5G in Asia-Pacific, Forecast to 2022

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5G is on its way. It may be closer to 2019-2020 for some but for others, it may be 2023-2025 before it materializes. In all the countries that are frontrunners of 5G in Asia-Pacific, 5G is benefiting from local government support coupled with local demand or at least the potential for demand for 5G services. The demand may be incentive or market driven. The drive for governments and industry regulators to push for faster internet speeds through 5G comes from the angle of its potential contribution towards a country’s economic growth and digital economy transformation. Industry regulators need to understand what 5G is and why the right regulatory strategy will be essential to the success of 5G.

For mobile network operators (MNOs), markets are saturating, competition is increasing, and revenues and/or profitability, especially from traditional core services, is declining. MNOs are under pressure to seek out new revenue streams that can be derived from innovative new services and the reduction in cost to serve. 5G will trigger a quicker transition to distributed, cloud native networks that leverage on NFV, SDN, and MEC to reduce cost to serve and improve on efficiency and profitability for MNOs. Further, with 5G offering latency below 1ms and larger bandwidths, mobile networks can gain an edge over fibre networks and regain competitiveness. This study covers the challenges and issues with 5G as well as the growth opportunities within the ecosystem and will be beneficial to strategists and marketeers to aid in formulating a 5G strategy and corresponding go-market or GTM plans. Industries benefiting from 5G, for example, cloud, software, network equipment manufacturing, and IoT applications/sensors, will find this study useful.

Research Scope
The market trends are analyzed for a study period of 2017 to 2022, with the base year being 2016. The study leveraged on primary research through interviews with 4 out of 5 radio access network equipment vendors supported by extensive secondary research and validated by key industry experts. A carefully curated selection of MNOs across Asia-Pacific was interviewed to get a more accurate view of the industry from within. The timeframe covered is from 2017 to 2022, of which the forecast period is from 2018 to 2022. Companies mentioned in this study include but are not limited to NTT DoCoMo, KDDI, Alcatel-Lucent, Fujitsu, KT, Vodafone, China Mobile, China Telecom, Unicom, China Broadcasting Network, Taiwan Star, Far EasTone, M1, Starhub, U Mobile, Telkomsel, AT&T, Verizon, T-Mobile, ZTE, NEC, Intel, Qualcomm, 5GAA, Yelp, Augment, Blippar, Daqri, Educreations, Quiver, Explain Everything and Aug That!.

Countries covered include South Korea, Japan, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, the Philippines, Vietnam, Cambodia, India, Bangladesh, Pakistan, Myanmar, Laos, and Brunei. Global benchmarks referred to within the study include the United States, the European Union, and the United Kingdom.

Key Questions This Study Will Answer
•     What is 5G and what are the major features of 5G?
•     What are the likely frequencies and spectrum considerations?
•     When will 5G be available for rollout and what is the optimum timing for 5G?
•     How big will the market be for 5G?
•     What are the likely use cases?
•     Why should MNOs implement 5G and what is the best approach to deploying 5G?

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary
Key Findings
CEO’s Perspective
2. 5G Market Overview
Market Definitions
What is 5G—5G is An Anticipated Positive Disruption to Industries
What is 5G—5G is a Departure from Previous Generations
What is 5G—5G Goes Beyond 4G
What is 5G—5G is Evolving Along Distinct Tracks
What is 5G—5G Adds New Concepts Within the Network
What is 5G—5G will require Multi-mode/connectivity Smartphones
What is 5G—5G Means New Challenges and Issues
5G Standardization—Global Coordination through 3GPP
5G Standardization—5GAA the First Vertical Association
5G Standardization—5GAA Fosters Cross-Collaboration
5G Spectrum Considerations—Regional Outlook
5G Spectrum Considerations—Regulatory Strategy
5G Networks—Support from Pre-5G Technology
5G Networks—Update on NFV and SDN Market Trends
5G Network—Implications for MNOs
5G Network—Rollout Strategy
5G Network—Regional Outlook on Rollout Strategy
5G Timeline—5G is Evolving With Time
5G Timeline—When Will 5G be Available for Rollout?
3. Drivers and Restraints—Total 5G Market
Market Drivers
Market Restraints
4. Forecasts and Trends—Total 5G Market
Subscription and Service Revenue Forecast
Percent Service Revenue Forecast by Country
5. 5G Market Updates
Heat Map of 5G Activity Across Asia-Pacific
Global Benchmarks—US First to Allocate 5G Spectrum
Global Benchmarks—A Divide and Conquer Approach
Global Benchmarks—The EU is Lagging Behind in 5G
Global Benchmarks—Telcos in Europe are Behind Asia-Pacific
Global Benchmarks—Samsung Driving 5G
Asia Pacific Developments—Developed Nations
Asia Pacific Developments—Developing Nations
Asia Pacific Front Runners—South Korea
Asia-Pacific Frontrunners—Japan
Asia-Pacific Frontrunners—China May Be First to Launch 5G
Asia-Pacific Frontrunners—China Mobile
5G Complementing LPWAN—LPWAN Implemented First
5G Complementing LPWAN—5G Networks Next
5G Complementing LPWAN—Europe Case Study
5G Complementing LPWAN—NB-IoT versus LoRaWAN
6. 5G Potential Use Cases
5G Potential Use Cases—A Snapshot
5G Potential Use Cases—IoT
5G Potential Use Cases—IoT Spending by Verticals
5G Potential Use Cases—IIoT
5G Potential Use Cases—Connected Vehicles
5G Potential Use Cases—Connected Vehicles US Case Study
5G Potential Use Cases—AR and VR
5G Potential Use Cases—AR/VR in Tourism
5G Potential Use Cases—AR/VR in Education
5G Potential Use Cases—AR/VR in Workforce Management
5G Potential Use Cases—AI for Drones
5G Potential Use Cases—Voice Services
5G Potential Use Cases—Video Services
7. Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action
Growth Opportunity 1—IoT and IIoT
Growth Opportunity 2—Software and Applications
Growth Opportunity 3—Cloud and Mobile Edge Computing
Growth Opportunity 4—Local Government Agendas
Growth Opportunity 5—Mobile Network Hardware
Growth Opportunity 6—Key Verticals
Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth
8. The Last Word
The Last Word—Predictions
The Last Word—Recommendations
Legal Disclaimer
9. Appendix
Market Engineering Methodology
Additional Sources of Information on 5G
Partial List of Companies Interviewed
Learn More—Next Steps
List of Exhibits
List of Acronyms

Infographic



List of Figures & Charts

1. 5G: Key Targets, European Union, 2020
2. 5G: Key Dimensions, 2020
3. 5G: Target Fields, European Union, 2020
4. 5G: Timeline, EU, 2017-2035
5. Total 5G Market: Key Market Drivers, Asia-Pacific, 2017–2022
6. Total 5G Market: Key Market Restraints, Asia-Pacific, 2017–2022
7. 5G: Timeline, European Union, 2018-2025
8. Performance of Technologies, APAC, 2016
9. 5G: Pros and Cons, Global, 2016-2025
10. 5G: Details of LPWAN Implementations by MNOs, Europe, 2016


1. Total 5G Market: Subscription and Service Revenue Forecast, Asia-Pacific, 2017–2022
2. Total 5G Market: Percent Service Revenue Forecast by Country, Asia-Pacific, 2019 and 2022



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