Global Economic Outlook, 2019

Global Economic Outlook, 2019

World GDP Growth to Weaken from 3.7% in 2018 to 3.5% to 2019, With Intensified Trade Wars to Pull Down 2019 Growth Further to 3.3%

RELEASE DATE
18-Jan-2019
REGION
Global
Research Code: PA4A-01-00-00-00
SKU: CI00585-GL-MO_22525
$4,950.00
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Description

What is the outlook for the world economy in 2019? How will events such as Brexit and trade wars influence the global economic outlook? This analysis has been designed to answer these questions and more by providing a concise summary of key global and regional economic developments and forecasts. Regions covered as part of the study include North America, Latin America, Africa, Europe, the Middle East, and Asia-Pacific. Each regional economic outlook section focuses on the GDP growth outlook for key economies, impact analysis of key economic developments, and top economic predictions.

Although global GDP growth was steady in 2018, the growth is expected to dip in 2019 in the light of factors such as trade tensions, interest rate hikes, and emerging market capital outflows. A major risk to the global economic growth is the intensification of trade wars in 2019, with trade war escalation to pull down GDP growth further than projected. Apart from the United States and China that are experiencing the direct negative effects of the trade wars, major economies such as Germany and Japan are also at risk owing to indirect effects from the US–China trade wars. This study factors in three likely trade war scenarios for 2019, namely the continuation scenario, the intensification scenario, and the conclusion scenario, with the continuation scenario (continuation of tariffs imposed in 2018) carrying the highest probability of occurrence at present. Consequently, 2019 projections have been developed based on the continuation scenario (unless otherwise mentioned).

The last few weeks of 2018 saw several major developments that will have important ratifications on the 2019 economic outlook, such as the finalization of the Brexit withdrawal agreement and the decision of the OPEC to pursue production cuts in 2019. This report factors the implications of these and other events on the global economy as well as on specific concerned countries. Business can leverage this study to understand growth trajectories and the implications of economic developments, and thereby better plan and strategize for 2019. The base year for the report is 2017, with estimates for 2018, and forecasts for 2019.

Key Issues Addressed

  • What are the top 2019 global economic predictions?
  • What were the top 2018 global economic trends?
  • What are the top 2019 predictions for key advanced and emerging economies?
  • What is the world GDP growth snapshot for 2017–2019?
  • What is the economic outlook for North America, Latin America, Africa, Europe, the Middle East, and Asia-Pacific?
  • What are the key global economic risks for 2019?
  • How will major events such as Brexit and trade wars influence the world economy?
  • What is the trade war scenario-based outlook for world GDP growth and trade growth?
  • What is the 2019 outlook for oil supply, demand, and prices?
  • What major economic policy changes could businesses expect in 2019?

Author: Neha Anna Thomas

Table of Contents

Top 2018 Global Economic Trends

Top 2019 Global Economic Predictions

Top 2019 Predictions—Advanced Economies

Top 2019 Predictions—Emerging Economies

World GDP Growth Snapshot

Top 2019 Predictions—Regional Economic Outlook

World’s 20 Fastest Growing Economies in 2018 and 2019

Research Scope

GDP Growth Outlook

Trade Outlook

Global Trade Developments

Inflation Outlook

Oil Supply, Demand, and Price Outlook

2019 Economic Outlook—The United States and Canada

Key Economic Developments

2019 North America Economic Outlook—Top Predictions

2019 GDP Growth Outlook—Brazil and Mexico

2019 GDP Growth Outlook—Colombia and Argentina

2019 GDP Growth Outlook—Venezuela

Key Economic Developments

2019 Latin America Economic Outlook—Top Predictions

2019 GDP Growth Outlook—Tanzania and Kenya

2019 GDP Growth Outlook—South Africa and Nigeria

Key Economic Developments

2019 Africa Economic Outlook—Top Predictions

2019 Economic Outlook—Germany and the United Kingdom

2019 Economic Outlook—Italy and France

2019 Economic Outlook—Russia

Key Economic Developments

2019 Europe Economic Outlook—Top Predictions

2019 Economic Outlook—Saudi Arabia and Qatar

2019 Economic Outlook—Qatar and Turkey

Key Economic Developments

2019 Middle East Economic Outlook—Top Predictions

2019 Economic Outlook—China and India

2019 Economic Outlook—Japan and Indonesia

2019 Economic Outlook—Australia

Key Economic Developments

2019 Asia-Pacific Economic Outlook—Top Predictions

Key Conclusions

Legal Disclaimer

Data Tables—World

Data Tables—Advanced Economies and Emerging Market & Developing Economies

Data Tables—North America

Data Tables—Latin America

Data Tables—Africa

Data Tables—Europe

Data Tables—Middle East

Data Tables—Asia-Pacific

Abbreviations and Acronyms Used

Additional Sources of Information on the 2019 Global Economic Outlook

Market Engineering Methodology

List of Exhibits

List of Figures
  • 1. Economic Outlook, Global, 2019
  • 2. GDP Growth (Projections Based on Trade War Scenarios), World, 2019
  • 3. Key Economic Developments and Impact Analysis, North America, 2017–2019
  • 4. Key Economic Developments and Impact Analysis, Latin America, 2017–2019
  • 5. Key Economic Developments and Impact Analysis, Africa, 2017–2019
  • 6. Key Economic Developments and Impact Analysis, Europe, 2017–2019
  • 7. Key Economic Developments and Impact Analysis, Middle East, 2017–2019
  • 8. Key Economic Developments and Impact Analysis, Asia Pacific, 2017–2019
  • 9. Important Macroeconomic Indicators, World, 2013–2019
  • 10. Important Macroeconomic Indicators, Advanced Economies and Emerging Market & Developing Economies, 2013–2019
  • 11. Important Macroeconomic Indicators for Select Countries, North America, 2013–2019
  • 12. Important Macroeconomic Indicators for Select Countries, Latin America, 2013–2019
  • 13. Important Macroeconomic Indicators for Select Countries, Africa, 2013–2019
  • 14. Important Macroeconomic Indicators for Select Countries, Europe, 2013–2019
  • 15. Important Macroeconomic Indicators for Select Countries, Middle East, 2013–2019
  • 16. Important Macroeconomic Indicators for Select Countries, Asia-Pacific, 2013–2019
List of Charts
  • 1. GDP Growth Rate of Key Select Economies, Global, 2017–2019
  • 2. GDP Growth of the Fastest Growing Economies, Global, 2018 and 2019
  • 3. Inflation of the Fastest Growing Economies, Global, 2018 and 2019
  • 4. GDP Growth, Global, 2013–2019
  • 5. Total Merchandise Trade Value and Merchandise Trade Volume Growth, Global 2013–2019
  • 6. Inflation, Global, 2013–2019
  • 7. Brent Crude Oil Prices, Global, 2013–2019
  • 8. GDP Growth, US and Canada, 2017–2019
  • 9. GDP Growth, Brazil and Mexico, 2017–2019
  • 10. GDP Growth, Colombia and Argentina, 2017–2019
  • 11. GDP Growth, Venezuela, 2017–2019
  • 12. GDP Growth, Tanzania and Kenya, 2017–2019
  • 13. GDP Growth, South Africa and Nigeria, 2017–2019
  • 14. GDP Growth, Germany and the UK, 2017–2019
  • 15. GDP Growth, Italy and France, 2017–2019
  • 16. GDP Growth, Russia, 2017–2019
  • 17. GDP Growth, Saudi Arabia and Iran, 2017–2019
  • 18. GDP Growth, Qatar and Turkey, 2017–2019
  • 19. GDP Growth, China and India, 2017–2019
  • 20. GDP Growth, Japan and Indonesia, 2017–2019
  • 21. GDP Growth, Australia, 2017–2019

What lies ahead for the world economy in 2019? How will events such as Brexit and trade wars shape the growth outlook of major economies? The Global Economic Outlook, 2019 study has been designed to answer this question and more by providing a concise summary of key global and regional economic developments and forecasts.
The Global Economic Outlook is a flagship annual publication of the Emerging Market Innovation division, the economic research team of Frost & Sullivan. Featuring 2019 economic forecasts for the world as a whole as well as for several advanced and emerging economies, decision makers can leverage insights from this study to improve strategic planning capabilities for the year ahead. Regions covered as part of the analysis include North America, Latin America, Africa, Europe, Middle East and Asia-Pacific, with the study focusing on the individual prospects of over 20 key economies from across these regions. Key topics for the global economic analysis include GDP growth outlook, trade outlook and so on, with the regional sections focusing on country-specific growth projections, economic event implications, and key regional risks and policy reforms.

Key Takeaways:
-    Learn more about the top global and regional economic predictions for 2019
-    Analyze the GDP growth trajectory of the world economy and individual economies
-    Identify key economic risks and policy reforms shaping regional economies
-    Understand the implications of major events such as Brexit and trade wars on the 2019 economic outlook

More Information
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Table of Contents | Executive Summary~ || Top 2018 Global Economic Trends~ || Top 2019 Global Economic Predictions~ || Top 2019 Predictions—Advanced Economies~ || Top 2019 Predictions—Emerging Economies~ || World GDP Growth Snapshot~ || Top 2019 Predictions—Regional Economic Outlook~ || World’s 20 Fastest Growing Economies in 2018 and 2019~ | Research Scope~ || Research Scope~ | 2019 Global Economic Outlook~ || GDP Growth Outlook~ || Trade Outlook~ || Global Trade Developments~ || Inflation Outlook~ || Oil Supply, Demand, and Price Outlook~ | 2019 Regional Economic Outlook—North America~ || 2019 Economic Outlook—The United States and Canada~ || Key Economic Developments~ || 2019 North America Economic Outlook—Top Predictions~ | 2019 Regional Economic Outlook—Latin America~ || 2019 GDP Growth Outlook—Brazil and Mexico~ || 2019 GDP Growth Outlook—Colombia and Argentina~ || 2019 GDP Growth Outlook—Venezuela~ || Key Economic Developments~ || 2019 Latin America Economic Outlook—Top Predictions~ | 2019 Regional Economic Outlook—Africa~ || 2019 GDP Growth Outlook—Tanzania and Kenya~ || 2019 GDP Growth Outlook—South Africa and Nigeria~ || Key Economic Developments~ || 2019 Africa Economic Outlook—Top Predictions~ | 2019 Regional Economic Outlook—Europe~ || 2019 Economic Outlook—Germany and the United Kingdom~ || 2019 Economic Outlook—Italy and France~ || 2019 Economic Outlook—Russia~ || Key Economic Developments~ || 2019 Europe Economic Outlook—Top Predictions~ | 2019 Regional Economic Outlook—Middle East~ || 2019 Economic Outlook—Saudi Arabia and Qatar~ || 2019 Economic Outlook—Qatar and Turkey~ || Key Economic Developments~ || 2019 Middle East Economic Outlook—Top Predictions~ | 2019 Regional Economic Outlook—Asia-Pacific~ || 2019 Economic Outlook—China and India~ || 2019 Economic Outlook—Japan and Indonesia~ || 2019 Economic Outlook—Australia~ || Key Economic Developments~ || 2019 Asia-Pacific Economic Outlook—Top Predictions~ | Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action~ || Growth Opportunities~ | Key Conclusions~ || Key Conclusions~ || Legal Disclaimer~ | Appendix~ || Data Tables—World~ || Data Tables—Advanced Economies and Emerging Market & Developing Economies~ || Data Tables—North America~ || Data Tables—Latin America~ || Data Tables—Africa~ || Data Tables—Europe~ || Data Tables—Middle East~ || Data Tables—Asia-Pacific~ || Abbreviations and Acronyms Used~ || Additional Sources of Information on the 2019 Global Economic Outlook~ || Market Engineering Methodology~ || List of Exhibits~
List of Charts and Figures 1. Economic Outlook, Global, 2019~ 2. GDP Growth (Projections Based on Trade War Scenarios), World, 2019~ 3. Key Economic Developments and Impact Analysis, North America, 2017–2019~ 4. Key Economic Developments and Impact Analysis, Latin America, 2017–2019~ 5. Key Economic Developments and Impact Analysis, Africa, 2017–2019~ 6. Key Economic Developments and Impact Analysis, Europe, 2017–2019~ 7. Key Economic Developments and Impact Analysis, Middle East, 2017–2019~ 8. Key Economic Developments and Impact Analysis, Asia Pacific, 2017–2019~ 9. Important Macroeconomic Indicators, World, 2013–2019~ 10. Important Macroeconomic Indicators, Advanced Economies and Emerging Market & Developing Economies, 2013–2019~ 11. Important Macroeconomic Indicators for Select Countries, North America, 2013–2019~ 12. Important Macroeconomic Indicators for Select Countries, Latin America, 2013–2019~ 13. Important Macroeconomic Indicators for Select Countries, Africa, 2013–2019~ 14. Important Macroeconomic Indicators for Select Countries, Europe, 2013–2019~ 15. Important Macroeconomic Indicators for Select Countries, Middle East, 2013–2019~ 16. Important Macroeconomic Indicators for Select Countries, Asia-Pacific, 2013–2019~| 1. GDP Growth Rate of Key Select Economies, Global, 2017–2019~ 2. GDP Growth of the Fastest Growing Economies, Global, 2018 and 2019~ 3. Inflation of the Fastest Growing Economies, Global, 2018 and 2019~ 4. GDP Growth, Global, 2013–2019~ 5. Total Merchandise Trade Value and Merchandise Trade Volume Growth, Global 2013–2019~ 6. Inflation, Global, 2013–2019~ 7. Brent Crude Oil Prices, Global, 2013–2019~ 8. GDP Growth, US and Canada, 2017–2019~ 9. GDP Growth, Brazil and Mexico, 2017–2019~ 10. GDP Growth, Colombia and Argentina, 2017–2019~ 11. GDP Growth, Venezuela, 2017–2019~ 12. GDP Growth, Tanzania and Kenya, 2017–2019~ 13. GDP Growth, South Africa and Nigeria, 2017–2019~ 14. GDP Growth, Germany and the UK, 2017–2019~ 15. GDP Growth, Italy and France, 2017–2019~ 16. GDP Growth, Russia, 2017–2019~ 17. GDP Growth, Saudi Arabia and Iran, 2017–2019~ 18. GDP Growth, Qatar and Turkey, 2017–2019~ 19. GDP Growth, China and India, 2017–2019~ 20. GDP Growth, Japan and Indonesia, 2017–2019~ 21. GDP Growth, Australia, 2017–2019~
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WIP Number PA4A-01-00-00-00
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