Automotive

Indian Commercial Electric 3-Wheeler Growth Opportunities

Emission Regulations, Battery Swapping, Battery Technology Transition, and Digitalization Support Transformational Growth Strategies

INDUSTRY
Automotive

RELEASE DATE
14-Feb-2022
REGION
South Asia, Middle East & North Africa
DELIVERABLE TYPE
Market Research

RESEARCH CODE
PCAB-01-00-00-00
SKU
AU02294-SA-MT_26271
Yes
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Indian Commercial Electric 3-Wheeler Growth Opportunities
Published on: 14-Feb-2022 | SKU: AU02294-SA-MT_26271

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In the Indian commercial electric 3-wheeler (e3W) space, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) are focusing on exports to sustain business and continuously exploring new markets to penetrate and mitigate losses in the domestic market. Electric L5 3Ws are currently in high demand in nations such as the United Kingdom, Greece, France, Sub-Saharan African countries, and Latin American countries such as Peru and Panama. India has an excellent opportunity to become a global powerhouse of electric vehicle (EV) production by rapidly transitioning from internal combustion engines (ICE) to alternative fuel vehicles, which are mostly dominated by battery technology. This was not the case with ICE-powered automobiles. Vehicle exports and component exports are two sectors where eMobility-related export prospects exist. Export prospects in the vehicle sector are in the low-end models of 3Ws, which India dominates. In the component area, India's potential as a global sourcing destination for powertrain and electronics is enormous.

Increasing regulatory pressure on traditional fuel 3Ws to reduce emissions and improve fuel efficiency is resulting in a shift in power-to-weight ratio, more certifications, and ultimately higher vehicle costs. For powertrain-related adjustments in the commercial segment, e3W will be the first line of defense for last-mile logistics. Also, commercial 3W buyers look for ways to save operating and maintenance expenses and to add value by cutting fuel consumption and lowering vehicle operating costs by moving to e3Ws.

India’s commercial e3W space is currently dominated by L3 vehicles. L3 EVs are manufactured by several organized and unorganized players. However, because of their low speed and difficult maneuverability, L3 vehicles are not as suitable for cargo applications. As the industry transitions to EVs for last-mile delivery, it seeks those most suited for moving cargo. L5 vehicles are 35–40% more expensive than L3 vehicles on average but gaining popularity among fleet operators since they offer more space, higher speed, telematics solutions, battery-swapping technology, and overall operational efficiency.

This study analyzes the growth opportunities for the Indian commercial e3W market and identifies the key trends, drivers, and restraints that are changing the operating grounds of the Indian commercial e3W industry. Further, the study includes an analysis of the shift to the L5 e3Ws and next-generation fleets and covers the importance of a strategic partner ecosystem for a new generation of services that will create growth opportunities with future-proof connected logistics solutions.

Research Highlights

  • Provide growth opportunity analysis of the Indian commercial e3W market
  • Provide the vital economic indicators for India and understand the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the Indian economy and the 3W industry going forward
  • Provide anticipated market trends in the Indian commercial e3W market
  • Provide segmental analysis and understand how the COVID-19 pandemic impacts or benefits various segments
  • Provide the market drivers and restraints that influence the Indian commercial e3W market
  • Provide a clear scope of commercial 3Ws in India and the focus areas for new entrants

Why Is It Increasingly Difficult to Grow?

The Strategic Imperative 8™

The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on the Indian Commercial Electric 3-wheeler (e3W) Market

Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine™

Scope of Analysis

Factors Impacting India’s Commercial e3W Market

Indian Commercial e3W Market Segmentation

Findings—Indian Commercial e3W Market

Findings—Indian Commercial e3W Market (continued)

Indian Commercial 3W Market Growth Overview

Indian Commercial 3W Market by Fuel Type

Indian Commercial Internal Combustion Engine (ICE) 3w Market Overview

Indian Commercial e3W Market Overview

Indian Commercial 3W Market Overview by City

Indian Commercial eCart Market Overview by City

Trends Impacting the e3W Industry

Trends Impacting the e3W Industry (continued)

Trends Impacting the e3W Industry (continued)

2021—900% Growth in EV Charging Stations

India Li-ion Import Trend

Impact of 3W Regulations by City

Impact of 3W Regulations by City (continued)

Impact of Fame II on the e3W Industry

Shoonya Campaign to Promote Electric Delivery Vehicles

Future Outlook by Fuel Type

Growth Drivers

Growth Driver Analysis

Growth Restraints

Growth Restraint Analysis

Indian Ecommerce—Logistics Vs. Last-mile Delivery

Last-mile Fleet Engagement Models by eCommerce Players

Major Players—e3W Last-mile Ecosystem

GMW Pvt. Ltd.

Piaggio Vehicles Pvt. Ltd.

Euler Motors Pvt. Ltd.

Mahindra Logistics Ltd. (EDEL)*

Bycyshare Technologies Pvt. Ltd. (Zypp Electric)

TCO Analysis for 3WS

TCO Analysis for Commercial 3WS

TCO Analysis Per Km for Commercial 3WS

Battery Swapping Technology

Battery Swapping Technology (continued)

Swapping Station—Supportive Government Initiatives

Battery Swapping Station Comparison

Value Creation Via Deployment of Internet of Things (IoT) in e3Ws

Top 3 Telematics Services in India

Case Study—Mahindra Nemo

Case Study—Euler and Altigreen

Growth Opportunity 1—Strategic Partnerships with eCommerce-focused Fleet Operators

Growth Opportunity 1—Strategic Partnerships with eCommerce-focused Fleet Operators (continued)

Growth Opportunity 2—Advanced Connectivity and Safety Features

Growth Opportunity 2—Advanced Connectivity and Safety Features (continued)

Growth Opportunity 3—Integration of Capacity with On-demand Fleet Platforms

Growth Opportunity 3—Integration of Capacity with On-demand Fleet Platforms (continued)

Growth Opportunity 4—Focusing on Export to Make e3W Business Sustainable

Growth Opportunity 4—Focusing on Export to Make e3W Business Sustainable (continued)

Your Next Steps

Why Frost, Why Now?

List of Exhibits

List of Exhibits (continued)

Legal Disclaimer

List of Figures
  • Commercial 3W Market: Unit Shipment Forecast, India, FY2021–FY2026
  • Commercial 3W Market: Unit Shipment Forecast by Fuel Type, India, FY2021–FY2026
  • Commercial 3W Market: Market Trends, India, FY2021–FY2026
  • Commercial e3W Market: Unit Shipment Forecast by Type, India, FY2021–FY2026
  • Commercial 3W Market: Market Trends, India, FY2022
  • Commercial 3W Penetration Heat Map, India, FY2026
  • L3 vs. L5 e3Ws Sales, India, 2021–2026
  • EV Stations Established Under FAME, India, 2021
  • EV Stations Established Under FAME II, India, 2021
  • Li-ion Import Trends, India, April 2020–April 2021
  • Impact of 3W Regulations by City, India, FY2022
  • 3Ws Future Outlook by Fuel Type, India, FY2022
  • Commercial e3W Market: Growth Drivers, India, FY2022–FY2026
  • Commercial e3W Market: Growth Restraints, India, FY2022–FY2026
  • eCommerce Sector: Logistics vs. Last-mile Delivery, India, CY2019–CY2026
  • Commercial 3Ws: TCO Comparison per Km, India, FY2022
  • e3W Suitable Battery Charging Locations, India, FY2022
  • Battery Swapping Station Comparison, India, FY2022

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