The 48v Power-net Market in Europe and North America

Porting Power-hungry Applications to 48v Boosts Performance and Drops CO2 Emissions up to 15%

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OEMs are looking for various means to reduce the CO2 emissions required for 2020 and 2025. The 12v power-net can no longer sustain the electrical load that present day top-end vehicles use. Any new addition to the electrical load will require an increase to the power-net capacity, so OEMs are considering migrating to a 48v power-net thereby using 2 voltages. The 48v power-net also manages to reduce vehicle weight, thereby reducing fuel consumption and CO2 emissions. Heavy-duty functions are expected to port to the new 48v power-net. This study investigates the current and future market for 48v power-net in the passenger vehicle market including adoption challenges. The study period is 2014 to 2025 while the for

Table of Contents

Executive SummaryKey FindingsKey Findings and Future OutlookResearch Scope, Objectives, Background, and MethodologyResearch ScopeResearch Aims and ObjectivesKey Questions this Study will AnswerResearch BackgroundResearch MethodologyKey Participant Groups Compared in this StudyDefinitions and SegmentationSystem SegmentationDefinitions of Voltage Architectures for Passenger Vehicles Vehicle Segmentation Background and Overview of Alternative Voltage DevelopmentsPower Demand Exposing Drawbacks of 12vMarket for Dedicated 42v as of Early 2000sGlobal Hot Spots for 48vEmission Regulations Roadmap—EuropeEmission Regulations Roadmap—North AmericaNeed for 48vBenefits of 48v at a Module LevelBenefits of 48v Pulse Width Modulation (PWM) Micro-Hybrids over 12vOptimum Operational Voltage Level for Dual-voltage Power-netImpact of Automated Driving on Electric and Electronics ArchitectureBusiness Case for 48v—Need for Dual Voltage ArchitectureBusiness Case for 48v—Need for Dual Voltage Architecture (continued)Business Case for 48v—Need for Dual Voltage Architecture (continued)Impact Analysis of 48vImpact Analysis of 48v ExplainedSummary of Possible 48v ApplicationTechnology OverviewCurrent Day Single Voltage System ArrangementPossible Configurations for a Dual Voltage System ArrangementPossible Multi-voltage System Base ArchitectureAlternative Multi-voltage System for Hybrid VehiclesElectric and Electronics (E/E) ArchitectureSystem Architecture—Belt-driven Starter Generator (BSG)System Architecture—Integrated Motor GeneratorComparative Analysis of Different Applications on Different VoltagesSummary of Technology TrendsBattery ChemistriesBattery Requirements from Different Types of VehiclesLead-based BatteryLithium-based BatteriesNickel-based BatteriesSodium-based BatteriesSuitability Matrix for 48v ApplicationSummary of Future Trends in Select Battery ChemistriesCommunication Protocols for 48vCommunication Protocol Overview with Cost ImplicationsCommunication Protocol—ExplainedSummary of Possible Communication Protocols for Dual VoltageMarket OverviewTechnology RoadmapRoad to Electrification and Untapped Opportunities Application Migration PlanDrivers and Restraints—Total 48v MarketMarket DriversDrivers ExplainedDrivers Explained (continued)Market RestraintsRestraints ExplainedRestraints Explained (continued)Market Potential and OEM StrategyMarket RoadmapUnit Shipment Scenario Analysis for EuropeUnit Shipment Scenario Analysis for North AmericaForecast Scenario Assumptions to 2025Year-on-Year 48v Adoption Forecast—EuropeMarket Breakdown Discussion by Vehicle SegmentYear-on-Year 48v Adoption Forecast—North AmericaMarket Breakdown Discussion by Vehicle SegmentRevenue ForecastRevenue Forecast DiscussionPricing Trends and ForecastPricing Trends and Forecast DiscussionCost-Benefit Analysis—Correlation between Cost and CO2 ReductionTop-level Analysis of Cost Implications on Premium Vehicles (in Euros)Technology Spend for CO2 Reduction—Small SegmentsCost Reduction Roadmap for Technologies Involved in First WaveKey OEM Activity OEM Activity—AudiOEM Activity—BMWOEM Activity—FordOEM Activity—HyundaiOEM Activity—Mercedes-BenzOEM Activity—PSAOEM Activity—Renault-NissanOEM Activity—ToyotaOEM Activity—VolkswagenOEM Benchmarking At-a-GlanceKey Supplier Analysis Supplier Analysis—Bosch AutomotiveBest Practice Case Study—Bosch’s Boost Recuperative SystemSupplier Analysis—Continental AutomotiveSupplier Analysis—CPTSupplier Analysis—HellaSupplier Analysis—Johnson Controls Inc. (JCI)Supplier Analysis—Lear CorporationSupplier Analysis—SchaefflerSupplier Analysis—TÜV SÜDSupplier Analysis—ValeoSupplier BenchmarkingConclusions and Future OutlookKey Conclusions and RecommendationsThe Last Word—3 Big PredictionsLegal DisclaimerAppendixMarket Engineering Methodology

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