US Department of Homeland Security, Forecast to 2022

A Budget Assessment of FY 2019 Proposed Spending

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The FY2019 Department of Homeland Security (DHS) budget request highlighted in this research service has been published. The DHS request is notably higher than that of 2018, which is attributed to the current administration’s commitment to reinforce the US southern border, build up cyber security defenses, and harden the US infrastructure in the fight against terrorism. The study details the agencies that offer the best opportunities for companies trying to enter the homeland security market. It includes market drivers and restraints that shed light on some budget numbers and the importance being placed on certain projects and programs. The research service also assists in understanding the government’s foc

Research Scope

This research service examines President Trump’s DHS budget request for 2019. It highlights some of the agencies that offer the best opportunities for growth and penetration into the DHS market. Cited funding data reflects only those funds assigned for discretionary spending and does not include mandatory fees. All years in this document refer to government fiscal years and not calendar years. Market share and competitive analysis for this study are based on the government contract obligations distributed during 2017. The base year is 2017, as it was the last year complete contract data was published. More than 270 companies received contract obligations of more than $10 million from the DHS in 2017. The competitive analysis focuses on the overall top 10 companies for DHS, and highlights the top 5 for each fully detailed agency or division. The budget request is subject to variances and changes until the Congress actually passes the bill enacting the budget. Several DHS agencies will not be reviewed in detail, because most of their discretionary spending is dedicated to salaries and operating expenses (for example, most of the FEMA’s expenditure is for disaster relief, which is not allocated until a catastrophic event occurs). On the other hand, any significant findings associated with the agencies not fully reviewed are discussed under the key findings portion of the study.


Key Issues Addressed

  • How has the DHS budget changed from 2017 to 2018?
  • In relation to the 2018 funding request, which are the DHS agencies that offer the most appealing opportunities for growth?
  • What are some of the programs for which DHS agencies have requested funding?
  • Which are the companies that are capturing the largest overall market share?
  • Will DHS spending rise or fall in the next 4 years?
  • What are the types of companies that are obtaining the most profitable contracts awarded by the DHS?

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary
Key Findings
Market Engineering Measurements
CEO’s Perspective
2. Budget Request Overview
Scope and Definitions
Budget Overview
Market Segmentation
3. Drivers and Restraints—Total DHS Market
Market Drivers
Market Restraints
4. Forecasts and Trends—Total DHS Market
Market Engineering Measurements
Spending Forecast
5. Market Share and Competitive Analysis—Total DHS Market
Market Share
Market Share Analysis—CSRA LLC
Market Share Analysis—Securitas AB
Market Share Analysis—Bollinger Shipyards and Huntington Ingalls
Market Share Analysis—Unisys Corporation
Market Share Analysis—GEO Group Inc.
Market Share Analysis—SAIC
Market Share Analysis—Composite Analysis Group Inc.
Market Share Analysis—PAE Holding Corp
Market Share Analysis—Vanguard Emergency Management Housing Inspection Services
Competitive Environment
6. Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action
Growth Opportunity 1—Detection Outside of Wall
Growth Opportunity 2—Extreme Weather Technologies
Growth Opportunity 3—Checkpoint Design
Growth Opportunity 4—Advanced Disaster Reparations Technologies
Strategic Imperatives for DHS Market Providers
7. CBP Segment Breakdown
Key Findings
Funding Request Breakdown
Top Programs/Projects
Market Share
Competitive Environment
8. CWMD Segment Breakdown
Key Findings
Funding Request Breakdown
Top Programs/Projects
Market Share
Competitive Environment
9. FEMA Segment Breakdown
Key Findings
Funding Request Breakdown
Top Programs/Projects
Market Share
Competitive Environment
10. ICE Segment Breakdown
Key Findings
Funding Request Breakdown
Top Programs/Projects
Market Share
Competitive Environment
11. NPPD Segment Breakdown
Key Findings
Funding Request Breakdown
Top Programs/Projects
Market Share
Competitive Environment
12. S&T Segment Breakdown
Key Findings
Funding Request Breakdown
Top Programs/Projects
Market Share
Competitive Environment
13. TSA Segment Breakdown
Key Findings
Funding Request Breakdown
Top Programs/Projects
Market Share
Competitive Environment
14. USCG Segment Breakdown
Key Findings
Funding Request Breakdown
Top Programs/Projects
Market Share
Competitive Environment
15. USSS Segment Breakdown
Key Findings
Funding Request Breakdown
Top Programs/Projects
Market Share
Competitive Environment
16. The Last Word
The Last Word—3 Big Predictions
Legal Disclaimer
17. Appendix
Market Engineering Methodology
List of Other Companies
List of Exhibits

Infographic



List of Figures & Charts

1. Total DHS Market: Agencies Reviewed and Omitted, US, 2017
2. Total DHS Market: Key Drivers, US, 2018–2022
3. Total DHS Market: Key Restraints, US, 2018–2022
4. Total DHS Market: Market Engineering Measurements, US, 2017
5. Total DHS Market: Contract Obligations Obtained by CSRA Breakdown by Agency, US, 2017
6. Total DHS Market: Contract Obligations Obtained by Securitas AB Breakdown by Agency, US, 2017
7. Total DHS Market: Contract Obligations Obtained by GEO Group Inc. Breakdown by Agency, US, 2017
8. Total DHS Market: Contract Obligations Obtained by SAIC Breakdown by Agency, US, 2017
9. Total DHS Market: Contract Obligations Obtained by PAE Holding Corp Breakdown by Agency, US, 2017
10. Total DHS Market: Competitive Structure, US, 2017
11. CBP Segment: Funding by Appropriations, US, 2017–2019
12. CPB Segment: Funding Request by Top Programs/Projects, US, 2019
13. CBP Segment: Government Contract Obligations by Top 10 Services Purchased, US, 2017
14. CBP Segment: Competitive Structure, US, 2017
15. CWMD Segment: Funding by Appropriations, US, 2017–2019
16. CWMD Segment: Funding Request by Top Programs/Projects, US, 2019
17. CWMD Segment: Government Contract Obligations by Top 10 Services Purchased, US, 2017
18. CWMD Segment: Competitive Structure, US, 2017
19. FEMA Segment: Funding by Appropriations, US, 2017–2019
20. FEMA Segment: Funding Request by Top Programs/Projects, US, 2019
21. FEMA Segment: Government Contract Obligations by Top 10 Services Purchased, US, 2017
22. FEMA Segment: Competitive Structure, US, 2017
23. ICE Segment: Funding by Appropriations, US, 2017–2019
24. ICE Segment: Funding Request by Top Programs/Projects, US, 2019
25. ICE Segment: Government Contract Obligations by Top 10 Services Purchased, US, 2017
26. ICE Segment: Competitive Structure, US, 2017
27. NPPD Segment: Funding by Appropriations, US, 2017–2019
28. NPPD Segment: Funding Request by Top Programs/Projects, US, 2019
29. NPPD Segment: Government Contract Obligations by Top 10 Services Purchased, US, 2017
30. NPPD Segment: Competitive Structure, US, 2017
31. S&T Segment: Funding by Appropriations, US, 2017–2019
32. S&T Segment: Funding Request by Top Programs/Projects, US, 2019
33. S&T Segment: Government Contract Obligations by Top 10 Services Purchased, US, 2017
34. S&T Segment: Competitive Structure, US, 2017
35. TSA Segment: Funding by Appropriations, US, 2017–2019
36. TSA Segment: Funding Request by Top Programs/Projects, US, 2019
37. TSA Segment: Government Contract Obligations by Top 10 Services Purchased, US, 2017
38. TSA Segment: Competitive Structure, US, 2017
39. USCG Segment: Funding by Appropriations, US, 2017–2019
40. USCG Segment: Funding Request by Top Programs/Projects, US, 2019
41. USCG Segment: Government Contract Obligations by Top 10 Services Purchased, US, 2017
42. USCG Segment: Competitive Structure, US, 2017
43. USSS Segment: Funding by Appropriations, US, 2017–2019
44. USSS Segment: Funding Request by Top Programs/Projects, US, 2019
45. USSS Segment: Government Contract Obligations by Top 10 Services Purchased, US, 2017
46. USSS Segment: Competitive Structure, US, 2017


1. Total DHS Market: Market Engineering Measurements, US, 2017
2. Total DHS Market: Percent Budget Request (FY 2019) Breakdown, US, 2017
3. Total DHS Market: Spending Forecast, US, 2017–2022
4. Total DHS Market: Government Contract Obligations Distributed by Agency, US, 2017
5. Total DHS Market: Government Contract Obligations Distributed by Company, US, 2017
6. Total DHS Market: Government Contract Obligations by Top 10 Services, US, 2017
7. Total DHS Market: Percent of CSRA LLC Contract Obligations Breakdown by Services, US, 2017
8. Total DHS Market: Percent of Securitas AB Contract Obligations Breakdown by Services, US, 2017
9. Total DHS Market: Percent of GEO Group Inc. Contract Obligations Breakdown by Services, US, 2017
10. Total DHS Market: Percent of SAIC Contract Obligations Breakdown by Service, US, 2017
11. Total DHS Market: Percent of Composite Analysis Group Contract Obligations Breakdown by Services, US, 2017
12. Total DHS Market: Percent of PAE Holding Corp Contract Obligations Breakdown by Services, US, 2017
13. CBP Segment: Percent Funding Breakdown by Appropriations, US, 2019
14. CBP Segment: Government Contract Obligations Distributed by Company, US, 2017
15. CBP Segment: Government Contract Obligations Distributed by Office, US, 2017
16. CWMD Segment: Percent Funding Breakdown by Appropriations, US, 2019
17. CWMD Segment: Government Contract Obligations Distributed by Company, US, 2017
18. FEMA Segment: Disaster Declarations, US, 2017
19. FEMA Segment: Government Contract Obligations Distributed by Company, US, 2017
20. FEMA Segment: Government Contract Obligations Distributed by Office, US, 2017
21. ICE Segment: Government Contract Obligations Distributed by Company, US, 2017
22. ICE Segment: Government Contract Obligations Distributed by Office, US, 2017
23. NPPD Segment: Government Contract Obligation Distributed by Company, US, 2017
24. S&T Segment: Percent Funding Breakdown by Appropriations, US, 2019
25. S&T Segment: Government Contract Obligations Distributed by Company, US, 2017
26. TSA Segment: Percent Funding Breakdown by Appropriations, US, 2019
27. TSA Segment: Government Contract Obligations Distributed by Company, US, 2017
28. USCG Segment: Percent Funding Breakdown by Appropriations, US, 2019
29. USCG Segment: Government Contract Obligations Distributed by Company, US, 2017
30. USSS Segment: Percent Funding Breakdown by Appropriations, US, 2019
31. USSS Segment: Government Contract Obligations Distributed by Company, US, 2017



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