Global Analysis of Electric Traction Motor Technologies for Electric and Hybrid Vehicles

Global Analysis of Electric Traction Motor Technologies for Electric and Hybrid Vehicles

Magnet-less Motors to See Adoption due to Expected Supply Chain Issues with Permanent Magnet Motors

RELEASE DATE
26-May-2016
REGION
North America
Deliverable Type
Market Research
Research Code: NEB1-01-00-00-00
SKU: AU01306-NA-MR_18601
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Description

Frost & Sullivan expects permanent magnet motors (PMMs) to dominate the electric and hybrid vehicle (xEV) motors market. PMMs will constitute over 90% of the total electric traction motor market by 2020. Uncertain rare element (RE) magnet supply will remain a challenge for PMM cost optimization. The 40 to 70 kW range will be the most used range of output, with most original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) having different segments of hybrid and electric vehicles (xEVs) in this space through to 2020. PMMs will continue their dominance across all segments of xEVs with full hybrid vehicles (FHEVs) accounting for the majority of the overall uptake. However, induction and magnet-less switched reluctance (SR) motors to find increased installations in EV motors by 2020. SR motors—being a magnet-free, cheaper, and lighter alternative—are expected to see faster advancements.

Table of Contents

Key Findings

Application Technology Roadmap for Electric Motors

  • Electric Vehicle
  • Hybrid Electric Vehicle

Motor Technologies and Progress

  • PMM
  • AC Induction
  • SRM

Impact Analysis—Dysprosium Proportion in Neo Magnets

REE Mapping—Production and Occurrence Regions Beyond 2020

REE Supply Chain—Process Flow Diagram

REEs—Application versus Supply Risk in Medium and Long Terms

Research Scope

Research Aims and Objectives

Research Methodology

Definitions and Segmentation

Market Overview

Drivers and Restraints—Total Electric Traction Motor Market

Market Drivers

  • Base Year
  • Study Period
  • Forecast Period
  • Vehicle Type
  • Geographical Scope

Market Restraints

Permanent Magnets—Material Breakup and Outlook

Rare Earth Magnets

Impact Analysis—Dysprosium Proportion in Neo Magnets

REE Mapping—Current Production and Occurrence Regions

REE Mapping—Production and Occurrence Regions Beyond 2020

REE Production by Elements—Global 2015

REE Applications Split of Elements—Global 2015

Dysprosium Pricing Comparison and Forecast

China’s REE Export—Background

REE Supply Chain—Process Flow Diagram

REE Demand versus Production—Regional Breakdown

Frost & Sullivan Scenario—Demand versus Supply Outlook of Dysprosium

Plausible Scenario—Demand versus Supply Outlook of Neodymium

Alternatives Technologies—De-risking the RE Supply Chain

Plausible Scenario—Demand versus Supply Outlook for Dysprosium

REEs—Application versus Supply Risk in Medium and Long Terms

Technology Expertise Portfolio and Strategies

Key Conclusions and Future Outlook

The Last Word—3 Big Predictions

Legal Disclaimer

Abbreviations and Acronyms Used

Market Engineering Methodology

List of Figures
  • 1. Electric Traction Motor Market: Key Takeaways, Global, 2015
  • 2. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Roadmap, Global, 2005–2020
  • 3. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Advancement, Global, 2015–2020
  • 4. Electric Traction Motor Market: Impact Analysis of Dysprosium Proportion, Global, 2015
  • 5. Electric Traction Motor Market: REE Occurrence Regions, Global, 2020 and Beyond
  • 6. Electric Traction Motor Market: Process Flow of REE, Global, 2015
  • 7. Electric Traction Motor Market: Application vs. Supply Risk, Global, 2015–2020
  • 8. Electric Traction Motors Market: Partial List of Industry Participants, Global, 2015
  • 9. Electric Traction Motor Market: Electric and Hybrid Vehicle Segmentation, Global, 2015
  • 10. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Roadmap, Global, 2005–2020
  • 11. Electric Traction Motor Market: Motor Rating Ranges of Different Electric and Hybrid Segments, Global, 2020
  • 12. Electric Traction Motor Market: Motor Rating Ranges of OEMs, Global, 2020
  • 13. Electric Traction Motor Market: Electric Traction Motor Market Adoption by Region, Global, 2015–2020
  • 14. Electric Traction Motor Market: Vehicle Type and Motor Split, Global, 2020
  • 15. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Advancement, Global, 2015–2020
  • 16. Electric Traction Motor Market: Motor Price Breakdown, Global, 2015
  • 17. Electric Traction Motor Market: Key Market Drivers, Global, 2016–2020
  • 18. Electric Traction Motor Market: Key Market Restraints, Global, 2016–2020
  • 19. Electric Traction Motor Market: Uptake of Magnetic Rare Earth Elements, Global, 2015
  • 20. Electric Traction Motor Market: Rare Earth Magnet Attributes, Global, 2015
  • 21. Electric Traction Motor Market: Impact Analysis of Dysprosium Proportion, Global, 2015
  • 22. Electric Traction Motor Market: REE Occurrence Regions, Global, 2015
  • 23. Electric Traction Motor Market: REE Occurrence Regions, Global, 2020 and beyond
  • 24. Electric Traction Motor Market: REE Split of Production, Global, 2015
  • 25. Electric Traction Motor Market: REE Application Split, Global, 2015
  • 26. Electric Traction Motor Market: FOB vs. Domestic Price REE, China, 2015
  • 27. Electric Traction Motor Market: Process Flow of REE, Global, 2015
  • 28. Electric Traction Motor Market: Regional Breakdown of REE Production and Demand, Global, 2015
  • 29. Electric Traction Motor Market: Frost & Sullivan Scenario—Demand vs. Supply Outlook of Dysprosium, Global, 2014–2020
  • 30. Electric Traction Motor Market: Demand vs. Supply Outlook of Neodymium, Global, 2014–2020
  • 31. Electric Traction Motor Market: Plausible Scenario—Demand vs. Supply Outlook of Dysprosium, Global, 2014–2020
  • 32. Electric Traction Motor Market: Application vs. Supply Risk, Global, 2015–2020
  • 33. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Portfolio and Capabilities, Bosch AG, Global, 2015
  • 34. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Portfolio and Capabilities, Continental AG, Global, 2015
  • 35. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Portfolio and Capabilities, Magna Group, Global, 2015
  • 36. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Portfolio and Capabilities, Valeo Group, Global, 2015
  • 37. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Portfolio and Capabilities, ZF Group, Global, 2015
  • 38. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Portfolio and Capabilities, TM4 Group, Global, 2015
  • 39. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Portfolio and Capabilities, Remy Group, Global, 2015
  • 40. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Portfolio and Capabilities, Toshiba Group, Global, 2015
  • 41. Electric Traction Motor Market: Key Conclusions, Global, 2020
Frost & Sullivan expects permanent magnet motors (PMMs) to dominate the electric and hybrid vehicle (xEV) motors market. PMMs will constitute over 90% of the total electric traction motor market by 2020. Uncertain rare element (RE) magnet supply will remain a challenge for PMM cost optimization. The 40 to 70 kW range will be the most used range of output, with most original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) having different segments of hybrid and electric vehicles (xEVs) in this space through to 2020. PMMs will continue their dominance across all segments of xEVs with full hybrid vehicles (FHEVs) accounting for the majority of the overall uptake. However, induction and magnet-less switched reluctance (SR) motors to find increased installations in EV motors by 2020. SR motors—being a magnet-free, cheaper, and lighter alternative—are expected to see faster advancements.
More Information
Deliverable Type Market Research
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Table of Contents | Executive Summary~ || Key Findings~ || Application Technology Roadmap for Electric Motors~ ||| Electric Vehicle~ ||| Hybrid Electric Vehicle~ || Motor Technologies and Progress~ ||| PMM~ ||| AC Induction~ ||| SRM~ || Impact Analysis—Dysprosium Proportion in Neo Magnets~ || REE Mapping—Production and Occurrence Regions Beyond 2020~ || REE Supply Chain—Process Flow Diagram~ || REEs—Application versus Supply Risk in Medium and Long Terms~ | Research Scope, Objectives, Background, and Methodology~ || Research Scope~ ||| Base Year~ ||| Study Period~ ||| Forecast Period~ ||| Vehicle Type~ ||| Geographical Scope~ || Research Aims and Objectives~ || Research Methodology~ ||| Primary Research~ ||| Secondary Research~ ||| Key OEMs Compared in This Study~ || Definitions and Segmentation~ ||| Electric and Hybrid Vehicle Segmentation and Definitions~ ||| Electric Motor Definitions~ || Market Overview~ ||| Application Technology Roadmap for Electric Motors~ ||| Analysis of Motor Rating by Application~ ||| Analysis of Motor Rating by Power Range~ ||| Electric Traction Motor Market Adoption by Region~ ||| Breakdown of Vehicle and Motor Types~ ||| Motor Technologies and Progress~ ||| Pricing Analysis—Breakdown of Motor Costs~ || Drivers and Restraints—Total Electric Traction Motor Market~ || Market Drivers~ ||| Emission norms and environmental regulations~ ||| Unstable fossil fuel prices~ ||| Reduced total cost of ownership (TCO)~ ||| Energy efficiency advantages~ ||| Monetary and non-monetary incentives~ || Market Restraints~ ||| Slow pace of EV infrastructure development~ ||| Volatile supply chain framework for rare earth magnets~ ||| High upfront purchase costs~ ||| Safety and reliability concerns~ | Plausible Scenario Discussion on Rare Earth Elements~ || Permanent Magnets—Material Breakup and Outlook~ || Rare Earth Magnets~ || Impact Analysis—Dysprosium Proportion in Neo Magnets~ || REE Mapping—Current Production and Occurrence Regions~ || REE Mapping—Production and Occurrence Regions Beyond 2020~ || REE Production by Elements—Global 2015~ || REE Applications Split of Elements—Global 2015~ || Dysprosium Pricing Comparison and Forecast~ || China’s REE Export—Background~ || REE Supply Chain—Process Flow Diagram~ || REE Demand versus Production—Regional Breakdown~ || Frost & Sullivan Scenario—Demand versus Supply Outlook of Dysprosium~ || Plausible Scenario—Demand versus Supply Outlook of Neodymium~ || Alternatives Technologies—De-risking the RE Supply Chain~ || Plausible Scenario—Demand versus Supply Outlook for Dysprosium~ || REEs—Application versus Supply Risk in Medium and Long Terms~ | Profiles—Key Suppliers~ || Technology Expertise Portfolio and Strategies~ ||| Bosch Group~ ||| Continental Group~ ||| Magna Group~ ||| Valeo Group~ ||| ZF Group~ ||| TM4 Group~ ||| Remy Group~ ||| Toshiba Group~ | Conclusions and Future Outlook~ || Key Conclusions and Future Outlook~ || The Last Word—3 Big Predictions~ || Legal Disclaimer~ | Appendix~ || Abbreviations and Acronyms Used~ || Market Engineering Methodology~
List of Charts and Figures 1. Electric Traction Motor Market: Key Takeaways, Global, 2015~ 2. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Roadmap, Global, 2005–2020~ 3. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Advancement, Global, 2015–2020~ 4. Electric Traction Motor Market: Impact Analysis of Dysprosium Proportion, Global, 2015~ 5. Electric Traction Motor Market: REE Occurrence Regions, Global, 2020 and Beyond~ 6. Electric Traction Motor Market: Process Flow of REE, Global, 2015~ 7. Electric Traction Motor Market: Application vs. Supply Risk, Global, 2015–2020~ 8. Electric Traction Motors Market: Partial List of Industry Participants, Global, 2015~ 9. Electric Traction Motor Market: Electric and Hybrid Vehicle Segmentation, Global, 2015~ 10. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Roadmap, Global, 2005–2020~ 11. Electric Traction Motor Market: Motor Rating Ranges of Different Electric and Hybrid Segments, Global, 2020~ 12. Electric Traction Motor Market: Motor Rating Ranges of OEMs, Global, 2020~ 13. Electric Traction Motor Market: Electric Traction Motor Market Adoption by Region, Global, 2015–2020~ 14. Electric Traction Motor Market: Vehicle Type and Motor Split, Global, 2020~ 15. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Advancement, Global, 2015–2020~ 16. Electric Traction Motor Market: Motor Price Breakdown, Global, 2015~ 17. Electric Traction Motor Market: Key Market Drivers, Global, 2016–2020~ 18. Electric Traction Motor Market: Key Market Restraints, Global, 2016–2020~ 19. Electric Traction Motor Market: Uptake of Magnetic Rare Earth Elements, Global, 2015~ 20. Electric Traction Motor Market: Rare Earth Magnet Attributes, Global, 2015~ 21. Electric Traction Motor Market: Impact Analysis of Dysprosium Proportion, Global, 2015~ 22. Electric Traction Motor Market: REE Occurrence Regions, Global, 2015~ 23. Electric Traction Motor Market: REE Occurrence Regions, Global, 2020 and beyond~ 24. Electric Traction Motor Market: REE Split of Production, Global, 2015~ 25. Electric Traction Motor Market: REE Application Split, Global, 2015~ 26. Electric Traction Motor Market: FOB vs. Domestic Price REE, China, 2015~ 27. Electric Traction Motor Market: Process Flow of REE, Global, 2015~ 28. Electric Traction Motor Market: Regional Breakdown of REE Production and Demand, Global, 2015~ 29. Electric Traction Motor Market: Frost & Sullivan Scenario—Demand vs. Supply Outlook of Dysprosium, Global, 2014–2020~ 30. Electric Traction Motor Market: Demand vs. Supply Outlook of Neodymium, Global, 2014–2020~ 31. Electric Traction Motor Market: Plausible Scenario—Demand vs. Supply Outlook of Dysprosium, Global, 2014–2020~ 32. Electric Traction Motor Market: Application vs. Supply Risk, Global, 2015–2020~ 33. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Portfolio and Capabilities, Bosch AG, Global, 2015~ 34. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Portfolio and Capabilities, Continental AG, Global, 2015~ 35. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Portfolio and Capabilities, Magna Group, Global, 2015~ 36. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Portfolio and Capabilities, Valeo Group, Global, 2015~ 37. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Portfolio and Capabilities, ZF Group, Global, 2015~ 38. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Portfolio and Capabilities, TM4 Group, Global, 2015~ 39. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Portfolio and Capabilities, Remy Group, Global, 2015~ 40. Electric Traction Motor Market: Technology Portfolio and Capabilities, Toshiba Group, Global, 2015~ 41. Electric Traction Motor Market: Key Conclusions, Global, 2020~
Author Prudhvi Sapatla
Industries Automotive
WIP Number NEB1-01-00-00-00
Keyword 1 Electric Traction Motor Technologies
Keyword 2 Hybrid Electric Vehicle
Keyword 3 Hybrid Vehicles
Is Prebook No