Global Automotive Industry Outlook, 2016

Sales to Skyrocket Amid Niche Technologies Moving Mass Market and Changes Across Automotive Value and Supply Chains

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This research service discusses the 2016 outlook for the global automotive industry in detail. It illustrates the growth or slowdown of regional markets in 2015 and analyzes the expected market performance in 2016. It delves into original equipment manufacturer (OEM) strategies to excel in the target markets and segments, and introduces technology trends in 2016. This study will benefit the entire automotive value chain including OEMs, car rental and fleet companies, financial service providers, carsharing operators, technology solution providers, and a host of other industry participants looking to understand current automotive trends and their implications.

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary
Key Highlights of 2015
Bold Predictions for 2016
Disruptive Trends in 2016
2015–2016 Industry Senior Management Top-of-Mind Issues
2. Research Scope and Segmentation
Research Scope
Vehicle Segmentation
3. Key Global Automotive Sales Trends
Global Light Vehicle Sales by Region—A Snapshot
Winners of 2015
Top 5 Markets by Sales Volume in 2015
Global Light Vehicle Sales by OEM—A Snapshot
Key Regional Market
Europe (G5 vs. E5)
United States and China
Emerging Economies (BRIC)
Emerging Economies (MISTA and Stan & Jan)
BRI, MISTA, Stan & Jan
Key Launches in 2015
Key Launches in 2016
4. Key Automotive Trends to Watch
Rise of the SUV Segment
Emerging Technologies—Shift from Niche to Mass Market
Trifecta Vehicle Design Scaling Up in 2016
Scalable Partnerships the Name of the Game
Recalls to Restructure the Automotive Industry
Digitalization Reshaping the Automotive Retail Process
Trend Toward Localization of Manufacturing
New Revenue Opportunities Through Value-Added Services
Suppliers Driving Automotive M&A Activity
Tech Invasion—The Way Forward
Beyond Apple and Google—Shift in Power Balance?
Women in the Auto Industry—Both Sides of the Table
International Expansion of Chinese OEMs
Average Vehicle Age and New Vehicle Sales—Europe
Average Vehicle Age—United States
Frost & Sullivan’s Assessment of the Dieselgate Fiasco and the Magnitude of its Impact
VW Group Emissions Scandal—Short- to Medium-Term Impact
5. ASEAN Market Outlook
Key Trends
Key Predictions
Market Share by Segment
Key Policies and Regulations
Malaysia
Indonesia
Thailand
Technology Focus Areas in ASEAN in 2015 and 2020
6. Powertrain Outlook
Global Powertrain Mix—Unit Shipment by Region Snapshot
Global Crude Oil Price Trend and Regional Impact
Key 2016 Powertrain Market Trends
Powertrain Technology Development—OEM Focus
Growth Outlook by Region and Propulsion Type
Regional Strategy for Testing Procedures
Impact to Regulatory Framework Due to Emission Scandal
VW Crisis—Push Towards EVs
Top Powertrain and EV Predictions for 2016
7. eMobility Outlook
EV Sales 2015
United States
EV Sales
EV Charging Points
EV Charging Points—Europe
Futuristic Approach by Leading OEMs
Unit Shipment Forecast by Region and Technology
EV Outlook
8. Intelligent Mobility Outlook
Key Market Trends—2016
Realization of Levels 2 and 3 Autonomous Driving
Disruption to Commercialization—New Sensing Solutions
Supplier-Level Consolidation Leading to New Market Opportunities
Lidar—Enabler of Automated Driving
48V Power Net—Enabler of Automated Driving
Sensor Fusion—Enabler of Automated Driving
9. Connectivity and Big Data Analytics Outlook
Top-Level Solution Trends
Opportunities—Functional Areas of Connected Car Technology
5G in Cars
Rethinking Automotive with Big Data
Connected Car—Key Avenues for Monetization
Connected Cars and Autonomous Vehicles Bolster Cloud Adoption
Cloud Computing Transition from Non-Core to Critical Futuristic Use Cases
Connected Car Cybersecurity—Industry Initiatives and Impact Analysis
2016 Top 5 Predictions
10. Mobility Outlook
Carsharing as a Component of Integrated Mobility
Strong Public Transit Networks to Support Growth of Ridesharing
Integrated Mobility Service Providers Unite to Cater to Customer Needs
Pilot Projects Boosting Popularity of On-demand Mobility
Advancements and Trends in 2016
11. Aftermarket Outlook
Key Aftermarket Trends in 2016
Global Aftermarket Outlook—New Entrants and Disruptive Models
Aftermarket Outlook
Emerging Technologies in the Bay
Trends Impacting Vehicle Service
Future Service Delivery Models
Garage of Tomorrow
The Connected Parts Store in 2025
In-vehicle Sales
Aftermarket 2025—Transforming B2B eCommerce Channel
12. Key Conclusions
Key Conclusions and 2016 Outlook
Legal Disclaimer
13. Appendix
Abbreviation List


List of Figures & Charts

1. Automotive Market: OEM YoY Sales Trend, Global, 2014–2015*
2. Comparative Analysis of OEMs’ Telematics Services, North America, 2015
3. Powertrain Market: Crude Oil Price Impact, Global, 2015–2016
4. Powertrain Market: Technology Focus of OEMs, Global, 2016
5. Powertrain Market: Vehicle Growth Outlook by Region and Propulsion Type, Global, 2015–2016
6. Implementation of WLTP in Key Regions
7. Technologies that Support Diesel Systems to Adopt WLTP
8. EV Market: AC Charging Points, Europe, 2015
9. Outlook for Global Autonomous Driving Market: Sensor Fusion, Global, 2014–2016
10. Toyota Recalls, Global, 2010–2014
11. Powertrain Market: Crude Oil Price Impact, Global, 2015–2016


1. Automotive Market: Senior Management Top-of-Mind Issues, Global, 2015–2016
2. Automotive Market: Light Vehicle Sales, Global, 2015 and 2016
3. Automotive Market: OEM Sales, Global, 2014 and 2015*
4. Automotive Market: Top 5 Light Vehicle Markets by Sales, Global, 2014 and 2015
5. Automotive Market: Light Vehicle Sales by OEM, Global, 2015 and 2016
6. Automotive Market: Light Vehicle Sales, G5 and E5, 2015 and 2016
7. Automotive Market: Light Vehicle Sales, US, 2015 and 2016
8. Automotive Market: Light Vehicle Sales, China, 2015 and 2016
9. Segment Sales as a Percentage of Total Sales, US, 2012-2016
10. Automotive Market: Light Vehicle Sales, BRIC, 2015 and 2016
11. Automotive Market: Light Vehicle Sales, MISTA and Stan & Jan, 2015 and 2016
12. Automotive Market: Light Vehicle Sales, BRI, MISTA, Stan & Jan, 2015 and 2020
13. Automotive Market: Key Model Launches*, Global, 2015
14. Automotive Market: Key Model Launches*, Global, 2016
15. Automotive Sales by Segment, Global, 2012–2016
16. SUV Sales by Segment, Global, 2015–2016
17. FCV Technology, Global, 2015–2020
18. Trifecta Model Launches, Global, 2016–2020
19. Key Vehicle Recalls, Global, 2010–2015
20. Top Investment Destinations, Global, 2010–2020
21. Automotive M&A Deals, Global, 2013, 2014, and 2015
22. Selected Companies’ Gender Diversity, Global, 2015
23. Global Export Destinations, China, 2011, 2013, and 2015
24. Market Share of Automotive Export Industry, China, 2014
25. Average Vehicle Age and New Vehicle Sales, Europe, 2010–2020
26. Vehicles in Operation by Age, Europe, 2013
27. Average Vehicle Age, North America, 2012–2022
28. Vehicles in Operation by Age, US, 2012
29. Key Trends, ASEAN, 2016
30. Passenger Vehicles: Top 5 Predictions, ASEAN, 2015–2020
31. Passenger Vehicle Sales by Segment, Malaysia, 2013–2016
32. Passenger Vehicle Sales by Segment, Indonesia, 2013–2016
33. Passenger Vehicle Sales by Segment, Thailand, 2013–2016
34. Automotive Technology Focus Areas, ASEAN, 2015 and 2020
35. Powertrain Market: Crude Oil Price Trend, Global, 2011–2016
36. EV Market: Sales by Country, Global, 2015
37. EV Market: Percent Sales Breakdown by Region, Global, 2015
38. EV Market: Percent Sales Breakdown by EV Type, Global, 2015
39. EV Market: EV Sales in Selected States, US, 2013 and 2014
40. EV Market: Futuristic FCV Approach by Major OEMs, Global, 2015–2020
41. EV Market: Unit Shipment Forecast by Region and Technology, Global, 2015 and 2016
42. Outlook for Global Autonomous Driving Market: Key Trends, Global, 2016
43. Outlook for Global Autonomous Driving Market: Levels 2 and 3 Autonomous Driving, Global, 2016
44. Outlook for Global Autonomous Driving Market: Impact of Lidar, Global, 2014–2016
45. Outlook for Global Autonomous Driving Market: Impact of 48V, Global, 2016
46. Outlook for Global Autonomous Driving Market: Sensor Fusion, Global, 2014–2016
47. Connected Vehicle Trends, North America and Europe, 2015–2016
48. Connected Car: Key Avenues, Global, 2015
49. Automotive Cloud Computing: Key Applications and Use Cases, North America and Europe, 2015
50. Cloud Computing: OEM Focus Areas, North America and Europe, 2010–2025
51. Cybersecurity Industry Initiatives and Impact Analysis, Global, 2015
52. Carsharing Market: Highlights*, Global, 2014 and 2016
53. Ridesharing Market: Highlights*, Global, 2014 and 2016
54. Integrated Mobility: Key Market Participants, Global, 2015–2016
55. Integrated Mobility: On-Demand Mobility Services, Key Market Participants, Europe, 2015



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