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Transforming Forces in Emerging Markets
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The Middle East and Africa (MEA) defense spending forecast for 2021-2030 will be driven primarily by a period of instability and high levels of tension due to various factors, including COVID-19 and economic regional and national instability. There are several major points of interest that could have an impact on geopolitical relations and a cascading effect on the wider defense industry, specifically with regards to supply chains and competition. Such points of interest include the Biden administration impact on markets; China and Russia military and diplomatic aggression for better defense market positioning, including in Africa; Iran nuclear ambitions and JCPOA negotiations; The Abraham Accords and its impact on Israel relations with GCC countries and Morocco; political instability in Africa; and more.
In parallel to geo-strategic developments, main key factor to impact MEA defense market evolves changing operational environments that currently drives defense requirements and procurement for a decade to come: from unmanned platforms (UAM) at all domain, to digitalization of IT defense infrastructure alongside modernization of armoured vehicle programmes. War is no longer fought only on the battlefield against a known adversary but is increasingly against non-state actors and guerrilla-style tactics, warfare will see a shift towards urban-centric operations.
This research outlook breaks down the defense 10 leading countries at the MEA regions, into the air, land, naval domains and C4ISR and training and simulation (T&S) services. It analyses trends and drivers of these markets, as well as highlights current major programmes and the competitive environment in each domain and country selected. It also briefly discusses major technological areas and their respective impact on the defense industry as well as in-depth of defense investment climate environment and offset policy. Regional outlooks are also provided, detailing opportunities and on-going procurements.
To sum it up, the research scope defense industry competitive landscape in each region and sets action items for potential defense investors in the market for a decade to come.
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