Growth Opportunities in Green Hydrogen— Future Scenarios and Implications

Growth Opportunities in Green Hydrogen— Future Scenarios and Implications

Achieving Net-Zero Goals through Visionary Growth Strategies Toward the Green Hydrogen Economy

RELEASE DATE
09-Dec-2022
REGION
Global
Deliverable Type
Megatrends
Research Code: PDFB-01-00-00-00
SKU: CI00839-GL-MT_27246
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Description

Hydrogen is the future of energy, while green hydrogen is the key to clean energy transition. Emerging applications to decarbonize hard-to-abate sectors have accelerated demand for hydrogen derived from renewable energy.

This study focuses on green hydrogen potency implications in 4 scenarios: Limited resourcefulness, long-term clean energy strategies, tech innovation and diversification, and green hydrogen economy unlocked. Government support, regulatory framework, trade development, and technological innovations augment these scenarios. In recent years, green hydrogen has gained momentum, and governments around the world are highly invested in this trend, as it could be the solution to the growing energy crisis, carbon emissions, and global warming. Currently, only 0.1% of global hydrogen accounts for green hydrogen production, and the demand for green hydrogen is estimated to rise to almost 100 million tons by 2030. Production technology innovations and a robust regulatory framework are needed to meet this target.

The private and public sectors are harmonizing to increase green hydrogen contribution to 12% of the total hydrogen production. The high costs involved in green hydrogen production due to weak government policies, incentives, and immature technology pose a significant challenge to the growth trajectory of the green hydrogen economy.

In the short run, the government of global economies is focusing on introducing a standard regulatory framework to eliminate the barrier of unsystematic policies. The private sector plays a crucial role in developing green hydrogen hubs with the financial support of the public sector. The long-run vision of the green hydrogen economy comprises competitive costs of production, technology maturity, and socioeconomic development, eventually achieving net-zero emissions.

A green hydrogen economy will help achieve economies of scale associated with production, a stable regulatory framework, well-established international trade routes and relations, widespread commercial applications, and societal acceptance of green hydrogen as a primary fuel.

Table of Contents

Why is Growth Becoming Increasingly Difficult to Achieve?

The Strategic Imperative 8™

Our Mega Trend Universe—Overview

Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine™

Our Mega Trend Universe—Green Hydrogen Future Scenarios and Implications

Main Findings

Critical Growth Opportunities

The Green Hydrogen Economy—Overview

Roadmap to a Green Hydrogen Economy

Key Growth Drivers

Key Growth Restraints

Four Visionary Scenarios

Scenario 1—Limited Resourcefulness

Scenario 1—Limited Resourcefulness (continued)

Scenario 2—Long-term Clean Energy Strategies

Scenario 2—Long-term Clean Energy Strategies (North America)

Scenario 2—Long-term Clean Energy Strategies (European Union)

Scenario 2—Long-term Clean Energy Strategies (Asia-Pacific [APAC])

Scenario 2—Long-term Clean Energy Strategies (Middle East and Africa [MEA])

Scenario 3—Technology Innovation and Diversification

Scenario 3—Technology Innovation and Diversification (continued)

Scenario 3—Technology Innovation and Diversification (continued)

Scenario 4—Green Hydrogen Economy Unlocked

Scenario 4—Green Hydrogen Economy Unlocked (continued)

Scenario 4—Green Hydrogen Economy Unlocked (continued)

Trend Opportunity—Attractiveness Analysis

Trend Opportunity Impact and Certainty Analysis

Trend Opportunity Impact and Certainty Analysis (continued)

Trend Opportunity Disruption Index

Trend Disruption Attractiveness Score

Trend Opportunity Growth Index

Growth Attractiveness Score

Trends BEETS Implications

Growth Opportunity 1—Green Hydrogen FCV

Growth Opportunity 1—Green Hydrogen FCV (continued)

Growth Opportunity 2—Waste-to-hydrogen Solutions

Growth Opportunity 2—Waste-to-hydrogen Solutions (continued)

Growth Opportunity 3—Green Hydrogen-as-a-Service

Growth Opportunity 3—Green Hydrogen-as-a-Service (continued)

Critical Success Factors for Growth

Conclusion

Our Mega Trend Universe

Our Mega Trend Universe (continued)

Identifying Your Company’s Growth Zone

Your Next Steps

List of Exhibits

Legal Disclaimer

Hydrogen is the future of energy, while green hydrogen is the key to clean energy transition. Emerging applications to decarbonize hard-to-abate sectors have accelerated demand for hydrogen derived from renewable energy. This study focuses on green hydrogen potency implications in 4 scenarios: Limited resourcefulness, long-term clean energy strategies, tech innovation and diversification, and green hydrogen economy unlocked. Government support, regulatory framework, trade development, and technological innovations augment these scenarios. In recent years, green hydrogen has gained momentum, and governments around the world are highly invested in this trend, as it could be the solution to the growing energy crisis, carbon emissions, and global warming. Currently, only 0.1% of global hydrogen accounts for green hydrogen production, and the demand for green hydrogen is estimated to rise to almost 100 million tons by 2030. Production technology innovations and a robust regulatory framework are needed to meet this target. The private and public sectors are harmonizing to increase green hydrogen contribution to 12% of the total hydrogen production. The high costs involved in green hydrogen production due to weak government policies, incentives, and immature technology pose a significant challenge to the growth trajectory of the green hydrogen economy. In the short run, the government of global economies is focusing on introducing a standard regulatory framework to eliminate the barrier of unsystematic policies. The private sector plays a crucial role in developing green hydrogen hubs with the financial support of the public sector. The long-run vision of the green hydrogen economy comprises competitive costs of production, technology maturity, and socioeconomic development, eventually achieving net-zero emissions. A green hydrogen economy will help achieve economies of scale associated with production, a stable regulatory framework, well-established international trade routes and relations, widespread commercial applications, and societal acceptance of green hydrogen as a primary fuel.
More Information
Deliverable Type Megatrends
Author Sukriti Mahna
Industries Cross Industries
No Index No
Is Prebook No
Keyword 1 Green Hydrogen Production
Keyword 2 hydrogen green energy
Keyword 3 hydrogen economy
Podcast No
WIP Number PDFB-01-00-00-00