Global Powertrain Outlook, 2017

Global Powertrain Outlook, 2017

Diesel to be an Expensive Variant, E-Mobility and 48V to Boom, and Unconventional Gasoline Engine Technologies to Surface

RELEASE DATE
27-Mar-2017
REGION
North America
Research Code: MCDD-01-00-00-00
SKU: AU01459-NA-MO_19837
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Description

2016 was a pivotal year for powertrain technologies globally as the fallout from Volkswagen’s Dieselgate scandal continued to reverberate. Diesel sales are declining in some regions as electric vehicle sales boom. OEMs are under pressure to meet fleet emission mandates and consumer demand for advanced technologies to improve performance. This study provides an analysis of powertrain technologies, discusses powertrain industry highlights from 2016, and looks at the trends that will shape the industry in 2017 and beyond. Major markets covered are the Europe, North America, Brazil, China, India, Japan, South Korea, and Turkey.

Technologies and trends including engine downsizing and rightsizing, direct injection, turbocharging, and aftertreatment systems are examined. Shifts in acceptance of diesel engines and hybrid, battery electric, and fuel cell powertrains are discussed. Significant vehicle, engine, and transmission launches are detailed.

Key questions this study will answer:
•     What are the overall growth trends for vehicles of various fuel types?
•     Have the sales diesel cars taken a hit?
•     What are the implications of the new emission and testing regulations on the growth of diesel engine technologies?
•     What are the current e-mobility trends? What factors are working for and against its growth and what are they developments to expect in
the coming years?
•     What are the technology trends to look for in the industry as it moves towards stronger emission regulations?
•     What powertrain strategies are being adopted by different OEMs in order to comply with upcoming emission and fuel economy standards?
•     What are the latest technologies that will help to optimize internal combustion engines to meet fuel efficiency standards?
•     The study concludes with strategic recommendations for market participants on new testing procedures, diesel investments, alternative
propulsion technologies, and market focus.

Table of Contents

Key Findings

Key Technologies to Watch

Powertrain Sales and Technology Outlook

Powertrain Sales and Technology Outlook (continued)

WLTP Implementation

Diesel Powertrains in Europe—Impact Factors and Outlook

Global EV Adoption Momentum

Trump Presidency and Impact on US Fuel Economy Regulations

Top Predictions for 2017

Research Scope

Vehicle Segmentation

Global Powertrain Mix—Sales Snapshot

Powertrain Split by Propulsion Type

RDE Impact

Global Push for Electrified Powertrains—2020 Outlook

Europe—Sales Forecast

Passenger Car Sales Trends

RDE Testing Overview

Emissions Target, Fines, and RDE Development

Technologies for Control of NOx Emissions for Euro 6c Compliance

Technologies for Control of NOx Emissions for Euro 6c Compliance (continued)

Powertrain Highlights—Europe

North America—Sales Forecast by Powertrain and OEM

2017 Imperatives

US Diesel Car Sales

Expected New LDT Models by Segment

Technology Update—Fuel Economy Improvements

Powertrain Highlights—North America

China—Sales Forecast by Powertrain

2022 Sales Forecast by Powertrain and Vehicle Segment

Market Breakdown by Powertrain Growth

Powertrain Development Roadmap

Technology Development Roadmap

Vehicle Launch Roadmap Key Chinese OEMs

Powertrain Highlights—China

Japan—Sales Forecast by OEM and Propulsion

Japan—Production Forecast by Segment

PHEV Uptake

EV Infrastructure

Powertrain Highlights—Japan

South Korea—Sales Forecast by OEM and Powertrain

Powertrain Highlights—South Korea

Fluctuating Crude Oil Prices—Gas-Diesel Equation

Powertrain Sales Share by OEM

Bharat Stage IV to VI Transformation—Reduction in Emission Caps

Technology Outlook—Bharat Stage VI and CAFE Compliance

Powertrain Highlights—India

Turkey—Sales Forecast by OEM and Powertrain

Turkey—Sales Forecast by Segment and Powertrain

Powertrain Highlights—Turkey

From NEDC to WLTP—Diesel and Gasoline NOx Emissions Comparison

Modular Powertrain Technology Sharing Outlook

Advanced Powertrain Technology Update

48V Technology Market Overview and OEM Perspective

48V Architecture—OEM Strategies

Lightweighting Approaches

Key Trends in Transmissions

Transmission Electrification and Hybridization

Electronically Controlled Clutch and Coasting

Engine Rightsizing, Future of Aftertreatment Systems

Global Aftertreatment Market—Comparative Analysis by Region

Comparative Analysis of Exhaust Aftertreatment Systems

Roadmap of OEM Exhaust Aftertreatment Strategies

OEM Exhaust Aftertreatment Strategies

OEM Exhaust Aftertreatment Strategies (continued)

Key 2016–17 Market Introductions—Engines

Key 2016–17 Market Introductions—Engines (continued)

Key 2016–17 Market Introductions—Engines (continued)

Key 2016–17 Market Introductions—Transmissions

Key 2016–17 Market Introductions—Vehicles

Key 2016–17 Market Introductions—Vehicles (continued)

PHEV Launch Roadmap

PHEV Launch Roadmap (continued)

Breakthrough Trends and Start-Ups

Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth

Conclusions and Outlook

Legal Disclaimer

Abbreviation List

Abbreviation List (continued)

2016 was a pivotal year for powertrain technologies globally as the fallout from Volkswagen’s Dieselgate scandal continued to reverberate. Diesel sales are declining in some regions as electric vehicle sales boom. OEMs are under pressure to meet fleet emission mandates and consumer demand for advanced technologies to improve performance. This study provides an analysis of powertrain technologies, discusses powertrain industry highlights from 2016, and looks at the trends that will shape the industry in 2017 and beyond. Major markets covered are the Europe, North America, Brazil, China, India, Japan, South Korea, and Turkey. Technologies and trends including engine downsizing and rightsizing, direct injection, turbocharging, and aftertreatment systems are examined. Shifts in acceptance of diesel engines and hybrid, battery electric, and fuel cell powertrains are discussed. Significant vehicle, engine, and transmission launches are detailed. Key questions this study will answer: • What are the overall growth trends for vehicles of various fuel types? • Have the sales diesel cars taken a hit? • What are the implications of the new emission and testing regulations on the growth of diesel engine technologies? • What are the current e-mobility trends? What factors are working for and against its growth and what are they developments to expect in the coming years? • What are the technology trends to look for in the industry as it moves towards stronger emission regulations? • What powertrain strategies are being adopted by different OEMs in order to comply with upcoming emission and fuel economy standards? • What are the latest technologies that will help to optimize internal combustion engines to meet fuel efficiency standards? • The study concludes with strategic recommendations for market participants on new testing procedures, diesel investments, alternative propulsion technologies, and market focus.
More Information
No Index No
Podcast No
Predecessor K038-01-00-00-00
Author Sudeep Kaippalli
Industries Automotive
WIP Number MCDD-01-00-00-00
Is Prebook No
GPS Codes 9673-A6,9800-A6,9807-A6,9813-A6,9882-A6,9965-A6,9AF6-A6,9B15-A6