Opportunity Analysis of the Eastern European Rail Market: A 360-degree Perspective

Interoperability in Pan-European Context Driving Market Growth


The strategic insight provides an outlook of growth opportunities in the Eastern European rail market, primarily covering Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Romania, and Ukraine. Secondary and primary research was conducted, including interviews with suppliers, regulation authorities, and distributors. The study discusses key trends, market drivers, opportunities, market size, and forecast of rolling stock deliveries for the mainline, light rail, and metro segments. It also highlights competitive factors, competitor market shares, product portfolio, and capabilities for this region. Key conclusions and a future outlook of the market have been provided. The base year is 2012; the forecast period is through 2020.

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Table of Contents

Executive SummaryExecutive Summary—Key FindingsNew Construction is 21.4% of Total InvestmentEastern Europe Invests Less in Rail Compared with Western EuropeMajority of Light Rail Service is Less Frequent on Older TrainsCompetitive BenchmarkingLight Rail Technology RoadmapSignalling Systems Technology RoadmapExecutive Summary—Key Findings and Future Outlook Research Scope, Objectives, Background, and MethodologyResearch ScopeResearch Aim and ObjectivesKey Questions This Study Will AnswerResearch BackgroundResearch MethodologyKey OEM/Participant Groups Included in This StudyDefinitions and SegmentationRail Market SegmentationDefinitionsGeneral Rail Trends in Eastern EuropePoland and Ukraine are the Biggest Markets in Freight Rail TrafficRail Freight Losing Market Share to Road TransportationRail Freight Mainly Transports Products From Primary SectorsRail Passenger Traffic Affected by Increase in Sales of CarsRail Infrastructure is Heavily Underutilized in Eastern EuropeEU is Trying to Revitalize Railways in Eastern EuropeInvestment in Transportation Infrastructure is IncreasingFreight and Intercity Operators Show Best Labor Productivity FiguresOutsourced Services and Wages Are Highest Contributors to CostNetwork Access Charges in Poland and Czech Republic are Higher for FreightMega Trends and Industry Convergence ImplicationsImpact of Top 4 Mega Trends on the Eastern Rail Market Impact of Top 4 Mega Trends on the Eastern Rail Market (continued)Impact of Top 4 Mega Trends on the Eastern Rail Market (continued)External Challenges: Drivers and Restraints—Eastern European Rail MarketDrivers and RestraintsMarket DriversDrivers ExplainedMarket RestraintsRestraints ExplainedRail Track in Eastern EuropeRail Network is Bottlenecked by High Levels of Single-track UsageRail Network Density and Average Population Density are DependentUkraine and Czech Republic are Leading the Way in Line ElectrificationPoland’s HSR Plans Have Stalled Since 2012 Due to Lack of FundingRail Track Segment—ConclusionsUrban Rail in Eastern EuropeTechnology Trends in Light Rail Rolling StockThe Region Has 55 Light Rail Systems With Total Length of 5,500 kmPopulation Distribution of Light Rail Rolling StockPopulation Distribution of Light Rail Rolling Stock DiscussionPoland and Czech Republic Leading Markets for New Rolling StockLight Rail Rolling Stock Segment Competitive Analysis—Supplier Market ShareOrders Placed for Light Rolling StockOnly 7 Cities in the Region Have Metro SystemsSiemens, Alstom, and Bombardier are Emerging as Key PlayersUrban Rail Segment—ConclusionsMainline Rail Rolling StockOverview of Trends for in the Focus GeographyFleet Reduction is Pronounced Across the RegionMainline Segment Competitive Analysis—Supplier Market ShareNo Single Manufacturer is the Market Leader in More Than 1 CountryPopulation Distribution of Mainline Locomotives in Active ServicePopulation Distribution of Mainline Locomotives DiscussionTotal of 5,141 Diesel Units and Electric Multiple Units in Active ServiceUkraine and Romania Have Oldest Multiple Unit FleetThe Modernization of EN57 (Polish EMU) Case Study: ECO-4 Technology Package by BombardierPESA, Skoda, and TMH Have Monopolies in Local Multiple Unit MarketThe Freight Wagons Market is Declining The Passenger Wagons Market is Declining Rolling Stock OEM StrategiesCompetitor Benchmarking—Factors Used for Benchmark AnalysisRolling Stock Competitive AnalysisMainline Rail Segment—ConclusionsRail Signalling Systems in Eastern EuropeSignalling Systems Are Outdated and Reaching End of LifeSignalling Systems OverviewSignalling Systems Overview (continued)There is No Single Supplier of ERTMS With Market Share LeadershipHungary and Poland to Have Largest ETCS-enabled NetworkForecast of GSM-R Installations in the Mainline Rail in the Region Between 2012 and 2020 and Total Installed Capacity in 2020Forecast of ETCS L1/L2 Installations in the Mainline Rail in the Region Between 2012 and 2020 and Total Installed Capacity in 2020Signalling Segment—ConclusionsConclusionsThe Last Word—Three Big PredictionsKey Conclusions and Future Outlook Legal DisclaimerAppendixLight Rail Segment Competitive Analysis—Supplier Market ShareMainline Segment Competitive Analysis—Supplier Market ShareList of Abbreviations Relevant ResearchMarket Engineering Methodology




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