Global Economic Outlook 2016

Recovery in Advanced Economies and Slowdown in Key Emerging Economies Likely

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The global economy is finally stabilizing after the Great Recession, although some weak spots and new risks remain in the growth trajectory. In 2016, the growth of very promising economies such as the United States and the United Kingdom is expected, while economies such as Japan and China are likely to slow down. Furthermore, a slowdown is underway for some key emerging markets like Brazil and Russia. This Frost & Sullivan study explores the 2015 trends that have a bearing on 2016 global economy, while highlighting the top predictions for 2016.

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary
Top Economic Trends of 2015
Trends
Description
Top Economic Predictions—2016
Prediction
Description
Top Predictions in 2016—Advanced Economies
The United States
The Euro Zone
Japan
Top Predictions in 2016—BRIC Nations
Brazil
Russia
India
China
S. Africa
World’s 20 Largest Economies in 2015
World’s 20 Fastest Growing Economies in 2015 and 2016
India
China
Vietnam
Malaysia
Others
World Economic Snapshot—2014–2016
2. Research Methodology
Research Scope
Definitions of Indicators and Measurements
3. World Economy in 2015
Snapshot by Key Regions—Top Trends in 2015
North America
Europe
Asia-Pacific
The Middle East and Africa
Latin America
Uneven Economic Growth Globally in 2015–2016
Slow Growing Emerging Economies will Dampen 2015-16 Outlook
Declining Oil and Commodity Prices— What is Behind the Drop?
Exchange Rate Movements
Industrial Production and Merchandise Trade
4. Global Outlook for 2016
Global Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Outlook—2016
Global Inflation Outlook—2016
Global Trade Position—2016
World Investment Position—2016
5. Risks to the Global Outlook
What are the Risks to Global Growth?
Financial and Economic Risks
Financial Market Turmoil (FR)
Lower Output / Productivity (ER)
Lower Commodity Prices (ER)
Geopolitical Risks
Slowdown in China
US Lift-off crisis for Emerging Markets
Geopolitical Disturbances
6. Regional Outlook 2016—Europe
Europe—Growth Upticks, Slowdown in Emerging Economies Hit Exports
Europe Economic Outlook 2016
Europe 2016—Risks and Policy Challenges
Risks to Growth
Expected Policy Reforms
7. Regional Outlook 2016—North America
North America—US Strengthens; Canada Recovers
North America 2016—Risks and Policy Challenges
8. Regional Outlook 2016—Latin America
Latin America—Weak Growth in 2015, 2016 may Show Rebound
Largest Economies in Latin America: What is the Outlook?
Latin America 2016—Risks and Policy Challenges
9. Regional Outlook 2016—Asia-Pacific
Asia-Pacific—Strong Growth, Buoyed Confidence, and Demand Recovery
Asia-Pacific 2016—Risks and Policy Challenges
10. Regional Outlook 2016—The Middle East and Africa
The Middle East—Low Oil Prices, Geopolitical Risks Dampen Growth
Africa—Dull Commodity Outlook and EI Niño Dampen Growth
The Middle East and Africa 2016—Risks and Policy Challenges
11. Key Conclusions of 2016 Global Economic Outlook Conclusions
12. Appendix
Important Macroeconomic Indicators for Selected Countries
North America
Latin America
Asia-Pacific
Western Europe
Eastern Europe
The Middle East and Africa
Legal Disclaimer
Market Engineering Methodology


List of Figures & Charts

1. Important Macroeconomic Indicators for Selected Countries, North America, 2010–2016
2. Important Macroeconomic Indicators for Selected Countries, Latin America, 2010–2016
3. Important Macroeconomic Indicators for Selected Countries, Asia-Pacific, 2010–2016
4. Important Macroeconomic Indicators for Selected Countries, Western Europe, 2010–2016
5. Important Macroeconomic Indicators for Selected Countries, Eastern Europe, 2010–2016
6. Important Macroeconomic Indicators for Selected Countries, The Middle East and Africa, 2010–2016


1. 20 Largest Economies, Global, 2015
2. GDP Growth: Top 20 Fastest Growing Economies, ’15,’16
3. GDP Growth of Selected Countries, Global, 2014–2016
4. Real GDP Growth, Global, 2000–2018
5. Real GDP Growth, Emerging Countries, 2000–2018
6. Crude Oil Prices, Global, 2012–2015
7. Commodity Price Indices, Global, 2012–2015
8. Exchange Rate/$, Selected Countries, 2014–2015
9. Exchange Rate/$, Europe and China, 2014–2015
10. Industrial Production and Merchandise Exports, Global, 2014–2015
11. Real GDP Growth, Global, 2012–2016
12. Inflation, Selected Countries, 2012–2016
13. Net Exports, Developed vs Emerging Countries, 2000–2016
14. FDI Inflows, Global, 1995–2014
15. GDP Growth of Selected Countries, Europe, 2015E and 2016F
16. Trade, GDP and Unemployment, Europe, 2010–2020
17. Inflation, Oil Prices, Selected Countries, Europe, 2010–2016
18. GDP Growth, North America, 2010-2016
19. Trade and Domestic Demand, North America, 2010–2016
20. GDP Growth by Region, Global, 2010–2016
21. Non-Energy Commodity Price Index, Global, 2010–2016
22. Nominal GDP, Top 20 Largest Latin American Economies, ’15,’16
23. GDP Growth of Selected Countries, Asia-Pacific, 2015, 2016
24. Movement of Yuan, China, 2012–2015
25. GDP Growth of Selected Countries, The Middle East, 2015 and 2016
26. OPEC Real Net Oil Export Revenues, 2010–2016
27. GDP Growth of Selected Countries, Africa, 2015 and 2016
28. Inflation of Selected Countries, Africa, 2010–2016



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