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Global Supply Chain Reorientation and ASEAN Manufacturing Prospects, 2030

Cross Industries Global Supply Chain Reorientation and ASEAN Manufacturing Prospects, 2030

Targeted Geographic Expansion Strategies Power Dynamic Growth Opportunities

INDUSTRY
Macroeconomics

RELEASE DATE
12-Dec-2022
REGION
Asia Pacific
DELIVERABLE TYPE
Economic and Databases

RESEARCH CODE
9AE5-00-41-00-00
SKU
CI00836-AP-MR_27179
Yes
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SKU
CI00836-AP-MR_27179

Global Supply Chain Reorientation and ASEAN Manufacturing Prospects, 2030
Published on: 12-Dec-2022 | SKU: CI00836-AP-MR_27179

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Description

The COVID-19 pandemic, the Russo-Ukrainian war, and the Suez Canal crisis have exacerbated existing vulnerabilities in the global supply chain originating from US-China trade tensions, necessitating the building of a more robust and resilient supply chain. While global firms are altering their investment decisions to cushion the blow, the digital policy impetus across the globe will help rein in the inflationary spiral, augment building capacity, and create emerging growth opportunities.

This study critically assesses the manufacturing sector potential for the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) in light of an accelerated need for a China+1 strategy and global supply chain reorientation. This thought leadership research defines critical scenarios influencing macroeconomic and manufacturing potential and offers a 360-degree overview of the ASEAN market competitiveness over the next decade. The analytics assesses key go-to-manufacturing locations and country clusters until 2030, based on a proprietary indexing methodology.

The analysis covers the growth opportunities arising from geopolitical chaos, key strategic imperatives for businesses crucial to minimizing the impact of higher input costs, and raw material shortages.

Author: Rituparna Majumder

Table of Contents

Why Is It Increasingly Difficult to Grow?

The Strategic Imperative 8™

The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on the Association of Southeast Asia Nations (ASEAN)’s Manufacturing Industry

Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine™

Scope of Analysis

GDP Outlook: Brunei, Cambodia, and Indonesia

GDP Outlook: Lao PDR, Malaysia, and Myanmar

GDP Outlook: The Philippines and Singapore

GDP Outlook: Thailand and Vietnam

COVID-19 Pandemic Impact on the ASEAN Economy

Impact of 2022 Global Slowdown on ASEAN Economy

ASEAN GDP Outlook by Scenario, 2023–2030

GDP Comparison: ASEAN and Key Regions/Countries

Growth Drivers

Growth Driver Analysis: China+11 Strategies and Pivot to ASEAN

Growth Driver Analysis: Multilateral Trade Agreements and Strategic Partnerships

Growth Driver Analysis: Multilateral Trade Agreements and Strategic Partnerships (continued)

Growth Driver Analysis: ICT and Digital Transformation Strategies

Growth Driver Analysis: ICT and Digital Transformation Strategies (continued)

Growth Driver Analysis: ASEAN’s Growing Strategic Importance

Growth Driver Analysis: A Booming Consumer Economy

Growth Restraints

Manufacturing Production Forecast by Scenario

ASEAN: 2030 Manufacturing Sector Outlook and Key Initiatives

ASEAN: 2030 Manufacturing Sector Outlook and Key Initiatives (continued)

ASEAN: 2030 Manufacturing Sector Outlook and Key Initiatives (continued)

Model-building Approach and Methodology

Indicator Selection

Results

Manufacturing Cluster Building

Singapore: Manufacturing Competitiveness Scorecard

Singapore: Case Study

Malaysia: Manufacturing Competitiveness Scorecard

Malaysia: Case Study

Vietnam: Manufacturing Competitiveness Scorecard

Vietnam: Case Study

Growth Opportunity 1: Halal Products and Services

Growth Opportunity 1: Halal Products and Services (continued)

Growth Opportunity 2: Green Manufacturing Practices

Growth Opportunity 2: Green Manufacturing Practices (continued)

Growth Opportunity 3: Domestic Nickel Availability

Growth Opportunity 3: Domestic Nickel Availability (continued)

Model Building: Indicator Definitions

Model Building: Normalized Data

Your Next Steps

Why Frost, Why Now?

List of Exhibits

List of Exhibits (continued)

Legal Disclaimer

List of Figures & Charts
List of Figures
  • GDP and GDP Growth, Brunei, 2020–2030
  • GDP and GDP Growth, Cambodia, 2020–2030
  • GDP and GDP Growth, Indonesia, 2020–2030
  • GDP and GDP Growth, Lao PDR, 2020–2030
  • GDP and GDP Growth, Malaysia, 2020–2030
  • GDP and GDP Growth, Myanmar, 2020–2030
  • GDP and GDP Growth, the Philippines, 2020–2030
  • GDP and GDP Growth, Singapore, 2020–2030
  • GDP and GDP Growth, Thailand, 2020–2030
  • Comparison of Main Regions by Impact Areas, ASEAN, the European Union, and North America (NA), 2020–2021
  • COVID-19 Emergency Fiscal Support Measures, Main ASEAN Countries, 2020
  • Nominal GDP, ASEAN, by Scenario, 2020–2030
  • Main Countries and Regions, Nominal GDP, 2010, 2020, 2030
  • Manufacturing Growth Drivers, ASEAN, 2022–2030
  • Main Expanding Sectors and RCEP Impact on Economic Growth1, 2022–2030
  • Demand-side Indicators, ASEAN, European Union, United States, China, and India, 2025, 2030
  • Manufacturing Growth Restraints, ASEAN, 2022–2030
  • Manufacturing Gross Value-add (GVA), by Scenario, 2020–2030
  • Approach and Methodology for Assessing Manufacturing Competitiveness, ASEAN, 2019 and 2030
  • Composite Index Scores and Ranks, ASEAN, 2019
  • Composite Index Scores and Ranks, ASEAN, 2030
  • Manufacturing Clusters2, ASEAN, 2030
  • Manufacturing Competitiveness, Singapore, 2030
  • Manufacturing Competitiveness, Malaysia, 2030
  • Manufacturing Competitiveness, Vietnam, 2030
  • Normalized Data (Step 4), ASEAN, 2019
  • Normalized Data (Step 4), ASEAN, 2030
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Impacting your company's future growth potential.

The COVID-19 pandemic, the Russo-Ukrainian war, and the Suez Canal crisis have exacerbated existing vulnerabilities in the global supply chain originating from US-China trade tensions, necessitating the building of a more robust and resilient supply chain. While global firms are altering their investment decisions to cushion the blow, the digital policy impetus across the globe will help rein in the inflationary spiral, augment building capacity, and create emerging growth opportunities. This study critically assesses the manufacturing sector potential for the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) in light of an accelerated need for a China+1 strategy and global supply chain reorientation. This thought leadership research defines critical scenarios influencing macroeconomic and manufacturing potential and offers a 360-degree overview of the ASEAN market competitiveness over the next decade. The analytics assesses key go-to-manufacturing locations and country clusters until 2030, based on a proprietary indexing methodology. The analysis covers the growth opportunities arising from geopolitical chaos, key strategic imperatives for businesses crucial to minimizing the impact of higher input costs, and raw material shortages. Author: Rituparna Majumder
More Information
Deliverable Type Economic and Databases
Author Rituparna Majumder
Industries Cross Industries
No Index No
Is Prebook No
Keyword 1 Manufacturing Supply Chain
Keyword 2 Supply Chain Management in Manufacturing Industry
Keyword 3 Supply Chain Reorientation
List of Charts and Figures GDP and GDP Growth, Brunei, 2020–2030~ GDP and GDP Growth, Cambodia, 2020–2030~ GDP and GDP Growth, Indonesia, 2020–2030~ GDP and GDP Growth, Lao PDR, 2020–2030~ GDP and GDP Growth, Malaysia, 2020–2030~ GDP and GDP Growth, Myanmar, 2020–2030~ GDP and GDP Growth, the Philippines, 2020–2030~ GDP and GDP Growth, Singapore, 2020–2030~ GDP and GDP Growth, Thailand, 2020–2030~ Comparison of Main Regions by Impact Areas, ASEAN, the European Union, and North America (NA), 2020–2021~ COVID-19 Emergency Fiscal Support Measures, Main ASEAN Countries, 2020~ Nominal GDP, ASEAN, by Scenario, 2020–2030~ Main Countries and Regions, Nominal GDP, 2010, 2020, 2030~ Manufacturing Growth Drivers, ASEAN, 2022–2030~ Main Expanding Sectors and RCEP Impact on Economic Growth1, 2022–2030~ Demand-side Indicators, ASEAN, European Union, United States, China, and India, 2025, 2030~ Manufacturing Growth Restraints, ASEAN, 2022–2030~ Manufacturing Gross Value-add (GVA), by Scenario, 2020–2030~ Approach and Methodology for Assessing Manufacturing Competitiveness, ASEAN, 2019 and 2030~ Composite Index Scores and Ranks, ASEAN, 2019~ Composite Index Scores and Ranks, ASEAN, 2030~ Manufacturing Clusters2, ASEAN, 2030~ Manufacturing Competitiveness, Singapore, 2030~ Manufacturing Competitiveness, Malaysia, 2030~ Manufacturing Competitiveness, Vietnam, 2030~ Normalized Data (Step 4), ASEAN, 2019~ Normalized Data (Step 4), ASEAN, 2030~
Podcast No
WIP Number 9AE5-00-41-00-00