Large-Scale Renewable Energy Power Development Opportunities in Sub-Saharan Africa

Large-Scale Renewable Energy Power Development Opportunities in Sub-Saharan Africa

A Story About Bankability, Affordability, and Grid Capacity

RELEASE DATE
25-Sep-2015
REGION
Africa
Research Code: MB34-01-00-00-00
SKU: EG00140-AF-MR_00635

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Description

This research service on renewable energy (RE) power development opportunities in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) provides market drivers and restraints, overview of RE support policies prevalent in the region, ranking of countries offering the best market opportunities as well as a detailed list of operating and RE power projects under development. In addition, the study identifies countries with the most conducive regulatory, political and economic landscape for RE power development.

Table of Contents

Aim and Scope

Limitations

Methodology

Key Findings

Key Findings (continued)

Key Findings (continued)

Key Findings (continued)

Renewable Energy Power Project Drivers

Renewable Energy Power Project Drivers (continued)

Renewable Energy Power Project Restraints

Renewable Energy Power Project Restraints (continued)

Description of RE Support Policies

2015 Outlook of Global Renewable Energy Policies

Adoption Timeline of Renewable Energy Policies

Early 2015 RE Support Policies in SSA

Historical IPP Presence

Offtaker/Sovereign Creditworthiness

Political and Commercial Risk Guarantees

Political and Commercial Risk Guarantees (continued)

FiT and Premium Payments—Kenya

FiT and Premium Payments—Kenya (continued)

FiT and Premium Payments—Uganda

FiT and Premium Payments—Uganda (continued)

FiT and Premium Payments—Tanzania

FiT and Premium Payments—Tanzania (continued)

FiT and Premium Payments—Rwanda

FiT and Premium Payments—Nigeria

FiT and Premium Payments—Nigeria (continued)

FiT and Premium Payments—Ghana

FiT and Premium Payments—Ghana (continued)

FiT and Premium Payments—“Policies In the Making”

FiT and Premium Payments—Discontinued Policies

National Green Economy Strategy

Solar (PV and CSP) Resource Potential

Wind Resource Potential

Top 15 SSA Countries for CSP Resource Potential

Top 15 SSA Countries for Solar PV Resource Potential

Top 15 SSA Countries for Wind Resource Potential

SSA Countries with Geothermal Resource Potential

Country Ranking Methodology

Why These Factors?

Country Ranking Results—RE Support Policies

Country Ranking Results—Ease of Doing Business

Country Ranking Results—Corruption Perceptions Index

Country Ranking Results—Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism

Country Ranking Results—Global Competitiveness Index-Basic Requirements

Country Ranking Results—GDP (PPP)

Country Ranking Results—Electrification Rate

CSP—Final Weighted Score and Ranking

PV—Final Weighted Score

Wind—Final Weighted Score

Geothermal—Final Weighted Score

Top 5 Summary

Top 5 Summary (continued)

Outsiders—Ethiopia and Ghana

Outsiders—Côte d’Ivoire and Zambia

Existing RE Power Installed Capacity

Selected Operational RE Power Projects

Existing RE Power Installed Capacity—Explained

Limitations

Pipeline of RE Projects

Pipeline of RE Projects (continued)

Pipeline of RE Projects (continued)

Pipeline of RE Projects (continued)

Pipeline of RE Projects (continued)

Pipeline of RE Projects (continued)

Pipeline of RE Projects (continued)

Pipeline of RE Projects (continued)

Pipeline of RE Projects (continued)

Pipeline of RE Projects (continued)

Pipeline of RE Projects (continued)

Pipeline of RE Projects (continued)

Pipeline of RE Projects (continued)

Pipeline of RE Projects (continued)

Pipeline of RE Projects (continued)

Pipeline of RE Projects (continued)

Pipeline of RE Projects (continued)

Pipeline of RE Projects—Explained

Pipeline of RE Projects—CSP Country Breakdown

Pipeline of RE Projects—Solar PV Country Breakdown

Pipeline of RE Projects—Wind Country Breakdown

Pipeline of RE Projects—Geothermal Country Breakdown

Africa Power Sector 2030—Total Future Investments

Africa Power Sector 2030—IRENA High RE Scenario

Africa Power Sector 2030—IRENA Low RE Scenario

Africa Power Sector 2030—IEA Africa Energy Outlook

Africa Power Sector 2030—IEA Africa Energy Outlook (continued)

Africa Power Sector 2030—IEA Forecasts Comments

Africa Power Sector 2030—Comparison

Main Challenges

Bankability

Grid Capacity and Electricity Affordability

South Africa REIPPPP Example

Future Requirements

New Financing Scheme—Scaling Solar Programme

New Financing Scheme—Scaling Up RE Programme

Conclusion

Legal Disclaimer

List of Acronyms

List of Acronyms (continued)

List of Acronyms (continued)

The Frost & Sullivan Story

Value Proposition: Future of Your Company & Career

Global Perspective

Industry Convergence

360º Research Perspective

Implementation Excellence

Our Blue Ocean Strategy

Related Research

This research service on renewable energy (RE) power development opportunities in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) provides market drivers and restraints, overview of RE support policies prevalent in the region, ranking of countries offering the best market opportunities as well as a detailed list of operating and RE power projects under development. In addition, the study identifies countries with the most conducive regulatory, political and economic landscape for RE power development. In this research, Frost & Sullivan's expert analysts thoroughly examine the following technologies:

  • solar photovoltaic (PV)
  • concentrated solar power (CSP)
  • wind power
  • geothermal power

Market Overview

Need for long-term sustainability promotes RE sector

The increasing focus on sustainable power generation is driving SSA to move from fossil fuels to RE. The region's large untapped RE resources, including solar, wind, hydro and geothermal, are further promoting this trend. However, the low bankability of RE projects, limited grid capacity and stability, and the lack of economies of scale (in terms of electricity demand) are holding back the implementation of large-scale RE power projects. The reluctance of some countries in the region to allow the private sector to develop power projects, even though it has been proven to be a more cost-effective strategy, is also hindering the growth of the sector. Government's willingness to involve the private sector and ensure clear policies and regulations for the development of independent power producers (IPPs) will greatly facilitate new RE power projects.

East and Southern Africa are showing the highest market potential. Being the most advanced economy in SSA with high RE targets, South Africa is experiencing a significant amount of investments in new large-scale CSP, PV, and wind power projects. This success is bolstered by the 2011 implementation of the Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Program (REIPPPP). Following South Africa, Tanzania, Kenya, Namibia, Zambia, Nigeria, and Botswana present the best opportunities. Ghana, Cote d'Ivoire, and Ethiopia also deserve particular attention for future investment opportunities due to their favourable legislative and institutional framework and governments' inclination to fast-track the development of RE power projects. Burgeoning RE power projects will also drive a green economy and help in creating jobs in related fields such as construction, operation, and maintenance of RE power plants.

More Information
No Index No
Podcast No
Author Celine Paton
Industries Energy
WIP Number MB34-01-00-00-00
Keyword 1 Power generation
Keyword 2 Renewable Energy Power Development program
Keyword 3 renewable energy in africa
Is Prebook No