South and East African Power Utilities, 2016

Reforms in Electricity Supply Industry Expected to Transform Power Infrastructure Scenario

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This research service contemplates the current scenario of the energy supply industry and its future developments in the target countries.
To reduce the over dependence on the conventional methods of power generation, these countries are trying to diversify their power generation mix by adding more renewable sources into the system. There is a necessity to expedite the process of organising additional funding to guarantee a viable service delivery for the future. The reforms in the electricity supply and distribution industry have resulted in higher rates of access to electricity, increased the ease of power trading and the awareness for cost-reflective pricing strategies. Power distribution and transmission projects will dominate the investments in urban electricity supply owing to the increasing urbanisation.

Key Questions This Study Will Answer:
•     What is the current energy scenario in the target countries?
•     What factors are driving and restraining the development of power infrastructure in South and East Africa?
•     How is the financial performance of power sector utilities?
•     What is the current infrastructure footprint of the power sector in the target economies?
•     What are the upcoming projects in the field of power generation, transmission, and distribution infrastructure in South and East Africa?
•     What are the opportunities for investments in the power sector in the target economies?

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary
Key Findings
Executive Summary—CEO’s Perspective
2. Introduction
Geographic Scope of Study
South and East Africa—Economic Outlook
Overview—Access to Electricity
3. Country Overview—South Africa
South Africa—Status of Electricity Industry
South Africa—Installed Capacity versus Peak Demand
South Africa—Electricity Mix
South Africa—International Sales
South Africa—Future Generation Plan
South Africa—Existing Transmission Infrastructure
South Africa—Future Investments in Transmission
South Africa—Revenue Generation
South Africa—Revenues per Customer Category
South Africa—Major Infrastructure Projects Underway
South Africa—Expenditure and Estimates by Eskom
South Africa—Capital Expenditure Distribution
South Africa—Financial Analysis of Eskom
Key Market Drivers
Growing demand across the sectors
Increasing public-private participation
Developments in transmission network
Revised IRP 2016 update
Key Market Restraints
Increasing financial pressure on Eskom
Eskom-IPP standoff
Maintenance and refurbishment backlogs
Price increase
4. Zimbabwe
Zimbabwe—Status of Electricity Industry
Zimbabwe—Existing Transmission Infrastructure
Zimbabwe—Revenue Generation by Zimbabwe Power Company
Zimbabwe—Sector-wise Consumption Patterns
Households
Manufacturing
Commercial
Mining
Agriculture
Zimbabwe—Funding for Power Projects
Zimbabwe—Funding for Power Projects in Private Sector
Key Market Drivers
Foreign direct investments (FDI) in electricity sector
Increasing demand for electricity
Increasing drive for attaining cost-reflective tariffs
Key Market Restraints
Weak security of investment and supply of electricity
Poverty and low capacity utilisation
Interference from political and regulatory bodies
5. Tanzania
Tanzania—Status of Electricity Industry
Tanzania—Installed Capacity versus Peak Demand
Tanzania—Future Trends in Peak Demand and Electricity Production
Tanzania—Electricity Mix
Tanzania—Existing Transmission Infrastructure
Tanzania—Revenue Generation by TANESCO
Tanzania—Capital Expenditure Distribution
Generation
Transmission
Distribution & Customer Services
Other
Tanzania—Short-term Financing Requirement
Tanzania—Funding for Power Projects
Key Market Drivers
Economic development
Increasing investments from external sources
Diversified power generation mix
Power demand growth
Key Market Restraints
Under-developed transmission and distribution systems and absence of adequate infrastructure
Unpredictable water resources
Investment and capacity restraints
Weaker regulation
6. Kenya
Kenya—Status of Electricity Industry
Kenya—Installed Capacity versus Peak Demand
Kenya—Electricity Mix
Kenya—Future Generation Plan
Kenya—Existing Transmission Infrastructure
Kenya—Utilities Revenue Generation
Kenya—Revenues per Customer Category
Kenya—Distribution of Investment Cost
Key Market Drivers
Availability of resources and inadequate generation capabilities
Robust economic growth and urbanisation
Growing demand across sectors
Increasing focus on private sector participation
Key Market Restraints
Dependence on hydro power
Weak power transmission and distribution infrastructure
Limited private sector participation
7. Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action
Growth Opportunity 1—Power Infrastructure
Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth
8. The Last Word
The Last Word—Three Big Predictions
Legal Disclaimer
9. The Frost & Sullivan Story


List of Figures & Charts

1. Power Utilities Market: Existing Transmission Infrastructure, South and East Africa, 2016
2. Power Utilities Market: Existing Distribution Infrastructure, South and East Africa, 2016
3. Power Utilities Market: Total Installed Capacity, South Africa, 2016
4. Power Utilities Market: Total Existing Transmission and Distribution Assets, South Africa, 2016
5. Power Utilities Market: Total Expected New Transmission Assets, South Africa, 2016
6. Power Utilities Market: Total Expected New Transformers Assets, South Africa, 2016
7. Power Utilities Market: Major Infrastructure Projects Underway, South Africa, 2016
8. Power Utilities Market: Expenditure and Estimates by Eskom, South Africa, 2016
9. Power Utilities Market: Key Market Drivers, South Africa, 2017–2021
10. Power Utilities Market: Key Market Restraints, South Africa, 2017–2021
11. Power Utilities Market: Total Installed Capacity, Zimbabwe, 2016
12. Power Utilities Market: Existing Transmission Infrastructure, Zimbabwe, 2016
13. Power Utilities Market: Funding for Power Projects, Zimbabwe, 2016
14. Power Utilities Market: Funding for Power Projects in Private Sector, Zimbabwe, 2016
15. Power Utilities Market: Key Market Drivers, Zimbabwe, 2017–2021
16. Power Utilities Market: Key Market Restraints, Zimbabwe, 2017–2021
17. Power Utilities Market: Total Installed Capacity, Tanzania, 2016
18. Power Utilities Market: Total Existing Transmission and Distribution Assets, Tanzania, 2016
19. Power Utilities Market: Funding for Power Projects, Tanzania, 2016
20. Power Utilities Market: Key Market Drivers, Tanzania, 2017–2021
21. Power Utilities Market: Key Market Restraints, Tanzania, 2017–2021
22. Power Utilities Market: Total Installed Capacity, Kenya, 2016
23. Power Utilities Market: Key Market Drivers, Kenya, 2017–2021
24. Power Utilities Market: Key Market Restraints, Kenya, 2017–2021


1. Power Utilities Market: Installed Generation Capacity, South and East Africa, 2016
2. Power Utilities Market: Access to Electricity, South and East Africa, 2016
3. Power Utilities Market: GDP, South and East Africa, 2013–2018
4. Power Utilities Market: Real GDP Growth (at market prices), South and East Africa, 2013–2018
5. Power Utilities Market: Access to Electricity, South and East Africa, 2015
6. Power Utilities Market: Installed Capacity and Peak Demand, South Africa, 2011–2016
7. Power Utilities Market: Eskom Power Generation Mix, South Africa, 2016
8. Power Utilities Market: Eskom Power Generation Mix, South Africa, 2020
9. Power Utilities Market: Eskom International Sales, South Africa, FY 2011/2012–FY 2015/2016
10. Power Utilities Market: Eskom International Sales and Projections, South Africa, FY 2013/2014–FY 2016/2017 and FY 2020/2021
11. Power Utilities Market: Future Generation Plan, South Africa, 2016–2025
12. Power Utilities Market: Total Revenue for Eskom, South Africa, FY 2011/2012–FY 2015/2016
13. Power Utilities Market: Eskom Total Sales Distribution, South Africa, FY 2011/2012–FY 2015/2016
14. Power Utilities Market: Capital Expenditure Distribution by Eskom, South Africa, FY 2013/2014–FY 2015/2016
15. Power Utilities Market: Earnings versus Debt Analysis, South Africa, 2012–2017 and 2021
16. Power Utilities Market: Fuel-wise Capacity Distribution, Zimbabwe, 2016
17. Power Utilities Market: Revenue Generated by ZPC, Zimbabwe, FY 2010/2011–FY 2014/2015
18. Power Utilities Market: Consumption by Sector, Zimbabwe, 2016
19. Power Utilities Market: Current Feedstock Profile, Tanzania, 2016
20. Power Utilities Market: Capacity versus Demand, Tanzania, FY 2011/2012–FY 2014/2015
21. Power Utilities Market: Future Trends in Production and Demand, Tanzania, 2013, 2025, and 2035
22. Power Utilities Market: Power Generation Mix, Tanzania, FY 2015–2016
23. Power Utilities Market: Power Generation Mix, Tanzania, 2025
24. Power Utilities Market: Total Revenue, Tanzania, FY 2011/2012–FY 2015/2016
25. Power Utilities Market: Capital Expenditure Distribution, Tanzania, 2016
26. Power Utilities Market: Short-term Financing, Tanzania, FY 2011/2012–FY 2016/2017
27. Power Utilities Market: Capital Expenditure Distribution, Tanzania, 2016/2017–2019/2020
28. Power Utilities Market: Installed Capacity and Peak Demand, Kenya, 2011–2016
29. Power Utilities Market: Power Generation Mix, Kenya, 2016
30. Power Utilities Market: Power Generation Mix, Kenya, 2033
31. Power Utilities Market: Future Generation Plan, Kenya, 2016–2025
32. Power Utilities Market: Transmission Circuit Network, Kenya, 2011/2012–2015/2016
33. Power Utilities Market: Distribution Circuit Network, Kenya, 2011/2012–2015/2016
34. Power Utilities Market: Generation Substations, Kenya, 2011/2012–2015/2016
35. Power Utilities Market: Transmission Substations, Kenya, 2011/2012–2015/2016
36. Power Utilities Market: Distribution Substations, Kenya, 2011/2012–2015/2016
37. Power Utilities Market: Distribution Transformer, Kenya, 2011/2012–2015/2016
38. Power Utilities Market: Total Revenue, Kenya, FY 2011/2012–FY 2015/2016
39. Power Utilities Market: KPLC Sales, Kenya, FY 2011/2012–FY 2014/2015
40. Power Utilities Market: Investment Plan-supported Funding Scenario, Kenya, 2015–2035



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