Global Economic Outlook, 2020
Recovery in Advanced Economies and Slowdown in Key Emerging Economies Likely , global economic outlook , world economic outlook , summary of economic projections
23-Jan-2020
Global
Market Outlook
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The global economy witnessed a lot of turbulence in 2019, with intensified trade wars and Brexit delays influencing the growth story tremendously. Should businesses expect more volatility in 2020 or are global economic prospects looking up? This 2020 Global Economic Outlook research has been designed to answer this question and more by providing insights into top economic issues, trends, and developments.
After a very low pace of growth in 2018, the weakest since 2009, the global economy is set for a marginal recovery in 2020, especially driven by emerging markets. Global growth is expected to pick up from 2.9% in 2019 to 3.2% in 2020. Subdued growth is expected for advanced economies, while emerging market and developing economies should register growth acceleration.
Trade wars and Brexit were the top developments that dominated the 2019 growth story, and these events will continue to have major ramifications in 2020 as well. A lot of uncertainty has cleared up in regards to Brexit after the UK’s Conservative Party secured a majority in the 2019 elections. The United Kingdom is set to leave the EU on 31 January 2020, after which a transition period will set in. The finalization of a Phase 1 US-China trade deal in December 2019 has helped lift sentiment globally. Intensification of the trade war between the 2 countries is now less likely in 2020, while a ceasefire trade war scenario is the most probable for 2020.
Top growth opportunities by region—covering North America, Latin America, Europe, Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific—have also been assessed as part of this research. In regards to North America for instance, while trade wars are seen to be denting the US economy, Canada appears to be benefitting from exports. Similarly, Southeast Asia’s position as a manufacturing destination is also growing as companies relocate production from China to the region order to circumvent punitive tariffs.
The regional economic outlook analysis as part of this research delves into the GDP growth outlook for major economies, key economic developments, risks, and policy direction. Advanced economies such as the United States and Japan are expected to continue to experience a slowdown in 2020, while emerging markets such as Brazil and Mexico should see growth acceleration in this year. Growth prospects in 2020 for both the United States and China have marginally improved following finalization of the Phase 1 trade deal.
Key Issues Addressed
- What are the top global economic predictions for 2020?
- What are the different trade war scenario possibilities for 2020?
- What impact will Brexit have on the United Kingdom and the Eurozone in 2020?
- Will oil prices rise or fall in 2020?
- What are the key economic risks that businesses should watch out for in 2020?
- What key 2020 growth opportunities should firms look to tap into?
- What impact will developments such as the Phase 1 trade deal and Fed rate cuts have on the US and other economies?
- What is the 2020 growth outlook for advanced economies such as the United States, Germany, and Japan?
- How will emerging market heavyweights such as China and India perform in 2020?
Author: Neha Anna Thomas
Global Economy in 2019—Top Trends
Global Economic Outlook 2020—Top Predictions
Global Economic Outlook 2020—Top Predictions (continued)
2020 World GDP Growth Snapshot
Advanced Economies—Key Predictions for 2020
Emerging Economies—Key Predictions for 2020
2020 Growth Opportunities—Top 3 Opportunities by Region
2020 Regional Trends—GDP Growth, Risks, and Policy
Research Scope
Abbreviations and Acronyms
2020 GDP Growth Outlook
2020 Monetary Policy Outlook
Fiscal Outlook
Brexit Outlook
Trade War Outlook
2020 Oil Supply, Demand, and Price Outlook
Economic Impact of Political Volatility and Civil Unrest
North America—Top 5 Growth Opportunities
The United States and Canada—GDP Growth Outlook
The United States and Canada—Economic Outlook Analysis
North America—Key Economic Developments
North America—Key Economic Developments (continued)
2020 North America Economic Outlook—Top Predictions
Latin America—Top 5 Growth Opportunities
Brazil and Mexico—GDP Growth Outlook
Brazil and Mexico—Economic Outlook Analysis
Colombia and Panama—GDP Growth Outlook
Colombia and Panama—Economic Outlook Analysis
Argentina and Venezuela—GDP Growth Outlook
Argentina and Venezuela—Economic Outlook Analysis
Latin America—Key Economic Developments
Latin America—Key Economic Developments (continued)
2020 Latin America Economic Outlook—Top Predictions
Europe—Top 5 Growth Opportunities
The United Kingdom and Germany—GDP Growth Outlook
The United Kingdom and Germany—Economic Outlook Analysis
France and Italy—GDP Growth Outlook
France and Italy—Economic Outlook Analysis
Poland—GDP Growth Outlook and Economic Outlook Analysis
Europe—Key Economic Developments
2020 Europe Economic Outlook—Top Predictions
Middle East—Top 5 Growth Opportunities
Saudi Arabia and Iran—GDP Growth Outlook
Saudi Arabia and Iran—Economic Outlook Analysis
Qatar and Turkey—GDP Growth Outlook
Qatar and Turkey—Economic Outlook Analysis
Middle East—Key Economic Developments
Middle East—Key Economic Developments (continued)
2020 Middle East Economic Outlook—Top Predictions
Africa—Top 5 Growth Opportunities
Tanzania and Kenya—GDP Growth Outlook
Tanzania and Kenya—Economic Outlook Analysis
Egypt and Nigeria—GDP Growth Outlook
Egypt and Nigeria—Economic Outlook Analysis
South Africa—GDP Growth Outlook and Economic Outlook Analysis
Africa—Key Economic Developments
2020 Africa Economic Outlook—Top Predictions
Asia-Pacific—Top 5 Growth Opportunities
China and India—GDP Growth Outlook
China and India—Economic Outlook Analysis
Japan and Indonesia—GDP Growth Outlook
Japan and Indonesia—Economic Outlook Analysis
Australia—GDP Growth Outlook and Economic Outlook Analysis
Asia-Pacific—Key Economic Developments
2020 Asia-Pacific Economic Outlook—Top Predictions
Growth Opportunities
Uncertainty and Impact Assessment Matrix
Key Conclusions
Legal Disclaimer
Data Tables—Global
Data Tables—North America
Data Tables—Latin America
Data Tables—Europe
Data Tables—Middle East
Data Tables—Africa
Data Tables—Asia-Pacific
List of Exhibits
List of Exhibits (continued)
List of Exhibits (continued)
Market Engineering Methodology
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Key Issues Addressed
- What are the top global economic predictions for 2020?
- What are the different trade war scenario possibilities for 2020?
- What impact will Brexit have on the United Kingdom and the Eurozone in 2020?
- Will oil prices rise or fall in 2020?
- What are the key economic risks that businesses should watch out for in 2020?
- What key 2020 growth opportunities should firms look to tap into?
- What impact will developments such as the Phase 1 trade deal and Fed rate cuts have on the US and other economies?
- What is the 2020 growth outlook for advanced economies such as the United States, Germany, and Japan?
- How will emerging market heavyweights such as China and India perform in 2020?
Author: Neha Anna Thomas
New Title | Global Economic Outlook Market - Growth Opportunities, Analysis, Forecast, Global,2020 |
---|---|
New Subtitle | Recovery in Advanced Economies and Slowdown in Key Emerging Economies Likely , global economic outlook , world economic outlook , summary of economic projections |
Deliverable Type | Market Outlook |
No Index | No |
Podcast | No |
Author | Neha Anna Thomas |
Industries | Cross Industries |
WIP Number | PACB-01-00-00-00 |
Is Prebook | No |
GPS Codes | 9A7B-EM |