South African Logistics Market, Forecast to 2020

Country to Emerge as a Regional Hotspot Owing to Its Comparatively High Logistics Performance and the Long-term Economic Growth Potential

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Global financial crisis, weak domestic demand, and other related factors have affected South Africa’s GDP growth during past 3 years, continuing onto 2016. The GDP of South Africa accounted for 0.42% of world GDP in 2016. The economy is expected to grow at a rate slower than the population growth rate in 2017 and 2018, implying a lower standard of living in the time period, as measured by the GDP per capita. A better global economy, combined with stimulation efforts by the Government is expected to result in positive economic growth of the country from 2016. However, this growth is expected to below world’s and sub-Saharan region’s forecasts.

Economic growth has been driven mainly by trade, tourism, and communications; South Africa’s trade performance is expected to witness positive growth from 2016. With one-third of South Africa’s export being commodities, changes in global demand for these commodities owing to muted domestic demand will have considerable effects on South Africa’s export value in the future. Owing to potential US tariffs on imports from China and Mexico expected to have an impact on global trade flows, the exporters in these countries will look for opportunities in alternative markets which could, in turn, present export opportunities for African producers in American market.

In order to achieve a spark in economic growth during 2017-2018, the government of South Africa has made significant investments on upgrading its ageing road infrastructure. This, in turn, is likely to boost the logistics market by 2020. South Africa’s efforts in increasing exports of goods and services in the region and positioning the country as a hub for African regional and global engagement through trade agreements will necessitate complementary measures such as improved transportation and regulation for increased trade.

Over 89% of freight in South Africa is over the road network; resources have been allocated for maintenance and rehabilitation of network throughout the country, while rail network accounts for 80% of total African infrastructure. Extensive rail network connecting with other networks in sub-Saharan region and neighboring countries provides major opportunity for businesses to prefer rail network over road if operational efficiency of former is increased. Increasing trade demands and improving infrastructure holds potential for businesses with long-term strategies. Market development for 3PL logistics players will depend on advanced technology-based solutions with better service offerings. With steady growth of international trade, South Africa’s logistic sector is expected to witness 3.7% growth over the next 5 years; focus on promoting industries and exports is likely to drive opportunities for international logistics services in South Africa. South Africa's export trade with the rest of Africa is expected to double, as more agreements are signed and processed.

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary
Summary of Key Findings
South Africa—GDP Forecast
South Africa—Export-Import Forecast
South Africa—Technological Indicators
South Africa—Logistics Performance Index and Ease of Doing Business
Growth Opportunity—Current Offerings, Value-add Services and Portfolio Expansion
2. Research Scope, Objectives, Background and Methodology
Research Scope
Research Aims and Objectives
3. Economic Indicators and Profile
South Africa—GDP Per Capita and GDP Growth
South Africa—GDP by Economic Sectors
South Africa—GDP Forecast
4. International Trade Performance
Contribution of Export-Import to GDP
Export-Import Forecast
Top Ten Export/Import Partners by Value
South Africa—Export/Import by Industry
South Africa—Key Trade Commodities
5. Social and Technological Profile
South Africa—Population Growth and Structure
South Africa—Technological Indicators
South Africa—Social Indicators
6. Transportation and Logistics Sector Overview
South Africa—Transportation and Storage Segment Share within GDP
Freight Handled by Modes of Transportation
South Africa—Transportation Infrastructure
South Africa—Planned Road Infrastructure Upgrade by 2018
Business Environment and Investment Attractiveness
South Africa—Key Trade Agreements
South Africa—Relation with Neighbouring Countries
Ease of Doing Business in 2017—Sub-Parameters
7. Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action
Growth Opportunity—Current Offerings, Value-added Services and Portfolio Expansion
Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth
8. Conclusions and Future Outlook
Conclusions
Legal Disclaimer
9. The Frost & Sullivan Story

Infographic



List of Figures & Charts

1. Logistics Market: Key Findings, South Africa, 2016
2. Logistics Market: GDP Breakup, South Africa, 2010–2016
3. Share of Top Ten Partners in Exports by Value, South Africa, 2016
4. Share of Top 10 Partners in Imports by Value, South Africa, 2016
5. Share of Top 10 Industry in Exports, South Africa, 2016
6. Share of Top 10 Industry in Imports, South Africa, 2016
7. Logistics Market: Transportation Infrastructure and Volume, South Africa, 2015–2016
8. Logistics Market: Key Road Infrastructure Upgrades, South Africa, 2016–2018
9. Logistics Market: Key Trade Agreements, South Africa, 1969–2017
10. Logistics Market: Ease of Doing Business, South Africa, 2017


1. GDP Forecast, South Africa, 2010–2020
2. Export/Import Forecast, South Africa, 2010–2020
3. Logistics Market: Technological Indicators, South Africa, 2010–2016
4. Logistics Market: Logistics Performance Index Score, South Africa, 2014 vs. 2016
5. Logistics Market: Ease of Doing Business Performance Study, South Africa, 2017
6. GDP Per Capita and GDP Growth, South Africa, 2016
7. Logistics Market: GDP Breakup, South Africa, 2010–2016
8. GDP Forecast, South Africa, 2010–2020
9. Export/Import as a Percentage of GDP, South Africa, 2010–2016
10. Exports and Imports Forecast, South Africa, 2017–2020
11. Export/Import Forecast, South Africa, 2010–2020
12. Share of Top Ten Partners in Exports by Value, South Africa, 2016
13. Share of Top 10 Partners in Imports by Value, South Africa, 2016
14. Share of Top 10 Industry in Exports, South Africa, 2016
15. Share of Top 10 Industry in Imports, South Africa, 2016
16. Key Trade Commodities, South Africa, 2016
17. Population Growth and Structure, South Africa, 2010–2016
18. Logistics Market: Technological Indicators, South Africa, 2010–2016
19. Social Indicators, South Africa, 2010 and 2016
20. Logistics Market: Transportation and Storage Segment Share within GDP, South Africa, 2010–2016
21. Logistics Market: Logistics Performance Index Score, South Africa, 2014 vs 2016
22. Logistics Market: Freight Handled by Road and Rail, South Africa, 2010–2016
23. Logistics Market: Cargo Handled by Major Ports, South Africa, 2013–2016
24. Logistics Market: Freight Handled, South Africa, 2016
25. Logistics Market: Rail/Road Modal Split by Network, South Africa, 2016
26. Logistics Market: FDI Inflows, and Domestic Credit as % of GDP, South Africa, 2010–2016
27. Logistics Market: Ease of Doing Business Performance Study, South Africa, 2017
28. Logistics Market: Commodities Traded, SACU Countries, 2016



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