Future Business Models of Autonomous Vehicle Services, 2030
The Global Autonomous Vehicle Service Market is likely to Reach $203 Billion by 2030
28-Feb-2020
Global
Market Research
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OEMs, who have been traditionally maintaining industry leadership and also tight control over the ecosystem, have realized that the ongoing shift towards holistic mobility solutions presents a substantial threat to their position and dominance. They have also realized that the emergence of autonomous vehicles will not only disrupt the way we travel but also cause a major disruption to how players across the value chain operate.
In order for autonomous technology to be viable, it needs to have a profitable and sustainable business model. The key challenge is to develop a robust strategy after taking into account many challenges such as regulatory hurdles, lack of standardized road infrastructure, and low consumer confidence on autonomous technology. Despite all these challenges, there is a huge inflow of new entrants, especially the ones with no automotive background, and all of them agree that autonomous vehicles promise good profit margins while reducing operating expenses.
We at the Mobility team within Frost & Sullivan have published a report titled “Future Business Models of Autonomous Vehicle Services, 2019,” which aims to find answers to the challenges. The aim of this study is to research, analyze, and forecast the emerging autonomous services market at a global level and also assess the future growth and developments in the market.
Our research indicates that the autonomous vehicle service market is expected to grow from a mere $1.14 billion in 2019 to $202.51 billion in 2030, at a CAGR of 60.1%, facilitated by mutually beneficial business models across the entire value chain. Among the various services, the mobility services market is expected to grow from $0.01 million in 2019 to $22.41 billion in 2030 showcasing the most drastic cluster for growth in the next decade.
Peripheral services which include services such as on-demand/user insurance, vehicle data services, and predictive maintenance together roughly amount to 55% – i.e., $110 billion in 2030, at a CAGR of 78% from 2019. Vehicle services such as on-demand feature updates and parking services for autonomous vehicles will grow from a mere $0.20 billion in 2019 to $35.15 billion in 2030, at a CAGR of 60.1%. The autonomous logistics market is expected to grow from a mere $0.74 billion in 2019 to $34.46 billion in 2030 at a CAGR of 41.7%, driven by consumers’ desire for faster delivery and their willingness to pay a premium for the same.
Research Highlights
- define and understand the evolution of the autonomous services market.
- give a detailed introduction of the global autonomous service market including value chain and business models, pricing models for mobility services, peripheral services, vehicle services, and logistic services.
- provide an overview of the new business models likely to become popular among various autonomous service clusters.
- estimate the market size of various autonomous services markets for the period from 2019 to 2030
Author: Kamalesh Mohanarangam
Highly Automated Vehicles (HAVs) Forecasts
Autonomous Driving (AD) Trends
AD Services
AD Services—Definitions
Key Findings
Key Findings (continued)
Impact of AD on Mobility Services
Impact of AD on Peripheral Services
Impact of AD on Vehicle Services
Impact of AD on Logistic Services
Summary of Business Models by AD Services
Summary of Autonomous Vehicle Services
Summary of Total Revenue Potential by AV Services
Key Conclusions
Research Scope
AD Services
AD Services—Definitions
Research Aims and Objectives
Key Questions this Study will Answer
Research Background
Research Methodology
SAE Definition for Various Levels of Automation by Use Case
Changes to SAE Definition—L5 to be Omni-operational
Definitions
Definitions (continued)
Assumptions
Market Trends for AD
Market Trends
AD Services
Existing Taxi Business Model
Autonomous Taxis—Value Chain and Future Business Model
Autonomous Taxis—Business Model Analysis
Autonomous Taxis—Pricing Model
Autonomous Taxis—Revenue Forecast
AD Services
Autonomous Shuttles—Value Chain and Business Models
Autonomous Shuttles—Pricing Models
Autonomous Shuttles—Revenue Forecast
AD Services
On-Demand/User Insurance—Value Chain and Business Models
On-Demand/User Insurance—Value Chain and Business Models (continued)
On-Demand/User Insurance—Revenue Forecast
Case Study—Allianz Ventures
AD Services
Vehicle Data Services—Value Chain and Business Models
Vehicle Data Services—Value Chain and Business Models (continued)
Vehicle Data Services—Revenue Forecast
AD Services
Predictive Auto Maintenance—Value Chain and Business Models
Predictive Auto Maintenance—Revenue Forecast
AD Services
On-Demand Feature Updates—Business Model
On-Demand Feature Updates—Revenue Forecast
AD Services
Parking Services—Value Chain and Business Models
Parking Services—Revenue Forecast
AD Services
Autonomous Delivery—Value Chain and Business Models
Impact of AD on Logistic Services
Changing Demand in Goods Flow—Long Haul & Inter City Distribution
Logistic Services—Revenue Forecast
Case Study—Delivery Solutions into the City by DPDgroup
Growth Opportunity—Investments From and Partnerships Among OEMs/TSPs
Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth
Key Conclusions
The Last Word—3 Big Predictions
Legal Disclaimer
List of Exhibits
List of Exhibits (continued)
List of Exhibits (continued)
List of Exhibits (continued)
List of Exhibits (continued)
Market Engineering Methodology
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Research Highlights
- define and understand the evolution of the autonomous services market.
- give a detailed introduction of the global autonomous service market including value chain and business models, pricing models for mobility services, peripheral services, vehicle services, and logistic services.
- provide an overview of the new business models likely to become popular among various autonomous service clusters.
- estimate the market size of various autonomous services markets for the period from 2019 to 2030
Author: Kamalesh Mohanarangam
Deliverable Type | Market Research |
---|---|
No Index | No |
Podcast | No |
Author | Kamalesh Mohanarangam |
Industries | Automotive |
WIP Number | MEDD-01-00-00-00 |
Is Prebook | No |
GPS Codes | 9800-A6,9AF6-A6,9B13-A6 |