Global Automotive Industry Outlook, 2016

Sales to Skyrocket Amid Niche Technologies Moving Mass Market and Changes Across Automotive Value and Supply Chains

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This research service discusses the 2016 outlook for the global automotive industry in detail. It illustrates the growth or slowdown of regional markets in 2015 and analyzes the expected market performance in 2016. It delves into original equipment manufacturer (OEM) strategies to excel in the target markets and segments, and introduces technology trends in 2016. This study will benefit the entire automotive value chain including OEMs, car rental and fleet companies, financial service providers, carsharing operators, technology solution providers, and a host of other industry participants looking to understand current automotive trends and their implications.

Table of Contents

Executive SummaryKey Highlights of 2015Bold Predictions for 2016Disruptive Trends in 20162015–2016 Industry Senior Management Top-of-Mind IssuesResearch Scope and SegmentationResearch ScopeVehicle SegmentationKey Global Automotive Sales TrendsGlobal Light Vehicle Sales by Region—A SnapshotWinners of 2015Top 5 Markets by Sales Volume in 2015Global Light Vehicle Sales by OEM—A SnapshotKey Regional Market—Europe (G5 vs. E5)Key Regional Markets—United States and ChinaKey Regional Market—Emerging Economies (BRIC)Key Regional Market—Emerging Economies (MISTA and Stan & Jan)Key Regional Markets—BRI, MISTA, Stan & JanKey Launches in 2015Key Launches in 2016Key Automotive Trends to WatchRise of the SUV Segment Emerging Technologies—Shift from Niche to Mass MarketTrifecta Vehicle Design Scaling Up in 2016Scalable Partnerships the Name of the GameRecalls to Restructure the Automotive IndustryDigitalization Reshaping the Automotive Retail ProcessTrend Toward Localization of ManufacturingNew Revenue Opportunities Through Value-Added ServicesSuppliers Driving Automotive M&A ActivityTech Invasion—The Way ForwardBeyond Apple and Google—Shift in Power Balance?Women in the Auto Industry—Both Sides of the TableInternational Expansion of Chinese OEMsAverage Vehicle Age and New Vehicle Sales—EuropeAverage Vehicle Age—United StatesFrost & Sullivan’s Assessment of the Dieselgate Fiasco and the Magnitude of its ImpactVW Group Emissions Scandal—Short- to Medium-Term ImpactASEAN Market OutlookASEAN—Key TrendsKey Predictions—ASEANMarket Share by Segment—MalaysiaKey Policies and Regulations—MalaysiaMarket Share by Segment—IndonesiaKey Policies and Regulations—IndonesiaMarket Share by Segment—ThailandKey Policies and Regulations—ThailandTechnology Focus Areas in ASEAN in 2015 and 2020Powertrain OutlookGlobal Powertrain Mix—Unit Shipment by Region SnapshotGlobal Crude Oil Price Trend and Regional ImpactKey 2016 Powertrain Market TrendsPowertrain Technology Development—OEM FocusGrowth Outlook by Region and Propulsion TypeRegional Strategy for Testing ProceduresImpact to Regulatory Framework Due to Emission ScandalVW Crisis—Push Towards EVsTop Powertrain and EV Predictions for 2016eMobility OutlookEV Sales 2015EV Sales—United StatesEV Charging Points—United StatesEV Charging Points—EuropeFuturistic Approach by Leading OEMsUnit Shipment Forecast by Region and TechnologyEV OutlookIntelligent Mobility OutlookKey Market Trends—2016Realization of Levels 2 and 3 Autonomous DrivingDisruption to Commercialization—New Sensing SolutionsSupplier-Level Consolidation Leading to New Market OpportunitiesLidar—Enabler of Automated Driving48V Power Net—Enabler of Automated DrivingSensor Fusion—Enabler of Automated DrivingConnectivity and Big Data Analytics OutlookTop-Level Solution TrendsOpportunities—Functional Areas of Connected Car Technology5G in CarsRethinking Automotive with Big DataConnected Car—Key Avenues for MonetizationConnected Cars and Autonomous Vehicles Bolster Cloud AdoptionCloud Computing Transition from Non-Core to Critical Futuristic Use CasesConnected Car Cybersecurity—Industry Initiatives and Impact Analysis2016 Top 5 PredictionsMobility OutlookCarsharing as a Component of Integrated MobilityStrong Public Transit Networks to Support Growth of RidesharingIntegrated Mobility Service Providers Unite to Cater to Customer NeedsPilot Projects Boosting Popularity of On-demand MobilityAdvancements and Trends in 2016Aftermarket OutlookKey Aftermarket Trends in 2016Key Aftermarket Trends in 2016 (continued)Global Aftermarket Outlook—New Entrants and Disruptive ModelsAftermarket Outlook—Emerging Technologies in the BayAftermarket Outlook—Trends Impacting Vehicle ServiceAftermarket Outlook— Future Service Delivery ModelsAftermarket Outlook— Garage of TomorrowAftermarket Outlook—The Connected Parts Store in 2025Aftermarket Outlook— In-vehicle SalesAftermarket 2025—Transforming B2B eCommerce ChannelKey ConclusionsKey Conclusions and 2016 OutlookLegal DisclaimerAppendixAbbreviation ListAbbreviation List (continued)

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