Annual State of the South African Electricity Industry 2012

Annual State of the South African Electricity Industry 2012

Strategic Insight into a Rapidly Changing Market

RELEASE DATE
17-Jan-2014
REGION
Africa
Research Code: M919-01-00-00-00
SKU: EG00098-AF-MR_00593
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Description

The South African electricity industry is currently poised to enter a period of reform, particularly as discussions commence regarding the implementation of an Independent System and Market Operator (ISMO), which would take the transmission, distribution, system operator, and several other functions outside of Eskom. The country needs significant new-build capacity to come online in the next two decades, which should see the total generation capacity grow from 44 GW in 2012 to as much as 89 GW in 2030. A transition in the short-to-medium-term toward an ISMO will be beneficial to the nation's electricity industry and economy as a whole, as long as the implementation risks are mitigated accordingly.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

Executive Summary (continued)

Executive Summary—CEO’s Perspective

Overview of the Integrated Resource Plan

Historic Overview of the South African Electricity Industry

IRP Methodology

IRP Decision-making Criteria

IRP Decision-making Criteria (continued)

Drivers and Restraints

Drivers Explained

Drivers Explained (continued)

Restraints Explained

Restraints Explained (continued)

Diversification of the Electricity Generation Mix

Diversification of the Electricity Generation Mix (continued)

Technology Shares of New Capacity Additions

Total Planned New Builds

Key Decision-makers

Regulatory Structure

Regulatory Structure (continued)

Eskom’s Multi-year Price Determination Application (MYPD3)

How are Tariffs Calculated in South Africa?

Breakdown of the Multi-year Price Determination Application (MYPD3)

Electricity Price Path Forecast—Based on MYPD3

Electricity Usage by Key Sectors

Energy Mix Projections for MYPD3

Third-party Wheeling and Tariff Structure

Daily Load Curves with Megaflex and Ruraflex Tariffs

Electricity Price Competitiveness Discussion

The Renewable Energy IPP Procurement Programme (REIPPP)

The Renewable Energy IPP Procurement Programme (continued)

The Renewable Energy IPP Procurement Programme (continued)

The Renewable Energy IPP Procurement Programme (continued)

The Renewable Energy IPP Procurement Programme (continued)

The Renewable Energy IPP Procurement Programme (continued)

Conclusions

Legal Disclaimer

Who is Frost & Sullivan

What Makes Us Unique

TEAM Methodology

Our Global Footprint 40+ Offices

The South African electricity industry is currently poised to enter a period of reform, particularly as discussions commence regarding the implementation of an Independent System and Market Operator (ISMO), which would take the transmission, distribution, system operator, and several other functions outside of Eskom. The country needs significant new-build capacity to come online in the next two decades, which should see the total generation capacity grow from 44 GW in 2012 to as much as 89 GW in 2030. A transition in the short-to-medium-term toward an ISMO will be beneficial to the nation's electricity industry and economy as a whole, as long as the implementation risks are mitigated accordingly.
More Information
No Index Yes
Podcast No
Industries Energy
WIP Number M919-01-00-00-00
Is Prebook No