Strategic Outlook for Autonomous Heavy-duty Trucks

Summary of Key Findings

Top Market Trends Driving Autonomous Technologies in Trucks

How OEMs will Differentiate their Brand in the Future

Autonomous Commercial Vehicle Incremental Cost Analysis

Automated Driving Benchmark

Value Proposition of Automated Commercial Vehicles

Penetration Phases by Vocation

Penetration Phases by Vocation

Automated Commercial Vehicles by Application

Regulatory Changes Necessary for Accelerating Autonomous Trucks

Key Implications on Human Factors

Taxonomy of Future Automated Driving Business Models

Comparative Benchmark—Truck OEM Autonomous Capabilities

Snapshot of Global Automated Truck Adoption, 2025 and 2035

Autonomous Truck Outlook

Research Scope

Research Aims and Objectives

Key Questions this Study Will Answer

Research Background

Research Methodology

OEM Groups Compared in this Study

Automated Driving Definitions

Automated Driving Definitions (continued)

Mega Trends Driving the Future of Autonomous Commercial Vehicles

Mega Trends Driving the Future of Autonomous Commercial Vehicles (continued)

Autonomous Truck Outlook

Benefits of Vehicle Automation

Taxonomy of Future Automated Driving Business Models

Focus Areas of Key Stakeholders

Top Market Trends Driving Autonomous Technologies in Trucks

Penetration Phases by Vocation

Penetration Phases by Vocation

Phases of Automated Commercial Vehicle Usage

Key Industry Challenges for Autonomous Trucks

Shortage of Trained Technicians

Truck Platooning

Business Models for Truck Platooning

Truck Platooning—Fleet Angle

Key Technology Enablers for Automated Driving

Technologies Required for Various Levels of Vehicle Automation

Automated Driving—Application Roadmap

Freight Logistics of Fleets Using Autonomous Driving Technologies

V2X Technology Evolution for Piloting Autonomous Trucks

Vision of the Future—Smart Connected Trucks, Roads, and Cities

Convergence of ADAS and Connectivity for Autonomous Driving

Cybersecurity for Autonomous Commercial Vehicles

Cybersecurity and Data Encryption

HWW of Aging Truck Drivers

Key Implications on Human Factors

System Characteristics and HMI Development

Vision of Autonomous Commercial Vehicles from a Driver’s Perspective

Managing Control and Supervision

North American Cost of Trucking—2014

Western European Cost of Trucking—2014

Autonomous Commercial Vehicle Incremental Cost Analysis

Benchmark by Vocation—Autonomous Trucks Implications

Benchmark by Vocation—Autonomous Truck Implications (continued)

Value Proposition of Automated Commercial Vehicles

Market Drivers

Market Restraints

Autonomous Truck Adoption Scenario Analysis

Snapshot of Global Automated Truck Adoption, 2025 and 2035

Snapshot of Global Automated Truck Adoption, 2025 and 2035 Analysis

Disparate Safety Systems Enabling Autonomous Trucks

Transmission Technology Installation Forecasts

Global Heavy-duty Truck Safety Systems Adoption Hot Spots

Safety Systems Technology Roadmap

Sensor Technologies Roadmap

Automated Vehicle Electrical/Electronic Architecture Roadmap

Communications Technology Roadmap

Localization Roadmap

Localization Technology Outlook

Communication Network Evolution

Regulatory Changes Necessary for Accelerating Autonomous Trucks

Validation and Testing of Automated Vehicles

Impact of Current Regulations

Insurer Perspective

Automated Driving—Societal Impact Roadmap

OEM Implications from Autonomous Driving Technologies

How OEMs will Differentiate their Brand in the Future

Traditional vs. Non-traditional Automated Driving

Autonomous Driving Technologies Benchmark of Global HD OEMs

Comparative Benchmark—Truck OEM Autonomous Capabilities

OEM Packaging and Marketing of Autonomous Trucks

OEM Strategic Approach to Autonomous Trucks—Key OEM Goals

Tier I Supplier Implications

Key Conclusions and Future Outlook

The Last Word—5 Big Predictions

Legal Disclaimer

Market Engineering Methodology

List of Abbreviations