Global Economic Outlook, 2020

Global Economic Outlook, 2020

World GDP Growth to Pick Up from 2.9% in 2019 to 3.2% in 2020 Driven by Stronger Growth in Emerging Markets

RELEASE DATE
23-Jan-2020
REGION
Global
Research Code: PACB-01-00-00-00
SKU: CI00675-GL-MO_24010

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Description

The global economy witnessed a lot of turbulence in 2019, with intensified trade wars and Brexit delays influencing the growth story tremendously. Should businesses expect more volatility in 2020 or are global economic prospects looking up? This 2020 Global Economic Outlook research has been designed to answer this question and more by providing insights into top economic issues, trends, and developments.

After a very low pace of growth in 2018, the weakest since 2009, the global economy is set for a marginal recovery in 2020, especially driven by emerging markets. Global growth is expected to pick up from 2.9% in 2019 to 3.2% in 2020. Subdued growth is expected for advanced economies, while emerging market and developing economies should register growth acceleration.

Trade wars and Brexit were the top developments that dominated the 2019 growth story, and these events will continue to have major ramifications in 2020 as well. A lot of uncertainty has cleared up in regards to Brexit after the UK’s Conservative Party secured a majority in the 2019 elections. The United Kingdom is set to leave the EU on 31 January 2020, after which a transition period will set in. The finalization of a Phase 1 US-China trade deal in December 2019 has helped lift sentiment globally. Intensification of the trade war between the 2 countries is now less likely in 2020, while a ceasefire trade war scenario is the most probable for 2020.

Top growth opportunities by region—covering North America, Latin America, Europe, Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific—have also been assessed as part of this research. In regards to North America for instance, while trade wars are seen to be denting the US economy, Canada appears to be benefitting from exports. Similarly, Southeast Asia’s position as a manufacturing destination is also growing as companies relocate production from China to the region order to circumvent punitive tariffs.

The regional economic outlook analysis as part of this research delves into the GDP growth outlook for major economies, key economic developments, risks, and policy direction. Advanced economies such as the United States and Japan are expected to continue to experience a slowdown in 2020, while emerging markets such as Brazil and Mexico should see growth acceleration in this year. Growth prospects in 2020 for both the United States and China have marginally improved following finalization of the Phase 1 trade deal.

Key Issues Addressed

  • What are the top global economic predictions for 2020?
  • What are the different trade war scenario possibilities for 2020?
  • What impact will Brexit have on the United Kingdom and the Eurozone in 2020?
  • Will oil prices rise or fall in 2020?
  • What are the key economic risks that businesses should watch out for in 2020?
  • What key 2020 growth opportunities should firms look to tap into?
  • What impact will developments such as the Phase 1 trade deal and Fed rate cuts have on the US and other economies?
  • What is the 2020 growth outlook for advanced economies such as the United States, Germany, and Japan?
  • How will emerging market heavyweights such as China and India perform in 2020?

 

Author: Neha Anna Thomas

Table of Contents

Global Economy in 2019—Top Trends

Global Economic Outlook 2020—Top Predictions

Global Economic Outlook 2020—Top Predictions (continued)

2020 World GDP Growth Snapshot

Advanced Economies—Key Predictions for 2020

Emerging Economies—Key Predictions for 2020

2020 Growth Opportunities—Top 3 Opportunities by Region

2020 Regional Trends—GDP Growth, Risks, and Policy

Research Scope

Abbreviations and Acronyms

2020 GDP Growth Outlook

2020 Monetary Policy Outlook

Fiscal Outlook

Brexit Outlook

Trade War Outlook

2020 Oil Supply, Demand, and Price Outlook

Economic Impact of Political Volatility and Civil Unrest

North America—Top 5 Growth Opportunities

The United States and Canada—GDP Growth Outlook

The United States and Canada—Economic Outlook Analysis

North America—Key Economic Developments

North America—Key Economic Developments (continued)

2020 North America Economic Outlook—Top Predictions

Latin America—Top 5 Growth Opportunities

Brazil and Mexico—GDP Growth Outlook

Brazil and Mexico—Economic Outlook Analysis

Colombia and Panama—GDP Growth Outlook

Colombia and Panama—Economic Outlook Analysis

Argentina and Venezuela—GDP Growth Outlook

Argentina and Venezuela—Economic Outlook Analysis

Latin America—Key Economic Developments

Latin America—Key Economic Developments (continued)

2020 Latin America Economic Outlook—Top Predictions

Europe—Top 5 Growth Opportunities

The United Kingdom and Germany—GDP Growth Outlook

The United Kingdom and Germany—Economic Outlook Analysis

France and Italy—GDP Growth Outlook

France and Italy—Economic Outlook Analysis

Poland—GDP Growth Outlook and Economic Outlook Analysis

Europe—Key Economic Developments

2020 Europe Economic Outlook—Top Predictions

Middle East—Top 5 Growth Opportunities

Saudi Arabia and Iran—GDP Growth Outlook

Saudi Arabia and Iran—Economic Outlook Analysis

Qatar and Turkey—GDP Growth Outlook

Qatar and Turkey—Economic Outlook Analysis

Middle East—Key Economic Developments

Middle East—Key Economic Developments (continued)

2020 Middle East Economic Outlook—Top Predictions

Africa—Top 5 Growth Opportunities

Tanzania and Kenya—GDP Growth Outlook

Tanzania and Kenya—Economic Outlook Analysis

Egypt and Nigeria—GDP Growth Outlook

Egypt and Nigeria—Economic Outlook Analysis

South Africa—GDP Growth Outlook and Economic Outlook Analysis

Africa—Key Economic Developments

2020 Africa Economic Outlook—Top Predictions

Asia-Pacific—Top 5 Growth Opportunities

China and India—GDP Growth Outlook

China and India—Economic Outlook Analysis

Japan and Indonesia—GDP Growth Outlook

Japan and Indonesia—Economic Outlook Analysis

Australia—GDP Growth Outlook and Economic Outlook Analysis

Asia-Pacific—Key Economic Developments

2020 Asia-Pacific Economic Outlook—Top Predictions

Uncertainty and Impact Assessment Matrix

Key Conclusions

Legal Disclaimer

Data Tables—Global

Data Tables—North America

Data Tables—Latin America

Data Tables—Europe

Data Tables—Middle East

Data Tables—Africa

Data Tables—Asia-Pacific

List of Exhibits

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

Market Engineering Methodology

Related Research
The global economy witnessed a lot of turbulence in 2019, with intensified trade wars and Brexit delays influencing the growth story tremendously. Should businesses expect more volatility in 2020 or are global economic prospects looking up? This 2020 Global Economic Outlook research has been designed to answer this question and more by providing insights into top economic issues, trends, and developments. After a very low pace of growth in 2018, the weakest since 2009, the global economy is set for a marginal recovery in 2020, especially driven by emerging markets. Global growth is expected to pick up from 2.9% in 2019 to 3.2% in 2020. Subdued growth is expected for advanced economies, while emerging market and developing economies should register growth acceleration. Trade wars and Brexit were the top developments that dominated the 2019 growth story, and these events will continue to have major ramifications in 2020 as well. A lot of uncertainty has cleared up in regards to Brexit after the UK’s Conservative Party secured a majority in the 2019 elections. The United Kingdom is set to leave the EU on 31 January 2020, after which a transition period will set in. The finalization of a Phase 1 US-China trade deal in December 2019 has helped lift sentiment globally. Intensification of the trade war between the 2 countries is now less likely in 2020, while a ceasefire trade war scenario is the most probable for 2020. Top growth opportunities by region—covering North America, Latin America, Europe, Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific—have also been assessed as part of this research. In regards to North America for instance, while trade wars are seen to be denting the US economy, Canada appears to be benefitting from exports. Similarly, Southeast Asia’s position as a manufacturing destination is also growing as companies relocate production from China to the region order to circumvent punitive tariffs. The regional economic outlook analysis as part of this research delves into the GDP growth outlook for major economies, key economic developments, risks, and policy direction. Advanced economies such as the United States and Japan are expected to continue to experience a slowdown in 2020, while emerging markets such as Brazil and Mexico should see growth acceleration in this year. Growth prospects in 2020 for both the United States and China have marginally improved following finalization of the Phase 1 trade deal.--BEGIN PROMO--

Key Issues Addressed

  • What are the top global economic predictions for 2020?
  • What are the different trade war scenario possibilities for 2020?
  • What impact will Brexit have on the United Kingdom and the Eurozone in 2020?
  • Will oil prices rise or fall in 2020?
  • What are the key economic risks that businesses should watch out for in 2020?
  • What key 2020 growth opportunities should firms look to tap into?
  • What impact will developments such as the Phase 1 trade deal and Fed rate cuts have on the US and other economies?
  • What is the 2020 growth outlook for advanced economies such as the United States, Germany, and Japan?
  • How will emerging market heavyweights such as China and India perform in 2020?

 

Author: Neha Anna Thomas

More Information
No Index No
Podcast No
Author Neha Anna Thomas
Industries Cross Industries
WIP Number PACB-01-00-00-00
Is Prebook No
GPS Codes 9A7B-EM