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Global Economic Recovery in Post-Pandemic 2021
Global Economic Recovery in Post-Pandemic 2021
5.3% Global Growth Expected for 2021, with China and India to See Growth of 8% or More
31-Mar-2021
Global
Market Outlook
$4,950.00
Special Price $3,712.50 save 25 %
Description
2020 was, without a doubt, an extremely turbulent year for the global economy, with lockdowns, sharp trade contraction, accelerated job losses, and supply-chain disruptions. Recovery started picking up towards the second half of the year with the easing of COVID-19 restrictions. The global economy nonetheless experienced a very deep 2020 recession.
Recovery will be the keyword going into 2021, in the light of continued easing up of restrictions, vaccine administration, and demand-side revival. Global growth is expected to accelerate to 5.3% in 2021. The pace of recovery is expected to be much stronger for the group of emerging markets and developed economies, especially supported by high growth rates for China and India.
This research captures the 2021 global economic outlook, focussing on visioning scenarios, growth projections, policy developments, and risks to watch out for. The global economy is most likely, for example, to see a U-curve recovery into 2021. If however, downside risks materialize, there remains the chance of a double-dip recession or a W-curve recovery process. Following a sharp contraction in Q2 2020 GDP growth amidst lockdowns, an associated strong rebound in growth figures is expected for Q2 2021.
Oil prices should accelerate in 2021, although remaining below 2019 levels. The finalization of a UK-EU Brexit deal has provided much relief to the European economy, although some Brexit-related disruptions will persist in H1 2021. On the policy front, there have been major policy shifts in the US following the new US Presidency. The US, for example, is expected to primarily support clean energy policies, in the future.
The research features separate regional economic outlook sections focusing on country-specific GDP growth rates, growth opportunities, and key economic developments. The US for example should see 4.4% growth in 2021, especially supported by a recent stimulus push and new stimulus package expectations. European economies continue to face pressure from re-imposed restrictions. China should see 8.0% growth for 2021, while India will see its 2021–2022 fiscal year growth accelerating to 10.9%. 2021 growth rates are reflective of the low GDP base effect from 2020 to an extent.
Key Issues Addressed
- What are the top 5 global economic predictions for 2021?
- What is the global growth outlook under baseline, optimistic, and pessimistic scenarios?
- What are some of the key drivers and restraints for the global economy in 2021?
- How will major economies such as the US, UK, and India perform?
- What are the top growth opportunities to watch out for, by region?
- What is expected of Brexit in 2021?
- What are the economic implications of the shift in US presidency?
- How will trade and supply-chain shifts and developments impact the global economy?
- What is the outlook for Europe given re-imposed restrictions?
- When is global GDP expected to return to pre-pandemic levels?
Author: Neha Anna Thomas
RESEARCH: INFOGRAPHIC
This infographic presents a brief overview of the research, and highlights the key topics discussed in it.Click image to view it in full size
Table of Contents
Top 5 2020 Global Economic Highlights
2020 Global Economy—Actuals vs. Forecast
2008–2020 Global Historic GDP Growth
Top 5 2021 Global Economic Predictions
2021 Scenario Analysis—Quarterly Global Growth
2021 Scenario Analysis—Assumptions
2021 World GDP Growth Snapshot
Advanced Economies—Key Predictions for 2021
Emerging Economies—Key Predictions for 2021
2021 Growth Opportunities—Top 3 Opportunities by Region
2021 Regional Trends—GDP Growth, Risks, and Policy Direction
2021 Global Economy—Scope of Analysis
Forecast Assumptions—Global Economy
Why is it Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
The Strategic Imperative 8™
The Impact of the Top Three Strategic Imperatives on the Global Economy
Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine™
Key Economic Metrics for North America—US and Canada
Key Economic Metrics for Latin America—Brazil and Mexico
Key Economic Metrics for Latin America—Colombia and Panama
Key Economic Metrics for Latin America—Argentina
Key Economic Metrics for Europe—UK and Germany
Key Economic Metrics for Europe—France and Spain
Key Economic Metrics for Middle East—Saudi Arabia and Iran
Key Economic Metrics for Middle East—Qatar and Turkey
Key Economic Metrics for Africa—Tanzania and Kenya
Key Economic Metrics for Africa—Egypt and Nigeria
Key Economic Metrics for Africa—South Africa
Key Economic Metrics for Asia-Pacific—China and India
Key Economic Metrics for Asia-Pacific—Japan and Indonesia
Key Economic Metrics for Asia-Pacific—Australia
Growth Drivers for the Global Economy
Growth Restraints to the Global Economy
2021 Annual Global Growth
2021 Scenario Analysis—Quarterly Global Growth
2021 Scenario Analysis—Assumptions
2021 Oil Price, Supply, and Demand Outlook
2021 Monetary Policy Outlook
North America—Top 3 Growth Opportunities
North America—GDP Growth
US and Canada—GDP Growth Outlook
US and Canada—Economic Outlook Analysis
North America—Key Economic Developments
Latin America—Top 3 Growth Opportunities
Latin America—GDP Growth
Brazil and Mexico—GDP Growth Outlook
Brazil and Mexico—Economic Outlook Analysis
Colombia and Panama—GDP Growth Outlook
Colombia and Panama—Economic Outlook Analysis
Argentina—Economic Outlook Analysis
Latin America—Key Economic Developments
2021 Latin America Economic Outlook—Top Predictions
Europe—Top 3 Growth Opportunities
Europe—GDP Growth
UK and Germany—GDP Growth Outlook
UK and Germany—Economic Outlook Analysis
France and Spain—GDP Growth Outlook
France and Spain—Economic Outlook Analysis
Europe—Key Economic Developments
Middle East—Top 3 Growth Opportunities
Middle East—GDP Growth
Saudi Arabia and Iran—GDP Growth Outlook
Saudi Arabia and Iran—Economic Outlook Analysis
Qatar and Turkey—GDP Growth Outlook
Qatar and Turkey—Economic Outlook Analysis
Middle East—Key Economic Developments
2021 Middle East Economic Outlook—Top Predictions
Africa—Top 3 Growth Opportunities
Africa—GDP Growth
Tanzania and Kenya—GDP Growth Outlook
Tanzania and Kenya—Economic Outlook Analysis
Egypt and Nigeria—GDP Growth Outlook
Egypt and Nigeria—Economic Outlook Analysis
South Africa—Economic Outlook Analysis
Africa—Key Economic Developments
2021 Africa Economic Outlook—Top Predictions
Asia-Pacific—Top 3 Growth Opportunities
Asia-Pacific—GDP Growth
China and India—GDP Growth Outlook
China and India—Economic Outlook Analysis
Japan and Indonesia—GDP Growth Outlook
Japan and Indonesia—Economic Outlook Analysis
Australia—Economic Outlook Analysis
Asia-Pacific—Key Economic Developments
2021 Asia-Pacific Economic Outlook—Top Predictions
Growth Opportunity 1: Manufacturing Gains from Trade and Supply Chain Shifts
Growth Opportunity 1: Manufacturing Gains from Trade and Supply Chain Shifts (continued)
Growth Opportunity 2: Demand Revival from Easing Restrictions and New Stimulus
Growth Opportunity 2: Demand Revival from Easing Restrictions and New Stimulus (continued)
Growth Opportunity 3: Oil Recovery and Accelerated Economic Diversification
Growth Opportunity 3: Oil Recovery and Accelerated Economic Diversification (continued)
Key Conclusions
List of Exhibits
List of Exhibits (continued)
List of Exhibits (continued)
List of Exhibits (continued)
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Key Issues Addressed
- What are the top 5 global economic predictions for 2021?
- What is the global growth outlook under baseline, optimistic, and pessimistic scenarios?
- What are some of the key drivers and restraints for the global economy in 2021?
- How will major economies such as the US, UK, and India perform?
- What are the top growth opportunities to watch out for, by region?
- What is expected of Brexit in 2021?
- What are the economic implications of the shift in US presidency?
- How will trade and supply-chain shifts and developments impact the global economy?
- What is the outlook for Europe given re-imposed restrictions?
- When is global GDP expected to return to pre-pandemic levels?
Author: Neha Anna Thomas
| Deliverable Type | Market Outlook |
|---|---|
| No Index | No |
| Podcast | No |
| Author | Neha Anna Thomas |
| Industries | Cross Industries |
| WIP Number | PBA1-01-00-00-00 |
| Is Prebook | No |
| GPS Codes | 9A7B-EM |