Market Forecast and Key Trends in the Passenger Vehicle Market in India

Super Compacts and Compact SUVs Priced Aggressively to Drive the Market

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Driven by aggressive pricing, the Indian passenger vehicle market is expected to grow with launch of entry level sedans (super compacts) and compact SUVs until 2019. Domestic sales of PVs in India decreased from 2,686,768 units in FY 2013 to 2,431,250 units in FY 2014, registering a decline of 9.5% due to the increase in fuel cost, lending rate, and current economic conditions. With the narrowing price difference between gasoline and diesel variant vehicles and newer technologies being introduced in gasoline engines, the share of diesel vehicles is likely to decline in the near future. The overall inflation remains high due to a persistent rise in fuel prices and is expected to continue for the next few months or a year.

Table of Contents

Executive SummaryExecutive Summary—Key FindingsExecutive Summary—Market Engineering MeasurementsExecutive Summary—Total Domestic Sales SnapshotExecutive Summary—Total Domestic Sales Snapshot ExplainedExecutive Summary—Competitive Positioning of Key Industry ParticipantsExecutive Summary—Key Conclusions and Future OutlookExecutive Summary—Key Conclusions and Future Outlook (continued)Research Scope, Objectives, Background, and MethodologyResearch ScopeResearch Aims and ObjectivesKey Questions this Study will AnswerResearch MethodologyKey OEMs Considered in this StudyDefinitions and SegmentationIndian Automotive Industry SegmentationPV Segmentation PV Segmentation (continued)Mega Trends in India and Industry Convergence Implications—IntroductionDefinition of a Mega TrendDefinitions Used in the StudyUrbanizationFour Main Trends in UrbanizationUrbanization as a Mega TrendUrbanization as a Mega Trend (continued)Mega Regions in 2025 and BeyondMega ConnectionSustainable CitiesEconomyIndia’s GDP Trends and ForecastTop 10 States Contributing to India’s GDP in 2010 and 2020India’s Growth DriversInfrastructure DevelopmentIndia Infrastructure Investment TrendsConstruction Industry InvestmentHeavy Investment in Public Transportation Facilities by 2020Road DevelopmentRoad Infrastructure in India Road Infrastructure Development Plan BRTS Infrastructure DevelopmentRailways DevelopmentMajor InvestmentMetro Rail Planned in Various Cities External Challenges: Drivers and Restraints—Total PV MarketDrivers and RestraintsIndian PV Market DriversDrivers ExplainedIndian PV Market RestraintsRestraints ExplainedForecasts and Trends—Total PV MarketMarket Engineering MeasurementsTotal PV Market—Select Models to be Launched in the Next 5 YearsIndian PV Market—Past TrendsTotal PV Market—Domestic Sales Scenario AnalysisTotal PV Market—Frost & Sullivan Scenario AnalysisTotal PV Market—Frost & Sullivan Scenario Analysis (continued)Total PV Market—Frost & Sullivan Scenario Analysis (continued)Total PV Market—Economic Parameters and Segment GrowthForecast Scenario Assumptions for 2019Forecast Scenario AssumptionsForecast Scenario Assumptions (continued)Forecast Scenario Assumptions (continued)Forecast Scenario Assumptions (continued)Total PV Market—Domestic Sales Forecast by PV SegmentsTotal PV Market—Domestic Sales Forecast by PV Segments (continued)Total PV Market— Domestic Sales Forecast by PV Segment DiscussionTotal PV Market—Engine-wise Split for the PV ProducedTotal PV Market—Engine-wise Split for the PV Produced (continued)Total PV Market—SUVs Engine-wise Production Forecast F&S Scenario AnalysisTotal PV Market—MPVs Engine-wise Production Forecast F&S Scenario AnalysisFuture Trends in PowertrainPassenger Car (PC) Segment BreakdownPC Segment—Domestic Sales Forecast by Vehicle SegmentPC Segment—Domestic Sales Forecast by OEMPC Segment—Domestic Sales Forecast PC Segment—Competitive AnalysisPC Segment—Competitive Analysis for the Micro SegmentPC Segment—Competitive Analysis for the Mini SegmentPC Segment—Competitive Analysis for the Compact SegmentPC Segment—Competitive Analysis for the Super Compact SegmentPC Segment—Competitive Analysis for the Mid-Size SegmentPC Segment—Competitive Analysis for the Executive SegmentPC Segment—Competitive Analysis for the Premium SegmentPC Segment—Competitive Analysis for the Luxury SegmentPC Segment—Future OutlookUtility Vehicle (UV) Segment BreakdownUV Segment—Domestic Sales Forecast by Vehicle SegmentUV Segment—Domestic Sales Forecast by OEMsUV Segment—Domestic Sales Forecast UV Segment—Competitive AnalysisUV Segment—Competitive Analysis for the SUV SegmentUV Segment—Competitive Analysis for the MPV SegmentUV Segment—Future OutlookVan Segment BreakdownVan Segment—Domestic Sales ForecastVan Segment—Domestic Sales Forecast by OEMsVan Segment—Domestic Sales Forecast DiscussionVan Segment—Competitive AnalysisVan Segment—Future OutlookConclusions and Future OutlookKey Conclusions and Future OutlookThe Last Word—Three Big PredictionsLegal DisclaimerAppendixTable of Acronyms UsedMarket Engineering Methodology




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