Growth Opportunities in Chinese Commercial Truck Market, Forecast to 2025

Digitalization and New Energy Powertrain to Transform the Commercial Truck Market in China

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China owns the largest automotive market globally. The Chinese commercial truck market is expected to experience a positive growth at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.1% during 2016–2025. This is a mature market which is highly concentrated and led by Foton, Dongfeng, JAC, FAW, and CNHTC in China, with a joint market share of 53.7% across light-duty, medium-duty, and heavy-duty truck segments in 2016.

Digital freight brokerage, autonomous driving, connected service, digital transformation, rise of Chinese trucks, and new energy powertrain are the key growth opportunities that will drive demand for trucks during the long term. These new business areas are expected to improve logistics service and fleets’ driving experience in China.

The Chinese commercial truck market is expected to shift to a digitalized platform and modernized logistics performance, achieving seamless connectivity between upstream and downstream of supply chain integration, as well as the communication among commercial truck related enterprises, logistics firms, truck fleets, and truck drivers in China.

Diesel powertrain is expected to continue its dominance in the Chinese commercial truck market during the long term. Nevertheless, emission standard restriction, purchase incentive offered by both central and regional governments, as well as new launch of truck models are motivating the market adoption of new energy powertrain solution during the long term.

Light-duty truck will continue to enhance its largest market share among truck segment, accounting for 62.6% of new truck sales in 2025. Cold chain is targeted to be one of the fastest growing logistics businesses especially in the light-duty segment in China; key involvements are fresh food and take-away catering.

Research Scope
The aim of this study is to research, analyze, and forecast emerging commercial truck platform strategies in the light-duty, medium-duty, and heavy-duty commercial truck market. The study presents a strategic growth opportunity insight into the Chinese commercial truck market and its impact on the growing trends up to 2025.

Research Objectives
• To provide a strategic perspective of the commercial truck market in China, including key macro-economic factors, market drivers and restraints
• To provide market size and sales potential of light-duty, medium-duty, and heavy-duty commercial trucks up to 2025
• To provide competitive analysis on OEMs' market share movement based on several years
• To provide strategic growth opportunity analysis on current scenarios and future outlook
• To present an actionable set of recommendations for stakeholders to grow in the commercial truck market in China

Key Questions this Study will Answer
• What is the business environment of the commercial truck market that is impacted by the government’s plans in China?
• What are the growth opportunities strategies of key Chinese OEMs in developing commercial truck market in China?
• What are the current scenario and future outlook of digital freight brokerage activities in China?
• What are the key freight demands among different commercial truck segments including light-duty, medium-duty, and heavy-duty in China?
• What is the key commercial truck market transformation outlook of adopting global logistics trends attaching with the fulfillment of Chinese government’s plans?

The research discusses market overview, Mega Trends, and industry convergence implications, logistics market in China, digital freight brokerage, autonomous driving technology, connected truck, digital transformation, rise of Chinese trucks, new energy powertrain, market drivers and restraints, forecasts and trends, market share, and competitive analysis and growth opportunities. The study closes with conclusions and future outlook.

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary
Executive Summary—Key Findings of Commercial Truck Market
Executive Summary—Market Engineering Measurements
Executive Summary—Commercial Truck Market Development Roadmap
Executive Summary—Infrastructure Overview
Executive Summary—Emission Standard of China IV and China V
Executive Summary—Key Growth Opportunities in Chinese Truck Market
Executive Summary—Impact of China Railway Express 2016
Executive Summary—Impact of One Belt One Road
Executive Summary—Chinese Truck Market Structure by OEM-Level
Executive Summary—Key Commercial Truck OEMs Snapshot
Executive Summary—Key Findings and Future Outlook
2. Research Scope, Objectives, Background, and Methodology
Research Scope
Research Aims and Objectives
Research Background
Research Methodology
3. Definitions and Segmentation
Commercial Vehicle Segmentation
Commercial Truck Definitions
4. Market Overview
Market Overview—Distribution of Commercial Truck Market
Market Overview—Commercial Truck Market Development Roadmap
Market Overview 2016—Global Commercial Vehicle Production
Market Overview 2016—Global Commercial Vehicle Sales
Market Overview 2016—Powertrain Adoption
Market Overview 2016—Tonnage Capacity Adoption
Market Overview 2016—Truck Type Classification
Market Overview 2016—Most Popular Trucks in China
5. Mega Trends and Industry Convergence Implications
Impact of Top Mega Trends on Commercial Truck Market in China
6. Logistics Market in China
Logistics Market—Key Industries Collaboration Overview
Logistics Market—Key Logistics Development Trends
Logistics Market—Road Sector
Logistics Market—Railway Sector
Logistics Market—Waterway Sector
Logistics Market—Airway Sector
Logistics Market—Express Industry in China
Logistics Market—eCommerce Business in China
Logistics Market—Free Trade Zones in China
7. Digital Freight Brokerage
Digital Freight Brokerage—Digitization Development
Digital Freight Brokerage—Main Business Models in China
Digital Freight Brokerage—Main Business Models Overview in China
Digital Freight Brokerage—Key Market Trends in China
8. Autonomous Driving Technology
Autonomous Driving—Automation Levels
Autonomous Driving—Features and Technologies of Automation Levels
Autonomous Driving—Development Roadmap in China
Autonomous Driving—Current Development in China
Autonomous Driving—Key Market Trends in China
9. Connected Truck
Connected Truck—Key Regulation and Installation Snapshot in China
Connected Truck—Key Features Mandated by Chinese Government
Connected Truck—Main Business Models in China
Connected Truck—Business-to-Business (B2B) Value Chain Overview
Connected Truck—Key Market Trends in China
10. Digital Transformation
Digital Transformation—Digital Ecosystem Framework
Digital Transformation—Key Internet of Things Collaboration
Digital Transformation—Key Market Trends in China
Digital Transformation Case Study—New Trucks Sales Go Online
11. Rise of Chinese Trucks
Chinese Trucks—China’s Free Trade Agreement (FTA) Network
Chinese Trucks—Impact of China Railway Express 2016
Chinese Trucks—Impact of One Belt One Road
Chinese Trucks—Key Advantages of Chinese Trucks Export Market
Chinese Trucks—Export Segment Overview
12. New Energy Powertrain
New Energy Powertrain—Trucks Portfolio from Key OEMs
New Energy Powertrain—Purchase Incentive by Central Government
New Energy Powertrain—Purchase Incentive by Regional Government
New Energy Powertrain—Key Influencing Trends
New Energy Powertrain—Powertrain Adoption Forecast
13. Drivers and Restraints—Commercial Truck Market
Market Drivers
Market Restraints
14. Forecasts and Trends—Commercial Truck Market
Forecasts and Trends—Market Engineering Measurements
Forecasts and Trends—Unit Shipment Scenario Analysis
Forecasts and Trends—Unit Shipment Forecast by Segments
Forecasts and Trends—Forecast Scenario Assumptions to 2025
15. Market Share and Competitive Analysis—Commercial Truck Market
Competitive Analysis—Competitive Environment
Competitive Analysis—Market Share Analysis by Top 5 OEMs
Competitive Analysis—Heavy-Duty Truck Market Breakdown by OEMs
Competitive Analysis—Medium-Duty Truck Market Breakdown by OEMs
Competitive Analysis—Light-Duty Truck Market Breakdown by OEMs
16. Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action
Growth Opportunity—Commercial Truck Market in China
Growth Opportunities—Key Highlights of Commercial Truck Market
Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth
17. Truck Segment Analysis
Truck Segment Analysis—Key Takeaways
Truck Segment Analysis—Key Takeaways of Heavy-Duty Trucks
Truck Segment Analysis—Key Takeaways of Medium-Duty Trucks
Truck Segment Analysis—Key Takeaways of Light-Duty Trucks
Truck Segment Analysis—Price Positioning of Commercial Trucks
Truck Segment Analysis—Future Outlook
18. Conclusions and Future Outlook
Key Conclusions and Future Outlook
The Last Word—3 Big Predictions
Legal Disclaimer
19. Appendix
Abbreviations and Acronyms Used
Learn More—Next Steps
Market Engineering Methodology


List of Figures & Charts

1. Commercial Truck Market: Current and Future Outlook, China, 2016 and 2025
2. Commercial Truck Market: Unit Shipment Forecast, China, 2011–2025
3. Commercial Truck Market: Key Industry Participants, China, 2016
4. Commercial Truck Market: Commercial Truck Definition, China, 2016
5. Commercial Truck Market: Most Popular Trucks, China, 2016
6. Commercial Truck Market: Main Digital Freight Brokerage Business Models Overview, China, 2016
7. Commercial Truck Market: New Energy Powertrain—Trucks Portfolio from Key OEMs, China, 2016–2019
8. Commercial Truck Market: New Energy Powertrain—Purchase Incentive by Chinese Central Government, China, 2016–2020
9. Commercial Truck Market: New Energy Powertrain—Purchase Incentive by Key Regional Government, China, 2017
10. Commercial Truck Market: Key Market Drivers, China, 2017–2025
11. Commercial Truck Market: Key Market Restraints, China, 2017–2025
12. Commercial Truck Market: Market Engineering Measurements, China, 2016
13. Commercial Truck Market: Forecast Scenario, China, 2016–2025
14. Commercial Truck Market: Competitive Structure, China, 2016


1. Commercial Truck Market: Market Engineering Measurement, China, 2016
2. Commercial Truck Market: Development Roadmap, China, 2011–2025
3. Commercial Truck Market: Infrastructure Overview, China, 2015–2016
4. Commercial Truck Market: Emission Standards, China, 2015–2017
5. Commercial Truck Market: Key Growth Opportunities, China, 2016
6. Commercial Truck Market: Impact of Railway Express, China, 2016
7. Commercial Truck Market: Impact of One Belt One Road, China, 2016
8. Commercial Truck Market: Truck Market Structure by OEM-Level, China, 2016
9. Commercial Truck Market: Key Commercial Truck OEMs, China, 2016
10. Commercial Truck Market: Commercial Vehicle Segmentation, China, 2016
11. Commercial Truck Market: Distribution of Commercial Truck Market China, 2016
12. Commercial Truck Market: Commercial Truck Market Development Roadmap, China, 2011–2025
13. Commercial Truck Market: Commercial Vehicle Production, Global, 2016
14. Commercial Truck Market: Light-Duty Commercial Vehicle Production, Global, 2016
15. Commercial Truck Market: Medium & Heavy-Duty Commercial Vehicle Production, Global, 2016
16. Commercial Truck Market: Commercial Vehicle Sales, Global, 2016
17. Commercial Truck Market: Light-Duty Commercial Vehicle Sales, Global, 2016
18. Commercial Truck Market: Medium & Heavy-Duty Commercial Vehicle Sales, Global, 2016
19. Commercial Truck Market: Heavy-Duty Truck Breakdown by Powertrain Segments, China, 2016
20. Commercial Truck Market: Medium-Duty Truck Breakdown by Powertrain Segments, China, 2016
21. Commercial Truck Market: Light-Duty Truck Breakdown by Powertrain Segments, China, 2016
22. Commercial Truck Market: Heavy-Duty Truck Breakdown by Tonnage Capacity Adoption, China, 2016
23. Commercial Truck Market: Medium-Duty Truck Breakdown by Tonnage Capacity Adoption, China, 2016
24. Commercial Truck Market: Light-Duty Truck Breakdown by Tonnage Capacity Adoption, China, 2016
25. Commercial Truck Market: Heavy-Duty Truck Breakdown by Truck Type Classification, China, 2016
26. Commercial Truck Market: Medium-Duty Truck Breakdown by Truck Type Classification, China, 2016
27. Commercial Truck Market: Light-Duty Truck Breakdown by Truck Type Classification, China, 2016
28. Commercial Truck Market: Impact of Top Mega Trends, China, 2016
29. Commercial Truck Market: Logistics—Key Industries Collaboration Overview, China, 2016
30. Commercial Truck Market: Logistics—Key Logistics Development Trends, China, 2016
31. Commercial Truck Market: Logistics—Total Length of Public Road and Density, China, 2011–2016
32. Commercial Truck Market: Logistics—Public Road Breakdown by Classification, China, 2011–2016
33. Commercial Truck Market: Key Market Trends of Road Transportation, China, 2016
34. Commercial Truck Market: Logistics—Rail’s Operation Length, China, 2011–2016
35. Commercial Truck Market: Logistics—Key Market Trends of Rail Transportation, China, 2016
36. Commercial Truck Market: Logistics—Port’s Loading and Unloading Volume, China, 2011–2016
37. Commercial Truck Market: Logistics—Port’s Container Loading and Unloading Volume, China, 2011–2016
38. Commercial Truck Market: Logistics—Key Market Trends of Waterway Transportation, China, 2016
39. Commercial Truck Market: Logistics—Airport’s Loading and Unloading Volume, China, 2011–2015
40. Commercial Truck Market: Logistics—Airport’s Logistics Volume Breakdown by Region, China, 2011–2015
41. Commercial Truck Market: Logistics—Key Market Trends of Airway Transportation, China, 2016
42. Commercial Truck Market: Logistics—Express Delivery Volume Breakdown Region, China, 2011–2015
43. Commercial Truck Market: Logistics—Express Delivery Revenue Breakdown Region, China, 2011–2015
44. Commercial Truck Market: Logistics—Express Delivery Breakdown by Posting Location, China, 2016
45. Commercial Truck Market: Logistics—Key Market Highlights in the eCommerce Business, China, 2016
46. Commercial Truck Market: Logistics—eRetailing Sales, China, 2008–2015
47. Commercial Truck Market: Logistics—Free Trade Zones, China, 2017
48. Commercial Truck Market: Digitization Development in the Logistics Service, China, 2016
49. Commercial Truck Market: Main Digital Freight Brokerage Business Models, China, 2016
50. Commercial Truck Market: Key Market Trends of Digital Freight Brokerage, China, 2016
51. Commercial Truck Market: Automation Levels of Autonomous Driving, China, 2016–2035
52. Commercial Truck Market: Features and Technologies of Automation Levels, China, 2016
53. Commercial Truck Market: Development Roadmap of Autonomous Driving, China, Pre 2008–Post 2030
54. Commercial Truck Market: Current Autonomous Driving Development, China, 2016
55. Commercial Truck Market: Key Market Trends of Autonomous Driving, China, 2016
56. Commercial Truck Market: Connected Truck—Key Regulation and Installation Snapshot, China, 2016
57. Commercial Truck Market: Connected Truck—Key Telematics Features Mandated by Chinese Government, China, 2016
58. Commercial Truck Market: Main Business Models, China, 2016
59. Commercial Truck Market: Business-to-Business Telematics Value Chain Overview, China, 2016
60. Commercial Truck Market: Key Market Trends of Connected Truck, China, 2016
61. Commercial Truck Market: Digital Transformation—Digital Ecosystem Framework, China, 2016
62. Commercial Truck Market: Digital Transformation—Key Internet of Things Collaboration, China, 2016
63. Commercial Truck Market: Digital Transformation—Key Market Trends, China, 2016
64. Commercial Truck Market: New Trucks Sales Go Online, China, 2016
65. Key eCommerce Sales Achievement, China, 2016
66. Commercial Truck Market: China’s Free Trade Agreement Network, China, 2016
67. Commercial Truck Market: Impact of China Railway Express, China, 2016
68. Commercial Truck Market: Impact of One Belt One Road, China, 2016
69. Commercial Truck Market: Key Advantages of Chinese Trucks Export Market, China, 2016
70. Commercial Truck Market: Export Truck Sales Breakdown by Truck Segment, China, 2016
71. Commercial Truck Market: Export Truck Sales Breakdown by Powertrain Segment, China, 2016
72. Commercial Truck Market: New Energy Powertrain—Key Influencing Trends, China, 2016
73. Commercial Truck Market: Heavy-Duty Truck Breakdown by New Energy Powertrain Adoption, China, 2016 and 2025
74. Commercial Truck Market: Medium-Duty Truck Breakdown by New Energy Powertrain Adoption, China, 2016 and 2025
75. Commercial Truck Market: Light-Duty Truck Breakdown by New Energy Powertrain Adoption, China, 2016 and 2025
76. Commercial Truck Market: Heavy-Duty Truck Breakdown by Powertrain Adoption, China, 2016 and 2025
77. Commercial Truck Market: Medium-Duty Truck Breakdown by Powertrain Adoption, China, 2016 and 2025
78. Commercial Truck Market: Light-Duty Truck Breakdown by Powertrain Adoption, China, 2016 and 2025
79. Commercial Truck Market: Unit Shipment Scenario Analysis, China, 2016–2025
80. Commercial Truck Market: Unit Shipment Forecast by Segments, China, 2016–2025
81. Commercial Truck Market: Market Share Analysis by Top 5 OEMs, China, 2013–2016
82. Commercial Truck Market: Heavy-Duty Truck Market Share Breakdown by OEMs, China, 2016
83. Commercial Truck Market: Heavy-Duty Truck Market Share Breakdown by OEMs, China, 2025
84. Commercial Truck Market: Medium-Duty Truck Market Share Breakdown by OEMs, China, 2016
85. Commercial Truck Market: Medium-Duty Truck Market Share Breakdown by OEMs, China, 2025
86. Commercial Truck Market: Light-Duty Truck Market Share Breakdown by OEMs, China, 2016
87. Commercial Truck Market: Light-Duty Truck Market Share Breakdown by OEMs, China, 2025
88. Commercial Truck Market: Top 6 Growth Opportunities, China, 2016
89. Commercial Truck Market: Key Takeaways by Truck Segments, China, 2011–2025
90. Commercial Truck Market: Heavy-Duty Truck Unit Shipment and Key Takeaways, China, 2011–2025
91. Commercial Truck Market: Medium-Duty Truck Unit Shipment and Key Takeaways, China, 2011–2025
92. Commercial Truck Market: Light-Duty Truck Unit Shipment and Key Takeaways, China, 2011–2025
93. Commercial Truck Market: Price Positioning of Chinese Commercial Trucks, China, 2016
94. Commercial Truck Market: Future Outlook by Truck Segments, China, 2016–2025



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