North American Class 1 3 Transmissions Replacement Aftermarket Growth Opportunities

Automotive North American Class 1 3 Transmissions Replacement Aftermarket Growth Opportunities

Automatic and Continuous Variable Transmissions Present the Strongest Future Growth Potential

INDUSTRY
Automotive

RELEASE DATE
21-Nov-2023
REGION
North America
DELIVERABLE TYPE
Market Research

RESEARCH CODE
K97A-01-00-00-00
SKU
AU_2023_339
Yes
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SKU
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North American Class 1 3 Transmissions Replacement Aftermarket Growth Opportunities
Published on: 21-Nov-2023 | SKU: AU_2023_339

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This Frost & Sullivan study covers the class 1–3 transmission replacement aftermarket in North America and forecasts market size from 2023 to 2030. The study analyzes passenger and light-duty vehicle transmission replacement trends in the aftermarket and examines the new, used, rebuilt, and remanufactured product segments. Market forecasts are derived from miles driven, usage patterns, replacement rates, new vehicle sales, and total vehicles in operation (VIO). A breakdown of the transmission replacement aftermarket by unit shipment, revenue, distribution channel, and price is also provided. In addition, the study looks at the competitive environment and the market share of the top participants, offering key supplier profiles. It analyzes the factors driving and restraining growth in this market and identifies the opportunities in this space for market players and stakeholders to leverage. The base year is 2022, and the study period is from 2020 to 2030.

Traditional manual transmissions will see a decline during the forecast period in favor of automatic and continuous variable transmissions, which offer enhanced performance and drivability. Competitors in the transmission aftermarket are expected to shift focus from manuals to automatics over the forecast period. Furthermore, electric vehicles are expected to have a moderate impact on the transmission replacement aftermarket over this period as the supply of traditional transmissions in operation remains high.

Key Issues Addressed

  • What is the replacement rate for new, used, remanufactured, and rebuilt transmissions for the class 1–3 vehicle segment?
  • What is the market and revenue size for the transmission replacement aftermarket?
  • What is the future outlook for this space? What are the pricing trends of the transmission replacement market over the forecast period?
  • What are the market trends and challenges for the transmission replacement market?
  • What are the current and future strategies that will foster growth for participants in the class 1–3 vehicle transmission replacement aftermarket?

Author: Wallace Lau

Why is it Increasingly Difficult to Grow?

The Strategic Imperative 8™

The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on the Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket

Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine™

Scope of Analysis

Key Questions this Study will Answer

Product Segmentation and Definitions

Key Competitors

VIO Forecast

VIO Transmission Share

Growth Drivers

Growth Restraints

Class 1–3 EV Unit Sales Forecast

Class 1–3 EVs in Operation orecast

CASE Impact on the Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket

Summary of Market Trends by Transmission and Replacement Type

Key Takeaways

Growth Metrics

Forecast Assumptions

Total Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast

Total Market Unit Shipment Forecast by Type

Total Market Revenue Forecast by Type

Total Market Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type

Total Market Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type

Growth Metrics

Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast

Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type

Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type

Pricing Analysis Forecast

Growth Metrics

Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast

Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type

Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type

Pricing Analysis Forecast

Growth Metrics

Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast

Pricing Analysis Forecast

Growth Metrics

Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast

Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type

Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type

Pricing Analysis Forecast

Growth Metrics

Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast

Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type

Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type

Pricing Analysis Forecast

Remanufactured Competitive Environment

Transmission Aftermarket Competitor Benchmark

Remanufactured Transmission Brand Analysis—Retailers and WDs

Distribution Analysis by Channel Type

Remanufactured Transmission Market Share

Remanufactured Torque Converter Market Share

Supplier Profile—AWTEC

Supplier Profile—ATR

Supplier Profile—ATC Drivetrain

Supplier Profile—Certified Transmission

Supplier Profile—ETE Reman

Supplier Profile—Jasper Engine and Transmission

Supplier Profile—Dynamic Manufacturing Inc.

Supplier Profile—Moveras

Supplier Profile—Transtar

Supplier Profile—LKQ Corporation

Growth Opportunity 1—Connectivity

Growth Opportunity 1—Connectivity (continued)

Growth Opportunity 2—Electrification

Growth Opportunity 2—Electrification (continued)

Growth Opportunity 3—Remanufacturing

Growth Opportunity 3—Remanufacturing (continued)

The Last Word—3 Big Predictions

Your Next Steps

Why Frost, Why Now?

List of Exhibits

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

Legal Disclaimer

List of Figures
  • Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: VIO Forecast, North America, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: VIO Transmission Share, North America, 2022 and 2030
  • Class 1–3 Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Growth Drivers, North America, 2023–2030
  • Class 1–3 Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Growth Restraints, North America, 2023–2030
  • Class 1–3 Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: EV Unit Sales Forecast, United States, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: EV Unit Sales Forecast, Canada, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: EV in Operation Forecast, United States, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: EV in Operation Forecast, Canada, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Growth Metrics, North America, 2022
  • Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast, North America, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Transmission Type, North America, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Transmission Type, North America, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Automatic Transmission Aftermarket: Growth Metrics, North America, 2022
  • Class 1–3 Automatic Transmission Aftermarket: Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast, North America, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Automatic Transmission Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Automatic Transmission Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Automatic Transmission Aftermarket: Average Price Forecast, North America, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Continuous Variable Transmission Aftermarket: Growth Metrics, North America, 2022
  • Class 1–3 Continuous Variable Transmission Aftermarket: Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast, North America, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Continuous Variable Transmission Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Continuous Variable Transmission Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Continuous Variable Transmission Aftermarket: Average Price Forecast, North America, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Remanufactured Torque Converters Aftermarket: Growth Metrics, North America, 2022
  • Class 1–3 Remanufactured Torque Converters Aftermarket: Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast, North America, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Remanufactured Torque Converters Aftermarket: Average Price Forecast, North America, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Dual Clutch Transmission Aftermarket: Growth Metrics, North America, 2022
  • Class 1–3 Dual Clutch Transmission Aftermarket: Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast, North America, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Dual Clutch Transmission Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Dual Clutch Transmission Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Dual Clutch Transmission Aftermarket: Average Price Forecast, North America, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Manual Transmission Aftermarket: Growth Metrics, North America, 2022
  • Class 1–3 Manual Transmission Aftermarket: Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast, North America, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Manual Transmission Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Manual Transmission Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Manual Transmission Aftermarket: Average Price Forecast, North America, 2020–2030
  • Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Distribution Analysis by Channel Type, North America, 2022
  • Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Remanufactured Transmission Market Share, North America, 2022
  • Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Remanufactured Torque Converter Market Share, North America, 2022

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This Frost & Sullivan study covers the class 1 3 transmission replacement aftermarket in North America and forecasts market size from 2023 to 2030. The study analyzes passenger and light-duty vehicle transmission replacement trends in the aftermarket and examines the new, used, rebuilt, and remanufactured product segments. Market forecasts are derived from miles driven, usage patterns, replacement rates, new vehicle sales, and total vehicles in operation (VIO). A breakdown of the transmission replacement aftermarket by unit shipment, revenue, distribution channel, and price is also provided. In addition, the study looks at the competitive environment and the market share of the top participants, offering key supplier profiles. It analyzes the factors driving and restraining growth in this market and identifies the opportunities in this space for market players and stakeholders to leverage. The base year is 2022, and the study period is from 2020 to 2030. Traditional manual transmissions will see a decline during the forecast period in favor of automatic and continuous variable transmissions, which offer enhanced performance and drivability. Competitors in the transmission aftermarket are expected to shift focus from manuals to automatics over the forecast period. Furthermore, electric vehicles are expected to have a moderate impact on the transmission replacement aftermarket over this period as the supply of traditional transmissions in operation remains high.--BEGIN PROMO--

Key Issues Addressed

  • What is the replacement rate for new, used, remanufactured, and rebuilt transmissions for the class 1–3 vehicle segment?
  • What is the market and revenue size for the transmission replacement aftermarket?
  • What is the future outlook for this space? What are the pricing trends of the transmission replacement market over the forecast period?
  • What are the market trends and challenges for the transmission replacement market?
  • What are the current and future strategies that will foster growth for participants in the class 1–3 vehicle transmission replacement aftermarket?

Author: Wallace Lau

More Information
Deliverable Type Market Research
Author Wallace Lau
Industries Automotive
No Index No
Is Prebook No
Keyword 1 Transmissions Replacement Aftermarket Analysis
Keyword 2 Automotive Industry Trends
Keyword 3 Class 1-3 Transmissions Market Analysis
List of Charts and Figures Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: VIO Forecast, North America, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: VIO Transmission Share, North America, 2022 and 2030~ Class 1–3 Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Growth Drivers, North America, 2023–2030~ Class 1–3 Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Growth Restraints, North America, 2023–2030~ Class 1–3 Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: EV Unit Sales Forecast, United States, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: EV Unit Sales Forecast, Canada, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: EV in Operation Forecast, United States, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: EV in Operation Forecast, Canada, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Growth Metrics, North America, 2022~ Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast, North America, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Transmission Type, North America, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Transmission Type, North America, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Automatic Transmission Aftermarket: Growth Metrics, North America, 2022~ Class 1–3 Automatic Transmission Aftermarket: Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast, North America, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Automatic Transmission Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Automatic Transmission Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Automatic Transmission Aftermarket: Average Price Forecast, North America, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Continuous Variable Transmission Aftermarket: Growth Metrics, North America, 2022~ Class 1–3 Continuous Variable Transmission Aftermarket: Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast, North America, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Continuous Variable Transmission Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Continuous Variable Transmission Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Continuous Variable Transmission Aftermarket: Average Price Forecast, North America, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Remanufactured Torque Converters Aftermarket: Growth Metrics, North America, 2022~ Class 1–3 Remanufactured Torque Converters Aftermarket: Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast, North America, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Remanufactured Torque Converters Aftermarket: Average Price Forecast, North America, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Dual Clutch Transmission Aftermarket: Growth Metrics, North America, 2022~ Class 1–3 Dual Clutch Transmission Aftermarket: Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast, North America, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Dual Clutch Transmission Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Dual Clutch Transmission Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Dual Clutch Transmission Aftermarket: Average Price Forecast, North America, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Manual Transmission Aftermarket: Growth Metrics, North America, 2022~ Class 1–3 Manual Transmission Aftermarket: Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast, North America, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Manual Transmission Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Manual Transmission Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Manual Transmission Aftermarket: Average Price Forecast, North America, 2020–2030~ Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Distribution Analysis by Channel Type, North America, 2022~ Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Remanufactured Transmission Market Share, North America, 2022~ Class 1–3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Remanufactured Torque Converter Market Share, North America, 2022~
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WIP Number K97A-01-00-00-00