Modeling South Africa’s Energy Landscape

An Analysis of Power Supply and Demand till 2035 Using Excel Modeling

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A central database where information relating to South Africa's power supply and demand can be analysed does not exist. Every time an investor, an academic, or private or public organisation needs information on this, the research has to start from the beginning. This study considers a set of assumptions and models the power supply and demand in South Africa up till 2035, as well as models only the supply up till 2060. The results aim to explain how a centralised, interactive model will be more efficient and provide a platform to analyse the effects of changes in the energy mix. The alternative relies on speculative information that poses risks, especially if the information is outdated.

Table of Contents

Modeling South Africa’s Energy LandscapeExecutive SummaryKey FindingsIntroductionMotivation and Objectives of AnalysisScope of Research Geographical and Technological Scope MethodologyResearch MethodologyAssumptionsCurrent Build ExpectationsSouth Africa—Power Sector AnalysisPower Supply—A Glance till 2060, BAUPower Supply—A Glance till 2060, BAU (continued)Power Supply—A Glance till 2060, BAU (continued)Power Supply—A Glance Until 2035, BAU Power Supply—A Glance Until 2034, BAU (continued)Power Supply—A Glance Until 2034, BAU DiscussionPower DemandFuture IPP Projects and their ContributionAssumptionsBringing IPPs to Light Power Supply—A Glance till 2060Power Supply—A Glance till 2060 (continued)How Does this Align with Other Forecasts How Does this Align with Other Forecasts (continued)ConclusionsConclusionsLegal DisclaimerAppendixAbbreviationsThe Frost & Sullivan StoryThe Frost & Sullivan StoryValue Proposition: Future of Your Company & CareerGlobal PerspectiveIndustry Convergence360º Research PerspectiveImplementation ExcellenceOur Blue Ocean Strategy

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