Overview of South Africa's Updated Integrated Resource Plan Released for Public Comment

Overview of South Africa's Updated Integrated Resource Plan Released for Public Comment

Scenario Planning for South Africa's Electricity Generation Capacity

RELEASE DATE
14-Jul-2014
REGION
Africa
Research Code: MA46-01-00-00-00
SKU: EG00120-AF-MR_00615
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Description

The Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) is South Africa’s master plan for new electricity generation capacity. The Integrated Resource Plan was developed by South Africa's Department of Energy (DoE) and the document sets out the projected demand for electricity in South Africa and then addresses how this demand is going to be met, in terms of electricity generation capacity, for the period to 2030. South Africa's DoE had the intention to update the Integrated Resource Plan biennially and, in 2014, an update to the original Integrated Resource Plan of 2010 was released for public comment. The final iteration of the document is expected to be published by the end of 2014, setting out the required power generation capacity additions and which technologies they will stem from.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

Executive Summary (continued)

IRP 2010—The Original Iteration of the IRP

Changed Conditions from 2010—Technology Options and Costs Update

Technology Cost Comparison—Overnight Capital Costs

Technology Cost Comparison—Overnight Capital Costs and Levelised Costs

Potential Economic Growth Paths

Expected Electricity Demand

Test Cases and Scenarios

Scenario Planning—Potential Demand Trajectories

Scenario Planning—IRP 2010 vs. the Base Case

Scenario Planning—The Base Case

Scenario Planning—Constant Emissions vs. the Moderate Decline and Advanced Decline Scenarios

Scenario Planning—The Three Emissions Scenarios

Scenario Planning—Constant Emissions vs. the Carbon Tax Scenario

Scenario Planning—The Carbon Tax Scenario

Scenario Planning—Advanced Decline vs the Carbon Budget Scenario

Scenario Planning—The Carbon Budget Scenario

Scenario Planning—Embedded Generation (Rooftop PV) vs. the Moderate Decline Scenario

Scenario Planning—The Embedded Generation (Rooftop PV) Scenario

Scenario Planning—Big Gas vs. the Moderate Decline Scenario

Scenario Planning—The Big Gas Scenario

Scenario Planning—The Big Gas Scenario (continued)

Scenario Planning—Nuclear Cost Sensitivity vs. Moderate Decline Scenario

Scenario Planning—The High Nuclear Cost Scenario

Scenario Planning—High Coal Cost vs. Moderate Decline Scenario

Scenario Planning—The High Coal Cost Scenario

Scenario Planning—Restrained Learning Rates vs. Moderate Decline Scenario

Scenario Planning—The Restrained Learning Rates Scenario

Scenario Planning—Solar Park vs. Moderate Decline Scenario

Scenario Planning—The Solar Park Scenario

Legal Disclaimer

The Frost & Sullivan Story

Value Proposition: Future of Your Company & Career

Global Perspective

Industry Convergence

360º Research Perspective

Implementation Excellence

Our Blue Ocean Strategy

The Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) is South Africas master plan for new electricity generation capacity. The Integrated Resource Plan was developed by South Africa's Department of Energy (DoE) and the document sets out the projected demand for electricity in South Africa and then addresses how this demand is going to be met, in terms of electricity generation capacity, for the period to 2030. South Africa's DoE had the intention to update the Integrated Resource Plan biennially and, in 2014, an update to the original Integrated Resource Plan of 2010 was released for public comment. The final iteration of the document is expected to be published by the end of 2014, setting out the required power generation capacity additions and which technologies they will stem from.
More Information
No Index Yes
Podcast No
Author Gareth Blanckenberg
Industries Energy
WIP Number MA46-01-00-00-00
Is Prebook No