Executive Analysis for European Emission Standards and Testing Procedures

Executive Analysis for European Emission Standards and Testing Procedures

Use of Advanced Powertrain Technologies will be the Key Strategy to Adopt New Test Procedures

RELEASE DATE
15-Sep-2015
REGION
North America
Research Code: MB26-01-00-00-00
SKU: AU01082-NA-MR_17192
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Description

Research Overview


This Frost & Sullivan research service on European vehicle emission standards and testing procedures analyses globalized vehicle testing procedures with specific focus on the World Harmonized Light Vehicle Test Procedure (WLTP) and New European Driving Cycle (NEDC) testing. The study provides a comparative analysis of test procedures, impacts of various technologies on WLTP and NEDC results, key technologies favouring the shift in testing procedure, challenges in adopting a new test cycle, and upcoming technologies that will aid WLTP adoption. The base year for the research is 2015 and forecasts are provided till 2020 for regions such as Western and Eastern Europe, North America, Asia-Pacific (India, Japan, China, and Australia) and Latin America (Brazil).


Market Overview


WLTP to replace NEDC vehicle testing in Europe


It is mandatory for automotive original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) to follow vehicle test procedures to comply with emission norms and fuel economy ratings. Europe and North America lead in adopting stringent testing procedures. Currently, European OEMs are using a combination of the NEDC procedure, introduced in the 1970s to measure smog-causing nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions, and CO2 emission and fuel consumption tests. However, the region will be compelled to adopt the more advanced WLTP, which reflects modern driving conditions more accurately by taking into account temperature change, higher vehicle load, higher engine speeds, and lesser stopping phases. WLTP will thus drive advances in downsizing, multiple boosting systems, direct injection engines, hybridization and exhaust systems.


While WLTP will play a vital role in bringing down the emissions level with real time testing conditions for new production fleet, it will impact current technologies that are in use. OEMs will be challenged to shift to newer technologies as it will require higher investments. In the long run though, standardizing test procedures will decrease testing costs as OEMs can share test beds. For now, OEMs should optimize technologies used for NEDC to suit WLTP. Other regions such as North America, China and Japan will continue using NEDC testing and adopt WLTP only in urbanized high emission areas. Once the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE) and World forum for harmonization of vehicle regulation (WP29 Forum) regularize testing parameters in Europe, they will look at other regions.

Table of Contents

Key Highlights

Global Emission and Drive Cycle Adoption Hot Spots

Road map and Implementation of WLTP

Timeline for Implementation of the WLTP in EU Region, Global, 2005–2020

Key 2016/2020 Regional Highlights and Outlook

  • North America
  • Europe
  • Brazil
  • China
  • India

Research Scope

Research Aims and Objectives

Research Methodology

Vehicle Segmentation

Test Procedures and Differentiation

Light-Duty Vehicles Test Procedures

Emission Norms across the World

Regulation Roadmap with Emissions

Timeline for Implementation of the WLTP in EU Region, Global, 2005–2020

Parameters with Potential Impact with NEDC-WLTP Conversion

Technology Focus of OEMs to comply for WLTP

World Harmonized Light Vehicle Test Procedures (WLTP)

Parameters with Potential Impact with NEDC-WLTP Conversion

Analysis of Various Powertrain Technologies in NEDC and WLTP Test Cycles

Start Stop Technology

Direct Injection Technology

Cylinder Deactivation Technology

Hybrid/Plug-in Hybrid Technology

Downsizing and Boosting Technology

Exhaust After-treatment Technology

Fleet Average Weight and Fleet Average CO2 Emissions by OEM

Europe OEM Market Snapshot

Conclusions and Future Outlook

Legal Disclaimer

Emission Regulations Roadmap

Market Engineering Methodology

Table of Acronyms Used

Learn More—Next Steps

List of Figures
  • 1. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: US Drive Cycles Snapshot, USA, 2015
  • 2. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Emission Legislation—Passenger Cars (Global), 2000–2020
  • 3. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Parameters with Potential Impact on CO2 , Europe, 2015
  • 4. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Impact on Start-Stop Technology NEDC-WLTP Correlation, Europe, 2015
  • 5. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Impact on Direct Injection Technology NEDC-WLTP Correlation, Europe, 2015
  • 6. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Impact on Cylinder Deactivation Technology NEDC-WLTP Correlation, Europe, 2015
  • 7. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Impact on Hybrid/Plug-in Hybrid Technology NEDC-WLTP Correlation, Europe, 2015
  • 8. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Impact on Downsizing and Boosting Technology NEDC-WLTP Correlation, Europe, 2015
  • 9. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Impact on Emission After-Treatment technology NEDC-WLTP Correlation, Europe, 2015
List of Charts
  • 1. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: US FTP 72 and FTP 75 Drive Cycles, USA, 2015
  • 2. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: US06 and SC03 Drive Cycles, USA, 2015
  • 3. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: US EPA NYCC and HWFET Drive Cycles, USA, 2015
  • 4. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: New European Driving Cycles (NEDC), Europe, 2015
  • 5. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Japan JC08 Drive Cycle, Japan, 2015
  • 6. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Australian Design Rules(ADRs) Drive Cycle, Australia, 2015
  • 7. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Emission Legislation—Passenger Cars (Global), 2005–2025
  • 8. Light Vehicle Test Procedures Market: Comparison of Technology Focus Testing Procedure Markets, Europe, 2015–2020
  • 9. Light Vehicle Test procedures Market: World Harmonized Light Vehicle Test Procedures (WLTP), Europe, 2015
  • 10. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Fleet Average Weight and Fleet Average CO2 Emissions by OEM, Europe, 2014
Related Research

Research Overview

This Frost & Sullivan research service on European vehicle emission standards and testing procedures analyses globalized vehicle testing procedures with specific focus on the World Harmonized Light Vehicle Test Procedure (WLTP) and New European Driving Cycle (NEDC) testing. The study provides a comparative analysis of test procedures, impacts of various technologies on WLTP and NEDC results, key technologies favouring the shift in testing procedure, challenges in adopting a new test cycle, and upcoming technologies that will aid WLTP adoption. The base year for the research is 2015 and forecasts are provided till 2020 for regions such as Western and Eastern Europe, North America, Asia-Pacific (India, Japan, China, and Australia) and Latin America (Brazil).

Market Overview

WLTP to replace NEDC vehicle testing in Europe

It is mandatory for automotive original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) to follow vehicle test procedures to comply with emission norms and fuel economy ratings. Europe and North America lead in adopting stringent testing procedures. Currently, European OEMs are using a combination of the NEDC procedure, introduced in the 1970s to measure smog-causing nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions, and CO2 emission and fuel consumption tests. However, the region will be compelled to adopt the more advanced WLTP, which reflects modern driving conditions more accurately by taking into account temperature change, higher vehicle load, higher engine speeds, and lesser stopping phases. WLTP will thus drive advances in downsizing, multiple boosting systems, direct injection engines, hybridization and exhaust systems.

While WLTP will play a vital role in bringing down the emissions level with real time testing conditions for new production fleet, it will impact current technologies that are in use. OEMs will be challenged to shift to newer technologies as it will require higher investments. In the long run though, standardizing test procedures will decrease testing costs as OEMs can share test beds. For now, OEMs should optimize technologies used for NEDC to suit WLTP. Other regions such as North America, China and Japan will continue using NEDC testing and adopt WLTP only in urbanized high emission areas. Once the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE) and World forum for harmonization of vehicle regulation (WP29 Forum) regularize testing parameters in Europe, they will look at other regions.

More Information
No Index No
Podcast No
Table of Contents | Executive Summary~ || Key Highlights~ || Global Emission and Drive Cycle Adoption Hot Spots~ || Road map and Implementation of WLTP~ || Timeline for Implementation of the WLTP in EU Region, Global, 2005–2020~ || Key 2016/2020 Regional Highlights and Outlook~ ||| North America~ ||| Europe~ ||| Brazil~ ||| China~ ||| India~ | Research Scope and Segmentation~ || Research Scope~ ||| Base Year~ ||| Study Period~ ||| Forecast Period~ ||| Vehicle Type~ ||| Geographical Scope~ || Research Aims and Objectives~ || Research Methodology~ ||| Secondary Research~ ||| Primary Research~ ||| Company~ |||| ICCT~ |||| University of Aristotle, Greece~ |||| European Commission~ |||| PSA~ |||| Others~ || Vehicle Segmentation~ ||| Segment~ ||| Examples~ | Definitions and Segmentation~ || Test Procedures and Differentiation~ ||| Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Technology and End-user Segmentation, Global, 2015~ || Light-Duty Vehicles Test Procedures~ ||| United States~ ||| European Union~ ||| Japan~ ||| Australian~ | Emission Regulations and World Harmonized Test Procedures Roadmap~ || Emission Norms across the World~ || Regulation Roadmap with Emissions~ || Timeline for Implementation of the WLTP in EU Region, Global, 2005–2020~ || Parameters with Potential Impact with NEDC-WLTP Conversion~ || Technology Focus of OEMs to comply for WLTP~ | WLTP Procedure in Depth Analysis~ || World Harmonized Light Vehicle Test Procedures (WLTP)~ ||| Why WLTP~ ||| Key Industry News on WLTP~ ||| Light Vehicle Test procedures Market: Comparing NEDC-WLTP with their Parameters, Europe, 2015~ ||| Light Vehicle Test procedures Market: Challenging and Influencing factors, Europe, 2015~ || Parameters with Potential Impact with NEDC-WLTP Conversion~ | Role of Various Technologies and their Impact on World Harmonized Test Procedures~ || Analysis of Various Powertrain Technologies in NEDC and WLTP Test Cycles ~ ||| Light Vehicle Test Procedures Market: Influence of Powertrain Technologies in NEDC/WLTP Test Cycles, Europe, 2015~ || Start Stop Technology~ || Direct Injection Technology~ || Cylinder Deactivation Technology~ || Hybrid/Plug-in Hybrid Technology~ || Downsizing and Boosting Technology~ || Exhaust After-treatment Technology~ | OEM Profiles—WLTP Strategies~ || Fleet Average Weight and Fleet Average CO2 Emissions by OEM~ || Europe OEM Market Snapshot~ | Conclusions and Future Outlook~ || Conclusions and Future Outlook~ || Legal Disclaimer~ | Appendix~ || Emission Regulations Roadmap~ ||| European Union (EU)~ ||| USA~ ||| China ~ ||| India~ || Market Engineering Methodology~ || Table of Acronyms Used~ || Learn More—Next Steps~
List of Charts and Figures 1. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: US Drive Cycles Snapshot, USA, 2015~ 2. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Emission Legislation—Passenger Cars (Global), 2000–2020~ 3. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Parameters with Potential Impact on CO2 , Europe, 2015~ 4. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Impact on Start-Stop Technology NEDC-WLTP Correlation, Europe, 2015~ 5. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Impact on Direct Injection Technology NEDC-WLTP Correlation, Europe, 2015~ 6. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Impact on Cylinder Deactivation Technology NEDC-WLTP Correlation, Europe, 2015~ 7. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Impact on Hybrid/Plug-in Hybrid Technology NEDC-WLTP Correlation, Europe, 2015~ 8. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Impact on Downsizing and Boosting Technology NEDC-WLTP Correlation, Europe, 2015~ 9. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Impact on Emission After-Treatment technology NEDC-WLTP Correlation, Europe, 2015~| 1. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: US FTP 72 and FTP 75 Drive Cycles, USA, 2015~ 2. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: US06 and SC03 Drive Cycles, USA, 2015~ 3. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: US EPA NYCC and HWFET Drive Cycles, USA, 2015~ 4. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: New European Driving Cycles (NEDC), Europe, 2015~ 5. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Japan JC08 Drive Cycle, Japan, 2015~ 6. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Australian Design Rules(ADRs) Drive Cycle, Australia, 2015~ 7. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Emission Legislation—Passenger Cars (Global), 2005–2025~ 8. Light Vehicle Test Procedures Market: Comparison of Technology Focus Testing Procedure Markets, Europe, 2015–2020~ 9. Light Vehicle Test procedures Market: World Harmonized Light Vehicle Test Procedures (WLTP), Europe, 2015~ 10. Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Fleet Average Weight and Fleet Average CO2 Emissions by OEM, Europe, 2014~
Author Arvind Noel Xavier Leo
Industries Automotive
WIP Number MB26-01-00-00-00
Is Prebook No
GPS Codes 9800-A6,9807-A6,9813-A6,9882-A6,9AF6-A6