Economic Trends Shaping Qatar and Saudi Arabia

An Evaluation of Growth Opportunities Amidst Risks of Falling Oil Prices

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Scope of the reportReport scope: Economic, Fiscal, and Industry Analysis Geographic scope: Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), Qatar, Saudi ArabiaWhat makes our report unique?This report includes an impact analysis of plunging oil prices on GCC, Saudi Arabia and Qatar in particular, with coverage on fiscal readjustment strategies and economic diversification policies. The report also highlights non-hydrocarbon related growth opportunities across sectors such as construction, insurance, and airports that investors could look to pursue amidst oil price disruptions. Key Questions Answered·     How are Qatar and Saudi Arabia fiscally re-strategizing, and what are the implications of the same?

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary
2. GCC—A Macroeconomic Outlook
Impact of Falling Oil Prices on GCC
Growth Outlook
Fiscal Outlook
3. Qatar in Focus
Country Snapshot
Government Revenue and Expenditure
Progress in Economic Diversification
Policies for Greater Economic Diversification
Infrastructure Boom
Growing Insurance Industry
Natural Gas Industry Outlook
4. Saudi Arabia in Focus
Country Snapshot
Budget Analysis
Progress on Economic Diversification
Policies for Greater Economic Diversification
Privatization of Airports
Industrial Clusters Program
Oil Industry Outlook
5. Key Predictions

List of Figures & Charts

1. Real GDP Growth, Qatar, 2011–2014
2. Real GDP Growth, Saudi Arabia, 2011-2014

1. Share of Oil Export Revenues in Total Export Revenues and Share of Oil Revenues in Central Government Revenues, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Oman, Qatar, 2013
2. Brent Crude Oil Prices, Global, 2012–2017
3. Real GDP Growth, Select Regions and Country Groups, 2012–2020
4. GDP, GCC Countries, 2012–2020
5. General Government Fiscal Balance as a Share of GDP, GCC Countries, Average 2000–2011 and 2014
6. Real GDP Growth, Qatar, 2012–2020
7. Breakup of Government Revenue, Qatar, 2004–2005 and 2013–2014
8. Percentage Share of Economic Activity in Real GDP, Qatar, 2004 and 2014
9. Gross Written Premium of the 5 National Insurance Companies, Qatar, 2010–2014
10. Natural Gas Production, Consumption, and Exports, Qatar, 2012–2017
11. Real GDP Growth, Saudi Arabia, 2012–2020
12. Budget Revenue, Expenditure, and Deficit, Saudi Arabia, 2015 and 2016
13. Percentage Share of Sectors in Real GDP, Saudi Arabia, 2004 and 2013
14. Oil Production, Saudi Arabia, 2012-2017


Selected Economic Indicators, Qatar and Saudi Arabia, 2010-2020
1. Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
2. GDP Growth (at constant prices)
3. Final Consumption Expenditure
4. Private Consumption Expenditure
5. Government Consumption Expenditure
6. Gross Fixed Capital Formation
7. Exports of Goods and Services
8. Imports of Goods and Services
9. Value added by agriculture, forestry & fishing
10. Value added by mining & quarrying
11. Value added by manufacturing
12. Value added by construction
13. Value added by electricity, gas, water supply & other utility services
14. Wholesale & Retail Trade, Restaurants & hotels
15. Transport, Storage & Communication
16. Finance, Insurance, Real Estate
17. Community, Social & Personal Services
18. Total Value Added
19. Agriculture, value added
20. Industry, value added
21. Service, value added
22. Government Debt (% of GDP)
23. Inflation, average consumer prices
24. Foreign Direct Investment inflow
25. Exchange Rate
26. Population
27. Urbanization Rate
28. Oil Production

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