Global Analysis of Electric Traction Motor Technologies for Electric and Hybrid Vehicles

Magnet-less Motors to See Adoption due to Expected Supply Chain Issues with Permanent Magnet Motors

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Frost & Sullivan expects permanent magnet motors (PMMs) to dominate the electric and hybrid vehicle (xEV) motors market. PMMs will constitute over 90% of the total electric traction motor market by 2020. Uncertain rare element (RE) magnet supply will remain a challenge for PMM cost optimization. The 40 to 70 kW range will be the most used range of output, with most original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) having different segments of hybrid and electric vehicles (xEVs) in this space through to 2020. PMMs will continue their dominance across all segments of xEVs with full hybrid vehicles (FHEVs) accounting for the majority of the overall uptake. However, induction and magnet-less switched reluctance (SR) motors to find increased installations in EV motors by 2020. SR motors—being a magnet-free, cheaper, and lighter alternative—are expected to see faster advancements.

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary
Key Findings
Application Technology Roadmap for Electric Motors
Electric Vehicle
Hybrid Electric Vehicle
Motor Technologies and Progress
PMM
AC Induction
SRM
Impact Analysis—Dysprosium Proportion in Neo Magnets
REE Mapping—Production and Occurrence Regions Beyond 2020
REE Supply Chain—Process Flow Diagram
REEs—Application versus Supply Risk in Medium and Long Terms
2. Research Scope, Objectives, Background, and Methodology
Research Scope
Base Year
Study Period
Forecast Period
Vehicle Type
Geographical Scope
Research Aims and Objectives
Research Methodology
Primary Research
Secondary Research
Key OEMs Compared in This Study
Definitions and Segmentation
Electric and Hybrid Vehicle Segmentation and Definitions
Electric Motor Definitions
Market Overview
Application Technology Roadmap for Electric Motors
Analysis of Motor Rating by Application
Analysis of Motor Rating by Power Range
Electric Traction Motor Market Adoption by Region
Breakdown of Vehicle and Motor Types
Motor Technologies and Progress
Pricing Analysis—Breakdown of Motor Costs
Drivers and Restraints—Total Electric Traction Motor Market
Market Drivers
Emission norms and environmental regulations
Unstable fossil fuel prices
Reduced total cost of ownership (TCO)
Energy efficiency advantages
Monetary and non-monetary incentives
Market Restraints
Slow pace of EV infrastructure development
Volatile supply chain framework for rare earth magnets
High upfront purchase costs
Safety and reliability concerns
3. Plausible Scenario Discussion on Rare Earth Elements
Permanent Magnets—Material Breakup and Outlook
Rare Earth Magnets
Impact Analysis—Dysprosium Proportion in Neo Magnets
REE Mapping—Current Production and Occurrence Regions
REE Mapping—Production and Occurrence Regions Beyond 2020
REE Production by Elements—Global 2015
REE Applications Split of Elements—Global 2015
Dysprosium Pricing Comparison and Forecast
China’s REE Export—Background
REE Supply Chain—Process Flow Diagram
REE Demand versus Production—Regional Breakdown
Frost & Sullivan Scenario—Demand versus Supply Outlook of Dysprosium
Plausible Scenario—Demand versus Supply Outlook of Neodymium
Alternatives Technologies—De-risking the RE Supply Chain
Plausible Scenario—Demand versus Supply Outlook for Dysprosium
REEs—Application versus Supply Risk in Medium and Long Terms
4. Profiles—Key Suppliers
Technology Expertise Portfolio and Strategies
Bosch Group
Continental Group
Magna Group
Valeo Group
ZF Group
TM4 Group
Remy Group
Toshiba Group
5. Conclusions and Future Outlook
Key Conclusions and Future Outlook
The Last Word—3 Big Predictions
Legal Disclaimer
6. Appendix
Abbreviations and Acronyms Used
Market Engineering Methodology


List of Figures & Charts

1. Electric Traction Motor Market: Key Takeaways, Global, 2015
2. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Roadmap, Global, 2005–2020
3. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Advancement, Global, 2015–2020
4. Electric Traction Motor Market: Impact Analysis of Dysprosium Proportion, Global, 2015
5. Electric Traction Motor Market: REE Occurrence Regions, Global, 2020 and Beyond
6. Electric Traction Motor Market: Process Flow of REE, Global, 2015
7. Electric Traction Motor Market: Application vs. Supply Risk, Global, 2015–2020
8. Electric Traction Motors Market: Partial List of Industry Participants, Global, 2015
9. Electric Traction Motor Market: Electric and Hybrid Vehicle Segmentation, Global, 2015
10. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Roadmap, Global, 2005–2020
11. Electric Traction Motor Market: Motor Rating Ranges of Different Electric and Hybrid Segments, Global, 2020
12. Electric Traction Motor Market: Motor Rating Ranges of OEMs, Global, 2020
13. Electric Traction Motor Market: Electric Traction Motor Market Adoption by Region, Global, 2015–2020
14. Electric Traction Motor Market: Vehicle Type and Motor Split, Global, 2020
15. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Advancement, Global, 2015–2020
16. Electric Traction Motor Market: Motor Price Breakdown, Global, 2015
17. Electric Traction Motor Market: Key Market Drivers, Global, 2016–2020
18. Electric Traction Motor Market: Key Market Restraints, Global, 2016–2020
19. Electric Traction Motor Market: Uptake of Magnetic Rare Earth Elements, Global, 2015
20. Electric Traction Motor Market: Rare Earth Magnet Attributes, Global, 2015
21. Electric Traction Motor Market: Impact Analysis of Dysprosium Proportion, Global, 2015
22. Electric Traction Motor Market: REE Occurrence Regions, Global, 2015
23. Electric Traction Motor Market: REE Occurrence Regions, Global, 2020 and beyond
24. Electric Traction Motor Market: REE Split of Production, Global, 2015
25. Electric Traction Motor Market: REE Application Split, Global, 2015
26. Electric Traction Motor Market: FOB vs. Domestic Price REE, China, 2015
27. Electric Traction Motor Market: Process Flow of REE, Global, 2015
28. Electric Traction Motor Market: Regional Breakdown of REE Production and Demand, Global, 2015
29. Electric Traction Motor Market: Frost & Sullivan Scenario—Demand vs. Supply Outlook of Dysprosium, Global, 2014–2020
30. Electric Traction Motor Market: Demand vs. Supply Outlook of Neodymium, Global, 2014–2020
31. Electric Traction Motor Market: Plausible Scenario—Demand vs. Supply Outlook of Dysprosium, Global, 2014–2020
32. Electric Traction Motor Market: Application vs. Supply Risk, Global, 2015–2020
33. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Portfolio and Capabilities, Bosch AG, Global, 2015
34. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Portfolio and Capabilities, Continental AG, Global, 2015
35. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Portfolio and Capabilities, Magna Group, Global, 2015
36. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Portfolio and Capabilities, Valeo Group, Global, 2015
37. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Portfolio and Capabilities, ZF Group, Global, 2015
38. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Portfolio and Capabilities, TM4 Group, Global, 2015
39. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Portfolio and Capabilities, Remy Group, Global, 2015
40. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Portfolio and Capabilities, Toshiba Group, Global, 2015
41. Electric Traction Motor Market: Key Conclusions, Global, 2020



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