Small Hydropower Market in Southeast Asia, Forecast to 2022

Small Hydropower Market in Southeast Asia, Forecast to 2022

1–10MW Turbines Witnessing Increased Adoption due to Decreasing Site Availability and the Impacts of Climate Change

RELEASE DATE
10-Jun-2019
REGION
Asia Pacific
Deliverable Type
Market Research
Research Code: 9AAE-00-77-00-00
SKU: EG01986-AP-MR_23248
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EG01986-AP-MR_23248

Small Hydropower Market in Southeast Asia, Forecast to 2022
Published on: 10-Jun-2019 | SKU: EG01986-AP-MR_23248

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The recent report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) states that Global Warming has to be restricted to a maximum of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels by 2030 in order to minimize the impacts of climate change in the future. Energy generation from burning fossil fuels is considered one of the main causes of climate change, and one of the major recommendations by the IPCC is the faster shift toward renewable energy (RE) generation. Most of Southeast Asia (SEA) consists of developing nations, and their electricity requirements are expected to steadily increase in the coming decades, as their Gross Domestic Product (GDP) increases. There is a global push toward decoupling GDP growth and carbon emissions, particularly in developing countries. Besides solar, wind, geothermal, and bioenergy, SEA is considering small hydropower as a viable source for electricity generation. With the presence of many rivers and a high potential for small hydropower, SEA’s market may be a good source of potential opportunities for turbine manufacturing companies.

This analysis observes the current state of the market in terms of installed capacity and the number of turbine units that are being used for hydropower generation.

Small hydropower has multiple definitions that vary depending on countries, experts, or organizations’ preferences. In this study, small hydropower is defined as any hydropower project that uses hydro turbines of rated capacity between 1 and 30 megawatts (MW). The study covers the countries of Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam.

The market is measured in terms of the number of turbine units in existence, as well as the rated power capacity of these units. This study quantifies the existing market for the base year of 2017 and forecasts the same for the time period of 2018–2022. The study covers market drivers and restraints, market forecasts and trends, the industry value chains, typical project delivery models, and risks/barriers to entry, for all the countries mentioned.

The study also points out various opportunities for growth, in existing and upcoming projects, in the small hydropower market in SEA. It also provides suggestions on what companies can do to capitalize on these opportunities, such as the types of turbines to focus on or additional services that could be provided to the sector.

This study was performed using a bottom-up qualitative and quantitative analysis, using secondary research, of all small hydropower projects in SEA that are currently active or under construction. The results obtained were verified with primary sources to ensure the integrity and authenticity of data.

Executive Summary—Key Findings

Executive Summary—Market Overview

Definitions and Abbreviations

Scope of Study

Methodology

Indonesia—Overview

Market Drivers

Drivers Explained

Drivers Explained (continued)

Market Restraints

Restraints Explained

Restraints Explained (continued)

Market Forecast

Market Forecast (continued)

Key Market Trends

Industry Value Chain

Typical Project Delivery Model

Risks and Barriers to Entry

Malaysia—Overview

Market Drivers

Drivers Explained

Market Restraints

Restraints Explained

Market Forecast

Market Forecast (continued)

Key Market Trends

Industry Value Chain

Typical Project Delivery Model

Risks and Barriers to Entry

The Philippines—Overview

Market Drivers

Drivers Explained

Drivers Explained (continued)

Market Restraints

Restraints Explained

Market Forecast

Market Forecast (Continued)

Key Market Trends

Industry Value Chain

Typical Project Delivery Model

Risks and Barriers to Entry

Thailand—Overview

Market Drivers

Drivers Explained

Market Restraints

Restraints Explained

Restraints Explained (continued)

Market Forecast

Market Forecast (continued)

Key Market Trends

Industry Value Chain

Typical Project Delivery Model

Risks and Barriers to Entry

Vietnam—Overview

Market Drivers

Drivers Explained

Drivers Explained (continued)

Market Restraints

Restraints Explained

Restraints Explained (continued)

Market Forecast

Market Forecast (continued)

Key Market Trends

Industry Value Chain

Typical Project Delivery Model

Risks and Barriers to Entry

Growth Opportunity 1—1–10MW Turbines

Growth Opportunity 2—Improved Project Management

Growth Opportunity 3—Refurbishment of Old Projects

Growth Opportunity 4—Data Analytics

Growth Opportunity 5—Low-head Turbines

Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth

The Last Word–3 Big Predictions

Legal Disclaimer

List of Exhibits

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

The Frost & Sullivan Story

Value Proposition—Future of Your Company & Career

Global Perspective

Industry Convergence

360º Research Perspective

Implementation Excellence

Our Blue Ocean Strategy

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The recent report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) states that Global Warming has to be restricted to a maximum of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels by 2030 in order to minimize the impacts of climate change in the future. Energy generation from burning fossil fuels is considered one of the main causes of climate change, and one of the major recommendations by the IPCC is the faster shift toward renewable energy (RE) generation. Most of Southeast Asia (SEA) consists of developing nations, and their electricity requirements are expected to steadily increase in the coming decades, as their Gross Domestic Product (GDP) increases. There is a global push toward decoupling GDP growth and carbon emissions, particularly in developing countries. Besides solar, wind, geothermal, and bioenergy, SEA is considering small hydropower as a viable source for electricity generation. With the presence of many rivers and a high potential for small hydropower, SEA’s market may be a good source of potential opportunities for turbine manufacturing companies. This analysis observes the current state of the market in terms of installed capacity and the number of turbine units that are being used for hydropower generation. Small hydropower has multiple definitions that vary depending on countries, experts, or organizations’ preferences. In this study, small hydropower is defined as any hydropower project that uses hydro turbines of rated capacity between 1 and 30 megawatts (MW). The study covers the countries of Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. The market is measured in terms of the number of turbine units in existence, as well as the rated power capacity of these units. This study quantifies the existing market for the base year of 2017 and forecasts the same for the time period of 2018–2022. The study covers market drivers and restraints, market forecasts and trends, the industry value chains, typical project delivery models, and risks/barriers to entry, for all the countries mentioned. The study also points out various opportunities for growth, in existing and upcoming projects, in the small hydropower market in SEA. It also provides suggestions on what companies can do to capitalize on these opportunities, such as the types of turbines to focus on or additional services that could be provided to the sector. This study was performed using a bottom-up qualitative and quantitative analysis, using secondary research, of all small hydropower projects in SEA that are currently active or under construction. The results obtained were verified with primary sources to ensure the integrity and authenticity of data.
More Information
Deliverable Type Market Research
No Index No
Podcast No
Author Pratulya Sivashankar
Industries Energy
WIP Number 9AAE-00-77-00-00
Is Prebook No
GPS Codes 9836-A7,9AFE-A4,9B00-A4,9851,GETE