Global Commercial Aircraft Market Results and Outlook, Q4 2016

Model Changes and Delivery Pressures Drive Some OEMs into Less Than 1.0 Book-to-Bill Ratios

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This quarterly update of the global commercial aircraft production effort reflects adjustments to the ambitious production schedules reported in the last outlook, Q3 2016. These changes will have an effect on everyone in the supply chain, but will impact second and third tier suppliers most significantly during the in-progress model changes. This will result in revisions of the suppliers' production schedules and their revenue expectations.

Research Scope:
• Program highlights (entry into service timeline)
• Aircraft production history and forecast (2010–2025)
• Delivery outlook (narrowbody production, widebody production, regional production, Boeing-Airbus unit share, Bombardier-Embraer revenue share, competitors’ book-to-bill ratio, OEM production and revenue share, operators’ regional distribution, and competitive M&A. This edition also includes a forecast for production of business jet aircraft.

As other OEMs forecast entry into the market, Airbus and Boeing continue their fight for dominance. Embraer and ATR are making life difficult for Bombardier in the regional aircraft market. Book-to-bill ratios are under 1.0 for several manufacturers.

Table of Contents

Global Commercial Aircraft Market Results and Outlook, Q4 2016Executive SummaryExecutive SummaryProgram UpdatesProgram Updates (continued)Program Updates (continued)Program Updates (continued)Production History and ForecastTotal Aircraft Production 2010–2025Mainline Delivery OutlookNarrowbody Delivery Outlook (Units as of End Q4 2016)Widebody Delivery Outlook (Units as of End Q4 2016)Boeing-Airbus—Continued EqualityAirbus Book-to-Bill RatioBoeing Book-to-Bill RatioRegional Aircraft Delivery OutlookRegional Delivery Outlook (Units as of End Q4 2016)Bombardier-Embraer—More Bad News for BombardierBombardier Book-to-Bill RatioEmbraer Book-to-Bill RatioMarket Share and Delivery Region OutlookOEM Production and Revenue Share 2016–2025Production—Operators’ Regional Distribution 2016–2025Business Jet Delivery OutlookBusiness Delivery Outlook (Units as of End Q4 2016)Legal DisclaimerThe Frost & Sullivan StoryThe Frost & Sullivan StoryValue Proposition: Future of Your Company & CareerGlobal PerspectiveIndustry Convergence360º Research PerspectiveImplementation ExcellenceOur Blue Ocean Strategy




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