ASEAN Logistics Market—Disruptive Innovations, Forecast to 2025

ASEAN Logistics Market—Disruptive Innovations, Forecast to 2025

Futuristic Analysis of Key Trends Transforming Regional Supply Chain Model

RELEASE DATE
08-Dec-2017
REGION
Asia Pacific
Research Code: P9D6-01-00-00-00
SKU: TP00176-AP-MR_21250

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Description

By 2025, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) region is expected to be the next destination for global participants, replacing China, with its geographic proximity, large consumer base, and low costs attracting traders. Cambodia, Myanmar, Laos, and Vietnam (the CLMV countries of the Greater Mekong Subregion) are emerging as an attractive destination for investors. The ASEAN marked its 50th anniversary in 2017, striving to move forward as a single market and production base. Implementation of the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) will unify ASEAN members under a single cluster, making it an attractive hub for investors. An integrated transport and mobility infrastructure in the region offers a new dimension for the growth of the ASEAN. Trade activities are expected to record tangible advances with the support of participating governments. A growing consumer base, due to urbanization in ASEAN and enhanced by digital penetration, drives online business model adoption by industry players, encouraging the integration of both local and international logistics providers. The top 10 disruptive trends identified in the field of logistics in the region are expected to enhance ASEAN’s position as an international leading business hub. The innovative trends are expected to be interrelated, boosting the growth of the logistics industry in ASEAN. Significant growth is forecast in the logistics industry across ASEAN during the next decade driven by the logistics trends.

Development of a logistics master plan in ASEAN countries is becoming a key requirement for the countries’ initiatives to facilitate a Strategic Transport Plan at a regional level as a part of ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) integration. The transport plan and frameworks enhance the growth of cross-border logistics, enabling seamless connectivity and creating opportunities for goods offering effective trade facilitation to stakeholders. This will be further enhanced by the adoption of technology solutions such as eCommerce and app-based crowdsourced logistics platforms, leading the supply chain activities from insourcing to outsourcing, rail and freight transportation. Rising urbanization and uberization trends also boost the growth of start-up companies as part of the supply chain model in ASEAN.

Blockchain is a global trend that has influenced ASEAN’s supply chain management. The rise of blockchain in ASEAN is expected to facilitate logistics management and accelerate trade growth along with the support of rapid adoption of digital technology by stakeholders in the region. The logistics industry in ASEAN is forecast to be more agile and anticipatory by 2025, allowing service providers to address the rising demand with cost- and time-effective solutions.

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Table of Contents

Summary of Key Findings

Top 10 Disruptive Trends in ASEAN—A Snapshot

Research Scope

Research Aims and Objectives

Research Background

Research Methodology

Definitions Used in the Study

List of Acronyms and Abbreviations

Overview ASEAN

ASEAN Economic Dashboard

ASEAN Population Growth

ASEAN Logistics Competency

ASEAN Logistics Infrastructure—ASEAN-6

ASEAN Logistics Infrastructure—CLMV

ASEAN Trade Facilitation

Top 10 Disruptive Trends—ASEAN

Key Trends in Urbanization

ASEAN Mega Cities

ASEAN Mega Regions

ASEAN Mega Corridors

ASEAN Smart and Sustainable Cities

Implications of Urbanization and Rising SMART Cities

Future Outlook of Urbanization

Case Study—Singapore

Highlights of National Logistics Master PlanTrends in ASEAN

Case Study—Malaysia

Case Study—Indonesia

Implications of National Logistics Master Plan—ASEAN

Emergence of CMLV Countries

CLMV as Part of the Greater Mekong Subregion

Implication of GMS—Emerging Hotbeds in CLMV

Case Study—Vietnam

Logistics and Supply Chain Segmentation

Outsourcing Trends in Logistics

Case Study—Singapore

Implications of Outsourcing of Logistics Services

eCommerce Facilitating the Retail Industry in ASEAN

Rise of Last-mile Delivery Due to eCommerce

Impact of eCommerce—Logistics and Supply Chain Model in ASEAN

Case Study—Malaysia

Regional Trends Boosting Cross-Border Logistics

Impact of Border Logistics—ASEAN

Case Study—Thailand

Case Study—Malaysia

Overview of Rail Freight—ASEAN

Competitive Advantages of Freight—A Shift from Road to Rail

Trans-Asian Railway—Connecting Asia and Europe

Rail Network in ASEAN—Extended for an International Reach

Case Study—Malaysia

Uber’s Operational Model

On-Demand Model Adoption—Freight Transportation

Rising Number of On-demand Disruptors Globally

Case Study—Thailand

Blockchain—Driving Supply Chain Automation in ASEAN

Impact of Blockchain

Case Study—Singapore

Rise of Start-ups—Logistics Industry

Emergence of Start-up Companies

Case Study—Singapore

Growth Opportunities—ASEAN

Growth Opportunity—Logistics Industry

Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth

An Integrated Single Market through AEC

Impact of Innovative Trends in ASEAN

Impact of Innovative Trends in ASEAN (continued)

The Last Word—3 Big Predictions

Legal Disclaimer

ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) Timeline

Implementation of AEC—Significant Advantages

ASEAN 6

CLMV

Urbanization and Rising SMART Cities

List of Figures
  • 1. Logistics Industry: Top 10 Disruptive Trends, ASEAN, 2016–2025
  • 2. ASEAN Overview, 1967–2017 (50th Year)
  • 3. Total Number of Airports by Country, ASEAN-6, 2014*
  • 4. Total Number of Airports by Country, CLMV, 2014*
  • 5. Impact of AEC on Trade Facilitation, ASEAN, 2016–2025
  • 6. Mega Cities, ASEAN, 2015 and 2025
  • 7. Mega Regions and Potential Mega Regions, ASEAN, 2025
  • 8. Mega Corridors and Transportation Corridors, ASEAN, 2025
  • 9. Smart and Sustainable Cities, ASEAN, 2025
  • 10. Impact of Urbanization, ASEAN, 2025
  • 11. Urban Logistics: Future Outlook, ASEAN, 2016–2025
  • 12. Urban Logistics, Singapore, 2016
  • 13. Logistics and Trade Facilitation Masterplan–Impact on Logistics Output, ASEAN, 2014–2020
  • 14. Nusantara Pendulum Network Plan, Indonesia, 2016
  • 15. Indonesia Economic Corridors in MP3EI, Indonesia, 2016
  • 16. Transport Strategic Plan, ASEAN, 2016–2025
  • 17. Investor Shift from China to ASEAN, 2016
  • 18. Logistics Market: Participants and Services Offered throughout Supply Chain Management, ASEAN, 2016–2025
  • 19. Evolution of Logistics Service Providers, ASEAN, 2016–2025
  • 20. Future of Logistics: Value Captured by Business Line, Global, 2015 and 2020
  • 21. Technology is Enabling New Models of Distribution by Creating Marketplaces, Global, 2016–2025
  • 22. eCommerce Adoption Model for Logistics Supply Chain, ASEAN, 2016–2025
  • 23. Top 3 Process Outcomes of Border Logistics, ASEAN, 2016–2025
  • 24. Trans-Asian Railway Network, ASEAN, 2016–2025
  • 25. Singapore-Kunming Railway Link Initiated, ASEAN, 2011–2021
  • 26. East Coast Rail Line (ECRL), Malaysia, 2017
  • 27. On-demand Logistics in Transportation, Global, 2016
  • 28. Profiles of Disruptors, Global, 2016
  • 29. Rise of Blockchain–Improving Supply Chain Management and Accelerating Trade Growth, ASEAN, 2016
  • 30. Drivers of Start-ups in the Logistics Industry, ASEAN, 2017
  • 31. Overview of Freight Movement with Participation of Start-ups, ASEAN, 2017
  • 32. Logistics Industry: Growth Opportunities, ASEAN, 2016–2025
  • 33. AEC Implementation Timeline, ASEAN, 2003–2030
  • 34. Selected key Macroeconomic Indicators, ASEAN 6*, 2015
  • 35. Selected Key Macroeconomic Indicators, CLMV*, 2015#
  • 36. Fastest Growing Second-Tier Cities, ASEAN, 2015–2025
List of Charts
  • 1. Nominal GDP, ASEAN, 2016 and 2025
  • 2. Population Comparison, ASEAN vs. Other Major Countries, 2016 and 2025
  • 3. Logistics Competency by Region, ASEAN, 2016
  • 4. Ratio of Paved Road to Total Road Length, ASEAN-6, 2004–2014*
  • 5. Total Number of Ports by Country, ASEAN-6, 2014*
  • 6. Ratio of Paved Road to Total Road Length by Country, CLMV, 2004–2014*
  • 7. Total Number of Ports by Country, CLMV, 2014*
  • 8. Transportation and Logistics Market: Connectivity Master Plan, ASEAN, 2011–2016
  • 9. Contributions to GDP Growth with AEC Formation, ASEAN, 2025
  • 10. GMS Merchandise Imports, Exports and Trade Balance, CLMV, 2003–2025
  • 11. FDI Flow, Greater Mekong Subregion, CLMV, 2007–2025
  • 12. Quality of Trade-related Infrastructure, CLMV, 2007, 2014, and 2025
  • 13. Cost to Export, CLMV, 2005–2025
  • 14. Time to Export, CLMV, 2005–2025
  • 15. Future of Logistics: Potential by Segment, Singapore, 2016
  • 16. Future of Logistics: Market Potential for In-house Logistics, Singapore, 2016
  • 17. Future of Logistics: Market Potential for Outsourced Logistics, Singapore, 2016
  • 18. Last-mile Delivery Business Model, ASEAN, 2016
Related Research
By 2025, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) region is expected to be the next destination for global participants, replacing China, with its geographic proximity, large consumer base, and low costs attracting traders. Cambodia, Myanmar, Laos, and Vietnam (the CLMV countries of the Greater Mekong Subregion) are emerging as an attractive destination for investors. The ASEAN marked its 50th anniversary in 2017, striving to move forward as a single market and production base. Implementation of the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) will unify ASEAN members under a single cluster, making it an attractive hub for investors. An integrated transport and mobility infrastructure in the region offers a new dimension for the growth of the ASEAN. Trade activities are expected to record tangible advances with the support of participating governments. A growing consumer base, due to urbanization in ASEAN and enhanced by digital penetration, drives online business model adoption by industry players, encouraging the integration of both local and international logistics providers. The top 10 disruptive trends identified in the field of logistics in the region are expected to enhance ASEAN’s position as an international leading business hub. The innovative trends are expected to be interrelated, boosting the growth of the logistics industry in ASEAN. Significant growth is forecast in the logistics industry across ASEAN during the next decade driven by the logistics trends. Development of a logistics master plan in ASEAN countries is becoming a key requirement for the countries’ initiatives to facilitate a Strategic Transport Plan at a regional level as a part of ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) integration. The transport plan and frameworks enhance the growth of cross-border logistics, enabling seamless connectivity and creating opportunities for goods offering effective trade facilitation to stakeholders. This will be further enhanced by the adoption of technology solution
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Table of Contents | Executive Summary~ || Summary of Key Findings~ || Top 10 Disruptive Trends in ASEAN—A Snapshot~ | Research Scope, Objectives, Background, and Methodology~ || Research Scope~ || Research Aims and Objectives~ || Research Background~ || Research Methodology~ | Definitions~ || Definitions Used in the Study~ || List of Acronyms and Abbreviations~ | ASEAN~ || Overview ASEAN~ || ASEAN Economic Dashboard~ || ASEAN Population Growth~ || ASEAN Logistics Competency~ || ASEAN Logistics Infrastructure—ASEAN-6~ || ASEAN Logistics Infrastructure—CLMV~ || ASEAN Trade Facilitation~ | Top 10 Disruptive Trends—ASEAN~ || Top 10 Disruptive Trends—ASEAN~ | Urban Logistics~ || Key Trends in Urbanization~ || ASEAN Mega Cities~ || ASEAN Mega Regions~ || ASEAN Mega Corridors~ || ASEAN Smart and Sustainable Cities~ || Implications of Urbanization and Rising SMART Cities~ || Future Outlook of Urbanization~ || Case Study—Singapore~ | National Logistics Master Plan~ || Highlights of National Logistics Master PlanTrends in ASEAN~ || Case Study—Malaysia~ || Case Study—Indonesia~ || Implications of National Logistics Master Plan—ASEAN~ | Emerging Hotbeds~ || Emergence of CMLV Countries~ || CLMV as Part of the Greater Mekong Subregion~ || Implication of GMS—Emerging Hotbeds in CLMV~ || Case Study—Vietnam~ | Acceleration of Logistics Outsourcing~ || Logistics and Supply Chain Segmentation~ || Outsourcing Trends in Logistics~ || Case Study—Singapore~ || Implications of Outsourcing of Logistics Services~ | Rise of ASEAN eCommerce~ || eCommerce Facilitating the Retail Industry in ASEAN~ || Rise of Last-mile Delivery Due to eCommerce~ || Impact of eCommerce—Logistics and Supply Chain Model in ASEAN~ || Case Study—Malaysia~ | Cross-border Logistics~ || Regional Trends Boosting Cross-Border Logistics~ || Impact of Border Logistics—ASEAN~ || Case Study—Thailand~ || Case Study—Malaysia~ | Freight Shift from Road to Rail~ || Overview of Rail Freight—ASEAN~ || Competitive Advantages of Freight—A Shift from Road to Rail~ || Trans-Asian Railway—Connecting Asia and Europe~ || Rail Network in ASEAN—Extended for an International Reach~ || Case Study—Malaysia~ | Uberization~ || Uber’s Operational Model~ || On-Demand Model Adoption—Freight Transportation~ || Rising Number of On-demand Disruptors Globally~ || Case Study—Thailand~ | Rise of Blockchain~ || Blockchain—Driving Supply Chain Automation in ASEAN~ || Impact of Blockchain~ || Case Study—Singapore~ | Digital Disruption of Start-ups~ || Rise of Start-ups—Logistics Industry~ || Emergence of Start-up Companies~ || Case Study—Singapore~ | Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action~ || Growth Opportunities—ASEAN~ || Growth Opportunity—Logistics Industry~ || Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth~ | Conclusion~ || An Integrated Single Market through AEC~ || Impact of Innovative Trends in ASEAN~ || Impact of Innovative Trends in ASEAN (continued)~ | The Last Word~ || The Last Word—3 Big Predictions~ || Legal Disclaimer~ | Appendix~ || ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) Timeline~ || Implementation of AEC—Significant Advantages~ || ASEAN 6~ || CLMV~ || Urbanization and Rising SMART Cities~ | The Frost & Sullivan Story~
List of Charts and Figures 1. Logistics Industry: Top 10 Disruptive Trends, ASEAN, 2016–2025~ 2. ASEAN Overview, 1967–2017 (50th Year)~ 3. Total Number of Airports by Country, ASEAN-6, 2014*~ 4. Total Number of Airports by Country, CLMV, 2014*~ 5. Impact of AEC on Trade Facilitation, ASEAN, 2016–2025~ 6. Mega Cities, ASEAN, 2015 and 2025~ 7. Mega Regions and Potential Mega Regions, ASEAN, 2025~ 8. Mega Corridors and Transportation Corridors, ASEAN, 2025~ 9. Smart and Sustainable Cities, ASEAN, 2025~ 10. Impact of Urbanization, ASEAN, 2025~ 11. Urban Logistics: Future Outlook, ASEAN, 2016–2025~ 12. Urban Logistics, Singapore, 2016~ 13. Logistics and Trade Facilitation Masterplan–Impact on Logistics Output, ASEAN, 2014–2020~ 14. Nusantara Pendulum Network Plan, Indonesia, 2016 ~ 15. Indonesia Economic Corridors in MP3EI, Indonesia, 2016~ 16. Transport Strategic Plan, ASEAN, 2016–2025 ~ 17. Investor Shift from China to ASEAN, 2016~ 18. Logistics Market: Participants and Services Offered throughout Supply Chain Management, ASEAN, 2016–2025~ 19. Evolution of Logistics Service Providers, ASEAN, 2016–2025~ 20. Future of Logistics: Value Captured by Business Line, Global, 2015 and 2020~ 21. Technology is Enabling New Models of Distribution by Creating Marketplaces, Global, 2016–2025~ 22. eCommerce Adoption Model for Logistics Supply Chain, ASEAN, 2016–2025 ~ 23. Top 3 Process Outcomes of Border Logistics, ASEAN, 2016–2025 ~ 24. Trans-Asian Railway Network, ASEAN, 2016–2025 ~ 25. Singapore-Kunming Railway Link Initiated, ASEAN, 2011–2021~ 26. East Coast Rail Line (ECRL), Malaysia, 2017~ 27. On-demand Logistics in Transportation, Global, 2016~ 28. Profiles of Disruptors, Global, 2016~ 29. Rise of Blockchain–Improving Supply Chain Management and Accelerating Trade Growth, ASEAN, 2016~ 30. Drivers of Start-ups in the Logistics Industry, ASEAN, 2017~ 31. Overview of Freight Movement with Participation of Start-ups, ASEAN, 2017~ 32. Logistics Industry: Growth Opportunities, ASEAN, 2016–2025~ 33. AEC Implementation Timeline, ASEAN, 2003–2030~ 34. Selected key Macroeconomic Indicators, ASEAN 6*, 2015~ 35. Selected Key Macroeconomic Indicators, CLMV*, 2015#~ 36. Fastest Growing Second-Tier Cities, ASEAN, 2015–2025~| 1. Nominal GDP, ASEAN, 2016 and 2025~ 2. Population Comparison, ASEAN vs. Other Major Countries, 2016 and 2025~ 3. Logistics Competency by Region, ASEAN, 2016~ 4. Ratio of Paved Road to Total Road Length, ASEAN-6, 2004–2014*~ 5. Total Number of Ports by Country, ASEAN-6, 2014*~ 6. Ratio of Paved Road to Total Road Length by Country, CLMV, 2004–2014*~ 7. Total Number of Ports by Country, CLMV, 2014*~ 8. Transportation and Logistics Market: Connectivity Master Plan, ASEAN, 2011–2016~ 9. Contributions to GDP Growth with AEC Formation, ASEAN, 2025~ 10. GMS Merchandise Imports, Exports and Trade Balance, CLMV, 2003–2025~ 11. FDI Flow, Greater Mekong Subregion, CLMV, 2007–2025 ~ 12. Quality of Trade-related Infrastructure, CLMV, 2007, 2014, and 2025~ 13. Cost to Export, CLMV, 2005–2025~ 14. Time to Export, CLMV, 2005–2025~ 15. Future of Logistics: Potential by Segment, Singapore, 2016~ 16. Future of Logistics: Market Potential for In-house Logistics, Singapore, 2016 ~ 17. Future of Logistics: Market Potential for Outsourced Logistics, Singapore, 2016~ 18. Last-mile Delivery Business Model, ASEAN, 2016~
Author Rageshwary Ramupillai
WIP Number P9D6-01-00-00-00
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