~ || Experience with Private Sector Engagement (Water Supply Concessions and Lease Contracts)~ || Legal Systems~ || Vested Interests~ || Economies of Scale~ || Capacity for Infrastructure Planning and Procurement~ || Transparent Budgeting and Financial Reporting~ || Summary of NRW Governance Bottlenecks and Opportunities~ | Opportunity Analysis: Kenya and Tanzania~ || Opportunity Analysis~ ||| Overview of Opportunities in NRW: A Regional Perspective~ ||| Opportunity Analysis in the Water Value Chain, Kenya, 2013/14~ ||| Opportunity Analysis in the Water Value Chain, Tanzania, 2013/14~ | Legal Disclaimer~ | The Frost & Sullivan Story~
List of Charts and Figures 1. Identified Quick Facts in Select Municipalities, Kenya and Tanzania, 2015~ 2. Supply versus Demand Analysis for Water, Kenya, 2015~ 3. Annual GDP and Population, Kenya, 2012-2018~ 4. Water Accessibility/Penetration-Nairobi City County, Kenya, 2010/11-2013/14~ 5. Water Consumption per Capita-Nairobi City County, Kenya, 2010/11-2013/14~ 6. Water Tariff Analysis and Trends-Nairobi City County, Kenya, 2011/12-2013/14~ 7. Consumption Block-wise Tariff Structure—Nairobi City County, Kenya, 2013/14~ 8. Consumption Block-wise Tariff Structure-Nairobi City County, Kenya, 2015/16-2017/18~ 9. Operation Cost for Water Production-Nairobi City County, Kenya, 2011/12-2013/14~ 10. Water Accessibility/Penetration-Mombasa County, Kenya, 2010/11-2013/14~ 11. Water Consumption per Capita-Mombasa County, Kenya, 2010/11-2013/14~ 12. Supply versus Demand Analysis for Water, Tanzania, 2015~ 13. Annual GDP and Population, Tanzania, 2012-2018~ 14. Annual Water Production-Dar es Salaam City Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14~ 15. Water Accessibility/Penetration-Dar es Salaam City Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14~ 16. Water Consumption per Capita-Dar es Salaam City Council, Tanzania, 2014~ 17. Evolution of Water Tariffs (Average)-Dar es Salaam City Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14~ 18. Municipal Authority’s Earnings through the Provision of Water Services-Dar es Salaam City Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14~ 19. Annual Water Production-Morogoro Municipal Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14~ 20. Water Accessibility/Penetration-Morogoro Municipal Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14~ 21. Water Consumption per Capita—Morogoro Municipal Council, Tanzania, 2014~ 22. Cost Components for Water Production-Morogoro Municipal Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14~ 23. Rule of Law Index, Kenya and Tanzania, 2015~| 1. Population Progression-Nairobi City County, Kenya, 2010/11-2013/14~ 2. System Input Volume versus Water Demand-Nairobi City County, Kenya, 2010/11-2013/14~ 3. Revenue Water versus NRW-Nairobi City County, Kenya, 2010/11-2013/14~ 4. IWA Water Balance-Nairobi City County, Kenya, 2013/14~ 5. Operation and Maintenance Cost Breakdown-Nairobi City County, Kenya, 2013/14~ 6. Population Progression-Mombasa County, Kenya, 2010/11-2013/14~ 7. System Input Volume versus Water Demand-Mombasa County, Kenya, 2010/11-2013/14~ 8. Operation and Maintenance Cost Breakdown-Mombasa County, Kenya, 2013/14~ 9. Population Progression-Dar es Salaam City Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14~ 10. System Input Volume versus Water Demand-Dar es Salaam City Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14~ 11. Revenue Water versus NRW-Dar es Salaam City Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14~ 12. IWA Water Balance-Dar es Salaam City Council, Tanzania, 2014~ 13. Cost Components for Water Production-Dar es Salaam City Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14~ 14. Expenditure Breakdown-Dar es Salaam City Council, Tanzania, 2013/14~ 15. Population Progression-Morogoro Municipal Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14~ 16. System Input Volume versus Water Demand-Morogoro Municipal Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14~ 17. Revenue Water versus NRW-Morogoro Municipal Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14~ 18. IWA Water Balance-Morogoro Municipal Council, Tanzania, 2013/14~ 19. Water Tariff Analysis and Trends-Morogoro Municipal Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14~ 20. Municipal Authority’s Earnings through Provision of Water Services-Morogoro Municipal Council, Tanzania, 2011/12-2013/14~ 21. Expenditure Breakdown-Morogoro Municipal Council, Tanzania, 2013/14~ 22. Water Service and NRW Scenario in Municipalities, Kenya and Tanzania, 2013/14~
Author Neeraj Sanjay Mense
Industries Environment
WIP Number MC04-01-00-00-00
Keyword 1 Analysis of the Water Value Chain
Keyword 2 Emerging Opportunities for Smart Meter
Keyword 3 Non-Revenue Water Costs
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