Strategic Growth Opportunities from AEC Implementation and New Government Policies in ASEAN

Indonesia and Thailand to Leverage their Strengths under AEC and Grow

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This research service discusses the strategic growth opportunities in the implementation of the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) and new government policies in the ASEAN countries for the automotive industry. It analyzes the evolution of the AEC, its core objectives and its likely impact on the region’s automotive Sector. It discusses ASEAN’s ranking in the global automotive market, the impact of AEC on the OEMs in the region, and its impact on the automotive industry value chain and key ASEAN markets namely Indonesia, Thailand and Malaysia. It also offers a conclusion and future outlook on the implementation of AEC.

Table of Contents

Executive SummaryExecutive Summary—Key FindingsExecutive Summary—Key Findings (continued)Executive Summary—Key Findings (continued)Executive Summary—Key IndicatorsResearch Scope, Objective, Background, and MethodologyResearch ScopeResearch Aims and ObjectivesKey Questions this Study Will AnswerResearch BackgroundResearch MethodologyASEAN’s Ranking in the Global Automotive MarketASEAN Automotive Market SizeASEAN Automotive Market Size (continued)Motorization LevelsGlobal Automotive Sales RankingsEvolution of ASEAN Economic CommunityEvolution of ASEAN2015 Vision for the ASEAN CommunityOverview of the AECThe AEC FrameworkSingle Market and Production BaseCompetitive Economic RegionEquitable Economic DevelopmentIntegration into Global EconomyDrivers and Restraints to IntegrationMarket DriversDrivers ExplainedMarket RestraintsRestraints ExplainedImpact of AEC on the Automotive MarketBi-lateral and Multilateral Free Trade Agreements (FTAs)Integration of AEC and the Automotive MarketKey Issues in the ASEAN Automotive MarketOther Key IssuesFuture ScenariosScenario Analysis FrameworkScenario Analysis Framework (continued)Impact of AEC on OEMsEcosystem of OEMsScenario AScenario A (continued)Scenario BScenario B (continued)Scenario CScenario C (continued)Scenario DScenario D (continued)Impact on Big Japanese OEMsImpact on Local ParticipantsImpact on New EntrantsImpact on Smaller Japanese OEMsImpact on Niche ParticipantsImpact of AEC on the Value ChainKey Elements of the Value ChainEcosystem of Auto Component SuppliersScenario A—Impact on Auto Component SuppliersScenario A—Impact AnalysisScenario A—Impact on Assemblers and DealersScenario B—Impact on Auto Component SuppliersScenario B—Impact AnalysisScenario B—Impact on Assemblers and DealersScenario C—Impact on Auto Component SuppliersScenario C—Impact AnalysisScenario C—Impact on Assemblers and DealersScenario D—Impact on Auto Component SuppliersScenario D—Impact AnalysisScenario D—Impact on Assemblers, and DealersImpact of AEC on Key ASEAN MarketsImpact of AEC on Key ASEAN marketsConclusions and Future OutlookKey Conclusions and Future OutlookThe Last Word—Three Big PredictionsLegal DisclaimerAppendixTable of Acronyms and Abbreviations UsedMarket Engineering Methodology

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