Global Light, Medium, and Heavy Commercial Vehicle Outlook, 2022

Automotive Global Light, Medium, and Heavy Commercial Vehicle Outlook, 2022

Plummeting Demand in China will Contribute to a Contraction in Medium- and Heavy-duty Truck Sales

INDUSTRY
Automotive

RELEASE DATE
10-May-2022
REGION
North America
DELIVERABLE TYPE
Market Outlook

RESEARCH CODE
PCE5-01-00-00-00
SKU
AU02328-NA-MO_26523
Yes
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Global Light, Medium, and Heavy Commercial Vehicle Outlook, 2022
Published on: 10-May-2022 | SKU: AU02328-NA-MO_26523

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All regions except for China (which contributes annual sales volumes averaging about 40%) witnessed growth in commercial vehicle sales in 2021, indicating a return to normalcy after a dismal 2020. Despite COVID-19 virus surges in some places, the overall sentiment for the year remained positive. Frost & Sullivan expects the global market to grow even further in 2022.

As economies continue to reopen, a resumption of infrastructure build-out and other construction activity will increase the demand for heavy-duty trucks, with double-digit growth anticipated in India, Latin America, and Association of Southeast Asian Nations countries.

Natural gas vehicles have seen a spike in demand in most regions. North America and Europe continued to generate strong demand, and in India demand went up as oil prices increased. China is the only exception, where sales declined largely due to high natural gas prices as well as a significant gain in electric truck volumes. Most truck manufacturers will have at least electric model on the road this year. Much of the demand will come from North America, with numerous launches and order fulfillments expected. Latin America will show the most promise among emerging markets.

Governments around the world are mandating advanced driver assistance systems in commercial vehicles. Manufacturers, meanwhile, are developing bundled solutions that manage all fleet requirements, from logistics and connectivity to service and maintenance, as a service.

Despite Frost & Sullivan’s optimism for the market, the Russo-Ukrainian war, the ongoing semiconductor shortage, rising inflation, and still-climbing oil prices are among the factors that could affect sales.

Key Issues Addressed

  • The size of the global truck industry in 2021 and the segment split along with major OEMs in different regions?
  • What is the growth expected in 2022 in terms of volumes and key drivers for growth in different regions?
  • Projected penetration of key powertrain technologies across different regions?
  • Top OEM performers in 2021 and their powertrain strategy in future across different regions?
  • Key trends and activities in the field of connected, electric drivetrain and ADAS features in trucks?

Author: Marshall Martin

Top Commercial Vehicle Trends in 2021

Commercial Vehicle Industry Highlights

Market Forecast

Growth Rate

Technological Progress

Top Predictions for 2022

Why Is It Increasingly Difficult To Grow?

Strategic Imperative 8™

The Impact of the Top Three Strategic Imperatives on the Truck Industry

Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine™

Research Scope

Market Segmentation

Top 5 Global Economic Highlights of 2021

Top 5 Global Economic Predictions for 2022

Global GDP Growth

2022 Scenario Analysis—Quarterly Global Growth

2022 Scenario Analysis Assumptions

2022 Global GDP Growth Snapshot

Advanced Economy Predictions for 2022

Emerging Economy Predictions for 2022

Macroeconomic Predictions for 2022

Top 3 2022 Growth Opportunities by Region

2022 Regional Risks and Policy Direction

Market Forecast

Market Forecast by Region and Category

2021 LCV OEM Sales Performance

Powertrain Technology Forecast

Key OEMs’ Anticipated e-LCV Launches

Market Forecast

Market Forecast by Region and Category

2021 M&HD Truck OEM Sales Performance

Powertrain Technology Forecast

Key OEMs’ Anticipated e-M&HD Truck Launches

Regional Snapshot

Segment Sales Forecast

Powertrain Technology Split

OEM Powertrain Technology Platforms

Regional Snapshot

Segment Sales Forecast

Powertrain Technology Split

OEM Powertrain Technology Platforms

Regional Snapshot

Segment Sales Forecast

Powertrain Technology Split

OEM Powertrain Technology Platforms

Regional Snapshot

Segment Sales Forecast

Powertrain Technology Split

OEM Powertrain Technology Platforms

Regional Snapshot

Segment Sales Forecast

Powertrain Technology Split

OEM Powertrain Technology Platforms

Regional Snapshot

Segment Sales Forecast

Powertrain Technology Split

OEM Powertrain Technology Platforms

Telematics Penetration

Telematics Opportunity Assessment

Notable Telematics Partnerships

Notable Telematics Partnerships (continued)

Drivetrain Architecture Forecast

Electric Trucks by Drivetrain Architecture Type

Electric Drivetrain Technology Roadmap

ADAS Forecast

ADAS Supplier Preference

ADAS Technology Roadmap

Growth Opportunity 1—Emerging Markets

Growth Opportunity 1—Emerging Markets (continued)

Growth Opportunity 2—The EV Ecosystem

Growth Opportunity 2—The EV Ecosystem (continued)

Growth Opportunity 3—ADAS Safety Features

Growth Opportunity 3—ADAS Safety Features (continued)

Abbreviations

List of Exhibits

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

Legal Disclaimer

List of Figures
  • LCV Sales, Global, 2021–2022
  • M&HD Truck Sales, Global, 2021–2022
  • Estimated LCV and M&HD Truck Growth Rates, Selected Locations, 2022
  • GDP Growth in Advanced, Emerging, and Developing Economies, Global, 2017–2022
  • GDP Growth Scenario Analysis, Global, Q1 2019–Q4 2022
  • Assumptions for Growth Scenarios, Global, 2022
  • GDP Growth Rate, Select Economies, 2020–2022
  • LCV Sales, Global, 2021–2022
  • Pickup Sales Forecast, Global, 2021 and 2022
  • Van and COE Truck Sales Forecast, Global, 2021 and 2022
  • Top 20 LCV OEM Sales Performance, Global, 2021
  • LCV Powertrain Technology Forecast, Global, 2022
  • e-LCV Product Launch Timeline
  • M&HD Truck Sales, Global, 2021–2022
  • MD Truck Sales Forecast, Global, 2021 and 2022
  • HD Truck Sales Forecast, Global, 2021 and 2022
  • Top 17 M&HD Truck OEM Sales Performance, Global, 2021
  • M&HD Truck Powertrain Technology Forecast, Global, 2022
  • E-M&HD Product Launch Timeline
  • Top 5 OEMs* in 2021
  • Truck Segment Sales Forecast, North America, 2021–2022
  • Truck Segment Powertrain Technology Split, North America, 2021–2022
  • Top 5 OEMs* in 2021
  • Truck Segment Sales Forecast, Europe, 2021–2022
  • Truck Segment Powertrain Technology Split, Europe, 2021–2022
  • Top 5 OEMs* in 2021
  • Truck Segment Sales Forecast, China, 2021–2022
  • Truck Segment Powertrain Technology Split, China, 2021–2022
  • Top 5 OEMs* in 2021
  • Truck Segment Sales Forecast, India, 2021–2022
  • Truck Segment Powertrain Technology Split, India, 2021–2022
  • Top 5 OEMs* in 2021
  • Truck Segment Sales Forecast, Latin America, 2021–2022
  • Truck Segment Powertrain Technology Split, Latin America, 2021–2022
  • Top 5 OEMs* in 2021
  • Truck Segment Sales Forecast, ASEAN, 2021–2022
  • Truck Segment Powertrain Technology Split, ASEAN, 2021–2022
  • LCV Telematics Penetration, Selected Locations, 2022
  • M&HD Truck Telematics Penetration, Selected Locations, 2022
  • Truck Telematics Opportunities, Selected Locations, 2022
  • M&HD Truck Electrification Architecture Forecast, North America and Europe, 2025 and 2030
  • M&HD Level 1 and 2 ADAS Truck Sales, North America and Europe, 2021 and 2030
  • Truck Market: Key Supplier Preference Analysis, Global, 2021

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All regions except for China (which contributes annual sales volumes averaging about 40%) witnessed growth in commercial vehicle sales in 2021, indicating a return to normalcy after a dismal 2020. Despite COVID-19 virus surges in some places, the overall sentiment for the year remained positive. Frost & Sullivan expects the global market to grow even further in 2022. As economies continue to reopen, a resumption of infrastructure build-out and other construction activity will increase the demand for heavy-duty trucks, with double-digit growth anticipated in India, Latin America, and Association of Southeast Asian Nations countries. Natural gas vehicles have seen a spike in demand in most regions. North America and Europe continued to generate strong demand, and in India demand went up as oil prices increased. China is the only exception, where sales declined largely due to high natural gas prices as well as a significant gain in electric truck volumes. Most truck manufacturers will have at least electric model on the road this year. Much of the demand will come from North America, with numerous launches and order fulfillments expected. Latin America will show the most promise among emerging markets. Governments around the world are mandating advanced driver assistance systems in commercial vehicles. Manufacturers, meanwhile, are developing bundled solutions that manage all fleet requirements, from logistics and connectivity to service and maintenance, as a service. Despite Frost & Sullivan’s optimism for the market, the Russo-Ukrainian war, the ongoing semiconductor shortage, rising inflation, and still-climbing oil prices are among the factors that could affect sales.--BEGIN PROMO--

Key Issues Addressed

  • The size of the global truck industry in 2021 and the segment split along with major OEMs in different regions
  • What is the growth expected in 2022 in terms of volumes and key drivers for growth in different regions
  • Projected penetration of key powertrain technologies across different regions
  • Top OEM performers in 2021 and their powertrain strategy in future across different regions
  • Key trends and activities in the field of connected, electric drivetrain and ADAS features in trucks

Author: Marshall Martin

More Information
Deliverable Type Market Outlook
Author Marshall Martin
Industries Automotive
No Index No
Is Prebook No
List of Charts and Figures LCV Sales, Global, 2021–2022~ M&HD Truck Sales, Global, 2021–2022~ Estimated LCV and M&HD Truck Growth Rates, Selected Locations, 2022~ GDP Growth in Advanced, Emerging, and Developing Economies, Global, 2017–2022~ GDP Growth Scenario Analysis, Global, Q1 2019–Q4 2022~ Assumptions for Growth Scenarios, Global, 2022~ GDP Growth Rate, Select Economies, 2020–2022~ LCV Sales, Global, 2021–2022~ Pickup Sales Forecast, Global, 2021 and 2022~ Van and COE Truck Sales Forecast, Global, 2021 and 2022~ Top 20 LCV OEM Sales Performance, Global, 2021~ LCV Powertrain Technology Forecast, Global, 2022~ e-LCV Product Launch Timeline~ M&HD Truck Sales, Global, 2021–2022~ MD Truck Sales Forecast, Global, 2021 and 2022~ HD Truck Sales Forecast, Global, 2021 and 2022~ Top 17 M&HD Truck OEM Sales Performance, Global, 2021~ M&HD Truck Powertrain Technology Forecast, Global, 2022~ E-M&HD Product Launch Timeline~ Top 5 OEMs* in 2021~ Truck Segment Sales Forecast, North America, 2021–2022~ Truck Segment Powertrain Technology Split, North America, 2021–2022~ Top 5 OEMs* in 2021~ Truck Segment Sales Forecast, Europe, 2021–2022~ Truck Segment Powertrain Technology Split, Europe, 2021–2022~ Top 5 OEMs* in 2021~ Truck Segment Sales Forecast, China, 2021–2022~ Truck Segment Powertrain Technology Split, China, 2021–2022~ Top 5 OEMs* in 2021~ Truck Segment Sales Forecast, India, 2021–2022~ Truck Segment Powertrain Technology Split, India, 2021–2022~ Top 5 OEMs* in 2021~ Truck Segment Sales Forecast, Latin America, 2021–2022~ Truck Segment Powertrain Technology Split, Latin America, 2021–2022~ Top 5 OEMs* in 2021~ Truck Segment Sales Forecast, ASEAN, 2021–2022~ Truck Segment Powertrain Technology Split, ASEAN, 2021–2022~ LCV Telematics Penetration, Selected Locations, 2022~ M&HD Truck Telematics Penetration, Selected Locations, 2022~ Truck Telematics Opportunities, Selected Locations, 2022~ M&HD Truck Electrification Architecture Forecast, North America and Europe, 2025 and 2030~ M&HD Level 1 and 2 ADAS Truck Sales, North America and Europe, 2021 and 2030~ Truck Market: Key Supplier Preference Analysis, Global, 2021~
Podcast No
WIP Number PCE5-01-00-00-00