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North American Class 1 3 Transmissions Replacement Aftermarket Growth Opportunities
Automatic and Continuous Variable Transmissions Present the Strongest Future Growth Potential
21-Nov-2023
North America
Market Research
K97A-01-00-00-00
AU_2023_339
This Frost & Sullivan study covers the class 1–3 transmission replacement aftermarket in North America and forecasts market size from 2023 to 2030. The study analyzes passenger and light-duty vehicle transmission replacement trends in the aftermarket and examines the new, used, rebuilt, and remanufactured product segments. Market forecasts are derived from miles driven, usage patterns, replacement rates, new vehicle sales, and total vehicles in operation (VIO). A breakdown of the transmission replacement aftermarket by unit shipment, revenue, distribution channel, and price is also provided. In addition, the study looks at the competitive environment and the market share of the top participants, offering key supplier profiles. It analyzes the factors driving and restraining growth in this market and identifies the opportunities in this space for market players and stakeholders to leverage. The base year is 2022, and the study period is from 2020 to 2030.
Traditional manual transmissions will see a decline during the forecast period in favor of automatic and continuous variable transmissions, which offer enhanced performance and drivability. Competitors in the transmission aftermarket are expected to shift focus from manuals to automatics over the forecast period. Furthermore, electric vehicles are expected to have a moderate impact on the transmission replacement aftermarket over this period as the supply of traditional transmissions in operation remains high.
Key Issues Addressed
- What is the replacement rate for new, used, remanufactured, and rebuilt transmissions for the class 1–3 vehicle segment?
- What is the market and revenue size for the transmission replacement aftermarket?
- What is the future outlook for this space? What are the pricing trends of the transmission replacement market over the forecast period?
- What are the market trends and challenges for the transmission replacement market?
- What are the current and future strategies that will foster growth for participants in the class 1–3 vehicle transmission replacement aftermarket?
Author: Wallace Lau
Why is it Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
The Strategic Imperative 8™
The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on the Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket
Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine™
Scope of Analysis
Key Questions this Study will Answer
Product Segmentation and Definitions
Key Competitors
VIO Forecast
VIO Transmission Share
Growth Drivers
Growth Restraints
Class 1–3 EV Unit Sales Forecast
Class 1–3 EVs in Operation orecast
CASE Impact on the Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket
Summary of Market Trends by Transmission and Replacement Type
Key Takeaways
Growth Metrics
Forecast Assumptions
Total Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast
Total Market Unit Shipment Forecast by Type
Total Market Revenue Forecast by Type
Total Market Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type
Total Market Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type
Growth Metrics
Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast
Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type
Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type
Pricing Analysis Forecast
Growth Metrics
Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast
Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type
Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type
Pricing Analysis Forecast
Growth Metrics
Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast
Pricing Analysis Forecast
Growth Metrics
Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast
Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type
Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type
Pricing Analysis Forecast
Growth Metrics
Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast
Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type
Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type
Pricing Analysis Forecast
Remanufactured Competitive Environment
Transmission Aftermarket Competitor Benchmark
Remanufactured Transmission Brand Analysis—Retailers and WDs
Distribution Analysis by Channel Type
Remanufactured Transmission Market Share
Remanufactured Torque Converter Market Share
Supplier Profile—AWTEC
Supplier Profile—ATR
Supplier Profile—ATC Drivetrain
Supplier Profile—Certified Transmission
Supplier Profile—ETE Reman
Supplier Profile—Jasper Engine and Transmission
Supplier Profile—Dynamic Manufacturing Inc.
Supplier Profile—Moveras
Supplier Profile—Transtar
Supplier Profile—LKQ Corporation
Growth Opportunity 1—Connectivity
Growth Opportunity 1—Connectivity (continued)
Growth Opportunity 2—Electrification
Growth Opportunity 2—Electrification (continued)
Growth Opportunity 3—Remanufacturing
Growth Opportunity 3—Remanufacturing (continued)
The Last Word—3 Big Predictions
Your Next Steps
Why Frost, Why Now?
List of Exhibits
List of Exhibits (continued)
List of Exhibits (continued)
Legal Disclaimer
List of Figures
- Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: VIO Forecast, North America, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: VIO Transmission Share, North America, 2022 and 2030
- Class 1–3 Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Growth Drivers, North America, 2023–2030
- Class 1–3 Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Growth Restraints, North America, 2023–2030
- Class 1–3 Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: EV Unit Sales Forecast, United States, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: EV Unit Sales Forecast, Canada, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: EV in Operation Forecast, United States, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: EV in Operation Forecast, Canada, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Growth Metrics, North America, 2022
- Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast, North America, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Transmission Type, North America, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Transmission Type, North America, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Automatic Transmission Aftermarket: Growth Metrics, North America, 2022
- Class 1–3 Automatic Transmission Aftermarket: Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast, North America, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Automatic Transmission Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Automatic Transmission Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Automatic Transmission Aftermarket: Average Price Forecast, North America, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Continuous Variable Transmission Aftermarket: Growth Metrics, North America, 2022
- Class 1–3 Continuous Variable Transmission Aftermarket: Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast, North America, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Continuous Variable Transmission Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Continuous Variable Transmission Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Continuous Variable Transmission Aftermarket: Average Price Forecast, North America, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Remanufactured Torque Converters Aftermarket: Growth Metrics, North America, 2022
- Class 1–3 Remanufactured Torque Converters Aftermarket: Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast, North America, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Remanufactured Torque Converters Aftermarket: Average Price Forecast, North America, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Dual Clutch Transmission Aftermarket: Growth Metrics, North America, 2022
- Class 1–3 Dual Clutch Transmission Aftermarket: Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast, North America, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Dual Clutch Transmission Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Dual Clutch Transmission Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Dual Clutch Transmission Aftermarket: Average Price Forecast, North America, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Manual Transmission Aftermarket: Growth Metrics, North America, 2022
- Class 1–3 Manual Transmission Aftermarket: Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast, North America, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Manual Transmission Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Manual Transmission Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Manual Transmission Aftermarket: Average Price Forecast, North America, 2020–2030
- Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Distribution Analysis by Channel Type, North America, 2022
- Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Remanufactured Transmission Market Share, North America, 2022
- Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Remanufactured Torque Converter Market Share, North America, 2022
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