Mega Trends in Nepal, Forecast to 2025

Mega Trends in Nepal, Forecast to 2025

Analysis of Future Trends and Business Growth Opportunities

RELEASE DATE
11-Jan-2019
REGION
North America
Research Code: PA53-01-00-00-00
SKU: CI00598-NA-MT_22787

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Description

Nepal entered a phase of high economic growth of 7.5% in 2016-17, recovering from low economic growth post-earthquake and trade disruption. Nepal is undergoing significant economic transformation, uncovering investment opportunities across a wide array of sectors. The country seeks to sustain the impressive growth rate through increased momentum in post-earthquake reconstruction and significant spending on large infrastructure projects. Infrastructure investment will be a lucrative ground for private sector investment given the government focus on adopting Public Private Partnership (PPP) model for large infrastructure projects including hydropower, smart cities, new towns, railways and roadways. With Internet penetration reaching 63% in January 2018 as stated by a Nepal Telecom (NTC) report, Internet connectivity is available to a larger mass, which makes it feasible for online services to gain momentum. In fact, by 2025, compared to its neighboring countries – India and China, the penetration of Internet and mobile connections is predicted to be much higher as shown below. According to the International Telecommunication Union (ITU), Nepal is expected to be a forerunner in Internet penetration at 79% with China, following at a 75% penetration rate. Similarly, Nepal is projected to lead with 124% mobile connection penetration, while India’s mobile connected penetration is predicted at a mere 98% in 2025, thus making Nepal a ‘Mobile-first’ Country by 2025. Every 1 in 2 Nepalese have access to internet today against every 1 in 3 Indians and every 1 in 3 mobile phone users in Nepal uses smartphone now. As the global trend toward smart cities gains rampant pace, Nepal, also follows suit. With the intention of addressing the acute necessity for adequate urban infrastructure and attaining sustainable development, smart city initiatives are being put in motion. There has been a steady rise in the number of entrepreneurial ventures or startups in Nepal, thanks to increasing Internet penetration. In the process of digitization, some of the prominent revenue garnering sectors such as agriculture and tourism have been deploying mobile applications to improve productivity and efficiency. The country has also witnessed significant digital transformation in the space of transportation, governance, education and even agriculture.

Research Scope

This study uncovers the major trends "Mega Trends" that will impact the future development of the nation. While hydropower and tourism has traditionally been the key sector receiving Foreign Direct Investment, remains the key sector for investment manufacturing and services sectors’ performance has been improving steadily. This study identifies investment opportunities in sectors besides hydropower such as solar power, FMCG, real estate, smart city, and information and communication technology among others. This study also provides case studies of successful businesses from regions like India and Africa that can be redone in this region. Finally this study also provides recommendations exclusively tailored for Nepal for the existing as well as new businesses. 


Table of Contents

Introduction to the Study

Key Findings

Research Scope

Research Background

Nepal—A ‘Mobile-first’ Country

Future Digital Transformation in Nepal

4G Rollout in Nepal

BPO Business Trends in Nepal

Online Retail—The Next Big Thing in Nepal

Successful Participants in Nepal’s Online Retail

Start-up Culture in Nepal

Start-up Categories in Nepal

Nepal to Get 8 Mega Cities by 2025

Potential Opportunities Identified Within Mega City Development Projects

Social Trends in Nepal

The Gen Z and Gen Y Opportunity for Nepal

Case Studies of Companies Catering to Gen Z and Gen Y Customers

Solar Power in Nepal

China's Contribution in Nepal’s Infrastructural Development

AIIB Huge Investments Toward Nepal Infrastructural Project

GDP Growth Outlook

Province-level Macroeconomic Outlook

Migration and Remittances

Evaluating the Structure of the Economy

Travel and Tourism’s Economic Contribution

Growth of FMCG Sector in Nepal

Case Study—Wai Wai Noddles Ventures into Foodservice Operations with Wai Wai City

Case Study—Nestle India is Looking to Diversify into New Segments Like Premium Coffee Business, Pet Care, Skin Health, and Cereals

Case Study—Tata Global Beverages Ltd and Starbucks Coffee Company Introduce Tea Retail in Indian Market

Case Study—Growth Story of Croma: India’s First Large Format Specialist Retail Chain for Consumer Electronics and Durables

Financial Services Sector in Nepal

Case Study—Collaborative Business Models Between African Financial Institutes and Telecom Operators

CG Money Dominating the Remittance Service in Nepal

Future Opportunities in Mobile Financial Services in Nepal

Hospitality Sector in Nepal

Airports Development in Nepal

Real Estate Trends in Nepal

Smart Cities in Nepal

Case Study—Tata Projects Limited Has Created a Dedicated Division to Tap the Opportunities Expected to Be Generated by the Smart Cities Initiatives in India.

Case Study—Tata Group Non-industrial Businesses

Case Study—Mahindra Group Businesses

Learning for Businesses from Tata Group and Mahindra Group Businesses for Nepalese Business Houses

Recommendation for Growth in FMCG, Real Estate, and Hospitality Sector in Nepal—Are you Future Ready?

Recommendation for Growth in Retail, Cement, and Finance Sector in Nepal—Are you Ready to Rise?

Recommendation for New Business Ventures in Nepal

Legal Disclaimer

List of Exhibits

List of Figures
  • 1. Internet Penetration, China, India, and Nepal, 2025
  • 2. Mobile Connections Penetration, China, India and Nepal, 2025
  • 3. Online Retail Market, Nepal, 2010–2016
  • 4. Online Retail Market, Nepal, 2016–2021
  • 5. Top Segments of Online Retail in Nepal, 2016–2017
  • 6. Most Preferred Payment Types for Online Retail in Nepal, 2016–2017
  • 7. Top Online Retail Players, Nepal, 2017
  • 8. Major Drivers of Start-up Culture, Nepal, 2018
  • 9. Proposed Mega Cities, Nepal, 2017–2025
  • 10. Generational Traits, Nepal, 2018
List of Charts
  • 1. Population Distribution by Age, Nepal, 2017 and 2025
  • 2. Middle Class in Nepal, 2017–2025
  • 3. Working Age Population, Nepal, 2017–2025
  • 4. Nepal Infrastructural Project Investment from AIIB, 2017–2018
  • 5. GDP Growth, Nepal, 2013/14–2021/2022
  • 6. Outmigration for Foreign Employment and Workers’ Remittances, Nepal, 2013/14–2021/2022
  • 7. Sectoral and Sub-sectoral Contribution to Real Gross Value Add, Nepal, 2011/12, 2016/17, and 2021/22
  • 8. Travel and Tourism Contribution to Real GDP, Nepal, South Asia, World, 2016 and 2027
  • 9. International Tourist Arrivals, Nepal, 2014–2022
  • 10. FMCG Market Revenue, Nepal, 2017 and 2025
  • 11. Percent of Population with Access to Financial Services, Nepal and India, 2017
Related Research
Nepal entered a phase of high economic growth of 7.5% in 2016-17, recovering from low economic growth post-earthquake and trade disruption. Nepal is undergoing significant economic transformation, uncovering investment opportunities across a wide array of sectors. The country seeks to sustain the impressive growth rate through increased momentum in post-earthquake reconstruction and significant spending on large infrastructure projects. Infrastructure investment will be a lucrative ground for private sector investment given the government focus on adopting Public Private Partnership (PPP) model for large infrastructure projects including hydropower, smart cities, new towns, railways and roadways. With Internet penetration reaching 63% in January 2018 as stated by a Nepal Telecom (NTC) report, Internet connectivity is available to a larger mass, which makes it feasible for online services to gain momentum. In fact, by 2025, compared to its neighboring countries – India and China, the penetration of Internet and mobile connections is predicted to be much higher as shown below. According to the International Telecommunication Union (ITU), Nepal is expected to be a forerunner in Internet penetration at 79% with China, following at a 75% penetration rate. Similarly, Nepal is projected to lead with 124% mobile connection penetration, while India’s mobile connected penetration is predicted at a mere 98% in 2025, thus making Nepal a ‘Mobile-first’ Country by 2025. Every 1 in 2 Nepalese have access to internet today against every 1 in 3 Indians and every 1 in 3 mobile phone users in Nepal uses smartphone now. As the global trend toward smart cities gains rampant pace, Nepal, also follows suit. With the intention of addressing the acute necessity for adequate urban infrastructure and attaining sustainable development, smart city initiatives are being put in motion. There has been a steady rise in the number of entrepreneurial ventures or startups in Nepal, thanks to increasin
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Table of Contents | Executive Summary~ || Introduction to the Study~ || Key Findings~ | Research Scope and Background~ || Research Scope~ || Research Background~ | Mega Trend 1—Connectivity and Convergence~ || Nepal—A ‘Mobile-first’ Country~ || Future Digital Transformation in Nepal~ || 4G Rollout in Nepal~ || BPO Business Trends in Nepal~ | Mega Trend 2—Bricks and Clicks~ || Online Retail—The Next Big Thing in Nepal~ || Successful Participants in Nepal’s Online Retail~ || Start-up Culture in Nepal~ || Start-up Categories in Nepal~ | Mega Trend 3—Urbanization: “City as a Customer”~ || Nepal to Get 8 Mega Cities by 2025~ || Potential Opportunities Identified Within Mega City Development Projects~ | Mega Trend 4—Social Trends~ || Social Trends in Nepal~ || The Gen Z and Gen Y Opportunity for Nepal~ || Case Studies of Companies Catering to Gen Z and Gen Y Customers~ | Mega Trend 5—Future of Energy~ || Solar Power in Nepal~ | Mega Trend 6—Future Infrastructure Projects~ || China's Contribution in Nepal’s Infrastructural Development~ || AIIB Huge Investments Toward Nepal Infrastructural Project~ | Mega Trend 7—Future Economic Trends~ || GDP Growth Outlook~ || Province-level Macroeconomic Outlook~ || Migration and Remittances~ || Evaluating the Structure of the Economy~ || Travel and Tourism’s Economic Contribution~ | Investment Opportunities Across Key Sectors of Nepal~ || Growth of FMCG Sector in Nepal~ || Case Study—Wai Wai Noddles Ventures into Foodservice Operations with Wai Wai City~ || Case Study—Nestle India is Looking to Diversify into New Segments Like Premium Coffee Business, Pet Care, Skin Health, and Cereals~ || Case Study—Tata Global Beverages Ltd and Starbucks Coffee Company Introduce Tea Retail in Indian Market~ || Case Study—Growth Story of Croma: India’s First Large Format Specialist Retail Chain for Consumer Electronics and Durables~ || Financial Services Sector in Nepal~ || Case Study—Collaborative Business Models Between African Financial Institutes and Telecom Operators~ || CG Money Dominating the Remittance Service in Nepal~ || Future Opportunities in Mobile Financial Services in Nepal~ || Hospitality Sector in Nepal~ || Airports Development in Nepal~ || Real Estate Trends in Nepal~ || Smart Cities in Nepal~ || Case Study—Tata Projects Limited Has Created a Dedicated Division to Tap the Opportunities Expected to Be Generated by the Smart Cities Initiatives in India.~ | Leadership Case Studies of Regional Family Business for Nepalese Business Houses~ || Case Study—Tata Group Non-industrial Businesses~ || Case Study—Mahindra Group Businesses~ || Learning for Businesses from Tata Group and Mahindra Group Businesses for Nepalese Business Houses~ | Recommendations for National and International Business Houses Investing in Nepal~ || Recommendation for Growth in FMCG, Real Estate, and Hospitality Sector in Nepal—Are you Future Ready?~ || Recommendation for Growth in Retail, Cement, and Finance Sector in Nepal—Are you Ready to Rise?~ || Recommendation for New Business Ventures in Nepal~ || Legal Disclaimer~ | Appendix~ || List of Exhibits~
List of Charts and Figures 1. Internet Penetration, China, India, and Nepal, 2025 ~ 2. Mobile Connections Penetration, China, India and Nepal, 2025 ~ 3. Online Retail Market, Nepal, 2010–2016 ~ 4. Online Retail Market, Nepal, 2016–2021 ~ 5. Top Segments of Online Retail in Nepal, 2016–2017 ~ 6. Most Preferred Payment Types for Online Retail in Nepal, 2016–2017 ~ 7. Top Online Retail Players, Nepal, 2017 ~ 8. Major Drivers of Start-up Culture, Nepal, 2018 ~ 9. Proposed Mega Cities, Nepal, 2017–2025~ 10. Generational Traits, Nepal, 2018 ~| 1. Population Distribution by Age, Nepal, 2017 and 2025 ~ 2. Middle Class in Nepal, 2017–2025~ 3. Working Age Population, Nepal, 2017–2025~ 4. Nepal Infrastructural Project Investment from AIIB, 2017–2018 ~ 5. GDP Growth, Nepal, 2013/14–2021/2022~ 6. Outmigration for Foreign Employment and Workers’ Remittances, Nepal, 2013/14–2021/2022~ 7. Sectoral and Sub-sectoral Contribution to Real Gross Value Add, Nepal, 2011/12, 2016/17, and 2021/22~ 8. Travel and Tourism Contribution to Real GDP, Nepal, South Asia, World, 2016 and 2027 ~ 9. International Tourist Arrivals, Nepal, 2014–2022~ 10. FMCG Market Revenue, Nepal, 2017 and 2025~ 11. Percent of Population with Access to Financial Services, Nepal and India, 2017~
Author Malabika Mandal
Industries Cross Industries
WIP Number PA53-01-00-00-00
Is Prebook No
GPS Codes 9A3B