Small-satellite Launch Services Market, Quarterly Update Q1 2018, Forecast to 2030
State of the small-satellite Industry in Q1, 2018
23-Mar-2018
Global
Market Research
MDD2-01-00-00-00
AE01294-GL-MR_21721
This research study covers the following:
Product scope: Small satellites and launch services market forecast
Geographic scope: Global
End-user scope: All companies related to the space industry. Small satellites have evolved from being a technology demonstrator to providing low-cost operational services across distributed industry segments. It is therefore very essential to investigate the past and current state of the small-satellite market and forecast future scenarios. Many small-satellite constellation operators have made progress with their development processes, and will generate continuous and recurring launch demand for installation and replacement missions of their planned satellite constellations. At present, nearly all small satellites use the rideshare capacity as a secondary payload on existing launch vehicles. This makes their project schedule and mission requirements dependent on the primary payload. Further, the existing rideshare capacity will not be sufficient to address all of the small-satellite launch demand in the future. Many incumbent and new players have sensed the upcoming small-satellite demand and have started planning for providing dedicated services and launch flexibility to small satellite operators, in order to capture a good share of the future small-satellite launch market.
What makes our reports unique?:
A bottom-up and detailed approach is applied to forecast the small-satellite launch demand. The study defines multiple forecast scenarios based on the maturity of satellite operators. More than 200 operators across user segments are considered for the forecast. Number of small satellites, payload mass, and launch revenue are forecast on the basis of defined scenarios, satellite mass classes, and user segments. The study also includes the launch capacity forecast for both the rideshare and dedicated launch services segments and analyses the alignment between the small satellite launch demand and capacity supply.
This study forecasts small-satellite launch demand based on operators' maturity, mass classes, and user segments. It also details the projected small satellite launch capacity supply and analyzes the alignment of launch demand and supply for multiple forecast scenarios. The study includes new developments in the small-satellite value chain for Q4 2017.
Key Issues Addressed
- What is the future demand for launching small satellites, based on user segments and mass classes and operators’ maturity, in the forecast period 2018-2030?
- What is the future payload mass demand for launching small satellites in the forecast period?
- What is the projected revenue of the small-satellite launch market?
- What is the forecast launch capacity supply and how aligned is it with the small-satellite launch demand?
- What are the key small-satellite and launch vehicle developments in the last quarter of 2017?
Key Findings
Small Satellites—Definition and Forecast Scenarios
Segmentation of Small-satellite Users and Mass Classes
Small-satellite and Launch Capacity Forecasts
Small-satellite Launch Demand Forecast—Total
Low- and Mid-Scenario Small-satellite Launch Forecast by User Segment
High-Scenario Small-satellite Launch Forecast by User Segment
Low- and Mid-Scenario Small-satellite Launch Forecast—By Mass Class (kg)
High-Scenario Small-satellite Launch Forecast—By Mass Class (kg)
Small-satellite Payload Mass Launch Demand Forecast—Total
Low- and Mid-Scenario Small-satellite Payload Mass Forecast—By User Segment
High-Scenario Small-satellite Payload Mass Launch Forecast—By User Segment
Low- and Mid-Scenario Small-satellite Launch Payload Mass Forecast—By Mass Class (kg)
High-Scenario Small-satellite Launch Payload Mass Forecast—By Mass Class (kg)
Small-satellite Launch Demand Revenue Forecast—Total
Low- and Mid-Scenario Small-satellite Launch Revenue Forecast—By User Segment
High-Scenario Small-satellite Revenue Forecast—By User Segment
Low- and Mid-Scenario Small-satellite Revenue Forecast—By Mass Class (kg)
High-Scenario Small-satellite Revenue Forecast—By Mass Class (kg)
Launch Capacity Forecast Assumptions
State of Small-satellite Market—Launch Capacity Supply Forecast
Small-satellite Launch Demand versus Capacity Supply
Key Small-satellite Launches in Q4 2017
Key Small-satellite Industry Developments Q4 2017
Key Launch Service Industry Developments Q4 2017
Conclusion
Legal Disclaimer
List of Exhibits
- 1. Small-satellite Launch Market: Key Launches, Global, Q4 2017
- 2. Small-satellite Launch Market: Key Industry Developments, Global, Q4 2017
- 3. Small-satellite Launch Services Market: Key Industry Developments, Global, Q4 2017
- 1. Small-satellite Launch Market: Demand Forecast, Global, 2018–2030
- 2. Small-satellite Launch Market: Low-Scenario Demand Forecast by User Segment, Global, 2018–2030
- 3. Small-satellite Launch Market: Mid-Scenario Cumulative User Segment Market Share, Global, 2018–2030
- 4. Small-satellite Launch Market: Mid-Scenario Demand Forecast by User Segment, Global, 2018–2030
- 5. Small-satellite Launch Market: High-Scenario Cumulative User Segment Market Share, Global, 2018–2030
- 6. Small-satellite Launch Market: High-Scenario Demand Forecast by User Segment, Global, 2018–2030
- 7. Small-satellite Launch Market: Low-Scenario Cumulative Market Share by Mass Class, Global, 2018–2030
- 8. Small-satellite Launch Market: Mid-Scenario Cumulative Market Share by Mass Class, Global, 2018–2030
- 9. Small-satellite Launch Market: Low-Scenario Demand Forecast by Mass Class, Global, 2018–2030
- 10. Small-satellite Launch Market: Mid-Scenario Demand Forecast by Mass Class, Global, 2018–2030
- 11. Small-satellite Launch Market: High-Scenario Cumulative Market Share by Mass Class, Global, 2018–2030
- 12. Small-satellite Launch Market: High-Scenario Demand Forecast by Mass Class, Global, 2018–2030
- 13. Small-satellite Launch Market: Payload Mass Demand Forecast, Global, 2018–2030
- 14. Small-satellite Launch Market: Low-Scenario Payload Mass Demand Forecast by User Segment, Global, 2018–2030
- 15. Small-satellite Launch Market: Mid-Scenario Cumulative Payload Mass Market Share by User Segment, Global, 2018–2030
- 16. Small-satellite Launch Market: Mid-Scenario Payload Mass Demand Forecast by User Segment, Global, 2018–2030
- 17. Small-satellite Launch Market: High-Scenario Cumulative Payload Mass Market Share by User Segment, Global, 2018–2030
- 18. Small-satellite Launch Market: High-Scenario Payload Mass Demand Forecast by User Segment, Global, 2018–2030
- 19. Small-satellite Launch Market: Low-Scenario Cumulative Payload Mass Market Share by Mass Class, Global, 2018–2030
- 20. Small-satellite Launch Market: Mid-Scenario Cumulative Payload Mass Market Share by Mass Class, Global, 2018–2030
- 21. Small-satellite Launch Market: Low-Scenario Payload Mass Demand Forecast by Mass Class, Global, 2018–2030
- 22. Small-satellite Launch Market: Mid-Scenario Payload Mass Demand Forecast by Mass Class, Global, 2018–2030
- 23. Small-satellite Launch Market: High-Scenario Cumulative Payload Mass Market Share by Mass Class, Global, 2018–2030
- 24. Small-satellite Launch Market: High-Scenario Payload Mass Demand Forecast by Mass Class, Global, 2018–2030
- 25. Small-satellite Launch Market: Launch Demand Revenue Forecast, Global, 2018–2030
- 26. Small-satellite Launch Market: Low-Scenario Launch Demand Revenue Forecast by User Segment, Global, 2018–2030
- 27. Small-satellite Launch Market: Mid-Scenario Cumulative Launch Revenue Market Share by User Segment, Global, 2018–2030
- 28. Small-satellite Launch Market: Mid-Scenario Launch Demand Revenue Forecast by User Segment, Global, 2018–2030
- 29. Small-satellite Launch Market: High-Scenario Cumulative Launch Revenue Market Share by User Segment, Global, 2018–2030
- 30. Small-satellite Launch Market: High-Scenario Launch Demand Revenue Forecast by User Segment, Global, 2018–2030
- 31. Small-satellite Launch Market: Low-Scenario Cumulative Launch Revenue Market Share by Mass Class, Global, 2018–2030
- 32. Small-satellite Launch Market: Mid-Scenario Cumulative Launch Revenue Market Share by Mass Class, Global, 2018–2030
- 33. Small-Satellite Launch Market: Low-Scenario Launch Demand Revenue Forecast by Mass Class, Global, 2018–2030
- 34. Small-satellite Launch Market: Mid-Scenario Launch Demand Revenue Forecast By Mass Class, Global, 2018–2030
- 35. Small-satellite Launch Market: High-Scenario Cumulative Launch Revenue Market Share by Mass Class, Global, 2018–2030
- 36. Small-satellite Launch Market: High-Scenario Launch Demand Revenue Forecast by Mass Class, Global, 2018–2030
- 37. Small-satellite Launch Services Market: Cumulative Capacity Supply Market Share by number of satellites, Global, 2018–2030
- 38. Small-satellite Launch Services Market: Cumulative Capacity Supply Market Share by Payload Mass, Global, 2018–2030
- 39. Small-satellite Launch Services Market: Capacity Supply Forecast by Number of Satellites, Global, 2018–2030
- 40. Small-satellite Launch Services Market: Capacity Supply Forecast by Payload Mass, Global, 2018–2030
- 41. Small-satellite Launch Services Market: Launch Demand versus Capacity Supply, Global, 2018–2030
- 42. Small-satellite Launch Services Market: Unmet Capacity Forecast, Global, 2018–2030
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