Impact of the Emission Scandal on the Volkswagen Group

Impact of the Emission Scandal on the Volkswagen Group

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Volkswagen's (VW) concession of corporate malfeasance in circumventing Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) testing in the US has sent the global automotive industry into a tailspin. This research service examines the fallout from the emission scandal and its impact on the Volkswagen group, as well as the wider automotive ecosystem.

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary – Impact of the Emission Scandal on the Volkswagen Group
Short to Medium term Impact on VW
Beyond VW's Strategy 2018
Volkswagen Group: Total Economic Impact
Volkswagen Group: Avenues for raising cash
Pillars of Volkswagen Group New Organizational Structure
Scenario Analysis on Electric Vehicle Adoption
Conquest Potential
Cultural and Organizational Shift at Volkswagen
Frost & Sullivan Recommendations to Volkswagen
2. Volkswagen Diesel Emissions Scandal—Overview
Frost & Sullivan’s Assessment of the Diesel Fiasco and the Magnitude of its Impact—The Scandal Explained
Frost & Sullivan’s Assessment of the Diesel Fiasco and the Magnitude of its Impact
Volkswagen SWOT Analysis
3. Financial Impact of the Emission Scandal on Volkswagen
Volkswagen Group: Total Economic Impact
Volkswagen Group—Impact to Share Price
Additional Financial Implications
Regulatory Action Taken by Key Markets
Volkswagen Group: Avenues for Raising Cash
4. Financial Impact of the Emission Scandal on Volkswagen—Recall and Fix Costs
Recall Strategy and Solutions for Effected Engines
Financial Analysis of Available Fixes
Total Financial Implication of Recall by Region
5. Financial Impact of the Emission Scandal on Volkswagen—Fines and Legal Liabilities
Estimated Fines and Legal Liabilities from Dieselgate
6. Financial Impact of the Emission Scandal on Volkswagen—Costs Associated with Underutilization of Production Facilities
VW Engine Production Plan, 2013-2022
7. Volkswagen Group—Strategy 2018 Recalibrated (Current Scenario & Future Outlook) Organizational Restructuring
Volkswagen Group New Organizational Structure
Pillars of Volkswagen Group New Organizational Structure
8. Volkswagen Group—Strategy 2018 Recalibrated (Current Scenario & Future Outlook) Product Portfolio Restructuring
Current Product Portfolio & Why Restructuring is the Need of the Hour
Factors to consider for Product Portfolio Restructuring
Product Portfolio Recalibrated for 2022
Global Powertrain Market—Unit Shipment, Diesel vs. Gasoline Trend
Sales by Region split by brands
Engine Family Portfolio
Electric Vehicle Launches
Product/Powertrain Portfolio
VW Emission Test Results and EPA Testing Norms
9. Impact to the Automotive Industry
Global Powertrain Mix—Production by Region (Pre & Post VW Crisis)
Impact to Regulatory Framework
Regional Strategy for Testing Procedures
A Three Pronged Push Towards Electric Vehicles
Scenario Analysis on Electric Vehicle Adoption
Electric Vehicle OEM Level Analysis
Conquest Potential Calculation Explained
Conquest Potential
Select Suppliers to Volkswagen and Their Market Performance
10. Conclusion—Key Findings & Recommendations
Key Findings
Frost & Sullivan Recommendations to the Automotive Industry
Frost & Sullivan Recommendations to Volkswagen
Legal Disclaimer
11. Appendix
Learn More—Next Steps
Market Engineering Methodology


List of Figures & Charts

1. Beyond VW's Strategy 2018
2. Volkswagen Group: Total Economic Impact
3. Volkswagen Group: Avenues for raising cash
4. Pillars of Volkswagen Group New Organizational Structure
5. Scenario Analysis on Electric Vehicle Adoption
6. Conquest Potential
7. Cultural and Organizational Shift at Volkswagen
8. Frost & Sullivan Recommendations to Volkswagen
9. Frost & Sullivan’s Assessment of the Diesel Fiasco and the Magnitude of its Impact—The Scandal Explained
10. Frost & Sullivan’s Assessment of the Diesel Fiasco and the Magnitude of its Impact
11. Volkswagen SWOT Analysis
12. Volkswagen Group: Total Economic Impact
13. Volkswagen Group—Impact to Share Price
14. Additional Financial Implications
15. Regulatory Action Taken by Key Markets
16. Avenues for Raising Cash
17. Recall Strategy and Solutions for Effected Engines
18. Financial Analysis of Available Fixes
19. Total Financial Implication of Recall by Region
20. Estimated Fines and Legal Liabilities from Dieselgate
21. VW Engine Production Plan, 2013-2022
22. VW Emission Scandal Diesel—Production Scenario #1: Fall by 7%
23. Production Scenario #2: Fall by 15%
24. Volkswagen Group New Organizational Structure
25. Pillars of Volkswagen Group New Organizational Structure
26. Volkswagen Group—Current Product Portfolio & Why Restructuring is the Need of the Hour
27. Factors to consider for Product Portfolio Restructuring
28. Product Portfolio Recalibrated for 2022
29. Global Powertrain Market—Unit Shipment, Diesel vs. Gasoline Trend
30. Volkswagen Group—Sales by Region split by brands
31. Volkswagen Group—Engine Family Portfolio
32. Volkswagen Group Electric Vehicle Launches
33. Product/Powertrain Portfolio
34. VW Emission Test Results and EPA Testing Norms
35. Global Powertrain Market: Total Vehicle Production- Region wise split for fuel type, Global, 2020
36. Impact to Regulatory Framework
37. Regional Strategy for Testing Procedures
38. A Three Pronged Push Towards Electric Vehicles
39. Scenario Analysis on Electric Vehicle Adoption
40. Electric Vehicle OEM Level Analysis
41. Conquest Potential Calculation Explained
42. Conquest Potential
43. Select Suppliers to Volkswagen and Their Market Performance
44. Key Findings
45. Frost & Sullivan Recommendations to the Automotive Industry
46. Frost & Sullivan Recommendations to Volkswagen



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