Global Outlook of the Oil and Gas Industry, 2016

Plummeting Upstream Capex Investments Unlock Exciting New Asset Acquisition Opportunities, Downstream to Benefit from Strong Refinery Margins and Storage Investments

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The decline in the oil price has had a massive impact on the sector and the wider economy. Upstream capital expenditures (capex) have been significantly cut, with many exploration and production projects being put on hold. However, for the midstream and downstream, investment is continuing, as participants invest for the longer term. The decline in the oil price is causing hardships for some exploration companies, but will create opportunities for those with the financial resources to acquire value assets that become available. On the equipment side, all suppliers are under pressure to reduce costs; the oilfield service companies that enjoyed high margins in the recent boom are particularly impacted.

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary
Key Predictions for 2016
Top Predictions for 2016
What Frost & Sullivan Said in 2015 and What Actually Happened
Regional Trends 2016
North America
Latin America
Europe
Africa
China
Middle East
Oil and Gas in Numbers
Associated Research and Multimedia on Oil and Gas
2. Research Scope and Segmentation
Research Scope
Industry Value Chain, Global, 2016
3. 2016 Oil and Gas Industry Outlook
Key Dynamics Impacting the Oil Price in 2016
Geopolitics
Demand/Supply Imbalance
US Production Resilience
Strong US Dollar
Regional Winners and Losers of Lower Oil Prices, Global, 2016
Increasing versus Decreasing Oil Prices
Oilfield Services Market Share, Global, 2015
4. Upstream Outlook
Top Predictions for 2016
Capex Analysis - 10 Leading Oil Companies, Global, 2015–2016
Chevron
Shell
Exxon Mobil
Petrobras
Pemex
BP
Total
Petronas
CNOOC
Conoco Phillips
Oil Production Forecasts
Oil Production by Key Countries, Global, 2014
Oil Production by Key Countries, Global, 2015
Oil Production by Key Countries, Global, 2016E
Oil Production Costs versus Budget Break-even, 2016
Unconventional Oil Production
The Oil and Gas Production Conundrum
Unconventional
Conventional
Rig Production Forecasts
Operational Oil & Gas Rig Count Data and Forecast, Global, 2014–2016E
Unconventional Gas Production
5. Midstream Outlook
Top Predictions for 2016
Oil Transportation Costs
Rail
Truck
Pipeline
Tanker
Transportation—Shipping
LNG Investment
Key LNG Exporters and Importers, Global, 2016
LNG Liquefaction Facility by Region, Global, 2014 and 2020
LNG Regasification Facility by Region, Global, 2014 and 2020
Gas Supply and Price Trends
LNG Estimated Landed Prices, Global, September 2014
LNG Estimated Landed Prices, Global, December 2015
6. Downstream Outlook
Top Predictions for 2016
Oil Refining
Refinery Capacity Construction—Asia, Middle East, and Africa
Oil Storage
Gas Storage
Per cent Working Gas Capacity Breakdown, Global, 2015
Working Gas Capacity Forecast by Region, Global, 2010, 2014, and 2018
7. Regional Outlook
Key Trends for 2016
Africa
South America
North America
Europe
Russia and CIS
The Middle East
APAC
China
8. Key Conclusions
Legal Disclaimer
9. Appendix
Global Economic Snapshot—2014–2016
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Growth, Key Countries, 2014–2016
2015–2016 to See Uneven Growth in Major Economies
Real GDP Growth, Global, 2000–2018
Growth in Emerging Economies will Dampen the 2015–2016 Outlook
Real GDP Growth, Emerging Countries, 2000–2018
Top 20 Largest Economies in 2015
Top 20 Fastest-growing Economies in 2015 and 2016
GDP Growth of Top-20 Fastest-growing Economies, Global, 2015 and 2016
Abbreviations
Market Engineering Methodology


List of Figures & Charts

1. Oil and Gas in Numbers
2. Oil & Gas Industry: Industry Value Chain, Global, 2016
3. Oil & Gas Industry: Regional Winners and Losers of Lower Oil Prices, Global, 2016
4. Oil & Gas Industry: Oilfield Services Market Share, Global, 2015
5. Oil & Gas Industry: Capex Analysis for 10 Leading Oil Companies, Global, 2015–2016
6. Oil & Gas Industry: Oil Production by Key Countries, Global, 2014
7. Oil & Gas Industry: Oil Production by Key Countries, Global, 2015
8. Oil & Gas Industry: Oil Production by Key Countries, Global, 2016E
9. Oil & Gas Industry: Production Costs vs. Budgeted Costs, Global, 2016
10. Unconventional Oil Production, US, Feb 2015 and Feb 2016
11. Location of Key Shale Reserves , US
12. Oil & Gas Industry: Operational Oil & Gas Rig Count Data and Forecast, Global, 2014–2016E
13. Unconventional Gas Production, US, March 2015 and March 2016E
14. Location of Key Shale Reserves , US
15. Key LNG Exporters and Importers, Global, 2016
16. Oil & Gas Industry: LNG Liquefaction Facility by Region, Global, 2014 and 2020
17. Oil & Gas Industry: LNG Regasification Facility by Region, Global, 2014 and 2020
18. Oil & Gas Industry: LNG Estimated Landed Prices, Global, September 2014
19. Oil & Gas Industry: LNG Estimated Landed Prices, Global, December 2015
20. Oil & Gas Industry: Refining Margins, Global, Sep 2015–Jan 2016
21. Oil & Gas Industry: Capacity Addition Planned, Asia, Middle East, and Africa, 2016–2020
22. Oil Storage Capacity to be Completed, Global, 2016
23. Existing Oil Storage Capacity Ownership Percentage, Global, 2016
24. Oil & Gas Industry: Per cent Working Gas Capacity Breakdown, Global, 2015
25. Oil & Gas Industry: Working Gas Capacity Forecast by Region, Global, 2010, 2014, and 2018
26. Capex Gas Industry: Total Capex on E&P, Pipeline, and LNG, Africa, 2015 and 2016
27. Oil & Gas Industry: Total CAPEX on E&P, Pipeline, and LNG, South America, 2015 and 2016
28. Capex Gas Industry: Total Capex on E&P, Pipeline, and LNG, North America, 2015 and 2016
29. Capex Gas Industry: Total Capex on E&P, Pipeline, and LNG, Europe, 2015 and 2016
30. Capex Gas Industry: Total Capex on E&P, Pipeline, and LNG, Russia & CIS, 2015 and 2016
31. Capex Gas Industry: Total Capex on E&P, Pipeline, and LNG, Middle East, 2015 and 2016
32. Capex Gas Industry: Total Capex on E&P, Pipeline, and LNG, APAC, 2015 and 2016
33. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Growth, Key Countries, 2014–2016
34. Real GDP Growth, Global, 2000–2018
35. Real GDP Growth, Emerging Countries, 2000–2018
36. 20 Largest Economies, Global, 2015 and 2016
37. GDP Growth of Top-20 Fastest-growing Economies, Global, 2015 and 2016



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