Strategic Analysis of the Automotive Industry in -Stan and -Jan Countries

Regional Annual Light Vehicle Sales to Cross 1 Million Post-2021

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The aim of this study is to research, analyze, and forecast the potential for automotive sales in Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Turkmenistan, Tajikistan, and Kyrgyzstan—collectively labeled for the purpose of this deliverable as the “Stan & Jan” region. The study examines production and sales of passenger cars and light commercial vehicles up to 5 tons, providing insights about top manufacturers in each country, the top markets for investment potential, and geopolitical factors that have had and may continue to have an effect on individual countries and the region as a whole. The study period is from 2011 to 2021. The base year is 2014; the forecast period is from 2015 to 2021.

Table of Contents

Executive SummaryKey Findings on the Top 5 MarketsTop 5 Key TakeawaysTop TrendsGlobal Market Sales ForecastKey Target MarketsKey Industry StatisticsLV Sales Breakdown by SegmentStan & Jan LV Sales SnapshotOEM Sales in Key CountriesMarket Segments in Key CountriesPowertrain Mix in Key CountriesLV Production in Key Countries2021 LV ProductionManufacturing Facility Production CapacityKey Industry ParticipantsMacroeconomic ImpactInfluence of Russia and ChinaImpact of Russian EconomyImpact of Regional Geopolitical TensionsAutomotive Industry Attractiveness IndexKey Country FactsOpportunity Assessment IndexKey Findings and Future OutlookResearch Scope, Objectives, Background, and MethodologyResearch ScopeResearch Aims and ObjectivesKey Questions this Study Will AnswerResearch MethodologyDefinitions and SegmentationDefinitionsAttractiveness BenchmarkingSelected GDPsSelected GDPs per CapitaUnemployment and Literacy RatesInflationFDI Stock InflowBusiness ConditionsBusiness Attractiveness RatingsBusiness Attractiveness Ratings (continued)Legislative and Regulatory Issues Automotive Industry in KazakhstanKazakhstan Outlook Market Overview Population and Vehicles in Use Age of Vehicle Fleet Fuel Usage and Powertrain Mix Market Drivers Drivers Explained Market Restraints Restraints Explained LV Sales Forecast Scenario Analysis LV Production Forecast Developments in Customs Duty Legislation Incentive Instruments for Automotive Investment Incentive Instruments for Automotive Investment (continued) Automotive Industry FDI Framework Key Industry Departments Kazakhstan LV Plants Automotive Industry PartnershipsAutomotive Industry Partnerships (continued)LV Imports LV Production by Manufacturer LV Production by Vehicle Segment LV Sales Market Share by Brand LV Sales by OEM Group LV Sales by Segment Dealer Point Analysis Dealer Point Analysis (continued) Structure of Automotive Industry Kazakhstan Industry—SWOT Analysis Automotive Industry in UkraineUkraine Outlook Market Overview Population and Vehicles in Use Age of Vehicle FleetFuel Usage and Powertrain MixMarket DriversDrivers ExplainedMarket RestraintsRestraints ExplainedLV Sales Forecast Scenario AnalysisLV Production ForecastDevelopments in Customs Duty LegislationAutomotive PolicyAutomotive Industry FDI FrameworkKey Industry DepartmentsOEM Production MapAutomotive Industry PartnershipsAutomotive Industry Partnerships (continued)LV ImportsLV Production by ManufacturerLV Production by Vehicle SegmentLV Sales Market Share by BrandLV Sales by OEMSegment SalesDealer Point AnalysisTop Sales RegionsStructure of Automotive IndustryUkraine Industry—SWOT AnalysisAutomotive Industry in UzbekistanUzbekistan OutlookMarket OverviewPopulation and Vehicles in UseFuel Usage and Powertrain MixMarket DriversDrivers ExplainedMarket RestraintsRestraints ExplainedLV Sales Forecast Scenario AnalysisLV Production ForecastDevelopments in Custom Duty LegislationIncentive Instruments for Automotive InvestmentAutomotive Industry FDI FrameworkKey Industry DepartmentsUzbekistan OEM Production MapLV ExportsLV Production by ManufacturerLV Production by Vehicle SegmentLV Sales by SegmentLV Sales and ParcStructure of Automotive IndustryUzbekistan Industry—SWOT AnalysisAutomotive Industry in BelarusBelarus OutlookMarket OverviewPopulation and Vehicles in UseFuel Usage and Powertrain MixMarket DriversDrivers ExplainedMarket RestraintsRestraints ExplainedLV Sales Forecast Scenario AnalysisLV Production ForecastDevelopments in Custom Duty LegislationIncentive Instruments for Automotive InvestmentAutomotive Industry FDI FrameworkKey Industry DepartmentsLV Production MapLV Production by ManufacturerLV Production by Vehicle SegmentLV Sales Market Share by OEMLV Sales Market Share by OEMLV Sales by SegmentDealer Point AnalysisDealer Point Analysis (continued)Structure of Automotive IndustryBelarus Industry—SWOT AnalysisAutomotive Industry in AzerbaijanAzerbaijan OutlookMarket OverviewPopulation and Vehicles in UseVehicle Parc Density by RegionStructure of Vehicle Parc in AzerbaijanFuel Usage and Powertrain MixMarket DriversDrivers ExplainedMarket RestraintsRestraints ExplainedAzerbaijan LV Sales Forecast Scenario AnalysisLV Production ForecastDevelopments in Customs Duty LegislationAutomotive Industry FDI FrameworkKey Industry DepartmentsLV Imports (Used and New) to AzerbaijanLV Production by Manufacturer AnalysisLV Sales by SegmentLV Sales and Dealership AnalysisStructure of Automotive IndustryAzerbaijan Industry—SWOT AnalysisAutomotive Industry in Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan, and TajikistanMarket OverviewPopulation and Vehicle in UseAutomotive Industry Snapshot LV Sales Forecast Conclusions and Future OutlookTop Predictions for 2021 The Last Word—3 Big Predictions Legal DisclaimerAppendixMarket Engineering Methodology




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