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Global Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) and Autonomous Driving (AD) Industry, Outlook 2022
Future Growth Potential Enhanced by Opportunities in Assisted, Piloted Driving and Automated Vehicle Parking Features
03-May-2022
North America
Market Outlook
PCC3-01-00-00-00
AU02327-NA-MO_26522
The automotive industry is among the most affected by the COVID-19 pandemic and the ongoing semiconductor shortage. The resulting economic crisis impacted overall vehicle sales, leading to a delay in value chain components supply and technology introduction and a shift in consumer preferences.
Original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and value chain partners are realigning their research and development budgets, product strategies, road maps, and launch timelines to adapt to the challenges. They reduced large investments in level (L) 4 autonomous development and rerouted investments to assisted and piloted driving to gain short-term returns.
In 2022, Frost & Sullivan expects many OEMs to offer L2+ hands-off driving systems in mass-market vehicles in the United States, Canada, Japan, China, and Korea, while Europe remains at L2 hands-on driving. We anticipate only a few premium OEMs to launch L3 piloted driving features in their flagship models due to the low value proposition.
Frost & Sullivan discusses the global autonomous vehicle forecast, advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving (AD) feature penetration, regional analysis, and critical predictions in this outlook report. We also identified 4 market trends and 4 technology trends that we expect to register fast advancements, focusing on the commercialization of highly automated vehicles.
The market trends are:
• AD function-on-demand
• Challenges in L4 robotaxi commercialization
• Enabling software tools for AD development
• Chip shortage impact on AD
The technology trends are:
• Off-the-shelf L3 AD software
• Life on board for AD
• 4D imaging radar for ADAS and AD
• Metaverse in AD
Author: Varun Krishna Murthy
Autonomous Driving—2021 Highlights
COVID-19 Pandemic—Industry Challenges
The 2021 Global AD—Actuals Versus Forecast
Autonomous Vehicle (AV) Regulations—Global
AV Regulations and Testing Landscape Overview—Europe and UK
AV Regulations and Testing Landscape Overview—Asia-Pacific (APAC)
AV Regulations and Testing Landscape Overview—North America
ADAS and AD—Top Predictions for 2022
Why Is It Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
The Strategic Imperative 8™
The Impact of the Top Three Strategic Imperatives on the AD Market
Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine™
Research Scope
Vehicle Segmentation
SAE International Definition for Levels of Driving Automation
Market Segmentation—ADAS and AD Features by Autonomy Level
Top 5 Global Economic Highlights of 2021
Top 5 Global Predictions for 2022—Macroeconomic Trends
Global GDP Growth
2022 Scenario Analysis—Quarterly Global Growth
2022 Scenario Analysis—Assumptions
2022 Global GDP Growth Snapshot
Predictions for 2022—Advanced Economies
Predictions for 2022—Emerging Economies
Overview—Our Top 12 Transformation Shifts
Market Assumptions
Technology Assumptions
Forecast by Autonomy Level
Global AV Forecast, 2021–2028
Analysis by Region—North America
Analysis by Region—Europe and UK
Analysis by Region—APAC
Market Trends
AD Function-on-Demand
Key OEMs’ ADAS/AD Function-on-Demand Offerings
L4 Robotaxi—Commercialization Challenges
L4 Robotaxi Players—Commercialization Roadmap
AD—Chip Shortage Impact
Chip Shortage Mitigation Strategies
AD Development—Enabling Software Tools
Enabling Software Tool Developers
Technology Trends
Off-the-shelf L3 AD Software
Continental’s Driving Planner Software
4D Imaging Radar for ADAS and AD
Vayyar’s 4D Imaging Radar
Life on Board for AD
Mercedes F 015 Luxury in Motion Concept
Metaverse in AD
Nissan Concept —Invisible-to-visible (I2V)
Growth Opportunities by Autonomy Level
Companies to Watch
Predictions—US
Predictions—Europe (excluding UK)
Predictions—UK
Predictions—Japan
Predictions—China
Predictions—India
Growth Opportunity 1—Robotaxi Operations in North America and China
Growth Opportunity 1—Robotaxi Operations in North America and China (continued)
Growth Opportunity 2—L2 and L2+ Assisted Driving
Growth Opportunity 2—L2 and L2+ Assisted Driving (continued)
Growth Opportunity 3—4D Radar for ADAS and AD
Growth Opportunity 3—4D Radar for ADAS and AD (continued)
Conclusions and Future Outlook
Abbreviations and Acronyms
List of Exhibits
List of Exhibits (continued)
Legal Disclaimer
List of Figures
- AV Regulations: Overview, Global, 2022
- AV Regulations: Overview, Europe and UK, 2022
- AV Regulations: Overview, APAC, 2022
- AV Regulations: Overview, North America, 2022
- GDP Growth, Advanced, and Emerging and Developing Economies, Global, 2015–2022
- GDP Growth Scenario Analysis, Global, Q1 2019–Q4 2022
- Assumptions for Growth Scenarios, Global, 2022
- GDP Growth Rate, Selected Economies, 2020–2022
- AD Market: Market Assumptions, Global, 2021–2028
- AD Market: Technology Assumptions, Global, 2021–2028
- AD Market: Forecast by Autonomy Level, Global, 2021–2028
- AD Market: Autonomous Vehicle Sales Forecast, Global, 2021–2028
- AD Market: Analysis by Region, NA, 2022 and 2028
- AD Market: Analysis by Region, Europe and UK, 2022 and 2028
- AD Market: Analysis by Region, APAC, 2022 and 2028
- AD Market: Function-on-Demand Offerings of Key OEMs, Global, 2022
- AD Market: L4 Robotaxi Players—Commercialization Roadmap, Global, 2020–2030
- Market: OEMs’ and Tier Suppliers’ Chip Shortage Mitigation Strategies, Global, 2022
- AD Market: 4D Imaging Radar for ADAS and AD, Global, 2022
- AD Market: Growth Opportunities by Autonomy Level, Global, 2022
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