Mega Trends in Russia

Russia's Growth Story Post the Ruble-Oil Crisis

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25 years after the fall of the Soviet Union, Russia remains burdened with economic, social, and political crises. The recent ruble-oil crisis further weakened the economy. By examining the key Mega Trends in Russia, along with other factors that will impact and shape the country’s economy, this presentation discusses how the economic, political, and social environment of the country will change in the coming years. Further, the study provides insights on future demographic trends, growing levels of foreign investment, infrastructure development, growing digital trends, and mobile connectivity, from Russia's perspective.

Table of Contents

1. Executive summary
Key Findings
Digital Diffusion in Russia
Internet Economy in Russia
Online Retail Landscape in Russia
Household Appliances & Consumer Electronics
Home Items
Clothing, Footwear
Computers, Notebooks, Computer Parts
Others
GenY Population in Russia
Ageing Russia
Ageing Russia Demands
Russia’s Economic Prospects
Russia—Focus on China
Russia-China Mega Gas Supplies Projects
Russia-China Strategic Partnership—Key Opportunities
Urbanisation in Russia—Mega Cities and Mega Regions
Future Infrastructure Development Trends—Infrastructure Spending
Future Infrastructure Development Trends—Private Investments
Health, Wellness, and Well-being—Healthcare Trends
Key Trends in Russian Healthcare
Optimisation
One-channel financing
Regionalisation
Growing private segment
Health, Wellness, and Well-being—Private Healthcare Services Market
Key Trends
Key Market Participants
Smart City Projects in Russia
Smart City Skolkovo (2010–2020) Investment of
Kazan Smart City (2010–2020)
Energy Mix in Russia
Energy Efficiency in Russia—Targets of the Energy Policy 2020
Taxi Hailing in Russia
eHail Service
Opportunities
Challenges
2. Research Methodology
Research Scope
Study Period
Forecast Period
Geographic Scope
Industries Covered
Research Aims and Objectives
Research Background
Research Methodology—From Macro to Micro
Identifying the Mega Trend through Brainstorming Sessions
Identifying Sub-trends through Scenario-building Exercises
Assessing the Impact of the Mega Trend on a Micro Level
Opportunity Analysis
Definitions Used in the Study
3. Mega Trend 1—Connectivity and Convergence
Digital Diffusion in Russia
Internet Economy in Russia
Russian Digital Game Market
Mobile Payment Revolution in Russia
Space Jam
4. Mega Trend 2—Bricks and Clicks
Online Retail Landscape in Russia
Russia’s Online Retail Audience
China’s Presence in Russia’s eCommerce
aliexpress.com
Key Reasons for aliexpress.com’s Popularity in Russia
Trends in Russian Online Shopping Preferences
Online Audience
Payment Methods
Regional Perspective
5. Mega Trend 3—Social Trends
Social Trends in Russia
Demographic Trends in Russia
GenY Population in Russia
Ageing Russia
Social Trends—Women Empowerment
Emerging Social Trends, 2025
Social Trends—Income Pyramid
6. Mega Trend 4—Economic Trends
Russia’s Economic Prospects
Russia in Global Trade
Russia’s FDI Prospects
Future of the Ruble
Russia—Focus on China
Russia’s Import Substitution Policy
Priority Industries for Import Substitution in Russia
Automotive industry
Civil aircraft
Cable and electrical engineering
Light industry
Others
Russia’s Big Bets in Innovation
NTI Key Markets and Technologies
NTI—Strategic Imperative
NTI Markets—Characteristics
7. Mega Trend 5—Urbanisation Trends
Urbanisation in Russia—Mega Cities and Mega Regions
Mega City Moscow—Investment Strategy 2025
Investment Strategy: Objectives and Results
Moscow Mega City Facts
The Implications
Case Study—Urban Sprawl, Moscow, 2025
Transport Corridors in Russia
8. Mega Trend 6—Future Infrastructure Development Trends
Infrastructure Spending
Private Investments
Future High-speed Rail
Expansion of Aviation
Expansion of Highways
Expansion of Seaports
Development of Crimea
Kerch Transport Corridor Mega Project
Incentives for Businesses
Development of the Far East and Baikal Regions
Programme for Territories of Accelerated Development (TADs)
Development of the North Caucasian Region
Key opportunities
Tourism Hub in the North Caucasian Region
9. Mega Trend 7—Health, Wellness, and Wellbeing
Healthcare Trends
Public Spending on Healthcare
Private Healthcare Services Market
Public-Private Partnerships
Public-Private Partnership Schemes
Key Advantages of Public-Private Partnerships
Pharmaceutical Market
Key government policies
EEU Pharmaceutical Market
EEU members
Medical Technologies Market
Medical Clusters
Key Benefits
Healthcare IT
Healthcare IT – Current Status
Healthcare IT in 2018
10. Mega Trend 8—Smart Cities
Smart City Projects in Russia
Case Study—Kazan Smart City
Investors
Sustainability Targets
Moscow City Smart Initiatives
Smart Government
Smart Citizen
Smart ICT
11. Mega Trend 9—Energy and Resources
Energy Mix in Russia
Fuel Economy of Russia
Energy Efficiency in Russia—Targets of the Energy Policy 2020
Russia's Energy Trade
Oil and Gas Sector—Development Strategy 2030
Oil and Gas Sector: Development Phases in Natural Gas, Russia, 2009–2030
Exploration and Production Activities
Pipeline and Storage Infrastructure
Oil and Gas Sector—Production and Investment
Power Sector of Russia—Expected to Generate 2237 Billion KWH by 2030
Investment in Russia’s Power Sector
Oil Price Volatility in Russia
12. Mega Trend 10—Future of Mobility
Russian Urban Mobility Landscape
Urban Mobility
Private
Public
Taxi Hailing in Russia
Ridesharing is Dominated by CarpoolWorld and BlaBlaCar
Ridesharing Options, Russia, 2015
CarpoolWorld
BlaBlaCar
Urban Mobility in Russia
Russian Public Transport Becomes Automated with the Russia One Tram
13. Future of Russia—In Summary
Future of Russia
14. The Frost & Sullivan Story


List of Figures & Charts

1. Internet Penetration, Russia, 2025
2. Population by Province, Russia, 2014
3. Healthcare Providers, Russia, 2013
4. Key Market Participants, Private Healthcare Services Market, Russia, 2011, 2015, and 2019, Financial Services Ecosystem, Russia, 2025
5. Top 10 Online Retailers, Russia, H1 2015
6. Top 10 Online Retail Sites, Russia, 2014
7. Women’s Empowerment, Russia, 2014–2025
8. Russia in Global Trade, Q1-Q3 2015
9. Russia’s Top 10 Trade Partners, Q1-Q3 2015
10. Top Countries by FDI into Russia, 2014
11. Largest Road Construction and Modernisation Projects, Russia, 2010–2020
12. Railway Locomotive and Freight Wagons Demand, Russia, 2015–2020
13. Expansion of the Railway Network, Russia, 2010–2030
14. High-speed Railway Projects, Russia, 2014–2030
15. Largest Sea Ports’ Construction and Expansion Projects, Russia, 2010–2020
16. Key MIS Suppliers, Russia, 2014
17. Top Regions by Spending on Healthcare IT, Russia, 2014
18. Average Brent Oil Price, Global, 2015–2018*
19. Forecast of Average Brent Price by Oil and Gas Majors, Russia, 2016–2018*


1. Internet Economy, Russia, 2013 and 2025
2. Internet Economy as a Per cent of the GDP, Russia, 2025
3. Per cent Breakdown of Internet Economy, Russia, 2025
4. Online Retail Segments*, Russia, 2014
5. Per cent Split of Population by Age Group, Russia, 2014
6. Per cent Forecast Split of Population by Age Group, Russia, 2025
7. Population Pyramid, Russia, 2014 and 2025*
8. Russia’s Economic Prospects
9. Trade with China, Russia, 2008–2015
10. Gas Production (bcm/y)
11. Russia, 2014 and 2035
12. Share of Asia in Gas Exports, Russia, 2014 and 2035
13. Mega Cities and Mega Regions, Russia, 2025
14. Investments in Infrastructure, Russia, 2011–2020
15. Funding Sources for Transport Capital Investments, Russia, 2016–2020
16. Per cent Split of Private Pension Funds’ Investment Structure, Russia, 2014
17. Private Healthcare Services Market, Russia, 2011, 2015, and 2019
18. Energy Consumption by Fuel Type, Russia, 2015 and 2025
19. Energy Consumption by Sector, Russia, 2025
20. Digital Game Market: Revenue Forecast, Russia, 2015, 2020, and 2025
21. Digital Game Market: Per cent Forecast of Players by Age Group, Russia, 2025
22. Mobile Payment Revenue, Russia, 2014, 2018, 2022, and 2025
23. Satellite Launches, Russia, 2020
24. Space Industry, Russia, 2020
25. Total Visitors over the Past 6 Months
26. Online Shopping Audience*, Russia, 2014
27. Payment Types by Volume*, Russia, 2014
28. Online Shopping by Cities*, Russia, 2014
29. Population Breakdown by Region and Age, Global, 2014 and 2025*
30. Female Work Participation, Russia, 2014–2025
31. Population Breakdown by Economic Status, Russia, 2014 and 2025
32. FDI Inflows, Russia, 2013–2015
33. FDI Inflows, BRICS, 2013–2015
34. FDI Projects, Russia, 2012–2014
35. Ruble Exchange Rate, Russia, January 2014–January 2016
36. Key Rate of the Ruble, Russia, February 2014–October 2015
37. Inflation, Russia, 2012–2017
38. Urban Sprawl, Moscow, 2025
39. Railway Passenger and Freight Traffic, Russia, 2011–2020
40. Investment in High-speed Railways, Russia, 2014–2030
41. Top 10 Airports by Passenger Traffic, Russia, 2014
42. Passenger Traffic, Russia, 2010–2014
43. International Passenger Traffic, Russia, 2010-2020
44. Highways under GK Avtodor’s Management by 2030
45. GK Avtodor’s Annual Spending on Roads and High-speed Highways, Russia, 2010–2030
46. Top 10 Seaports by Turnover, Russia, 2014
47. Cargo Turnover in Seaports, Russia, 2010 and 2020
48. Controlled Fleet Deadweight, Russia, 2010 and 2020
49. Investments in Crimea’s Infrastructure, Russia, 2015–2020
50. Capital Investments in the Far East and Baikal Regions, Russia, 2015–2025
51. Far East and Baikal Regions of Russia
52. Private Fixed Capital Investments in the North Caucasian Federal District, Russia, 2015–2025
53. Total Private Fixed Capital Investments by Region, Russia, 2015–2025
54. State Spending* on Healthcare, Russia, 2014–2017
55. FFOMS** Spending on Healthcare, Russia, 2009–2017
56. Public-Private Partnership Projects, Russia, 2015
57. Pharmaceutical Market, Russia, 2010–2015
58. Pharmaceutical Market:
59. Share of Imported and Domestically Produced Drugs, Russia, 2014 and 2020
60. Pharmaceutical Market by Channel, Russia, 2014
61. Medical Technologies Market, Russia, 2013–2018
62. Medical Technologies Market by Channel, Russia, 2014
63. Medical Technologies Market: Imports and Domestic Production, Russia, 2014 and 2020
64. Pharma/biotech and Medical Technologies Clusters in Russia
65. Share of Energy Sector as a % of the GDP, Russia, 2010, 2015, 2020, and 2025
66. Investments in Energy Sector as a % of the GDP, Russia, 2010, 2015, 2020, and 2025
67. Net Exports by Energy Resource Type, Russia, 2010–2025
68. Net Exports to Non-CIS Countries versus CIS Countries, Russia, 2014
69. Gas Production by Region, Russia, 2015, 2020, 2025, and 2030
70. Oil Production by Region, Russia, 2015, 2022, and 2030
71. Per cent of Investment into the Gas Industry over the Next 20 Years, Russia
72. Per cent of Investment in Crude Oil over the Next 20 Years, Russia
73. Electricity Production by Source Type, Russia, 2015, 2022, and 2030
74. Electric Power Consumption by Sector, Russia, 2030
75. Planned Investments in the Electric Energy Sector by Source Type, Russia, 2015, 2022, and 2030



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