The U.S. Debt Downgrade and GCC Currencies: Is the Exchange Rate Peg to the U.S. Dollar Sustainable?

 


The United States is a major security and military partner of the GCC. Between 2000 and 2010, the diversification trends among the GCC economies helped to promote bilateral trade with the United States in areas such as crude oil and natural gas production, exploration, construction, and financial services. The long-term cyclical correlation between the exchange rates of the GCC and the United States has been increasing over the past decade. Additionally, with an open capital account, the dollar peg will enable the GCC to follow the U.S. interest rate policy, which has the potential to impact the monetary stance of the GCC.

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Table of Contents

The U.S. Debt Downgrade and GCC Currencies: Is the Exchange Rate Peg to the U.S. Dollar Sustainable?The U.S.-GCC Economic and Trade RelationsIntroductionThe U.S.-E.U. Economic Downgrade and the GCC EconomiesThe U.S. Economic Downgrade and the GCC EconomiesThe European Downgrade and its Impact on U.S. Real Exchange Rates and Real Interest RatesGCC Exchange Rates and the U.S. Dollar PegThe U.S. Dollar Peg and the GCC Exchange RatesThe Outlook of the U.S. Dollar PegThe U.S. Dollar Peg and the GCC Monetary UnionIs the Exchange Rate Peg to the U.S. Dollar Sustainable?




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